** February Poker League Result : 1st rosco, 2nd Danshot, 3rd avongirl **
** Football Tipster Competition Result : 1st Marek76, 2nd 1945harry, 3rd Budgie 65, 4th dj.orange, 5th Procalc **
** February Naps Competition Result: 1st adamross, 2nd paulat, 3rd rolandcooper. KO Cup Winner Fist2k8. Most Winners Zidane123 **
Search the Community
Showing results for tags 'normal distribution'.
Found 1 result
Basketball in-play modelling
paparainbow posted a topic in NBA & Basketball PredictionsDoes anyone have the slightest idea what mathematical concept is behind odds in in-play basketball? I mean is there a distribution or something to use, as someone could use poisson in football (with time, decaying goal expectancies over time etc)? Even though basketball seams to follow a normal distribution, I don't know what to do with negative values (points cannot be negative). if I model point differences (hence allow negative values) I cannot model the total points rather than the margin of victories, handicaps only... any idea?