Robinnho

Nick Kyrgios to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.56 with Pinnacle
Washington is a place Nick liked a couple years back and he looked decent enough last week, glad that he stayed for the doubles and I'm not too worried about the Norrie loss. There's 1.5 class between him and McDonald when Nick plays well, as McDonald can't outrun the sheer power that Nick has. Also, there will be a lot of free serve points as usual. Something like 1.40 would be fair here imo.

https://www.itftennis.com/en/news-and-media/articles/tokyo-2020-olympic-tennis-event-draw-mens-and-womens-singles-and-doubles/

Dominic Stephan Stricker to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 2.20 with Unibet
I'll also go for the other big Swiss prospect. We all know what he's capable of in Switzerland, so I wouldn't read into his average form that much. That's how youngsters tend to play, do well when faced with a challenge and then lose to someone worse in a Challenger. 

I am going with Collins to beat Kalinina @1.75 with Pinnacle
Kali may be in top shape and playing well with 30W on clay (30-3) this season but she may be also played too much tennis and fatigue could creep up.  Furthermore her wins were mainly on the "lesser" tour and "lesser" opponents......... only notable win in beating Kerber.
H2H Kali leads 2-1.  Collins won the most recent match in RG. 

Also, i like Lajovic to beat Molcan @1.85 and Garcia to beat Sharma @1.54. Both are superior quality-wise, like clay, did not have a great season, so, should be hungry of some wins. Having won their first rounds also is a sign of motivation to stay in tournament.

(Paire @3.05 ) Good value if he decides to have better attitude and motivation after being banned by France to play in the Tokyo Olympics.
Just play up to 70% and he can win!

I’d give a shot on Paire @3.05 against Varillas. Who knows, maybe he decides to finally get involved.

Well, Basilashvili is off.
Albert Ramos to beat Federico Delbonis at 2.50 with Pinnacle
Taking this one instead. Delbonis had a huge streak not that long ago, but he was bound to go off the boil a bit at some point and this might very well be it. He looked rusty against Zhang and it's no wonder. Ramos, on the other hand, had a bad streak without playing all that poorly, so the hunger will be there. I'd see this as more of a coin-flip than the bookies.

i like the odds for Sramkova to beat Kuzmova.  Kuz has not been in good condition for a few months and it is the same here. She beat another off-form player yesterday and it was more of Barthel own self destruction in the final set. Sramkova @1.68 with Pinnacle.
 

@Teodore I think it will take a while still.
Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Sebastian Baez at 1.64 with Pinnacle
Baez had an easy match against Moutet in the first round, but this could be way different. That's because Basilashvili has been playing well lately and because he has a love affair with this tournament. He's already won it twice, so the motivation should be there. That's a big thing with him and I don't care that he lost in the first round last year. The circumstances were different and he got a R1 meeting with Bautista-Agut, so there you go.

? I watched/spotted the "drama" too!
So not sure Sramkova was really so good but she has big serves for WTA standard.

Tricky week. Kvitova with a strategic loss yesterday by the looks of things.

Wow! It will be interesting if both the wild cards, Samsonova and Raducanu confront each other in the Wimbledon Final!
 
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No Wimbledon tennis on Sunday and also no Euro 2020 football on Sunday?
Small outright winner bets:
Samsonova @ 20.0 with coolbet
Raducanu @ 27.0 with coolbet
These 2 up and rising lightweights seem to be punching harder than many heavy weights with good precisions. And they never seem to be tired and/or fade away playing for long matches.
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Wow! It will be interesting if both the wild cards, Samsonova and Raducanu confront each other in the Wimbledon Final!
 
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Berretini v Bedene
Quite a tricky match simply because they have both breezed past their opponents, neither really being tested. One thing that has really impressed me with Berritini is his serving. When he needs a first serve he has it ready.
I remember the Aussie open this year playing Anderson 1st round. He was 4-5  and 0-40, and found 11 straight 1st serves ( Anderson had another couple of break points in the game). 11 rockets in a row is insane. Yesterday Shapavalov smacked Murray behind a 1st serve of 32% (1st and 2nd set). Then he actually made some serves in the 3rd set and it was lights out. So on grass serving big is just huge.
Against van de Sandschulp Berretini faced 2 set points in the 3rd set and found 5 first serves (I think he was 4-5 or 5-6 down). So he has a ridic weapon in his arsenal.
What big serving does is empower a player. He knows he will win his serve easily, and he plays '1st strike' tennis against an opponent. So you get this weird herky-jerky, stop start game with no rhythm. 
In 2020-2021 Berritini has played 16 matches in the slams, winning 12 times. Only 3 tiimes has he played a match of more than 3 sets when winning.
Two bets I like are Berritini in 3 sets and under 35.5  games. For me the 3:0 set score is a good option at odds of 1.75 , as I think you may see 1 breaker here.
 
