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Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010

kevshat

By kevshat
in Darts Predictions

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Spooner

Spooner

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 One for me this evening. R.Thornton v W.Jones - 5pts Over 16.5 Legs @ 4/5 Bwin This one's priced up as a close encounter with bookmakers not being able to split them and I feel we'll get an exciting match to kick off the knockout stages. Thornton won his matches more impressively than Jones but I believe these players are quite equal and remember this format is now the best of 19 so even if you do slip a few legs behind its not over, more room for errors which relaxes everyone. For this bet to come in, we need both players to take 7 legs or more, which I think is more than possible. I really don't see this being a one sided game at all so this look the way forward. Not many bookmakers pricing this one up, don't really like betting with bwin after the bad press on the net about them so any 4/5 elsewhere then get it but I can't see it.

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kevshat

kevshat

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Belting night of arrers on the cards tonight. Looked forward to it all day. 3 for me to go along with cheering Jenkins on as the outright. 3pts C.Osborne to beat G.Anderson 13/8 Sportingbet Having finally been refunded by sportingbet I'll take advantage of their last leg loss refund offer again here although hopefully this time we'll be paid out in full. Osborne's had a real dry spell since winning the Championship League last year but he's played well this week and I think he's decent value tonight. Gary Anderson can be absolutely anything but one thing we know he will be is dodgy on the doubles. It's written in his make up. So I think Osborne will get chances tonight. This is a good night to take Anderson on I think. He seems to struggle when he's a favourite against a player who clings on and who he can't get away from. Think back 12 months and he played a similar player in this round in Scott Waites. He led 9-7 but because he couldn't get rid of him Waites was about to come through and win. Osborne has averaged 99.5 and 101 in his last two matches and while I'm sure Anderson wasn't bothered about the Webster game he did play like a cnut. This should be a close game but with Osborne scoring heavy this week and being slightly the more reliable I'm happy to take him in this 3rd last 16 clash. 3pts M.King to beat J.Wade 7/4 Sportingbet 5pts Over 16.5 legs 8/11 Blue Square Mervyn King might have a point to prove tonight. He acted like a complete cnut after his last match and I believe he's airing an apology before his game tonight so what better way to get people back on side than a good performance here. Other than Taylor I don't think King's a 7/4 shot against anyone really despite his poor form coming in here this week. He hasn't looked bad this week for sure. James Wade has done his usual slow start but did enough when it counted early on in the tournament routine but he hasn't got a good record here. However he's never won a match outside of the groups in this tournament's history so he might have that demon in his head. King will feast on any chances he's given and the way he's been checking out this week I think this will be pretty close throughout. Both score well and checkout well so not much will be given but when all is said and done I think King will just edge this one maybe 10-8 or even 10-9.

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Cramer

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Sport Darts Event Osborne v Anderson Selection Osborne Strength 10/10 Date 18/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.66 Reasoning I like the look of Osborne this tournament. He really looks up for it and is playing very well. He hasn't done much on TV for a while, which could make him under valued and I like this price. Anderson is always a hard one to judge. Can score brilliantly, always iffy on doubles and mentally not sure about him. Think this looks a really tough game and Osborne price is reasonable. Sport Darts Event Wade v King Selection Lay King (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 18/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 2.88 Reasoning I like Wade in the last game. Struggled early on but come through the pressure last game and that stand him in good stead for the knockout rounds. He's a class player and I think is a solid fav here. King had a bad time in the last game and behaved very badly. Apparently he'll apologise but the crowd will still get on him and the atmosphere should be great. He's not playing too well though, and think it could get to him more than fire him up tonight.

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RussP

RussP

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Just one for me. M.King most 180's v J.Wade, 3pts @ 6/4 BlueSq As Kev says, King has something to prove tonight after his last match but what better way than to put on a cracking show with The Machine. Should be a cracker and a close encounter, one I really can't pick. However, I'm happy to take Mervyn on the maximums at odds against. He's played pretty well this week and has actually outscored Wade 6-1 in the 180 stakes. That stat alone makes this a price worth getting involved at.

