blackcrow Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Notre Dame +3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Florida St +3 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Nice double play :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Northwestern - Texas Tech over 62.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Two poor defences here. Northwestern allows an average of 231 passing yards (ranked 80th) and 185 rushing yards per game (ranked 80th). Texas Tech average 315 passing yards per game (ranked 8th) so they can take advantage of this secondary. As for TT's defence, they allow 306 passing yards per game (ranked 113th) and 157 rushing yards per game (ranked 57th). Should be good conditions for both teams to score points Alabama -9.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle With Alabama passing the ball for 260 yards per game (ranked 27th) and running for 175 yards per game (ranked 33rd), their balanced offence should do well here, as Michigan State allows 216 passing yards (ranked 54th) and 122 rushing yards (ranked 20th). While Michigan State also has a balanced offence as they pass for 238 passing yards per game (ranked 44th) and 169 passing yards per game (ranked 41st), they are facing a very good offence that allows 173 passing yards (ranked 11th) and 123 rushing yards (ranked 22nd). They have 21 INTs as well as 22 sacks, and like them to contain the Spartans offence Bowl record: 9-17 (-5.03) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 1, 2011 Author Share Posted January 1, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Northwestern - Texas Tech over 62.5 @ 1.99 Alabama -9.5 @ 2.01 Wisconsin -2.5 @ 2.57 centrebet Wisconsin finished off the season with some massive wins as their big offensive line allowed them to run through the opposition. They averaged 247 rushing yards per game (ranked 12th) while also passing for 203 yards per game (ranekd 72nd). They are up against the best defence in the nation as TCU allows just 89 rushing yards per game (ranked 3rd) and 126 passing yards per game (ranked 1st). However they have not played the teams of the calibre that Wisconsin played and like White, Clay and Ball pounded the ground to get 800+ and 13+ TDs each for the season. TCU passes for 250 yards per season (ranked 52nd) and runs for 261 yards per season (ranked 7th) and while the defensive figures are not as good as TCU's defence, Wisconsin do allow 192 passing yards per game (ranked 23rd) and 132 passing yards per game (ranked 33rd), so this defence can step up and complement the offence. Belive playing a much tougher schedule will see Wisconsin more battle hardened and win this game. Bowl record: 9-17 (-5.03) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 1, 2011 Share Posted January 1, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games The Florida win feels good, ******* 80 yard INT with less then a minute to go for the win. Maybe 2011 will be a good year, go wisconsin! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Northwestern - Texas Tech over 62.5 @ 1.99 :D Alabama -9.5 @ 2.01 :D Wisconsin -2.5 @ 2.57 :@ Great game between two very good sides. Missed FG and 2 point conversion the difference between winning and losing this pick Well done once again AG :clap Bowl record: 11-18 (-4.03) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games thanks BC. Got lucky with the Florida win, might have gotten lucky with the Wisconsin win too. The Michigan game was me throwing away money and the end of Rich Rod's career in Michigan too. BC - The Wisconsin/TCU game was the first game the entire bowl season were I didnt have the urge to end my pain and turn the channel, great game. I think Wisconsin severely ****** up a few times, especially at the end of the 1H. If that team werent all leaving next year, I would say they would be national title contenders Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 3, 2011 Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games College Football 2010-2011 Overall 43W-32L-2P +6.90 units (57.33%) Last Week 5-4 Tough start to the bowl season with the early part of the week, but a nice turn on the weekend actually put up a tiny bit. Stanford -3 (-125) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes The most obvious play for me...Tyrod Taylor having a spectacular year by the numbers, and he can do some damage with his speed on the ground. But he still makes some terrible passes. I think it'll be close in the 1H..V. Tech will have trouble matching scores with this team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Stanford -6.5 @ 2.41 centrebet Stanford's offence averages 40 points per game based on the QB Luck who is projected to go number 1 in the NFL draft. Should be quite a few scouts in the crowd to see him play, and he will be looking to impress them one more time. He has completed a high percentage of passes (70%) for 3,051 yards with 28 TDs, and just 7 INTs as they average 256 passing yards per game (ranked 28th). He can also run the ball as he has 438 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs. Balancing this offence is tailback Taylor who averages nearly 5 yards per carry to get 15 rushing TDs, and with a very good offensive line, these two should have a good game. Stanford averages 211 rushing yards per game (ranked 17th) and they will test this Virginia Tech defence that allows 19 points per game, and while they allow 149 rushing yards per game (ranked 55th), it is based on nearly 5 yards per carry. Also they allow 199 passing yards per game (ranked 33rd) with 22 INTs and 33 