Speedway 2011

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Loads more action tonight but there is nothing else i will be getting involved in as the handicaps and prices all look about right to me.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Friday: Coventry vs Peterborough 3/5pts Chris Harris over 10 points - Evens with >Bet365 Just got back from Belle Vue where Bomber was pretty impressive and i think he can pick up more than 10 at Coventry tonight where he guests for the home side. He knows this track inside out having rode for the Bees for a while. Every rut, bump, dirt line etc. will be on Harris' radar so there is no problem there. He has a tough rider in Pedersen to deal with but he should get 5 rides and when coming up against the Dane should have no problems matching him for speed. I would have priced this up at around 5/6 so finding this price available is a bit of a surprise.

Bet lost. Weird night with Pedersen being hit and miss too.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Tuesday: Wolverhampton vs Belle Vue 2pts Ty Proctor (+1pt) to score more than Rory Schlein - 8/5 with >Bet365 Not often there is a Tuesday night Elite League meeting but tonight is the return fixure at Monmore for the match i travelled to Manchester for on Good Friday. Friday's match was awful in terms of entertainment and i am glad i never got involved with that as it was unpredictable all afternoon due to the weather. On Friday Ty Proctor should have got more than just the 2 points as that poor score was due mechanical problems rather than his effort and overall performance. He has been a bit up and down this season at home but there are a couple of riders in this Belle Vue side who will be no match for most of the Wolves team so he should get easy points there. Tai Woffinden is injured for Wolves so his 4 rides being available will mean Proctor will get to cover one of those and will therefore have 5 outings. Rory Schlein couldn't be more different to Proctor in terms of style as he is a good gater but is very poor when required to come from the back. He comes up against home track specialists (Lindgren and Karlsson) in 3 of his 4 rides and in the other he will most probably meet one of them again as one should cover Woffinden's ride in that heat. He had 4 meetings last year at Monmore and average 7.8 overall from 4 rides but that was against a Wolves side without Karlsson so i feel that is a little bit inflated compared to what it would have been had he been up against the veteran Swede. So, it will be a tough match for Wolves without Woffinden and one in which their top 4 will have to produce the goods. If Proctor can pick up those 'easier' points against the likes of Cook and Stachyra and maybe pinch a win or the odd 2nd place i think he will at least tie against Schlein who isn't guaranteed to get the extra ride from the nominated heat. The price is definitely higher than i would have had it. I was interested in a couple of other bets but there is no value whatsoever in the prices available.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Tuesday: Wolverhampton vs Belle Vue 2pts Ty Proctor (+1pt) to score more than Rory Schlein - 8/5 with >Bet365 Not often there is a Tuesday night Elite League meeting but tonight is the return fixure at Monmore for the match i travelled to Manchester for on Good Friday. Friday's match was awful in terms of entertainment and i am glad i never got involved with that as it was unpredictable all afternoon due to the weather. On Friday Ty Proctor should have got more than just the 2 points as that poor score was due mechanical problems rather than his effort and overall performance. He has been a bit up and down this season at home but there are a couple of riders in this Belle Vue side who will be no match for most of the Wolves team so he should get easy points there. Tai Woffinden is injured for Wolves so his 4 rides being available will mean Proctor will get to cover one of those and will therefore have 5 outings. Rory Schlein couldn't be more different to Proctor in terms of style as he is a good gater but is very poor when required to come from the back. He comes up against home track specialists (Lindgren and Karlsson) in 3 of his 4 rides and in the other he will most probably meet one of them again as one should cover Woffinden's ride in that heat. He had 4 meetings last year at Monmore and average 7.8 overall from 4 rides but that was against a Wolves side without Karlsson so i feel that is a little bit inflated compared to what it would have been had he been up against the veteran Swede. So, it will be a tough match for Wolves without Woffinden and one in which their top 4 will have to produce the goods. If Proctor can pick up those 'easier' points against the likes of Cook and Stachyra and maybe pinch a win or the odd 2nd place i think he will at least tie against Schlein who isn't guaranteed to get the extra ride from the nominated heat. The price is definitely higher than i would have had it. I was interested in a couple of other bets but there is no value whatsoever in the prices available.