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Cramer

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Bad day today, even if Wade gets up. Sport Darts Event Lloyd v Stompe Selection Stompe Strength 10/10 Date 19/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Stan James @ 2.20 Reasoning Stand out price and I'll take it on what looks a very even game. Stompe was excellent coming back against Phillips and hit some very nice checkouts. He was bubbling after the game and should bring a lot of momentum into this. Lloyd has been better than I expected too, he's playing really solid and looking good. This looks a really close game, so I'll take the odds against. Sport Darts Event Hankey v Beaton Selection Hankey Strength 10/10 Date 19/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 1.66 Reasoning Another stand out price, this time from bet365 which doesn't happen often so I'll take it. Hankey got a win over van Gerwan in a tough game being the one after his Taylor win, and that was impressive. Now into the knock out stages think he'll coming out firing and want to set up another Taylor meeting. He still seems really fluid to me and should come up good here. Beaton has been better than I expected, but honestly I think his opponents have played averagely against him. Hankey too strong here. You don't belong here! Be on your way! Sport Darts Event van Barneveld v Waites Selection Waites Strength 10/10 Date 19/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.27 Reasoning Pure form from Waites, he's playing great scoring and finishing at the top of his game. Have to back him here, purely because he's playing so well. Barney seems to have had it easy so far, Fitton was dreadful against him. He hasn't shown much form, of course still in the tournament and dangerous, but I'll take Waites at odds against. Sport Darts Event Taylor v Baxter Selection Taylor - 4 legs Strength 10/10 Date 19/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.95 Reasoning Pinnacle line seems out of line, best at UK bookies -5.5 @ 2.20 so I'd expect -4 (so push if 10-6) to be more like 1.75. Good line, and I expect Taylor to be a comfortable winner. Don't see Baxter as dangerous, he's playing pretty well but has been one of Taylors whipping boys for years. Now the glasses are off and Taylor is though the group, expecting to step up a level and put in a really good performance.

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sneej

sneej

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 sighhh....had 4pts on king at 2/1 and 1pt on 10-9 and 10-8 king.... Just sums up the night really:puke Think thats it this week for me now guys, becoming quite unpredictable in the latter stages - was oh so sure O'shea would have Jenks today but surprises do happen and thats why we love the game. I'll be back around for the world champs - good luck with the rest of the tournament everyone

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pakelly

pakelly

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010

2 bets for me on the last game of the evening: 5pts James Wade highest checkout over 107.50 @ 5/6 Paddy Power 5 pts Mervyn King highest checkout over 103.50 @ 5/6 Paddy Power I'm pretty confident on these bets. King has played really well this week and has beaten this line 2/3 times with the only failure against Stacy Bromberg in a game he was never pushed. Wade has also beaten this line 2/3 times with the only failure in an awful performance against Tony O'Shea. The longer format now will really suit both these players and i expect a tight game with atleast 17 legs giving plenty of chances for both players to beat these lines. Paddy Power have the highest checkout of the match at 121.50 which i believe will be achieved as well but at 8/11 i won't be betting on it as i've taken the 2 above. Good luck all :hope PS Some great tipping on this event thus far. Top stuff guys :clap
Loss of 0.83pts :(
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kroni

kroni

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Waites looks a great bet against Barney at 5/4 corals hes been brilliant so far in the tournement, his tournement average is higher than barney, he's scored more 180s 140+s and 100+s and has had numerous big checkouts. Barney hasn't looked anything special so far but i suppose he's fav because its barney. i thought Waites would be favourite here so 5/4 looks a great price.

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Spooner

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 3pts S.Waites to beat R.Van Barneveld @ 6/5 Skybet Not so sure this is a great price on Waites but I fancy him to give Barney a real game here, the bookies probably have this about right pricewise. Scott was on fire through the group stages especially against Phillips. Barney beat Fitton with ease but Fitton never really turned up, this is Barney's first test and Waites on form so I feel the odds against about a Waites victory is the way forward.

