Robinnho

Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle
Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent.  Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure.  She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.

Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle
Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent.  Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure.  She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.

Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle
Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent.  Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure.  She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.

Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle
Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent.  Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure.  She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.

Daniil Medvedev (vs. Wawrinka) + Simona Halep (vs. Mertens) at 2.04 with Bet365
An embarrassing January, but I'll have another go with this straightforward double. Seeing Wawrinka play against Seppi didn't exactly fill me with confidence and, if Medvedev was beating him in the US Open, he should surely have enough for him now as well. Meanwhile, I also still think that Halep isn't getting the credit she deserves, she's lost only against Sabalenka this year and should be readier for this mentally than Mertens imo. I didn't exactly fancy Mertens against Bellis and this is an even tougher challenge.

Brady/Dolehide (-1,5 Sets) to beat Arruabarrena/Jabeur at 2.10 with bet365
Brady (49) and Dolehide (55) are good friends and they have played some tournaments together. In the first round they won in straight sets against a very good pair Melichar(20)/Yifan(7). In the second round they won in a 3 set match against Sorribes(44)/García(85). Brady played the SF the last year here (w Riske) losing against Babos/Mladenovic and the QF in 2018 (w Vania King). 
Jabeur and Arruabarrena is the first time they play together. In the first round they won in a 3 set match against Stosur(12)/Perez(56). In the second round they won in straight sets against Voracova(63)/Pera(279). Jabeur is not implicated on doubles (W/L record career: 7/12, R: 180) and she will be focused on her singles match against Kenin.  Arruaberrana is a good doubles player (50) but with Jabeur playing the quarterfinals against Kenin I expect the American pair to win this.

Well I've tried to talk myself out of this bet, but I've analyzed too many times, and I see nothing better to take a chance on. 
Angelique Kerber even/Alexander Zverev even @ William Hill (4.0)
Two Germans Advance to the Quarterfinals to begin 2020 AO Grandslam !
I've already Analyzed the reason I believe that Kerber will win vs Pavlychenkova, and it reinforces my belief in this because its going to be a night match, and this should help Kerber chase down a million balls and time for her to set up her backhand which she was making too many errors on last match vs Giorgi.. I'm expecting atleast a slightly improved performance here from Angelique, but I think she can get it done with what she offered last match either way.. Serve I think may be improved, and definitely possibly that backhand drive shot. Her slice is already in terrific form, and movement seems to on par with the usual. Motivation for Kerber also seems to be very good, and she's got quite a few people out there cheering for her on every point screaming Go Angie etc. I think this might help her atleast a little bit to keep fighting for every point. 
Zverev is also playing at night, and he stated in his last match that he is playing for Australia as well.. He's donating 10k per match he wins, and said that he will try for the 4 million dollars to help the people suffering from the fire, and that he loves playing in Australia. This is not exactly tennis related, but it does provide reasons for his motivation to continue in this tournament. I watched the match, and as I've stated earlier.. The man is playing spectacular tennis from the baseline, and hitting the ball wherever he wants.. This accuracy advantage could prove vital in holding off surging Rublev.  As it turns out; Sascha might even have the fresher legs in this battle because Rublev has been playing lots of matches recently, and the last match vs Goffin also was somewhat physically demanding I'd assume winning in 4 sets. 
The only reason I was hesitant about taking this bet before was because I also really wanted to bet Jabeur, and since I didn't.. I decided this bet was probably doomed to lose.. The Jabeur match really does not have to do with this one, and pretty sure I've analyzed these correctly. 
I'm marking the chances on this double coming through at 60 % with 3/1 odds. Great Luck all. 
 
 
 
 