Bet won. Thought it was in the bag after heat 13 until the Belle Vue manager put Schlein in heat 15 (expected Hougaard with Harris) but Rory running in last meant the scores were still tied on the night so the extra point Proctor got for the handicap means we won. +3.2pts for the night means +8.45pts for the season. Will hopefully improve on these figures now that all the riders should have settled into their surroundings by now.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Speedway World Championship 2011 - Outright The domestic season is due to start here in a couple of weeks so, even though the start of the GP's isn't until next month, i thought i would get a couple of nice prices before they have the chance to go. Firstly i would rule out Lindgren, Harris, Laguta and Lindback. Lindgren is probably the best of the 4. He scores solid points consistently but doesn't make it to the semi's and finals enough for my liking to compete with the proven GP riders. Harris is an enigma. He will have the pressure of being GB's only representative and still needs to prove his bike set-up can match the bigger named riders. Laguta is too inexperienced on this stage so i can't be having money on him for the outright. Lindback is interesting, a massive talent but he is far too unreliable, lets his head drop when times get tough and his bike set-up can be way below average at times. I am also going to rule out a top 3 position for Rune Holta. Yes, he finished in 4th overall last year but i don't think the standard was that great. The likes of Woffinden, Zetterstrom, Andersen last season were all nowhere near good enough to be in this regularly and added to the fact Sayfutdinov was injured and Nicki Pedersen had a stinker, Holta was able to pick up points quite cheaply. I think this season the standard is a lot higher. Jonsson scores points well enough to be competing in the GP's but he has had years to prove himself good enough to go for a Championship but has not looked clinical enough so far. Greg Hancock is reluctantly dismissed too along with Kenneth Bjerre. The latter has too many nightmare one-offs for me to consider him a serious contender and Hancock is great from the tapes but he is alot older than most his rivals and, i think, on a downward slope. Would want about 33s for me to consider him but 25s is the best available. Sayfutdinov has had a full year out so i am reluctant to put money on him at the price on offer and Pedersen's form last year baffles me so i may get involved with him if he shows up well in the first GP. So, there is 10 of the 15 ruled out. Now onto the ones i think are in with a solid chance. Gollob deserves his favourite tag. He was outstanding last year when he won the Championship and with 3 home GP's out of the 11 on the calendar there is no doubt he can do it again. However, 5/2 is too short for me when looking at the calibre of opposition he is against this year. Hampel did well last year too but, like Holta, i am unsure about to whether it was his ability that shone through to get him to 2nd or whether the lack of consistent opposition played a big part. Like Gollob though, he does have 3 home GP's so that works in his favour. Kolodziej is a brilliant performer on the domestic scene and is the 3rd Pole to be in with a chance in my opinion. However, he needs to prove himself amongst this company more often in one off events. My main outright fancy then is Jason Crump. This bloke has won this title 3 times previously and even at 4/1 i think there is still value in the price. He is fully fit going into the series and i think he is alot better when trying to win back a title rather than defending it. He is the complete rider. He has mental strength, is quick from the gates and rides as aggressively as the likes of Nicki Pedersen......but without the hatred most crowds show towards the controversial Dane (who i personally find brilliant)! This Aussie has experience at just about every track in the world and has a settled pit team so his bikes are no problem, he is the ultimate professional. I would have him around the 5/2 mark with Gollob. The next bet is on another Aussie - Chris Holder. I think this guy is a World Champion in waiting. He had a great debut season when finishing in 8th position and has a calm enough head on his young shoulders. He is electric from the gate whilst domestically he beats others in the competition regularly. He may need another year before he breaks into the top 3 but i feel he will improve and finish in the top 5 this year. Therefore, i feel the 33/1 won't be around next season and since i give him a good chance of finishing in the top 3 i am more than happy to snap it up. 3/5pts Jason Crump to win 2011 World Championship - 4/1 with Paddy Power 1pt E/W Chris Holder to win 2011 World Championship - 33/1 with Paddy Power

