Robinnho

Sherif couldn't build on winning the opening set against Davis and Rodionova got ahead in the second set against Zvonareva but couldn't hold on. Anyway, it's impossible to win them all and today is another day.
With that in mind, I'll be starting in Dubai where I'm backing Popyrin to beat Khachanov. The young Aussie is on a streak of wins right now and has beaten some good players. He's also beaten Ebden during this run, who Khachanov lost to last week in disappointing fashion. I'd much rather back the form horse at odds against rather than the favourite who has been inconsistent so far this season. 
I'm also going to back Carreno-Busta to beat Fucsovics. He's not played since the AO so there's some uncertainty about his level but at the same time he'll be fresh. That can't be said for Fucsovics, who has played a lot of tennis recently. He pulled out of his match against Rublev last week and he played a gruelling match against Pospisil yesterday that went the distance. Carreno-Busta plays well on hard but also has the clay mentality of long rallies and keeping the ball in play. If nothing else, there's a good chance the Spaniard will outlast his opponent and get the win here.
Next up I'll be backing Basilashvili against Fritz, as I can't have him as the underdog given how well he played last week - which included a win over this same opponent. The risky part of backing the Georgian in this one is will he be able to continue keeping the unforced errors down, or will he regress and start spraying the ball all over the place like he'd been doing prior to arriving in Doha. Personally, I prefer backing hot players to stay hot even if there is a risk of a comedown so I'll cross my fingers that Basilashvili is motivated to continue his run of good form.
Last up is my only WTA pick, which is in St. Petersburg. Tomova plays Wang Xinyu, and after giving such a good account of herself last week against Mertens she should have a good chance to win this. They've played each other once before a couple of years ago and Tomova won, and although that's not necessarily relevant given that Xinyu is still a teenager, it never hurts to look across the net and see a player you know you've beaten.
15pts Popyrin to beat Khachanov @ 2.62 Bet365
50pts Carreno-Busta to beat Fucsovics @ 2.25 Betfair Sportsbook
35pts Basilashvili to beat Fritz @ 2.50 Bet365
35pts Tomova to beat Wang Xinyu @ 2.20 Bet365

Filip Krajinovic to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 2.10 with William Hill
This looks priced on ADF's exploits indoors against Gerasimov and RBA, etc. He was good back then, but I saw his match against Albot and he was very erratic. Krajinovic has had some time off and is slightly better overall in my opinion, should be fresher as well. Not saying that he's a big fav in this one, but I'd make him a marginal favorite in all honesty. 

Ann Li to win the WTA Monterrey at 10.00 with bet365
I have been following Ann Li for a long time. She is one of the most improved players during the last year and she will be soon in the top 20. This year she has a 6-1 record. She won against Kudermetova, Cirstea and Brady in the Grampians Trophy. In the AO she destroyed Shuai Zhang and Cornet, before losing against Sabalenka (the only player who has defeat her in 2021). The main risk here will be her first matches cause she hasn't played since her match against Sabalenka, but if she wins them she will be a strong candidate to get the title. She's priced at 1.50 against Rus but the value is on her taking the title for the reasons I have explained. If she wins against Rus she will play against Zarazua/Zidansek and then Lin Zhu/Bouchard/Gracheva/Saisai in the QFs. I like the fact that she won't face a strong opponent in the first 3 matches and this is a good opportunity for her to get some rythmn after spent 1 month without playing.

Bedene AH -1.5 sets @2,15 (Unibet)
Bhambri is making a comeback after 3 years and has never been a world beater. He won in qualification against Gunneswaran in 2 and Ramanathan in 3 sets.  Bedene won against Sinner in Montpellier and and lost to Gerasimov afterwards. I think Bedene can have this job done in 2 sets.

WTA Saint Petersburg
Tauson to win the 4th quarter at 4.50 with bet365
Tauson will play against Kasatkina in the 1st round, Sasnovich/Bogdan in the 2nd round and Kudermetova/Rakhimova/Mishina in the QFs. The favorite players to win this quarter are Kudermetova (2.00), Tauson and Kasatkina (4.50). Tauson has an advantage respect these 2 players, she's the only player who has played on indoors this year. She has played 18 matches on this surface in 2021 with a 16-2 record. She comes here after winning the WTA Lyon without dropping a single set (Fayard, Hesse, Alexandrova, Babos, Giorgi, Badosa and Golubic) and she has already played 2 matches here (Shalimova and Kerkhove), both won also in 2 sets. Kasatkina lost in the 1st round against Cornet in Dubai after winning the Philipp Island Trophy, both played on outdoors. Kudermetova did really in Abu Dhabi but after that her results have been really disappointing (4-5). I saw the last match she played, it was in Dubai against Bencic and it shocked me how bad she played. Tauson is priced at 1.80 against Kasatkina. If she wins this match she will be a massive favorite in her 2nd match. Bogdan has not played on indoors this year and the last time she won a match on this surface it was in 2019. Sasnovich played in Lyon but she suffered a big loss against Burel (including a 6-0 in the 3rd set) in her 2nd round there after a tight match against Bouchard.