I watched the entire Pavlychenkova match.. She played unbelievable as sometimes she tends to do. Having said all of that.. Karolina Pliskova turned out to be a great matchup for her.. Firstly Pliskova was serving borderline terrible.. She had 6 aces and 4 double faults for the match, but only 62% first serves in which I find hard to believe.. As I watched the match it was just an onslaught of missed serves from Pliskova.. Her baseline game wasn't great either. So I believe that she made Pavlychenkova look alot better, and was the perfect opponent for Anastasia to really look spectacular, and indeed she did. 
If Pliskova is the ace queen on the wta tour.. most of her game does rely on having this enormous weapon. It's true she's got good groundstrokes, and can rival the top competitors, but not yesterday she didn't.. Pavly's ground game was better, and this allowed for complete control of the match.. Look at the scoreline.. She still barely won the match 7-6, 7-6 and she played as well as she possibly could.  She also double faulted 11 times with 5 aces.. I think it's very farfetched to bet on her in the next round vs Kerber, because Angelique is going to return many more balls than Pliskova, and eventually will force the errors.. The slice backhand of Kerber is not a shot that Pav's can just easily direct down the line for a winner like she was doing against Karolina's flat balls.. h2h in this matchup is 7-7- also surprisingly with Pav winning the last match, and Kerber the two prior to that. I do like Pavlychenkova as a person, and a player.. She's really nice woman etc... but you won't find me looking to bet on her next match, and this means something because I did bet on her to beat Pliskova in the last round.  But, I am entertaining a bet for Kerber right now as we speak. 
Gl gents.. Great picks from what I saw @Robinnho, and to Darko and CZech that liked the Rublev pick above.. Well maybe you didn't catch the Zverev match.. He was murdering the ball "up the line" at will and is in pristine form.. My only question marks on his game right now are the fitness levels which I think is normal for him, and I don't see him limping with a knee situation or things like this, and his serve was not as potent as it usually is.. Now I believe the match vs Verdasco was more of a casual affair walking through the park.. He's very comfortable securing that victory, but I have pretty big feeling there is alot more service prowess held in his backpack for a big match vs Rublev who he has never lost to. Zverev looks very confident in his post match interviews to me, and just really enjoying life and his tennis right now. 

M.Fucsovics/R.Federer - Over 34.5 games at 1.82 with Pinnacle
Following up with what others have said about Federer/Fucsovics. I remember him playing decently against Fedex here in 2018, but he was mentally very poor back then and couldn't really hold his own when the pressure started to mount. He's better now and he's played some decent players already without getting into any sort of trouble, so the line does look a bit low to me given the epic Roger has just played.

Gauff/Mcnally to beat Shibahara/Aoyama at 1.64 with Marathonbet
I repeat with Gauff/Mcnally. The first time these Japanese players played together was 6 months before in San Jose where they reached the Final and lost it against Melichar/Peschke in straight sets. After that they have played 7 more tournaments together with some good results (they won the Kremlin Cup and the Tianjin Open and reached the Semifinals in the China Open where they beat Mladenovic/Babos in straight sets). In this 2020 they lost in Brisbane in the first round against Melichar/Yifan (6-2, 6-4) and in the second round in Adelaide against Kenin/Mattek-Sands (7-6, 7-6). Here in the AO the have win against Van Uytvanck/Minnen (7-5, 7-6) in the first round and passed directly in the third round (WO). I’m not going to talk again of Gauff/Mcnally. Just say they have win in in straight sets against Peschke/Schuurs (6-3, 6-4). 
Milos Raonic to beat Marin Cilic at 1.57 with 888
Raonic has win his 3 matches here without dropping a single set. Tsitsipas was outclassed by Raonic. The Canadian had 6 BP (converting 2 of them) and conceded 0. Cilic has been my nightmare in this AO. The only 2 matches he has played well were the ones I did bet against him. Anyway, he almost lost against Paire and played another 5 set match against Bautista. Raonic serve hasn’t been broke in 3 matches so I don’t expect Cilic to have so many BP. 
Roger Federer vs Marton Fucsovics Over 34.5 Games at 1.82 with 888
Fucsovics is playing really well and I think he will trouble Federer more than the odds suggest. 
Ons Jabeur to beat Qiang Wang at 2.75 with bet365
Jabeur has given to me some money in this AO. I took her against Konta and Garcia but I had no balls to repeat with her against Woz… Bad deal. Now she plays against the player who has caused the bigger upset of this tournament. Just 3 weeks ago Jabeur was destroyed by Wang (6-3, 6-0) in Shenzhen. Despite that loss I think Jabeur is heavily underrated. She’s not as consistent as Wang but she’s more talented and has more variety than her. After that match in Shenzhen she did very well in Hobart winning 3 matches and losing finally against Muguruza in a 3 set match (including a close TB in the final one). She has win here against Konta, Garcia and Wozniacki so to me all the value is on Jabeur.
 