Ivashka v J. Thompson
Neither look too flash so far, though Ivashka over Chardy was a good win. Thompson having played a 5 setter and a 4 setter may be feeling it, and I would be going Ivashka here.
 
Auger-Alissime v Kyrigos
 
 
Alissime has been working very hard with Toni Nadal. Conditioning makes a huge difference, as it slows/ reduces the mental fatigue. This guy is super fit and highly motivated. One thing that stood out in his match with Ymer, was how tough the court was to play on. Shadows all over the place, which makes timing and seeing the ball really difficult.
Today this match is 2nd on court # 1 (after the Radacanu match). I just feel that Kyrigos may be a little tired and hurting.
Interesting in that Aliassime is 1.7 to win
I would rather take him to win 3:0 and in another bet win 3:1  (both of these at odds 4.1+).
 
Fritz v Zverev
 
Fritz has played 7 matches in the majors this year.  5 of these have been 4 sets or more. Samos-Vinoles, Opelka,  Djokovic, Koepfer, Nakashima, Johnston . In none of these matches have there been a 6-0 or 6-1 set. So this guy will not lie down, and is a tough competitor. Possibly an upset here, as Zverev could go off the rails.here.
I see a minimum of 4 sets here as the trend continues... and will take Fritz to win outright in a small long shot.
 
Federer v Norrie
 
The old Federer is making an appearance as the rust comes off his game. He is getting sharper and Sharper, and I don't think we' see a repeat of his forehand being so wobbly and inconsistent. Norrie has had a great year,  beating Dan Evans at the Australian, but he is not a world beater. Just a grinder, with a strange left handed style that takes some getting used to.
 
I think Fed wins this easily. The 3-0 scoreline in sets at 2.93 looks good and the under 38.5 games also at odds of 1.84
 
Medvedev v Cilic
 
Medvedev playing fantastico tennis. The match against Struff was excellent. Both players playing exceptional tennis. One of the matches of the tourn for me. And Medvedev had to play great to win ... no freebees there.
Medvedev is a 3 set machine. Played 14 matches at the majors this year and 11 of them have been 3 setters. Medvedev is deceptively good at returning serve, and should have Cilic in trouble early. Look for it, because if he has him under pressure early (first 3 serve games from Cilic struggling), it's a no contest.
For me Medvedev really justifies his 2nd seeding here, and could destroy Cilic.  I like the 0:3 set scoreline and the Aisan -5.5 for medvedev at 1.75
 
 
A couple of woman's matches look profitable. I don't think Kerber can be feeling too flash after a marathon in the previous round. I would be betting against her. I think Radacanu has a huge chance of upsetting Cirstea, especially  with the home crowd bringing such energy. For me Barty always looks vulnerable.
 
Kerber, Angelique v Sasnovich, Aliaksandra
2-Way Odds (12) 2
4.70
Cirstea, Sorana v Raducanu, Emma
2-Way Odds (12) 2
2.58
Barty, Ashleigh v Siniakova, Katerina
2-Way Odds (12) 2
3.96
Stake
Max. Payout
XXX
YYY.9
 
Just a longshot treble for a fiver at 48 to 1

I think if Norrie can win a set, he will go on to win the match because I don't think Roger can play at high levelfor more than 3 sets as I have seen him not able to put up a good fight in the 3rd set of non-slam matches.  Of course he is better prepared physically here so it's either Roger to win 3-0 if he can or loose the match to Norrie who is fit and can go on the miles though not an elite server.  So it will depend very much on Roger's performance in the 1st 3 sets and I am going to try a small bet on Norrie to beat RF @ 3.15 with Marathonbet.
 