GP's start soon and this was posted by me in another thread a few weeks ago. Will not add any unsettled bets to my running p/l figures.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Wednesday: Elite League Pairs 1pt E/W Peterborough won win - 10/1 with Stan James (1/3 odd for 1-2) On paper this is Poole and Kings Lynn's to fight out but i think Peterborough's pairing are in with a good shout too. The meeting has been decimated by injuries and the odd suspension but Kings Lynn (the home side) have kept their strongest pairing fit whilst the pair respresenting Poole are track specialists too. However, for a meeting like this i think both of these are too short to back outright. GP rider Nicki Pedersen and his team-mate Troy Batchelor are representing Peterborough and both of them are ex-Kings Lynn riders so will know plenty about how to ride the track. Neither rider has rode as many meetings in England this season as the rest of the field but their early season form has been very solid. Pedersen can beat any rider in the world on his day whilst Batchelor's track knowledge counts for a lot so should be up there with the best too. The top 2 from each group go through and i think they should follow Kings Lynn to the semi finals as, with the scoring being 4-3-2-0, i can't see them picking up as many last positions as Wolves, Swindon or Birmingham. Then, in the semi finals it is a 1 race shootout and whoever avoids the last position in that will get to the final. Should we get to the final we will be guaranteed a profit no matter what the outcome is in the one race decider. So, not a massive stake as i think the top 2 in the market are very strong but should Peterborough's pairing turn up on form i reckon they are in with a very good shout of taking the trophy back to the East of England Showground.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Wednesday: Elite League Pairs 1pt E/W Peterborough won win - 10/1 with Stan James (1/3 odd for 1-2) On paper this is Poole and Kings Lynn's to fight out but i think Peterborough's pairing are in with a good shout too. The meeting has been decimated by injuries and the odd suspension but Kings Lynn (the home side) have kept their strongest pairing fit whilst the pair respresenting Poole are track specialists too. However, for a meeting like this i think both of these are too short to back outright. GP rider Nicki Pedersen and his team-mate Troy Batchelor are representing Peterborough and both of them are ex-Kings Lynn riders so will know plenty about how to ride the track. Neither rider has rode as many meetings in England this season as the rest of the field but their early season form has been very solid. Pedersen can beat any rider in the world on his day whilst Batchelor's track knowledge counts for a lot so should be up there with the best too. The top 2 from each group go through and i think they should follow Kings Lynn to the semi finals as, with the scoring being 4-3-2-0, i can't see them picking up as many last positions as Wolves, Swindon or Birmingham. Then, in the semi finals it is a 1 race shootout and whoever avoids the last position in that will get to the final. Should we get to the final we will be guaranteed a profit no matter what the outcome is in the one race decider. So, not a massive stake as i think the top 2 in the market are very strong but should Peterborough's pairing turn up on form i reckon they are in with a very good shout of taking the trophy back to the East of England Showground.

Gone right into 9/2 this with Stan James, hope others got on at the bigger price! Was available at bigger than 10s earlier in the week infact but i wanted to make sure of pairings before getting involved. Just need them to do the business now.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Wednesday: Elite League Pairs 1pt E/W Peterborough won win - 10/1 with Stan James (1/3 odd for 1-2) On paper this is Poole and Kings Lynn's to fight out but i think Peterborough's pairing are in with a good shout too. The meeting has been decimated by injuries and the odd suspension but Kings Lynn (the home side) have kept their strongest pairing fit whilst the pair respresenting Poole are track specialists too. However, for a meeting like this i think both of these are too short to back outright. GP rider Nicki Pedersen and his team-mate Troy Batchelor are representing Peterborough and both of them are ex-Kings Lynn riders so will know plenty about how to ride the track. Neither rider has rode as many meetings in England this season as the rest of the field but their early season form has been very solid. Pedersen can beat any rider in the world on his day whilst Batchelor's track knowledge counts for a lot so should be up there with the best too. The top 2 from each group go through and i think they should follow Kings Lynn to the semi finals as, with the scoring being 4-3-2-0, i can't see them picking up as many last positions as Wolves, Swindon or Birmingham. Then, in the semi finals it is a 1 race shootout and whoever avoids the last position in that will get to the final. Should we get to the final we will be guaranteed a profit no matter what the outcome is in the one race decider. So, not a massive stake as i think the top 2 in the market are very strong but should Peterborough's pairing turn up on form i reckon they are in with a very good shout of taking the trophy back to the East of England Showground.