sacks. A concern for their very good defence is that, even though they beat Florida State 44-33 to win the ACC, they did allow 33 points as well as 288 passing yards, and with a player like Luck on the other side, he can do some damage on this secondary. Virginia Tech averages 36 points per game, and they too have a balanced offence that passes for 202 yards per game (ranked 72nd) and runs for 209 yards per game (ranked 18th). QB Taylor has completed 61% of his passes for 2,521 yards with 23 TDs and just 4 INTs while also rushing for 637 rushing yards and 5 more TDs. They are up against a Stanford defence that allows 18 points per game, allowing 200 passing yards (ranked 34th) and 126 rushing yards (ranked 26th). Also they have forced 29 turnovers and made 28 sacks, so they are getting the job done on this side of the ball as well. They have not allowed more than 17 points in their last 5 games, so they will look to do the same here against this good offence. Looking at the stats, Stanford have the edge on both sides of the ball. They have had a stronger schedule of games as well, and like them to do enough to win this game. Bowl record: 11-18 (-4.03) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games reffing has hit an all time low this bowl season IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Stanford -6.5 @ 2.41 :D Great second half by Stanford. Luck will probably end up at Carolina next year Bowl record: 12-18 (-2.62) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 4, 2011 Share Posted January 4, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Arkansas +135 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes I think that OSU might have some distractions and that should surely affect the players. Arkansas is in the SEC so they see constant speed defenses and I think they will expose OSU. OSU hasn't see anything near the type of offense Mallett can put up. I think Arkansas might win this one easily... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 4, 2011 Author Share Posted January 4, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Arkansas -2.5 @ 2.57 centrebet Arkansas averages 338 passing yards per game (ranked 4th) as QB Mallett has 3592 yards and 30 TDs while they run for 151 yards per game (ranked 5th) with Davis rushing for 1,183 yards and 13 TDs, on 6.6 yards per carry. They are up against a very good Ohio State defence that allows just 13 points per game as they do well to stop the pass (156 yards per game - ranked 6th) and the run (94 yards per game - ranked 3rd) Ohio State's QB Pryor leads a balanced offence as has completed 66% of his passes for 2,551 yards and 25 TDs, averaging 229 passing yards per game (ranked 59th) while they run for 220 rushing yards per game (ranked 14th) as Herron has run for 1,068 yards and 15 TDs on 5.6 yards per carry. Pryor too has run the ball well with 639 yards and 4 TDs. Arkansas' defense showed allowed 23 points per game as they allowed 182 passing yards (ranked 18th) and 157 rushing yards (ranked 64th) but they have 37 sacks and 25 takeaways so the defence, especially the secondary can make the big plays. Like this very good Arkansas secondary to stop Pryor' passing game and force them to run it, but they have enough quality there to stop the run too as they have already faced the likes of Auburn's Newton Both defences are very good with Ohio State especially playing well, but they do tend to play below their capabilities when on the road as they do not dominate like that at home. Like Arkansas as they do have an NFL grade QB in Mallett, and like Luck yesterday, will be looking to impress the NFL scouts one more time Bowl record: 12-18 (-2.62) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games interesting game that was...some terrible calls in that game as well but most of them went Arkansas's fault. Have to wonder if the Arkansas WR's dont drop like 10 balls if they win. Have to also wonder if the Arkansas special teams don't fall on the ball and just scoop it up and score...Oh well... Texas A and M +1.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Will be my second to last NCAAF bet this year. When it comes back to it, LSU has no consistent QB. Texas A and M finished really strong at the end of the season. Go aggies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Arkansas -2.5 @ 2.57 :@ Started off slow and came back, but not enough in the end - just too many dropped passes Miami (Ohio) -2.5 @ 2.31 @ centrebet Some concern how Miami approaches this game as they have lost their head coach. However they finished off the season really well as they upset Northern Illinois for the MAC title, with a very good defensive effort that stopped their key players. QB Boucher has been very good for Miami (Ohio) in their last few games, as he threw for 330 yards and a TD against NI. They average 21 points per game on 250 passing yards per game and 97 rushing yards per game, but in the last 3 games they have scored 70 points. Defensively, Middle Tennessee allow 28 points per game on 194 rushing yards per game and 191 passing yards per game, and they have lost the turnover battle this year, as they were +12 last year and are -16 this year. Middle Tennessee's QB Dasher was suspended for the first 4 game, but cam back to throw for 1,388 yards and 6 TDs but had 14 INTs for the season. He can also run the ball, with 453 rushing yards and 7 TDs there. They average 27 points per game on 194 passing yards per game and 179 rushing yards per game. Miami did well to beat Northern Illinois as they allowed just 54 yards to their RB Spann and like them to