Robinnho

I also followed you on RBA................. I think the more experience RBA will win the match for us!
Good Luck!?

I also followed you on RBA................. I think the more experience RBA will win the match for us!
Good Luck!?

Francis Tiafoe vs Nicholas Jarry
well, we all know that Tiafoe is not a natural claycourter compared to Jarry who loves to play on the surface. Tiafoe has already had two matches on clay in Buenos Aires where I would say he played okay against Munar who he lost to. Jarry on the other hand has had 4 competitive matches on clay beating Munar in Cordoba in the process. I really believe that Jarry has had just enough matches to set him up well for his home tournament in Santiago. One thing most tournament organizers always do, is to try to schedule their matches in such a way that their best home representative is put in a prime slot to hopefully provide value for money which they do most times. I took Jarry early yesterday to win a set at a very huge stake. I really believe he has what it takes to go further and win here. Verdict: Jarry to beat Tiafoe

There's three matches I like today - all WTA. In Dubai, I'm backing Cirstea to beat Tsurenko - both players aren't in great form but Cirstea has the recent scalp of Kvitova so that swings it for me at odds against. Also in Dubai I can't have Ferro as such a big underdog against Mertens. She strung a few wins together last week and Mertens hasn't been seen since the Australian Open. I like Mertens as she's quite consistent and so she should be winning this, but for a small stake I'll take a chance on Ferro. Lastly in Guadalajara, I think Volynets has a chance against McNally. Mostly this is about going against McNally, with the American in no form at all right now. That's also the case for Volynets, but with one player out of the two heavy odds against I know where I'd rather put my money.
30pts Cirstea to beat Tsurenko @ 2.10 Betfair Sportsbook
10pts Ferro to beat Mertens @ 5.50 Bet365
20pts Volynets to beat McNally @ 3.00 Bet365

Bolsova vs Juvan +19.5 Games at 1.74 with Pinnacle
I'm not sure if Juvan deserves that big favoritism. Bolsova took a set against Bouzkova after beating easily Raina in 2 sets in the Yarra Valley. After that, she lost easily against Brady in the 1st round of the AO. 4 of 5 Juvan's last matches have been 3 set matches (vs. Yafan Wang, Swiatek, Sherif and Gauff). I do not count her match against Konta cause Konta retired after winning the 1st set. The only match from the last 5 that she has won in 2 sets has been against Cabrera (6-4, 6-3). In the AO, both players lost against Brady with exactly the same result (6-1, 6-3). I expect Bolsova to fight this match more than the odds suggest.
Fiona Ferro (+5.5 Games) to beat Mertens at 1.91 with William Hill
I will go with a safer option. Ferro's last year was really good and she has been productive in her last tournaments (wins over Siniakova and Rybakina in the AO and SFs in Lyon) . The surface favors Mertens but, as has been said, this is her first match after her unexpected loss against Muchova in the AO so I think she can have a slow start.

We've got way too many tournaments on the cards this week.
Roberto Bautista-Agut to beat Reilly Opelka at 1.61 with Pinnacle
Still a difference in quality and I remember RBA liking the courts in the Middle East most of the time. He looked really good two weeks ago and has had enough time off to be ready for this. Unless Opelka fires big time on serve, he'll be in trouble all around. Slight value on RBA I feel.

Jabeur vs Siniakova -21.5 Games at 1.91 with William Hill
I think Jabeur should win this match comfortably. Siniakova is in a very bad moment and lacks of self-confidence. She only has won 1 match in 2020 and it was against Niculescu (in a 3 set match), who holds a 0-6 this year (and the only set she has won on all those matches was against Siniakova). I saw Jabeur against Schmiedlova (6-3, 6-2) and against Osaka (3-6, 2-6) in the AO. I like how she played. I haven't seen her in Doha (she lost in the 2nd round against Pliskova in a 3 set match after beating Blinkova in straight sets). The last year they played here in the 1st round, too, and Jabeur beat her easily (6-3, 6-2). She also beat Brady (6-4, 6-3) and Pliskova (6-4, 3-6, 6-3) and lost in 2 TBs against Kvitova in the QFs. She said she feels like home here, I expect her to win this in straight sets.

Fiona Ferro (-2.5 Games) to beat Clara Burel at 1.73 with William Hill
I like Burel and it's obvious that she's improving as she has achieved here 2 important wins (vs. Cornet and Sasnovich) but Ferro has proved during the last year that she plays on another level. Burel has played her last match against Sasnovich with tapes on her arm. She won the third set to nil but I imagine she wore them for a reason. She played an ITF tournament in Poitiers the last week. She reached the Final but she lost it against Snigur in a 3 set match. She played three 3 set matches there and two more here so Ferro should be more fresh for this match. Both players prefer clay but Ferro is overall better player so I back her.

James Duckworth to beat Prajnesh Gunneswaran at 1.98 with Pinnacle
Tomas Machac to beat Soon-woo Kwon at 2.10 with Pinnacle
I watched all the matches in Nur-Sultan today (yeah, call me a masochist) and I had some luck in live betting as well. Not sure if that will translate into any wins here, of course, but I feel that both Duckworth and Machac offer some value. Duckworth wasn't underperforming by any means against his unknown opponent, he was playing really well, he just faced someone who was aggressive and landing a lot of shots in. Kwon, on the other hand, was thoroughly average against Polansky, way worse than when I saw him against Cilic. I quite liked Machac, on the other hand.

You can find the stats in the tennis section of Flashscore.  Click the match and then the Stats.
 
 

You can find the stats in the tennis section of Flashscore.  Click the match and then the Stats.
 
 

You can find the stats in the tennis section of Flashscore.  Click the match and then the Stats.
 
