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Robinnho

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Everything posted by Robinnho

  1. I am looking at Pavlyunchenkova to beat Kasatkina @ 2.62 offered by Bet365. Any info. on why the odds is so high for Pav? She is not interested in the "looser" trophy? Hope for some advice on this bet which I see is 50-50.
  2. Sure! I am also more on betting football & basketball and occasionally tennis, (ice) hockey, handball, American football....... so I know what you mean. The biggest difference between football/basketball and tennis betting is a team sport and an individual - here talking about "single" only - sport. A team sport betting involve more factors on the outcome of the match, more players, coach decisions in tactics on all players as a team, substitutions, etc, etc. and in football the "red card" thing with less player/s on the field causing unequal competition and the "penalty" thing decision by refrees especially in additional (used to called "injury") minutes. So at the end of the day, there is no easy pick due to the "well managed" handicap system. In tennis, a 2-1 (best of 3 sets) or a 2-0 is a win. In football/basketball a 1 goal/point, 2 goals/points............... is a win. So when you think you see a strong team/player vs a "weak" team/player, there is still this handicap to clear. You can't be betting on 1.10 to 1.20 win because in the long run, you will loose! This is because of the conspiracy "theory" which is easy to "fix" 1 point, 2 point.......... as long as it is a win and in football a draw for a "strong" team which does not need to win. So it is down to your luck NOT to be involved in these "conspired" matches unless you are a big time punter with insider info. These "conspiracy" things are facts as there are players/refrees caught and fined, jailed and/or banned.............. and shot (to deaf). This thing even happened in the FIFA World Cup venue selection committee! These are just my perspective.
  3. I agree with this pick for the tennis played by Kostyuk and not so much about the "seconded" thing. Kuder may be more experience and mature than the young Kostyuk who is not so consistent and blows hot and cold. The most important is her desire to win and targeted to reach the top-50 this season. Tennis wise, the underdog's odds does not suggest her chance of winning but in my opinion closer to 50-50.
  4. I have also watched part of Gasanova (against Karo P) and Sorribes (against Pera) last matches. Especially Sorribes' match, it is not possible to stay watching for, I think more than 4 hours especially if you are not betting. The match took like more than 3 1/2 hours to complete - the longest match in 2021 so far. Like Darko08 described Sorribes is a wall, she is nothing special but her persistence and fighting spirit is spectacular. Playing with players about her standard, she can put the ball "inside the court" most of the time - consistency - and almost every point won came with long rallies. Gasanova may have played well to beat Karo P in 2 sets but I could see Karo's rustiness and non-readiness to compete, putting many balls "out of the court" - unforce error. In conclusion, it is not impossible for Gasanova to beat Sorribes especially the latter played the last double match of yesterday but it will take another big performance to break down the "wall" and persistence of Sorribes and/or an off day for Sorribes. As I could see the excitement of Gasanova in every point she won (n her previous matches), it showed that she is still "green" and a novice in the WTA tour. Therefore it will be difficult for her to hold her nerves if points have to be won through hard-earned long rallies as compared to her previous matches.
  5. Yes, agree. Speaking about motivation, definitely more on Rublev side and even DT was motivated, Rublev also knew how to win this match-up. Therefore the chance of Rublev winning I reckon much higher than the odds suggest.
  6. I do not have to worry who wins the match................... My bet won!!!
  7. After watching both their 1R matches, this is a 50-50 match and in fact Minnen is raring to go into Top 100. Take Minnen to beat Krejcikoba at +£$..................... 2.33 @Unibet 😊
  8. Millman to beat Kecmanovic at 2.33 @ Pinnacle I think is a 50-50 matchup as Kecmanovic has not played since RG and will be a bit "rusty" Moreover H2H 1-0 and Kecmanovic is in bad form!
  9. Putintseva to beat Sansnovich @1.70 Better form, better ranked and leading H2H all pointing to this win.
  10. Hope Garin has adapted to the fast-pace court. He is better in "slower" courts.
  11. I also agree with you that Barty will go on to win the AO at home ground.
  12. Muruguza ML to beat Bertens @1.70 with Pinnacle Bertens has played well to beat Diyas but now Muruguza is a class better than her previous opponent. Muruguza is recovering her form and confident as a former 2-Slam winner, a "big stage" player who can keep her calm and composure. She is playing better as the AO progress showing no sign of virus illness at the moment, therefore I find 1.70 - though the odd has already dropped a little - is a great value for her to dispose Bertens and rightfully be in the final 8 of the AO.
  13. I am going on Bertens to beat Diyas @1.50 with Pinnacle.. Though Bertens lost in the only H2H but that was more then 4 years ago when she performed better on clay. She has since improved on the hard court last few years and Diyas is by no mean an "Elite" player. 😊
  14. Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle. Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.
  15. Tsitsipas has made a great challenge and exhausted himself but NADAL has showed why he is the current #1 in the world by defeating him 6-7, 6-4, 7-5. Therefore I will take TSITSIPAS to loose in the SF against FEDERER or THIEM - depending on the last R-R match - who is more rested;
  16. Taking the more motivated Nadal -2.5 vs Tsitsipas who has already qualified for the SF. Nadal has to win to have any chance of playing the SF depending on the outcome of the last round-robin match. Tsitsipas should not be exerting himself too much in this match to reserve his energy for the SF. 😊
  17. A Riske to beat M Sakkari @ 2.30 with William Hill At most 50-50 but I am giving Riske a 60-40 chance of winning at good odds. Given odds, Sakkari as favourite is probably based on her higher ranking and she beat Svitolina in San Jose but Svitolina was off form and not-so-fit at the moment. Sakkari then went on to loose to S. Zheng in straight sets. A. Riske is comparable to S. Zheng at the moment. Cheers
  18. Zopp leading 4-1 in the 1st set. With the interruption, Lorenzi has all the opportunity to make a come back!
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