I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle..
Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay.  She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player.
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I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle..
Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay.  She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player.
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I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle..
Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay.  She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player.
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I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle..
Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay.  She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player.
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WTA Australian Open:
Camila Giorgi - Angelique Kerber [email protected] pinnacle /flat 10u/

Giorgi (WTA 102) is back in form finally. Last year after the succesful Australian Open, she didnt win a match for 6 months, including 3 months break for back problems after Miami. After that, she was outside top100, but finals in Washington and NY brought her back. This season she started solid and here she is playing best tennis since last AO. Easily overcame Lottner, who was in good mood here, and Kuznetsova, who was also surprisingly dangerous and eliminated Vondrousova. Giorgi was doing only few mistakes in both matches.

Kerber WTA 18 is only shadow of Kerber from past years.  She is weak mostly in her confidence, as she lost with many average players. Only results from Australian Open and Indian Wells are keeping her in top20. Since Toronto she is just on 7W-11L  record and this year looks not much better, as she lost with Stosur and retired to Yastremska while being down in the match. Here she played quite ok on her current level, but both Cocciaretto and Hon made tons of errors.

I see this match as equal one. Camile impressed me in the match with Kuznetsova and with the low number of errors. I think she will be able to keep her shots in court again and defeat Kerbers defence. GL

WTA Australian Open:
Belinda Bencic - Anett Kontaveit [email protected] pinnacle /flat 10u/

Bencic (WTA 7) is improving here in every match and slowly reaching her last year form after the average start of the season. In Shenzen she didnt really tried hard, but in Adeleide she did, and after solid wins with Kasatkina and Goerges she had no chance with Collins, and really not played so well there. Here she really played a lot better and especially with Ostapenko I saw many great moments.

I really like Kontaveits (WTA 31) game style, but she is doing too many mistakes this year. I saw both her losses with Bertens and Pavlyuchenkova, and she simply wasnt good enough. Here she had a lot of troubles with Sorribes.

I like this odds a lot, despite it dropped a bit already before I got to the writeup. Still enough value. Bencic is more stable currently with smart game, which will work well against Kontaveit, who really doesnt like the rythm changes. GL 

WTA Australian Open:
Elise Mertens - Catherine Bellis [email protected] pinnacle /flat 10u/

Bellis WTA 600 is back after two surgeries and more than a year and half without tennis. She is surely talented player, but after the break, she still needs more time to compete with top players. In Houston last year she played very soft tennis with no power. This year its little better, but still lost easily to Kudermetova and Pegula. Here she had great draw, as Maria is really poor rcently and Muchova lost her form. I would rate her tennis to between 60-70th spot currently.

Mertens WTA 17 is tough player, she is not only great in defence, but started to push as well. She played well in Shenzen and Hobart, despite loosing to Rybakina and Waton, but both matches had high quality. Here she won easily with Kovinic and revenge with Watson.

Both met yesterday in doubles and Elise was clearly better from the baseline. I know its diffrenet game, but I simply expect the same scenario today, with Mertens better in all aspects of the game. GL 

Stefanos Tsitsipas (-3.5) to beat Milos Raonic || 1.89 @ OLYBET 
Don't know its good or bad that greek had extra day to rest or whatever he did, but i guess he should be prepared for this. This is typical game where you expect tie-break fest, fact that Milos is a ridiciulous server,  but i have some questions about his ability last long in big games. He can win a set,  but i think that Stefanos just to much for him. He is way smarter like a player,  he had a great year of 2019,  beating some top guys on big tournaments,  and i believe that he'll get though here. One break early on and it could go really messy for the canadian.  In case Tsitsipas loses in tie-break he, still got -4.5, that can be covered in smth like 6:3. Overall i cant see him losing here, for safe bet you just can pick him around 1.38! GL ? 

Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle.
Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.

Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle.
Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-3.5) to beat Taylor Townsend at 1.82 with Pinnacle
Have to go for this honestly. Townsend was the worse player of the two against Pegula, but she somehow managed to win with Pegula not managing to handle her nerves at all in the previous round. Pavs is on another level, not game-wise, but mentality-wise. Also, I think that she's somewhat better off physically and that could play a role given that there isn't the usual day off here.
 