 

Goffin should win agaisnt chardy today, but I'm not gonna bet on him. I just don't realy trust david at this point.
I'll go with tsitsipas to win over hurkacz. (1,21)- he has a winning record over him, and I think tsitsi is more of a fighter than the pole. Sure you can go with an over 19,5/20,5 games on this one, but I'll just pick tsitsipas to win it.
Last one is paul-bublik OVER 19,5 games(1,30 I think)- By all accounts they seemed in very good form here, they had a close 3 setter hard court match before and if neither of them have any physical hindrance it should cover the over 19,5 threshold.

Frances Tiafoe to beat Jaume Munar at 1.81 with Unibet
I saw both Tiafoe against Bagnis and Munar against Diaz Acosta and I liked Tiafoe way bit more. Munar is the more natural clay courter, but he seemed to lack the punch to me in his match and Tiafoe looks to be riding the wave after giving Djokovic a good match. The main reason for this bet is what I saw, however.

Ramos-Vinolas last six games in eight days all ended 2-1, he won five lost one, he played yesterday against ranked 400th winning 2-1 , I think betting against him today @1.9 on Koepfer is good , even if Koepfer is very average it could be a good spot for Ramos to loose.
 
Kecmanovic - Monteiro , few days ago they both played against Cerundolo they both lost 2-1 , so I feel @2.45 on Kecmanovic is not bad.
 
of course just opinions without in depth knowledge of the players, however usually even with long analysis picks lose one time out of two so in the end it's the same.

Went with zverev to beat bublik (1,19)- I think these courts suit zverev better, and the only reason I didn't go with over 19,5 games is bublik's inconsistency.
Rublev to beat murray 2-0(1,42 I think)- I've watched andy lately , he seemed tired against haase and as long as rublev doesn't choke I can't see murray keeping up at this point with the onslaught from andrey.

Ramkumar Ramanathan (+1.5 sets) to beat Frederico Ferreira Silva at 1.97 with Sbobet
I'm happy to back Ramanthan once again. He's a glass cannon, don't get me wrong, he can be all over the place. When it clicks, though, he can take out even way better players and Silva is no world beater. He's so consistent that I don't like the match odds that much, but I'll take Ramanathan to take a set.

I don't believe that this will be a major factor. He plays aggressively, not your typical long rallies.

Lukas Klein to beat Andrej Martin at 1.83 with Pinnacle
I liked Klein in the qualifying and I actually had no idea that he holds a 3-0 record against Martin in the H2H department. That's why I like him at this price here. He's aggressive and he's used to the courts by now after beating 3 solid opponents in Collarini, Seyboth Wild and Escobedo.

I can't see why Cecchinato is favourite to beat Djere in Buenos Aires, bearing in mind that he lost the last time they played each other which is fairly recent. It could be because Djere hasn't won a match so far this year, but then he hasn't played on clay yet which is his favourite surface. Cecchinato is hardly in great form either, with just one win over Dellien last week to show for his efforts this season. Although playing last week might give Cecchinato some sort of advantage, Djere tends to do well during this clay swing so I'll be backing him at odds against. 
One favourite I do like though is Fucsovics against Opelka in Rotterdam. He has a better all-round game than Opelka who is all about serve, and his two wins in qualifying are a plus. He should be able to hold serve easily enough as Opelka is so limited on return, and I'd be surprised if he doesn't get some looks on the Opelka serve as he's a better player than many give him credit for. So far this year Opelka has only managed to beat veterans Stakhovsky and Lu and hasn't really got going yet, and although indoor conditions could be just what he needs to start turning a corner I think the only way he wins this is via tie-breaks and so I'd rather back Fucsovics.
15pts Djere to beat Cecchinato @ 2.25 Betfair Sportsbook
40pts Fucsovics to beat Opelka @ 1.83 Betfair Sportsbook

Arantxa Rus (-2.5 Games) to beat Xiyu Wang at 1.80 with bet365
At first, I have to say that these odds are influenced by 2 things. The first one is that Rus lost against her recently in Abu Dhabi (6-3, 3-6, 6-4) and the second one is that Rus is still winless in 2021 (X.Wang, Venus and Swiatek). Despite that, I think Rus should win this match. Her game suits really well on hard indoor courts (82-45) while Wang has never won a match on this surface as a professional. Rus beat her easily in December 2020 in Dubai (6-1, 6-3). Rus is better player and IMO the match that reflects the real difference between them is the match they played in Dubai, not the last one. I think proper odds should be 1.40, not 1.60. 

Amandine Hesse (+5.5) to beat Clara Tauson at 1.80 with Marathonbet
Tauson is a decent talent, but she's yet to make a big breakthrough and you'd expect one by now honestly. She hasn't moved on from the talent phase anywhere and I don't see her as such a big favorite against Hesse. Hesse has always been a steady player and she can definitely cover this sort of handicap. She covered it even against Zvonareva earlier this season - and Tauson can be seriously hit-or-miss.

Take RBA -1.5 set to beat Gojowczyk @ 1.61 with Marathonbet
I think RBA is in sufficient good condition and shape to go on and win the championship.  In all the 5 H2H, RBA won at least 2 sets (in 3-setter and 5-setter matches).
 

Egor Gerasimov to beat David Goffin at 2.43 with Unibet
I'll take Gerasimov again, he was good against Fokina and has more than enough power to blow Goffin off the court. He did that last year and Goffin isn't the player he once was anymore. The win over Sonego should give him belief, but he seems like a bad favorite to me anyway. Gerasimov has plenty of weapons for these conditions and I don't see why he can't make another upset happen.

Congrats for winning your large bet!