The word 'frustrated' doesn't even do my feelings justice here. P'Boro looked all set for the final until a collision involving Batchelor in the semi final results in the Aussie being excluded and therefore puts Belle Vue into the final. 50/50 decision gone against us to keep us out of guaranteed e/w place money and a chance of the win.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Saturday: European GP - Leszno 1pt E/W Jason Crump to win - 6/1 with William Hill (1/4 odds for 1-3) Getting an early one in here. This GP is pretty tough to predict due to a number of factors. Firstly, it is still early in the season so we don't know how up to speed some riders will be and secondly not everyone is racing in Britain so without seeing some live we have no concrete evidence as to how good/bad they are looking. Therefore, i will not be getting too involved. Every GP here (3 years) has been won by an Aussie, with 2 of those wins coming from Jason Crump and the other from the now retired Leigh Adams. That is a surprising stat in some ways because at any Polish track you would expect the Poles to dominate race after race due to their strength in depth. This is the reason why the home riders are priced so low for this Grand Prix and, arguably, it is justified. So, i expect the likes of Gollob and Hampel to be challenging for gold here whilst track record holder Kolodziej will also put in a good performance, no doubt. I will be going with Jason Crump as my only bet for this round. I can't see apart from the 4 mentioned having great claims (maybe Sayfutdinov) and the prices available for the other 12 don't represent great value. This multiple world champion is a bit of a track specialist. I have already mentioned that he has won GP's here but he has also done well in World Cup matches held at the stadium too. Infact, from 35 rides in GP's and World Cups at the track since 2008 he averages 9.14 for every 4 rides. That is an average any rider would be proud of.....anywhere. I think at 6/1 he is a touch overpriced and he represents the best option available for us when it comes to beating the Poles and coming out on top. He has been around long enough to know how to get himself in good form early on in the season so i can't see that being as big a problem as it may be for others. This will be e/w at a medium stake as i think he should reach the final but in a 1 race shootout on this track, if up against some Polish opposition, he could just as easily come 2nd or 3rd as he could come first.

[mfc1986]

Re: Speedway 2011 Thursday : Swindon v Poole 2pts Poole -4 4/5 bet365 Swindon have been poor so far this season losing recently at home against a weak Birmingham side , Poole are a lot stronger than Birmingham and in Holder , Ward and Watt have a strong back bone to the side would be a lot bigger bet if reserve Dennis Andersson was available as he has been flying . Stuart Robson is a decent replacement and should chip in along with Hefenbrock at reserve to bring the bet in