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pakelly

pakelly

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 2 more bets for me tonight: 10pts Scott Waites highest checkout over 108.50 @ 5/6 Paddy Power I was contemplating taking the over 122.50 @ 4/5 but felt that waites would be on his own trying to achieve it as barney has been shocking. I don't think i need to say too much about this bet as waites' checkouts of 161,137,136 & 127 this week says it all. 5pts Stompe/Lloyd highest checkout in match over 121.50 @ 4/5 Paddy Power Jaws is playing really well this week and has taken out a 170 already. Stompe lost a tight game against scott waites in his first match but showed great bottle to win his next two and in the process took out checkouts of 132 & 148. I think this will be a tight game so plenty of legs available to beat this line. Good luck all :hope

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kevshat

kevshat

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 2 for me tonight. 3pts C.Stompe to beat C.Lloyd 11/10 Stan James I like Co Stompe tonight. We're getting to the stage of a tournament where these two go in opposite directions. Stompe gets stronger now he can relax and not be anxious about a fast start while Colin Lloyd gets a nose bleed and tends to pressurise himself into losing. You've got to hand it to Co. He was out of this thing when he was 4-1 down to Phillips but he pulled out a couple of corking finishes to keep himself alive. The 104 in the decider was fantastic and we all saw how much it meant to him. Jaws has been solid enough so far but there will come a time when he starts going AWOL on his doubles given the pressure which ultimately always seems to get to him. On averages this week there isn't much between the two but personally I just feel Stompe is slightly the heavier scorer and certainly more reliable when the pressure cooker is at it's most intense. Therefore with not much to choose between the two I'm happy to play the Dutchman at odds against tonight. 5pts T.Hankey (-1.5 legs) to beat S.Beaton Evs Betfred I've always had Ted Hankey on my side this week and I'm in no rush to desert The Count now. I've been really impressed with Ted this week and I'd be saying that regardless of the result with Taylor. He's scored really well and the doubles are going in nicely and he just looks relaxed and confident. In fact it's the best I've seen him look since Baxter walked into the 170 at the Lakeside in 2000. Stevie Beaton has rolled back the years this week too. He's always a cracker to watch with his easy style but equally I always feel a shocker isn't too far away either. Last year Beaton qualified for this stage and looked good along the way and was then terrible against Whitlock who was far from the Whitlock we saw at the world championships. Whitlock won that 10-1. Now I don't expect Ted to win this 10-1 but I do think his very heavy scoring capabilities will be too much for Beaton. When the pressure is on Beaton's scoring can disappear as can his doubling. Getting evs on the -1.5 is nice because it's only 1 break of throw regardless of who throws 1st so I'm happy to be on the 2-time BDO champ here.

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RussP

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 T.Hankey, over 4.5 180's, 4pts @ Evs Skybet I'm on Ted here for the maximums bet. We need 5 to bring this home and I'm confident he'll do it, having hit 2, 4 and 2 in his 3 matches to date. This longer format suits the players better, allows them to relax, and a relaxed Ted Hankey is a very heavy scorer. With double the legs to play, he'll have plenty of chances to bring this bet home. Add to that the general upsurge of maximums when we get to this stage (34 scored in 4 matches last night), I think Evs on Ted is great value. S.Waites v R.Van Barneveld, over 16.5 legs, 5pts @ 8/11 Stan James This should be close. Scotty has been in excellent form so far this week, last year's finalist proving just how much he enjoys this venue. Whether he turns over Barney or not, I'm not sure but he'll sure take him to the wire. On the flip side, Barney's not been at his best but I just don't see him being beat 10-6 by anyone (other than the Power). This is likely to be the match of the night and no surprise to see it go to a deciding legs so I'll take a 10-7 or greater either way. R.Baxter, over 2.5 180's, 5pts @ Evs Skybet I can't see Ronnie getting the better of Taylor here but he'll certainly up his game. That means heavier scoring and, therefore, more maximums. This line looks way too low for me. Has hit 2-2-1 180's in his 3 group games so far but needs just 3 to bring this in with double the amount of legs. Taylor's not firing fully yet so I don't see a whitewash, it's likely to be closer giving the Rocket more legs to score the 3 he needs. Evs looks too big so I'll be on the Lancashire lad here.

