OK, I am back again, this time with real money instead of paper trading. Using the same method of mean regression for each players performance over their career as explained in older threads.
Long term I still see it working, the data shows it works and maybe the last thread of paper trading (which roughly broke even) just hit a quiet patch.
This thread starting with roughly £500 (a little bit over) 2% per bet so £10.
I will try to post picks with time if I can. As soon as I have done a few I will share.