Robinnho
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Posts posted by Robinnho
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In the "ball-bashing" match, if it is tied at 1-1, think Osaka would have the decider easier than the first 2 sets as she is in a "better" shape - fitness and stamina wise - to tackle a 3rd set which will be too much for Williams to handle with a very hard-hitting opponent. And of course everyone knows that this match is also very likely to decide the winner of the AO WTA 2021.
- CzechPunter, darko08 and K8a
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I am looking at Pavlyunchenkova to beat Kasatkina @ 2.62 offered by Bet365.
Any info. on why the odds is so high for Pav? She is not interested in the "looser" trophy?
Hope for some advice on this bet which I see is 50-50.
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23 hours ago, DrO said:
It's just my perspective. Nothing more than that.
I mostly bet on football and basketball..i guess everyone should go with what suits him..Sure! I am also more on betting football & basketball and occasionally tennis, (ice) hockey, handball, American football....... so I know what you mean. The biggest difference between football/basketball and tennis betting is a team sport and an individual - here talking about "single" only - sport. A team sport betting involve more factors on the outcome of the match, more players, coach decisions in tactics on all players as a team, substitutions, etc, etc. and in football the "red card" thing with less player/s on the field causing unequal competition and the "penalty" thing decision by refrees especially in additional (used to called "injury") minutes.
So at the end of the day, there is no easy pick due to the "well managed" handicap system. In tennis, a 2-1 (best of 3 sets) or a 2-0 is a win. In football/basketball a 1 goal/point, 2 goals/points............... is a win. So when you think you see a strong team/player vs a "weak" team/player, there is still this handicap to clear. You can't be betting on 1.10 to 1.20 win because in the long run, you will loose! This is because of the conspiracy "theory" which is easy to "fix" 1 point, 2 point.......... as long as it is a win and in football a draw for a "strong" team which does not need to win. So it is down to your luck NOT to be involved in these "conspired" matches unless you are a big time punter with insider info. These "conspiracy" things are facts as there are players/refrees caught and fined, jailed and/or banned.............. and shot (to deaf). This thing even happened in the FIFA World Cup venue selection committee!
These are just my perspective.
- DrO and CzechPunter
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5 hours ago, liquidglass said:
Two things I am going to say in opposition to this pick. The first is that women's tennis has come a long way already where the gap between the very good and good is hardly noticeable. I believe that aside match experience, Kostyuk is as good as any top tier player today and is at a stage in her career where she should hold no fears against anyone. I wrote about her a few times last year because of the raw potential that I saw in her crying out to explode. She beat Soribes yesterday from that innate belief. I believe that she beats kudermentova today and rolls one. Secondly this forum as i know has a big negative record when one pick is seconded by a different person as in two entries. This one seconded by Czech. Nothing to do with the pickers, more to do with the trend. I am believing trend continues. Kostyuk for the win here. Should have the more penetrating ground strokes. Good luck
I agree with this pick for the tennis played by Kostyuk and not so much about the "seconded" thing. Kuder may be more experience and mature than the young Kostyuk who is not so consistent and blows hot and cold. The most important is her desire to win and targeted to reach the top-50 this season. Tennis wise, the underdog's odds does not suggest her chance of winning but in my opinion closer to 50-50.
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I have also watched part of Gasanova (against Karo P) and Sorribes (against Pera) last matches. Especially Sorribes' match, it is not possible to stay watching for, I think more than 4 hours especially if you are not betting. The match took like more than 3 1/2 hours to complete - the longest match in 2021 so far. Like Darko08 described Sorribes is a wall, she is nothing special but her persistence and fighting spirit is spectacular. Playing with players about her standard, she can put the ball "inside the court" most of the time - consistency - and almost every point won came with long rallies. Gasanova may have played well to beat Karo P in 2 sets but I could see Karo's rustiness and non-readiness to compete, putting many balls "out of the court" - unforce error.
In conclusion, it is not impossible for Gasanova to beat Sorribes especially the latter played the last double match of yesterday but it will take another big performance to break down the "wall" and persistence of Sorribes and/or an off day for Sorribes. As I could see the excitement of Gasanova in every point she won (n her previous matches), it showed that she is still "green" and a novice in the WTA tour. Therefore it will be difficult for her to hold her nerves if points have to be won through hard-earned long rallies as compared to her previous matches.
- CzechPunter and darko08
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On 1/5/2021 at 4:44 PM, CzechPunter said:
Fiona Ferro to beat Vera Zvonareva at 1.83 with Bet365
Alright, welcome to the new season! It's hard to come up with well-backed picks now for obvious reasons, but I like this one. Fiona Ferro made a lot of progress last season despite missing out on its final stages. She's still improving and with enough potential to remain in the top 50. She's been facing top opposition for a while and not without success. Meanwhile, Zvonareva was a top player a few years back, but she hasn't done much of note in recent years. A failed comeback, you'd say, and I'm not sure what she has left anymore. She played a bit in 2020, but generally a level below Ferro, so I'll side with the younger and more hopeful player in this one.