I add one more for tomorrow.
Ostapenko (-3.0 Games) to beat Tomljanovic at 1.59 with Pinnacle
Ostapenko is 8-1 on grass this year and she's on a 7 winning streak. She won in Eastbourne (Pavlyuchenkova, Jabeur, Kasatkina, Rybakina and Kontaveit). In her first match here she destroyed Leylah Fernandez (6-1, 6-2) and then she struggled to beat Kasatkina (6-1, 3-6, 8-6). I knew that 2R match was like a toss coin cause Kasatkina was playing incredibly well, too (she reached the Final in Birmingham). Tomljanovic has a decent record on grass (27-23) but Ostapenko's record on this surface is much more impressive (32-15). Besides, Tomljanovic never has reached the 4th round in Wimbledon while Ostapenko reached the SFs here in 2018 and the QFs in 2017... not bad at all. In Birmingham Tomljanovic beat Mertens in 3 TBs and then she lost against Minnen in straight sets . In Eastbourne she beat Davis and then she lost against Giorgi, both in 2 sets. In her 1st match here she beat Minnen (6-2, 7-6) and then she beat Cornet (6-4, 0-6, 6-3). These players only have played once before and it was on clay (Rome 2021). Ostapenko won (6-2, 7-6). 

Kyrgios vs. FAA - First Set Score After 6 Games: 3-3 at 1.72 with bet365
Juvan (+5.5 Games) to beat Gauff at 1.52 with Pinnacle
As I said I have no bets for today so I'm taking a look at the matches for tomorrow. I think this one doesn't need to much explanation. These players have only played once before and it was in Queens in 2019. FAA won (6-7, 7-6, 7-5) and this bet was won in all sets. In fact, Kyrgios had 0 BPs in the whole match (0-0) and FAA had 2 (1-2). 
Juvan did well on grass in 2019. In Wimbledon, she beat McHale and Krystina Pliskova and she took a set from Serena in the 2nd round. Before that, she beat Minnen and Lisicki in Mallorca before losing against Jabeur in 2 tight sets (5-7, 6-7). This year, she started the grass season losing in a 3 set match against Muhammad in the 1st match of the qualification for Berlin. But now, she has destroyed Bencic (6-3, 6-3) and Burel (6-3, 6-4) in her first 2 matches here. I only saw her against Bencic and I was really surprised with how she played. Bencic played bad the first games of the match and Juvan took advantage of that. Then, Bencic raised her level but Juvan played incredibly good and she closed the match in 2 sets (6-3, 6-3). Gauff beat Jones (7-5, 6-4) and Vesnina (6-4, 6-3). I saw the first games of her match against Jones and I was surprised to see how Gauff struggled to break Jones' serve. Gauff played in Eastbourne, beating Mertens (0-6, 7-6, 7-5) and losing against Sevastova in a 3 set match. These players have played twice before. Juvan won the 1st match 6-3, 6-3 (French Open 2019). Gauff won the last one, played this year in Adelaide, but it was tight (3-6, 7-5, 6-3) and Gauff only won 6 points more than Juvan in the whole match. 

I'd agree with the better chance to win than Samsonova against Stephens.

That match is really hard to predict. I saw Mugu against Ferro and the 1st set of her match against Kerkhove and I saw Jabeur against Venus. Jabeur struggled to win the 1st set but, overall, both Mugu and Jabeur look great. They played once before (2020) and Mugu won but it was really tight (3-6, 6-3, 7-6) so I guess that's why you are expecting another tight match here. Personally I have no bets for today, I don't like anything.

Well, I will take a little risk for this one. I bet on Ivashka to win the whole match and I include Chardy to win a set!
Match Result and Both Players To Win a Set - Ivashka - Yes at 2.75 with bet365