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Thursday: Peterborough vs Eastbourne 3pts Peterborough (-6 points) to beat Eastbourne - 5/6 with Bet365 I have been considering this one for a good while now and have decided to take the plunge. A fair price and a good line in my opinion. Peterborough were unlucky last night in the Pairs tournament not to be in the final and that shows that their top 2 are in good form. They looked quick in every heat so should go well again tonight. Last week at home they were pushed very close by Coventry but that was on a day when a couple of riders weren't at their best so here they will have hopefully sorted their gremlins out. Norbert Kosciuch is a strong reserve so should have a good meeting to back up a solid top 5. Eastbourne have been going well so far this year and that is in a big way thanks to having Lewis Bridger at reserve. Here though i don't see him having as big an impact as he may do against other sides. The previously mentioned Kosciuch should be a good match for him in their battles whilst Peterborough's top 5 is pretty strong all round so i would imagine there won't be many cheap points available. Also, he didn't have the greatest of times there when riding for the club. Rory Schlein, as i have mentioned before on here, is a gater.....simple as. If Pedersen and Batchelor are anywhere near their best, like last night, they should have the beating of him all night whilst there could be fireworks between the latter and Rory after last nights incident. Lahti may find himself out of his depth whilst Dryml is up and down here and Woodward and Gustafsson shouldn't be too much better than anything Peterborough have to offer in their top 5. Kylmakorpi has had the odd stormer at the track and he could be the biggest danger to this bet coming in. However, if he has a stinker round here like he has done before the line should be covered comfortably. A solid stake as i believe that Peterborough's strength in depth with prove the major difference. Not a 4 or 5 point bet because of the potential for Kylmakorpi to have a good one.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 No others from me for tonight, the rest of the markets look bang on in terms of prices and lines.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Sounds like Peterborough will do well to win the meeting, never mind cover the handicap. Track is in an awful condition judging by the live text updates.

[bookiebasher]

Re: Speedway 2011 I have faith in you Mirage...followed your tip and put it in with Porto...followed the meeting by text updates as well and yes it didnt look good to begin with..but they ran out comfortable winners in the end...another cracking tip Mirage and thanks the lot.:cheers

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Thursday: Peterborough vs Eastbourne 3pts Peterborough (-6 points) to beat Eastbourne - 5/6 with Bet365 I have been considering this one for a good while now and have decided to take the plunge. A fair price and a good line in my opinion. Peterborough were unlucky last night in the Pairs tournament not to be in the final and that shows that their top 2 are in good form. They looked quick in every heat so should go well again tonight. Last week at home they were pushed very close by Coventry but that was on a day when a couple of riders weren't at their best so here they will have hopefully sorted their gremlins out. Norbert Kosciuch is a strong reserve so should have a good meeting to back up a solid top 5. Eastbourne have been going well so far this year and that is in a big way thanks to having Lewis Bridger at reserve. Here though i don't see him having as big an impact as he may do against other sides. The previously mentioned Kosciuch should be a good match for him in their battles whilst Peterborough's top 5 is pretty strong all round so i would imagine there won't be many cheap points available. Also, he didn't have the greatest of times there when riding for the club. Rory Schlein, as i have mentioned before on here, is a gater.....simple as. If Pedersen and Batchelor are anywhere near their best, like last night, they should have the beating of him all night whilst there could be fireworks between the latter and Rory after last nights incident. Lahti may find himself out of his depth whilst Dryml is up and down here and Woodward and Gustafsson shouldn't be too much better than anything Peterborough have to offer in their top 5. Kylmakorpi has had the odd stormer at the track and he could be the biggest danger to this bet coming in. However, if he has a stinker round here like he has done before the line should be covered comfortably. A solid stake as i believe that Peterborough's strength in depth with prove the major difference. Not a 4 or 5 point bet because of the potential for Kylmakorpi to have a good one.

52-38 final score. Bet won thanks to a bit of track work and probably some stern words from P'Boro's management to some of their riders. Pedersen wasn't at his best which was surprising but then again Bridger was poor as predicted. +2.5 points on the night means +8.95 points for the season from the settled bets. Overall stats: Bets: 11 Won: 6 Staked: 27.50 points Returned: 36.45 points P/L: +8.95 points

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

I have faith in you Mirage...followed your tip and put it in with Porto...followed the meeting by text updates as well and yes it didnt look good to begin with..but they ran out comfortable winners in the end...another cracking tip Mirage and thanks the lot.:cheers

No problem, glad you got on! I suppose that Porto bet looked just as dodgy early on :$ I don't think i will have chance to post tomorrow so good luck if you go with anything :ok