This match is cancelled.
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20 hours ago, vvararu said:
Thiem seems extremely uninterested in today's game so far :))))
Yes it was a "training" match for him in preparation of the SF.
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45 minutes ago, liquidglass said:
I think the motivation in this match solely rests on Rublev's shoulders. Thiem has qualified and can decide to do anything as we have seen from past experiences in round robin matches. And this idea of Rublev already being on vacation is really a figure of speech for all intents and purposes. On the head to head count, pride or financial reward, Rublev still has a lot to play for. Rublev at least wins a set and possibly more here.
Yes, agree. Speaking about motivation, definitely more on Rublev side and even DT was motivated, Rublev also knew how to win this match-up. Therefore the chance of Rublev winning I reckon much higher than the odds suggest.
- CzechPunter, liquidglass, Torque and 1 other
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11 hours ago, Angelindo said:
Hello! I see ur point in taking advantage of the odd on thiem, but isnt it saffer to go with the over games?
Thiem was amazing against tsi, his serve was outrageous! Nadal isnt the same beast here that he is on clay, but still... its nadal (rublev super disappointing, expected more from him since nadal wasnt that good in the previous hard inddor tourn). My point, I cant predict a winner here ahah but I can see both of them closing their serves and going deep in the sets.
1st time making a comment, so if what a said was stupid just ignore ahah
Cheers from portugal guys, keep up the good work.
I also agree with and take Over 22.5 games............. 1.92 @ 1XBet
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After watching both their 1R matches, this is a 50-50 match and in fact Minnen is raring to go into Top 100.
Take Minnen to beat Krejcikoba at +£$..................... 2.33 @Unibet
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Millman to beat Kecmanovic at 2.33 @ Pinnacle
I think is a 50-50 matchup as Kecmanovic has not played since RG and will be a bit "rusty"
Moreover H2H 1-0 and Kecmanovic is in bad form!
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Putintseva to beat Sansnovich @1.70
Better form, better ranked and leading H2H all pointing to this win.
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11 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Christian Garin to beat Mikhail Kukushkin at 1.84 with Pinnacle
To be fair, I didn't see much of Garin, but Balazs was a joke and Kukushkin struggled nonetheless. He played very average on serve and with no energy from the back of the baseline, Garin is way better in terms of ceilings nowadays and should be able to get under Kukushkin's skin.
Hope Garin has adapted to the fast-pace court. He is better in "slower" courts.
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2 hours ago, bet4fun said:
I agree.. barty is a bit shaky but my worry is if she gets past the semis she will win the australian open
I also agree with you that Barty will go on to win the AO at home ground.
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Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle
Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent. Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure. She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.
- darko08, Grass Cash, CzechPunter and 1 other
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I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle..
Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay. She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player.
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9 hours ago, fizrukas said:
Stefanos Tsitsipas (-3.5) to beat Milos Raonic || 1.89 @ OLYBET
Don't know its good or bad that greek had extra day to rest or whatever he did, but i guess he should be prepared for this. This is typical game where you expect tie-break fest, fact that Milos is a ridiciulous server, but i have some questions about his ability last long in big games. He can win a set, but i think that Stefanos just to much for him. He is way smarter like a player, he had a great year of 2019, beating some top guys on big tournaments, and i believe that he'll get though here. One break early on and it could go really messy for the canadian. In case Tsitsipas loses in tie-break he, still got -4.5, that can be covered in smth like 6:3. Overall i cant see him losing here, for safe bet you just can pick him around 1.38! GL ?
I gree with you on this bet.
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Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle.
Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.
- freeyourself84 and CzechPunter
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Tsitsipas has made a great challenge and exhausted himself but NADAL has showed why he is the current #1 in the world by defeating him 6-7, 6-4, 7-5. Therefore I will take TSITSIPAS to loose in the SF against FEDERER or THIEM - depending on the last R-R match - who is more rested;
- Rey86, vvararu and CzechPunter
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Taking the more motivated Nadal -2.5 vs Tsitsipas who has already qualified for the SF. Nadal has to win to have any chance of playing the SF depending on the outcome of the last round-robin match. Tsitsipas should not be exerting himself too much in this match to reserve his energy for the SF.
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A Riske to beat M Sakkari @ 2.30 with William Hill
At most 50-50 but I am giving Riske a 60-40 chance of winning at good odds. Given odds, Sakkari as favourite is probably based on her higher ranking and she beat Svitolina in San Jose but Svitolina was off form and not-so-fit at the moment. Sakkari then went on to loose to S. Zheng in straight sets. A. Riske is comparable to S. Zheng at the moment.
Cheers
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3 hours ago, vvararu said:
I would be careful. Maybe +1.5 sets to Ruud. The 20 years boy is playing pretty good and the fact that Ramos has been playing almost every day in last 2-3 weeks might have a role here.
Ramos still going strong!
Won 7-5, 6-4?
Tennis Tips - February 22 - February 28
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Ha, Ha, Ha................ small profit for beer and cigarettes