continue their solid defensive game here. Their defence has improved as they went from -24 in turnovers last year to +6 this year, which is a big difference when the defence can make plays like that. Like Miami to do well defending the run which is the strength of Middle Tenessee while they continue their own good form late in the season with a mix of passing and running to open up the MT defence. Bowl record: 12-19 (-3.62) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Miami (Ohio) -2.5 @ 2.31 :D Bowl record: 13-19 (-2.31) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Texas A&M -2.5 @ 2.37 centrebet Texas A&M -9.5 @ 4.20 centrebet Texas A&M offence average 32 points per game as they pass for 282 yards per game (ranked 18th) and run for 166 yards per game (ranked 45th). They have 44 TDs with 25 passing and 19 running the ball in, so they do tend to focus on airing the ball. QB Tannehill has won all of his 6 starts as he has completed 65% of his throws for 1,434 yards and 11 TDs and just 3 INTs, while RB Gray has ran for 1,033 yards with 12 TDs in 6 starts. On defence, LSU allows 18 points on 166 passing yards (very good - ranked 9th) and 136 passing yards (ranked 39th - good) as they have allowed just 27 TDs this season (12 passing, 15 rushing) while alloing just 3.6 yards per carry. They have 28 takeways, 16 INTs and 12 fumble recoveries, as well as 32 sacks, so the defence is getting it done for them. LSU is averaging 29 points on offence as they have 155 passing yards per game (ranked 104th - bad!) and 177 rushing yards per game (ranked 31st - good). They tend to run the ball much more than pass it, as 27 of their 34 TDs have come on the ground. RB Ridley has ran for 1,043 yards and 14 TDs on 4.6 yards per carry while QB Jefferson also can run the ball, as he has 383 yards and 6 TDs, but he struggles to complete his passes, completing just 57%, having thrown for 1,253 yards and 4 TDs but with 9 INTs. Texas A&M allow 20 points per game on 241 passing yards (ranked 87th - poor) and 117 rushing yards per game (ranked 15th - very good). TAM have a much more balanced offence, but LSU has the defence to negate that. LSU likes to run the ball but TAM has a good defence there. Where they can be exposed is the via the pass, but LSU's QB Jefferson has been poor. Been flip-flopping this game, and going with TAM, as LSU has just one senior starter on the offensive line and believe that TAM with von Miller, will dominate here, allowing them to get to Jefferson and create turnovers. Also if TAM stops LSU's run game, then cannot see Jefferson being accurate enough to get his side moving forward. Bowl record: 13-19 (-2.31) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 7, 2011 Author Share Posted January 7, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games AG: How are your Panthers looking tomorrow with Kentucky's QB Hartline out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games AG: How are your Panthers looking tomorrow with Kentucky's QB Hartline out? should win, but they will play conservatively. To be honest I wont even watch that game. Season so disappointing and such a mess that the next game I will watch will be Sep 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Texas A&M -2.5 @ 2.37 :@ Texas A&M -9.5 @ 4.20 :@ Looked good early on taking a 10 point lead and then imploded with turnovers to allow Jefferson :loon to win the game for LSU Bowl record: 13-21 (-4.31) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Pittsburgh -6.5 @ 2.35 centrebet Pittsburg averages 26 points per game on 210 passing yards (ranked 67th) and 158 rushing yards per game (ranked 55th). QB Sunseri has completed 65% of his passes for 2,476 yards with 15 TDs and 8 INTs. RB Lewis has ran for 956 yards (4.9 yards per carry) and 13 TDs as well as RB Graham has run for 832 yards and 8 TDs (6.4 yards per carry). Defensively, Kentucky allows 29 points per game as they allow 184 passing yards (ranked 19th) and 170 rushing yards per game (ranked 76th), so lile Lewis and Graham to run on this defence. Kentucky have lost their QB Hartline for this game, as back up Newton will play while Cobb can also play there. Though Kentucky average 33 points per game on 274 passing yards per game, this was based on Hartline playing, so his absence is a big loss for Kentucky. They also run for 163 rushing yards per game (ranked 47th) with Locke running for 816 yards and 10 TDs, so expect him to get plenty of work, but will be pretty hard to breach this defence. Pittsburg has a good defence that allows 20 points per game on 183 passing yards per game (ranked 18th) and 121 rushing yards per game (ranked 18th) with DE Sheard their key player. They allow just 3.5 rushing yards per carry and have 30 sacks as well. Bowl record: 13-21 (-4.31) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Pittsburgh -6.5 @ 2.35 :D Bowl record: 14-21 (-2.96) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 9, 2011 Author Share Posted January 9, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Nevada -13.5 @ 2.85 centrebet Nevada's offence is well balanced as they have QB Kaepernick who leads a passing offence that averages 230 yards per game (ranked 52nd) and he, as well as Taua combine to rush for 306 yards per game (ranked 3rd). They have already faced a vrey good defence in Boise State, where they came from behind to win 34-31, passing for 259 yards and running for another 269 yards. Even though Boston College 80 rushing yards per game (ranked 1st), they do allow 230 passing yards per game (ranked 75th) and while Nevada will pound the ball on the ground to soften