Karolina Muchova to beat Catherine Bellis at 1.71 with 888
I expected lower odds for Muchova so I think there is value on her. Bellis has been a lot of time out of the courts due to various surgeries. She destroyed Maria Tatjana (6-0, 6-2) but Muchova is another story. I think Muchova’s variety of shots will frustrate Bellis.
Ok guys. I edit because i have to explain the wrong price. The last time i saw the odds Muchova was at 1.71 at 888 (like 20 minutes ago). Just after posting this i have checked the matches again and i have seen that Muchova odds have dropped to 1.61

Ok  So, I will take Vekic - Sharapova first. Here I think 1.72 is a gift and you can get these odds only because it’s Sharapova. Any other name with similar performances and Vekic would have been much lower.
Swiatek - Babos, here it looks like market being cautious towards Swiatek as we haven’t seen her playing for quite a while because of a foot injury. Considering it’s a hard court, Babos’ recent bad performance against top100 and her weak mentality, 1.82 seems good to me.
Not much to say to Lauren, I have her as a player, who is “reliable” and rarely suffers unexpected loss. 
Hurkacz is simply better player overall, playing tougher opponents, based on his good performance in Auckland I cannot see Novak being an obstacle for him. 
There are few more interesting matchups such as Konta - Jabeur, Cilic - Moutet, many times mentioned Cuevas - Simon, and a few others, but in general, I do not like the odds very much  

This is probably the trickiest Grand Slam we've had to deal with so far in terms of conditions, because this is very different from having some rainy weeks. It's also hard to know how good the air quality is going to be in advance, because there are a lot of factors affecting that. I've also read that the umpires will be able to stop play pretty much indefinitely once the air quality becomes unbearable, although how exactly that is going to work is anyone's guess, because I'm sure that they are going to be pushed to the limit in that regard so as not to delay the tournament unnecessarily (well, unnecessarily for the organizers, that is). The world's elite and a few other lucky players are very likely to be shielded from most of the burden thanks to the three roofs the Australian Open comes with and I'm actually not all that surprised that Federer isn't against playing anymore, since he was likely notified that he's going to get all the right scheduling again, as is very likely to happen with Nadal, Djokovic, Barty, etc. as well.
So what are we to make out of all this? Well, I've ran through the quarters a couple of times and, right now, pretty much the only bet that I'm considering is Barty to win her quarter, because she's been seriously impressive this week and as I'm sure that the organizers are going to do everything in order to increase her chances. So yeah, let's actually stick that out there - Ashleigh Barty to win the 1st quarter at 3.00 with Bet365 - the other strong players in her quarter are Kvitova (who might have serious physical issues) and Keys, while the rest shouldn't be too difficult honestly.
As for the matches, I think that one has to be somewhat cautious and I honestly reckon that the best strategy to make a profit is to stay up all night, watch as many matches and possible, see how the players are coping with the conditions and bet accordingly. I stand by the Pegula bet that I've posted above, as she really is better than Townsend and as, let's face it, Townsend is the likelier of the two to seriously struggle if heat or bad air shows up. In general, you also have to be very wary of players that haven't played in any events so far or that haven't really performed in them, which is why I also very much like Cori Gauff (-2.5) to beat Venus Williams at 1.93 with Pinnacle. If I remember correctly, Venus withdrew from one of the early events due to some health issues and she has some chronic problems as well, so, unless nerves get to her, Gauff should prevail. I also like Shuai Zhang (-2.5) to beat Sloane Stephens at 1.88 with Pinnacle, because the two are going in different directions at the moment and because Sloane just isn't worth backing unless she's focused and on some sort of a run. She has the right skills for beating everyone, but she's just terrible when off and Zhang has the weapons to put her off and a 5-2 season record to boot. I really am focused too much on women and favorites and this might cost me, but what can I do when I don't see anything else? I'll also be backing three straight set victories on that front, Tamara Zidansek (-1.5 sets) to beat Han Na-Lae at 2.02 with Pinnacle, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Nina Stojanovic 2-0 at 1.80 with Bet365 and Magda Linette (-1.5 sets) to beat Arantxa Rus at 1.85 with Pinnacle. Those are some serious mismatches at the moment as far I see things, especially Zidansek and Pavs. Finally, in terms of qualifiers, I can't ignore Lauren Davis (-3.5) to beat Annie Leylah Fernandez at 1.71 with local and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to beat Norbert Gombos at 1.62 with local.
That's what I have so far and I'm looking forward to everyone else's suggestions!

A. RUBLEV -3.5 to beat G. HARRIS @ 1.86 Pinnacle