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Poor stuff from Crump tonight. Hopefully we will fare better when everything has settled down.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Just the one tonight, not got much time to do a proper write-up.... Wednesday: Kings Lynn vs Eastbourne 2pts Joonas Kylmakorpi (+2pts) to score more than Niels-Kristian Iversen - 10/11 with >Bet365 A tentative selection this one but i think the line is a bit harsh on Kylmakorpi. Looking at his score a couple of weeks back in the Pairs meeting you would assume he doesn't go well at the track but looking a little closer it can be seen that he was beaten by the best riders on the night with both finalists (Poole and Belle Vue) in his group. He rode a couple of good races in the meeting to pick up a decent points tally with little help from his team mate. It will be a tough meeting for Eastbourne here, and there is no doubt that Iversen is a class act around his home track, but he can be a bit inconsistent too. Hopefully that will happen but even if not i still think Kylmakorpi has enough about him to keep within the handicap. His form so far this year has been a bit up and down but i think he could go well tonight when his team really needs him to.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Just the one tonight, not got much time to do a proper write-up.... Wednesday: Kings Lynn vs Eastbourne 2pts Joonas Kylmakorpi (+2pts) to score more than Niels-Kristian Iversen - 10/11 with >Bet365 A tentative selection this one but i think the line is a bit harsh on Kylmakorpi. Looking at his score a couple of weeks back in the Pairs meeting you would assume he doesn't go well at the track but looking a little closer it can be seen that he was beaten by the best riders on the night with both finalists (Poole and Belle Vue) in his group. He rode a couple of good races in the meeting to pick up a decent points tally with little help from his team mate. It will be a tough meeting for Eastbourne here, and there is no doubt that Iversen is a class act around his home track, but he can be a bit inconsistent too. Hopefully that will happen but even if not i still think Kylmakorpi has enough about him to keep within the handicap. His form so far this year has been a bit up and down but i think he could go well tonight when his team really needs him to.

Bet won. Iversen's inconsistency shows with 2 wins to start with then 2 last place's to finish. Kylmakorpi scored in every ride. +8.77 points for the season.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Friday: Coventry vs Wolverhampton 3pts Kenni Larsen to score more than Ty Proctor - Evens with >Bet365 Happy to go in with a solid stake on this line here and it would have been more if it wasn't for the fact that Proctor will pick up an extra ride due to Woffinden's absence. Both of these riders are second string's for their sides (riders at 2 and 4 in line up) and normally for those to score well they need solid support from the riders at 1, 3 and 5. Here, Larsen has that whilst Proctor's back-up looks weaker on paper. If going just on ability and machinery alone on a level track i would have 5 Coventry riders in a better position than Proctor whilst barring Lindgren i would say Larsen has the ability to beat all of the Wolves side. Larsen has been the most consistent so far and with this being his home track has that extra advantage where as with Ty he is a bit up and down and has not had the best of luck with machinery lately. With stronger back-up i think Larsen won't have too much pressure on him to perform and that will no doubt help him. Although Ty has the extra ride i don't think he is consistent enough to score big points on this track so hopefully Larsen will get his usual 7 or 8 and that will prove enough.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011

Friday: Coventry vs Wolverhampton 3pts Kenni Larsen to score more than Ty Proctor - Evens with >Bet365 Happy to go in with a solid stake on this line here and it would have been more if it wasn't for the fact that Proctor will pick up an extra ride due to Woffinden's absence. Both of these riders are second string's for their sides (riders at 2 and 4 in line up) and normally for those to score well they need solid support from the riders at 1, 3 and 5. Here, Larsen has that whilst Proctor's back-up looks weaker on paper. If going just on ability and machinery alone on a level track i would have 5 Coventry riders in a better position than Proctor whilst barring Lindgren i would say Larsen has the ability to beat all of the Wolves side. Larsen has been the most consistent so far and with this being his home track has that extra advantage where as with Ty he is a bit up and down and has not had the best of luck with machinery lately. With stronger back-up i think Larsen won't have too much pressure on him to perform and that will no doubt help him. Although Ty has the extra ride i don't think he is consistent enough to score big points on this track so hopefully Larsen will get his usual 7 or 8 and that will prove enough.