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pakelly

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010

2 more bets for me tonight: 10pts Scott Waites highest checkout over 108.50 @ 5/6 Paddy Power I was contemplating taking the over 122.50 @ 4/5 but felt that waites would be on his own trying to achieve it as barney has been shocking. I don't think i need to say too much about this bet as waites' checkouts of 161,137,136 & 127 this week says it all. 5pts Stompe/Lloyd highest checkout in match over 121.50 @ 4/5 Paddy Power Jaws is playing really well this week and has taken out a 170 already. Stompe lost a tight game against scott waites in his first match but showed great bottle to win his next two and in the process took out checkouts of 132 & 148. I think this will be a tight game so plenty of legs available to beat this line. Good luck all :hope
Profit of 3.33pts :D Makes up for last night ;)
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kevshat

kevshat

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Having done a bit of research I'm taking one more in the last game. 2pts R.Baxter Highest Checkout vs P.Taylor 5/2 Stan James I think there's a bit of value in this price although obviously there's a risk too as we're taking on the great one. However Taylor isn't crisp on the outer ring this week. His highest checkout thus far is a meagre 90. Granted Ronnie's is only 102 but he has put away a couple of 96's and a 91. Generally he's looked better on the doubles. It's his scoring that's been an issue although that in itself might not be a bad thing as weaker scoring would leave bigger finishes as opposed to Taylor who's scoring could be so powerful he leaves smaller ones. These two obviously met twice in the Premier League earlier in the year and although Baxter lost both times he won the checkout match both times too. If he's to stay with Taylor tonight there's a strong chance he'll have to kill a big outshot or two along the way so at a pretty large price in what effectively is a 50/50 market then I'll take the Rocket to make it a hat trick of televised checkout wins over Taylor in 2010.

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Cramer

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Better time yesterday, only Hankey letting me down. Sport Darts Event Anderson v Jones Selection Lay Jones (Lay) Strength 10/10 Date 20/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Betfred @ 3.16 Reasoning Business end of the tournament, longer format, can't see beyond Anderson. He's looked pretty good so far this tournament, bar the dodgy game against Webster which he didn't need to win. He's been pretty solid on the doubles which is where it can go wrong. Jones has done well to get this far, but Thornton was very poor against him in the last round. Anderson the class to come through here. Sport Darts Event Wade v Jenkins Selection Jenkins +3.5 legs Strength 10/10 Date 20/11/2010 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.88 Reasoning This seems like a really close game. Wade still not hitting highest level and had a real struggle against King. Jenkins fought back well against O'Shea and towards the end won fairly comfortably. I can see Wade getting a bit better in this game, but Jenkins is still tough and has a chance of causing an upset. Need Jenkins to get 13 legs at least and I think he will.

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Spooner

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Current profit 17.07pts... 10pts J.Wade to beat T.Jenkins @ 4/9 Skybet Now were playing first to 16 I don't expect to see an upset here and I'm quite happy to have a maximum bet on Wade coming through this one. James has not been firing as he can and as we see with Taylor last night sometimes it can take a while to click. Wade showed courage coming through 10-9 v King, plenty of times King looked to have the match in the bag but James never gave up, I like this alot when taking a player. He'll need to improve on his average a tad here and if he does do that then I feel Terry Jenkins will struggle to keep up with Wade, Jenkins would of been gone had O'Shea hit the doubles and I don't think Wade will be so light with him.

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pakelly

pakelly

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 Ok so it's best of 31 legs which makes this bet even more of a bargain: 10pts James Wade highest checkout over 119.50 @ 5/6 Paddy Power I thought this was best of 25 and even at that this is a lovely suprise. I was sure this line would rise to 121.50. Paddy has given not just the 121 but also the 120 checkout. I took the overs for wade in his 2nd round match and he duely obliged with a 161 checkout. I see no reason to desert him now in a best of 31 game.

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PerryPFC

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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2010 I'm weighing up Jenkins.. I think the end of James' game with King was pretty telling. Wade's worst performances come when the crowd are against him and his best performances... Grand Prix e.t.c come when they either leave him alone or give him their support. His 'siding' with King and trying to use his momentary support to try and get the crowd to applaud Merv, shows his lack of understanding of the crowd I think. Where he should have been bouncing around Stompe style and lapping up the crowd he was shaking his head because they weren't joining him in clapping Kings valiant effort. Now I'm no psychiatrist but the crowd will be all over Wade today when 'Bully' gets going and I can just see a bit of a 'spit the dummy' performance from Wade. Jenkins beat Wade here last year if memory serves? And has a thing for this place having made the final and semi before. Boyles 85/40 is a standout price with many going 7/4... I'm going 4pts Jenkins prevails.

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