Katie Boulter to beat Anna Karolina Schmiedlova at 2.52 with Pinnacle
Not quite sure what makes Schmiedlova such a favorite in this one. Boulter is having a decent comeback and showed that she can play against anyone in Australia. She's still a bit away from where she once was, but she crushed Schmiedlova in their only previous meeting and I think this is more of a coin-flip than a 2.52 shot.

Jaziri to beat Tsonga at 3.75 with bet365
I think there is value on Jaziri here. Tsonga has only played 3 matches since his return. He lost against Korda in 2 sets in Montpellier and then he lost also in 2 against Humbert after winning against Lopez in 3. Jaziri played in Doha where he beat Gombos in 2 sets and then lost in 2 against the winner of the tournament, Basilashvili. IMO Tsonga should not have these odds after his long absence, even against Jaziri.

Arina Rodionova to beat Kathinka Von Deichmann at 3.16 with Pinnacle
Taking a bit of risk with this one, as Rodionova is yet to win a match this year. However, I think that she has a good chance here. Von Deichmann is a big step down from the likes of Garcia or even Trevisan, i.e. the opponents Rodionova has faced so far. Von Deichmann is an average player at best and she's never been ranked as high as Rodionova. She's arguably the favorite regardless, but 3.16 for Rodionova? I'll take that!

Herbert (+2.5 Games) to beat Humbert at 1.81 with Pinnacle
I go with Herbert again cause I wasn't expecting these odds. Today Humbert could have lost against Rinderknech. Rinderknech was serving for the match but finally he choked. I really like Humbert but he has been disappointing this year. He started the year losing in the 1st round of the Murray Valley Open against Duckworth (7-6, 6-4). Then, he received a painful comeback against Kyrgios after beating Uchiyama in 4 sets in the AO. His results in Montpellier and Rotterdam were not good either. He suffered to beat Gombos (6-3, 6-7) and Griekspoor (6-7, 7-6, 7-6), before losing easily against RBA (6-3, 6-3). In Rotterdam he lost in the 1st round against Chardy (6-4, 6-7, 6-7). Here, he has beat Tsonga (6-3, 6-4), who is not competitive at all right now, and Rinderknech (4-6, 7-5, 7-6) after saving a MP when Rinderknech was serving for the match. Herbert came here in a bad form but here he has showed his best tennis. He has beat Nishikori (6-1, 6-4), Norrie (6-3, 6-4) and Tsitsipas (6-7, 6-4, 6-2).

Something does not feel right about backing Medvedev regardless of his easy victory over Gerasimov. And since Simov himself had played so much tennis prior, he really could not be used as a yardstick. I do not care about what Sinner played against Gaston or Barrere. I am inclined to rely on his pedigree as a man who is going to eventually reside among the top 5 sooner or later. There will be nothing strange if he does a Djokovic on us and finds real form to push into the later stages. Odds movement is positive.

And I add one more, my last bet for this week most likely.
Muguruza (-3.5 Games) to beat Mertens at 1.80 with bet365
Muguruza has won 15 of her last 18 matches and she covered this line on all those wins, even against players as Sakkari, Sabalenka (2 times), Swiatek, Kenin,... She's been very dominant and her 3 defeats were against Barty, Osaka and Kvitova. IMO, if Muguruza had won the match points she had against Osaka in the AO she would have won the tournament. Her way to the SFs here has been more complicated than Mertens' way as she had to face Swiatek (6-0, 6-4) and Sabalenka (3-6, 6-3, 6-2) in her last 2 matches. Mertens came to the AO in a good form but her match against Muchova was disappointing. After that, she hasn't convinced me at all either. She had a tough match against Tomova in her 1st round here (4-6, 6-2, 6-4). Then, she won against Rogers (6-3, 6-3), García (6-4, 6-2) and Pegula (5-7, 7-5, 6-0). Rogers apparently had physical problems and García is out of form. As some punters have pointed, Pegula was 1 set up and leading the 2nd set 4-1 (15-40) but she choked. She even had 3 match points when she was 5-4. Besides, there's something that shocks me about Mertens and it's her really bad record against the best players of the circuit (with some really big defeats).