Hands help up here, poor tip. A couple of things on reflection i should have noticed. Back to +5.77 for the season.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Thursday: Birmingham vs Coventry 4pts Eddie Kennett (+2pts) to score more than Daniel Nermark - Evens with >Bet365 I honestly don't understand why Nermark has been favoured so heavily here against Kennett. Yes, Nermark has been in good form but with both riders likely to get 5 rides (maybe one extra for each too) they will have the same opportunity as each other to score well. If given a fair track and there was just these 2 having a 1-on-1 race i would put Kennett on top around 70% of the time and considering Birmingham's home advantage isn't too great i would give him a similar chance here of beating the Swede. Nermark has been quite consistent at home but in this Bee's side there are riders of similar ability (Fisher, Larsen) aswell as people like Harris and Kennett to deal with. He should pick up cheap points against the Bees reserves but i think he will find it tough against the rest. For Kennett this track shouldn't be too difficult to get to grips with as it is widely regarded s pretty fair. He can gate as well as anyone when on form and that has been proven so far this season whilst he is also more consistent than Nermark in my opinion. To be honest, this bet is more about the price/line than looking too closely at recent form. Both have done well this season and if it was me pricing this up i would have had Kennett +1 at 10/11. If the Bees had Auty at reserve i would have made this a 5 pointer as he would have given Nermark even more trouble than he will be getting when he is not there. So, great value i think. Get stuck in.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Thursday: Swindon vs Wolves 2pts Nicolai Klindt (+3pts) to score more than Peter Karlsson - Evens with >Bet365 This is another where i think the line is a bit high. Lately, Wolves have been a 1 man side on the road with Freddie Lindgren the only one to provide big scores on a consistent basis and i can see him getting into the high teens again tonight. The rest of the side haven't been providing the back-up required regularly enough. A few may look at this and wonder why i am daring to oppose PK but i have no problems in doing so. He is still a class act and when on form will score 10+ with ease but he is not the force he used to be and i think that could show again here. With no Woffinden the pressure is on him to score big but with 4 'weak' links behind himself and Freddie it is hard to do anything away from home. At home PK will do that as he knows Monmore better than anyone but without that advantage i think he is there for the taking when -3 against alot of solid riders in this league. With the likes of Nicholls and Monberg up against him he will have to work hard for his points. Klindt is a solid rider at Swindon. Since coming in he has scored, on average, 6.5 points from 4 rides so considering he will get a minimum of 5 tonight we should be looking at a healthy return from him in this meeting. He will pick up cheap points against Kurtz whilst he should be beating the likes of Ludvig Lindgren, Wells and Proctor on his home track. Also, consdering he has been a part of the Wolves set-up recently he will no doubt want to prove himself against his former side. If Klindt scores like he has done so far this season he should be covering this line easily enough. His side's home form has picked up recently so there will be a good level of confidence around the pits and that will no doubt help against a side who will be turning up only hoping to get anything from the meeting. EDIT: Just to add; The stake isn't too big because it is PK we are opposing here and despite his ordinary away form so far this season he has ridden this track enough times before to be able to bring out a big performance.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Kennett comfortably covered the line and would have done so off scratch whilst Karlsson got 14 to Klindt's 10 but 3 of those were off a tactical ride so are taken off for bet settling purposes. +6 points for the night to bring us up to +11.77 points for the season.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Saturday: Sweden GP - Gothenburg 1pt E/W Freddie Lindgren to win - 20/1 with Paddy Power (1/4 odd for 1,2,3) My first involvement will be with one of the home riders in round 2 of this years series. I think having as much experience as possible of the new silencers is a big advantage in these early GP rounds and Freddie Lindgren has plenty of it. Racing in Britain means that he has had lots of rides using the new equipment and he comes up against some here who won't be as comfortable on them as he is. He has made a storming start to the league season and if he carries on in the same form he will end up on top of the points scoring charts come October. On Saturday he will have the backing of a big home crowd at a track he has done well on in the last few years. Admittedly, last year he had a bit of a stinker but in 2009 he got to the semi finals before suffering some bad luck and