up this defence, Kaepernick can move the ball through the air. Boston College struggles to move the ball when they have it as they have an average of 175 passing yards (ranked 91st) and 133 rushing yards per game (ranked 85th). Take away their easy wins over two ordinary sides, they have averaged 16 points per game in their following 10 games, and have only scored 20+ points in 3 of these games. On defence, Nevada allow 253 passing yards per game (ranked 101st) while they allow 125 rushing yards per game (ranked 22nd). They allowed 348 passing yards to Boise State, but just 145 rushing yards, but with BC struggling to move the ball, doubt that they can expose this secondary. Bowl record: 14-21 (-2.96) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 10, 2011 Share Posted January 10, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games College Football 2010-2011 Overall 44W-34L-2P +5.80 units (56.41%) Oregon -2.5 (+138) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes Hopefully I'm not getting too greedy here with the -2.5 but I think Oregon wins this game and wins it easily. They have a much better defense. If Cam Newton has a bad game this whole Auburn teams comes crashing down IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Nevada -13.5 @ 2.85 :@ Nevada wins 20-13 with BC getting 10 points on turnovers but with just 183 yards of offence. Bowl record: 14-22 (-3.96) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 10, 2011 Author Share Posted January 10, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Auburn - Oregon under 65.5 @ 2.70 bet365 Auburn -2.5 @ 2.10 centrebet Auburn averages 43 points per season, with 211 passing yards (ranked 67th) and 287 rushing yards per game (ranked 5th). The star of their offence is their QB and Heismann Trophy winner Newton who has thrown for 2,589 yards and 28 TDs while also running for 1,409 yards and 20 TDs. On defence, Oregon allows 214 passing yards (ranked 49th) and 118 rushing yards per game (rankerd 15th). Also they have 35 turnovers and 31 sacks for the season. Oregon leads the nation in scoring with 49 points per game, with 234 passing yards per game (ranked ) and 304 rushing yards per game (ranked 4th) with James running for 1,682 yards and 21 TDs for the season. QB Thomas has passed for 2,518 yards, and 28 TDs while also running for 492 yards and 5 TDs. The offensive line has done the job for these as they have allowed just 8 sacks on the season. Auburn's defence is giving up 25 points per game as they allow 251 passing yards per game (ranked 100th) and 112 rushing yards per game (ranked 10th). They have done well in rushing the QB as they have 33 sacks on the season. Auburn has had the tougher schedule, playing the likes of Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas and LSU, while Oregon have had just one comparable game with Stanford, which they eventually won 52-31 after being down 21-3. The fact that Auburn was able to go on the road and beat Alabama and South Carolina speaks much more highly than Oregon's home win over Stanford, and lean on Auburn to win, but prefer the under as a pick. Much of this game is being built up on the running abilities of these teams, and that this total should hit 3 figures, but both teams are blessed with plenty of speed, and each rush defence is ranked in the top 20. Should be a great game that features two of the best rushing teams in the country but since they focus on running the ball, they will be looking at setting up the run game, before going to the air. Otherwise if they try passing too early, then both defences are capable of making INTs. Both sets of coaches know that field position is important, and that each defence will need plenty of rest to be able to deal with the speed and skill of the opposing runners, so by relying on the ground game, and hopefully wearing down the opposition defensive lines, you are also giving your defence time to catch a breather. Believe that this line is way over that what is should be as it reflects the ability of the respective offences, and does not take into account both sets of defences which are pretty good, and have had over a month to prepare for this game. Bowl record: 14-22 (-3.96) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games Auburn - Oregon under 65.5 @ 2.70 :D Auburn -2.5 @ 2.10 :D Game became a defensive battle as predicted. What drama in the end. Unlucky AG, it could have went either way There ends another year of college football :cheers Bowl record: 16-22 (-1.16) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games College Football 2010-2011 Overall 44W-35L-2P +4.80 units (55.69%) A season in the plus, I will take it. Can never seem to win the championship game. Good call blackcrow on all fronts. Nice season as well :shake: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted January 11, 2011 Author Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games College Football 2010-2011 Overall 44W-35L-2P +4.80 units (55.69%) A season in the plus, I will take it. Can never seem to win the championship game. Good call blackcrow on all fronts. Nice season as well :shake: Always good to be in the positive. Well done to you as well :cheers :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted January 11, 2011 Share Posted January 11, 2011 Re: NCAAF: Bowl Games That Dyer 35 yard run or whatever it is. I could be mad about that, but the fact is Auburn would have still driven down the field and gotten a FG. So not that bitter about that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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