Herbert (+4.5 Games) to beat Tsitsipas at 1.9 with Pinnacle
As I said before, Herbert is really good playing on indoors. Neither Nishikori (6-1, 6-4) nor Norrie (6-3, 6-4) broke his serve here. Tsitsipas has won against Pouille (6-2, 6-3). I haven't seen this match but I'm not impressed by this win. As I said on previous posts, I saw Pouille against Horansky, Maden and Kamke and he played really bad. I even bet against him on his first round match against Bonzi (7-6, 6-2) in Montpellier. Tsitsipas did well in Rotterdam but he did not have easy matches there. He had a tight match against Gerasimov (7-6, 7-5) and he dropped sets against Hurkacz (6-4, 4-6, 7-5) and Kachanov (4-6, 6-3, 7-5). He finally lost against Rublev in 2 sets. Tsitsipas is so much better from the baseline but I expect Herbert to play really aggressive, serving well and winning a lot of points on the net as he did against Kei. They only played once before and Herbert won it in straight sets but it is irrelevant cause it was in 2018.

Gerasimov to beat Medvedev at 6.50 with bet365
There is a match from this last year tournament that I still remember quite well, and it is the match Medvedev played against Simon in his second round (6-4, 6-0). He played horrible and his attitude was also horrible. He spent all the match complaining about everything and he also smashed some rackets. He has never achieved good results here and he lost his last match in Rotterdam against Lajovic in 2 sets (7-6, 6-4). Anyways, as I said before, Gerasimov is a really dangerous player on indoors and he's in a good form. He has won against Hanfmann in his first match here (6-2, 6-0). They have played 2 times before and Danill won both. St Petersburg 2019 (7-5, 7-5) and Tokyo (6-7, 6-3, 6-3).

Thanks an awful lot man. ??✌️✔️

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 1.44 with William Hill
I'm not a massive fan of backing ADF indoors, but he looked good to me when I saw him last week. I also got to catch Rinderknech against Kukushkin and both players were average at best. Kukushkin was serving poorly and making a lot of errors, ADF should be way better.

Herbert to beat Norrie at 1.91 with William Hill
I like Herbert for this match. He's really good on indoors and he beat Nishikori easily (6-1, 6-4) in his first round while Norrie had problems with Lestienne (6-4, 6-7, 6-3). None of these players was on a good form but Herbert has showed more and i have seen him playing really good matches on this surface. 

7-6 (7-4) & 6-4
Congrats CzechPunter

I have a Combo on the above bets.
Congrats Darko08 ..............&
Good Luck CzechPunter!

Gerasimov to beat Hanfmann at 1.40 with bet365
I also like this match. The odds are not high but Gerasimov is really good playing on indoors. In Montpellier he beat Murray, Bedene, Davidovich and lost in the SFs against Goffin in a 3 set match. In Rotterdam he lost in the 1st round but it was against Tsitsipas and it was tight (7-6, 7-5). The last year here he reached the SFs, beating Ruusuvuori, Novak and Goffin and lost against Aliassime. As I said, I really like him when he plays indoors and here is where he has his best results. Hanfmann best surface is clay. 

Karen Khachanov to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.53 with Pinnacle
I also think that Khachanov can do well in this tournament and it will all start with him beating McDonald soundly hopefully. McDonald was nothing special yesterday, there were plenty of awful line calls in his match against Travaglia and most went his way honestly. Which, in such a tight match, did influence the result. The conditions are fast enough for Khachanov to be able to hit through McDonald.

Without injury and with this fitness that he showed today after playing 4 gruelling matches in 4 days, the talented 17-year-old Rune is a threat to Paire (No. 2 seed) in his next match!

Without injury and with this fitness that he showed today after playing 4 gruelling matches in 4 days, the talented 17-year-old Rune is a threat to Paire (No. 2 seed) in his next match!

In his match yesterday he (Rune) picked up an injury at 4-2 up second set (he won first set), and essentially couldn't run for the final few games. He managed to serve it out whilst limping between points somehow. I believe he was 1.75 when serving for the match. 

Jabeur to beat Rybakina at 1.80 with William Hill
Rybakina's great moment of form was cut by the pandemic and her last results haven't been good at all. She lost in the 1st round of the Grampians Trophy against Krejcikova, in the 2nd round of the AO against Ferro and in the 1st round of Doha against Siegemund. 3 defeats against 3 clay court players that she should have beat easily on this surface. She has beat Saisai (6-0, 6-4), who is still winless this year (0-6). Despite that bagel in the 1st set I don't like how Rybakina played in the 2nd one. I already said what I think about Jabeur on a previous post. I think Jabeur is not a good matchup for Rybakina. She uses a lot of variety on her shots, she loves to slice and drop shot. I still remember how Barty destroyed her the last year in the AO with her slices. Jabeur beat Siniakova (6-2, 6-3) in the first round.

Sebastian Baez to beat Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune at 1.62 with William Hill
Found one that I like finally. I saw a bit of Rune in the qualifying and I wasn't impressed. He's also had to play a lot of tennis to qualify, more than Baez and against arguably slightly softer opposition. Baez is 9-1 or something like that for the season and he's playing really well on clay, so I'll go against the talented Rune here.