in 2008 he finished 2nd in the final. For me, this is one of the more boring GP's and is one that requires good gating. Lindgren is red hot in that department and is about as consistent as anyone else in the world at the moment when it comes to racking up the points. He lacks that extra something to take him from being a solid top 8 rider to be challenging consistently for the GP rounds but his form is good enough to put him in contention here. He did well in the first round by getting to the semi finals again befoe losing out so that proves he will be in the mix for the majority of his outings. I think this is good value considering his league form, good start in round 1, home backing and gating ability so i am more than happy to get stuck in. Hopefully he will find that bit extra which will take him from the semi's into the final. May be back with some more before start time on Saturday evening.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Saturday: Sweden GP - Gothenburg 3/5pts K. Bjerre to beat A. Jonsson (Rider Match-Up) - 8/11 with Bet365 I'm very keen on this bet and i think if it wasn't for the fact that this is Jonsson's home GP the price would be even shorter on Bjerre - maybe 8/13 on a neutral track. Bjerre has been in good form so far this season for Kings Lynn and has plenty of experience with the new silencer's. He won here last year so should act on the track if it is set-up in a similar way and, like i said for the outright bet, gating will be key round this place and that will suit Bjerre down to the ground. That 2010 performance was no fluke as in 2009 he got to the semi finals. As i said, he has made a good start in the league and in round 1 of this series he carried that form on. The Dane got to the semi's, only to lose out to the eventual winner and runner-up from the final so that was no disgrace. Now, onto Jonsson. This is a bloke who has bundles of talent and is a joy to watch because of his stylish technique. However, he has never made as much use of that talent as he should have and over the last couple of years has been inconsistent and hasn't shown enough consistency to challenge the big boys regularly enough. He will be fired up tomorrow, there is no doubt about that, and has an ok record here but his start in the last round was pretty poor and i think Bjerre is better in the gating department and is definitely a rider on the up with a load of confidence. Both of these riders should, on paper, go well here tomorrow and that is the reason my stake isn't massive but Bjerre is a rider improving in this class whilst Jonsson is slowly on the decline in my view. Bjerre's gating ability will be key and if on form should have enough about him to cover this bet like you would expect a 1/2 shot would.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Wasn't going to have anymore but i saw this and had to get involved..... Saturday: Swedish GP - Gothenburg 3pts R. Holta to score over 7 points - 21/20 with Bet365 Rune Holta is one of the most improved riders in world speedway in my book. Over the last 2 or 3 years he has become a solid top 8 rider with his last 4 final series positions being 4th last year, 7th 2009 and 8th in both 2008 and 2007. Those are major improvements consider the performances he gave in the early part of this millenium. He started off this year in good form again, scoring 9 points from his 5 heat rides before finishing last in his semi final. So, if repeating that here in Sweden he will cover this line comfortably. For me, that should happen and maybe he will improve on that further. I feel that way because over the last 3 years he has produced a couple of fine performances. Last year he wasn't at his best and never made it past his 5 initial rides as he only scored 6. Now, we are saying that it was poor because by his standards he should be scoring around 8 points everywhere he goes. In 2009 he scored 10 points from his 5 rides but failed to make the final whilst in 2008 he won the round. So, the past form is there and if the track is anything like it has been the last few seasons he should go well again. If asked to price up this line i would have had it at 4/5 so to find it any bigger, espescially odds against, is massive value to me. Get stuck in and hopefully Rune will do the business for us.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 That's my lot for tonight. A total of 8 points staked and hopefully a lot more in return. Good luck all.

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 Well, that was a farce. Heavy rain ruined the meeting and it was abandoned towards the end of the heats. A few big crashes and one involved Crump who seems to have broken a bone so that is bad news for our outright. The points at the time the meeting was abandoned stood so the bets were settled as losers as a result was announced. Our other outright, Holder, had a good night so that is a small positive. Apart from that, a shocker all round.....

[Mirage]

Re: Speedway 2011 I looked at my Bet365 account this morning and they have voided the match-up and under/over bet so therefore we only lost on the Lindgren E/W selection.