Player to Reach Round - Bautista To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.83 with bet365
Player to Reach Round - Felix Auger Aliassime To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.53 with bet365
Player to Reach Round - Kvitova To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.72 with bet365
Who Will Go Further - Muguruza vs. Andreescu - Muguruza at 1.57 with bet365
RBA will play against Millman in the 1st round and then he will play against Bagnis or Kecmanovic, most likely against the serbian player. In the last edition RBA reached the SFs after beating Gojowczyk, Darcis, Khachanov, Paire and Pella. He lost in the SFs against Djokovic in a 4 set match. He dominates the h2h against Millman (5-1) and Kecmanovic (2-0). I wouldn't be surprised if he suffers but I expect him to win at least these 2 first rounds.
FAA will play against Monteiro in the 1st round round and then he will play against Tsonga or Mikael Ymer in the 2nd round. FAA has played really well in his last 2 tournaments on grass. He beat Harris, Humbert and Querrey in Stuttgart and then he beat Hurkacz, Federer and Giron in Halle. 
Kvitova will play against Stephens in the 1st round and then she will play Ahn or Watson in the 2nd round. Kvitova has played 4 matches on grass (3-1). She beat Piter, Ann Li and Podoroska and she lost in a 3 set match against Kerber (6-3, 4-6, 6-7). Stephens has not played a single match since the FO. Watson in the 2nd round could be a tricky opponent but Kvitova is better and she should beat her, too.
Muguruza did really bad in the last 2 editions here but she has been lucky with the draw. This time she comes here with better form after beating easily Cirstea and Rybakina in Eastbourne. She lost against Cornet in the QFs but she could have won that match (6-4, 3-6, 6-7). She will play against Ferro in the 1st round and Kuznetsova or Kerkhove in the 2nd round. Jabeur is the only player who can trouble her a little bit in the 3rd round and then she will face Swiatek, Bouzkova, Zvonareva or Martic in the 4th round. Andreescu has never won a main draw match here and she comes in a bad form. She has played 3 matches and she only has won 1. She lost against Cornet in Berlin (6-7, 5-7). After that, she beat McHale in a 3 set match but then she lost easily against Kontaveit (6-3, 6-3). She will play against Cornet again in the 1st round. If she beats her then she will have an easier opponent in the 2nd round (Minnen or Tomjlanovic) but then she will have to play Ostapenko or Kasatkina in the 3rd round and then Azarenka, Kontaveit or Vondrousova in the 4th round. She already lost in the 1st round in the FO (vs. Zidansek) and now, with this tricky draw, I wouldn't be surprised if she has another early bye here. Remember that if both players lose in the same round the bet is void.

Barrere to beat Botic Van de Zandschulp at 1.72 with William Hill
Kukushkin (vs. Bublik) To Win a Set - Yes at 1.72 with bet365
Kenin (-3.5 Games) to beat Xinyu Wang at 1.85 with William Hill
I take Barrere over Botic cause the french player has passed the qualification brilliantly despite having one of the toughest draws (Fratangelo, Stakhovsky and Jung). He has a game that suits on grass and he has good record on this surface (16-8). Botic had an easier draw (Lorenzi, Celikbilek and Trungelliti) but he lost in his last match against Trungelliti in 4 sets. He only has played 5 matches on grass and he has a negative record (2-3) so Barrere is the right favorite. Besides, these players have played 2 times before (2020 and 2021) and Barrere has won both. 
I take Kukushkin to win at least one set against Bublik. Kukushkin has had a very bad year (6-15) but he's a good player on grass. In the last edition here he reached the 4th round after beating Andujar, Isner and Struff, not bad at all... He lost in the 4th round against Nishikori but he took a set from him. Bublik beat Kukushkin easily in Eastbourne (6-1, 6-4) just 3 days ago and these odds are clearly influenced by that. I expect a better performance from Kukushkin this time and I think he should take at least one set. 
Kenin has not played a single match since the FO while Xinyu has passed the qualification without dropping a single set (Robin Anderson, Kostova and Smitkova). That being said, I can't imagine Kenin losing in the 1st round against a player whose best ranking ever is 135. Kenin never has done nothing remarkable here but she passed the 1st round in the last 2 editions. Besides, she demonstrated how good she can be on grass when she won in Mallorca after beating Flipkens, Jabeur, Mertens, Sevastova and Bencic. Kenin will play with no pressure cause nobody see her as a candidate and that's what makes her a dangerous player here. Kenin did very bad in the AO and in the FO but this is a completely different case. In Australia she was the current champion and in the FO she was a current finalist but now she will play with no pressure cause she never has done nothing here so she has nothing to lose.
This is what I have for now. Probably will add something later..

1 pick for the Wimbledon qualification matches today:

EBDEN-FERY 2:0 sets @ 1.52 at several bookies

Ebden was unlucky not to win in two sets yesterday, as he totally dominated the match. Now he plays 18 years old local wild card player with no significant results even in juniors.