jamiedavies02

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About jamiedavies02

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    Legend Punter

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    jamie.d02

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  1. National League Ratings Slightly different to my normal ratings as shot data more diificult to come by for this league. These ratings are based around Pythagorean Expectation using goals for and against.... Bromley are of interest for Promotion at 40/1. They rank 4th on my ratings over the last 32 matches, 6th over 24, 5th over 16 and 6h over 8. They currently sit 9th 1 point outside the play offs with a game in hand, They can't reach 2nd or 3rd so they will have to start in the qualifying round and will more than likely be away for both matches before a potential final at Wembley. The 40/1 is more than fair taking everything into account
  2. Championship Predictions > Apr 24th - 28th

    Big nights for Fulham and Brentford who don't even kick a ball; a victory for Cardiff away at Derby will see the hosts slip out of the play off places on my projections....
  3. Poland Ekstraklasa 2017/18

    1 match down 6 more to go; all 3 of the title contenders lost last weekend, Lech Poznan have been pushed out to 7/2 with Betway...
  4. Championship Predictions > Apr 20th & 21st

    Not one for the weekend in the strictest terms but here seems the most appropriate place; Brentford are available at 10/1 for a Top 6 Finish. They currently reside in 10th spot 4 points off the Play Off places with 3 games remaining. Fulham or Cardiff are already assured of the Play off berth with Aston Villa almost certain to join them. Brentfords final 3 matches are QPR (h), Barnsley (a) and Hull (h) - I make them no more than 6/1 to win all 3 matches which would take them to 74 points, 5 points more than Middlesbrough and Millwall currently (final 2 occupiers) have. The teams currently residing between 5th and 11th all have much tougher run-ins and in some instances will be taking points off each other; Boro Derby (a), Millwall (h), Ipswich (a) Millwall Fulham (h), Boro (a), Aston Villa (h) Derby Boro (h), Cardiff (h), Aston Villa (a), Barnsley (a) Preston Norwich (h), Sheff Utd (a), Burton (h) Sheff Utd Birmingham (a), Preston (h), Bristol City (a) Bristol City Hull (h), Nottm Forest (a), Sheff Utd (h)
  5. La Liga Predictions > Apr 17th - 19th

    Updated Ratings (in league order) I like Over 10.0 Asian Corners @ 1.875 with Bet365 in Depor v Sevilla kicking off in just over an hour. Over the last 32 Depor matches there have been on average of 10.78 corners with 56% over 10.5, in this period their home matches are averaging 10.06 with 50% over 10.5. Sevillas last 32 matches have averaged 10.75 again with 56% going over 10.5; their away matches averaging 11.00 with 56% going over 10.5.
  6. NFL 2018/19

    Very early days with a good few months of the start of the 2018/19 season... I've adapted my ratings based on pythagorean expectation to the NFL; Ratings Play Off Projection
  7. Aintree Grand National Tips & Trends 2018

    Plenty to like about Vieux Lion Rouge...
  8. NBA 2018

    Based on pure numbers generated over the past 32 matches yes; over this period they haven't been at their best going 18-14 in W/L. It's important to note that their "big 4" players haven't all been on court together too often over that period. If you look at the 64-match ratings they move up to 3rd in their conference, that being said they have had their worst season in the last 4.
  9. 2018 Twins.

    How do you see them fairing this season? My latest ratings have them projected as number 1 seeds in their conference?
  10. NRL 2018

    Up to date ratings ahead of this weekends matches.... New Features 1-scr: P - Number of last 32 matches which have been decided by 1 score or less (inc draws); I'm counting 1-scr as 6 points, a converted try. WR - % of those matches won. Over the course of time this fugure should be arounf 0.500, slightly higher for the better teams, slightly lower for the worse teams Blowout - Number of last 32 matches which have been decided by more than 1 score (7+ points). WR - % of those matches won.Over the course of time the higher this % the more dominant a team can be determined to be Takeaways Melbourne Storm have been the most dominant, Canberra unlucky not have one more 1 score matches
  11. Super League 2018

    Up to date ratings ahead of this weekends matches.... New Features 1-scr: P - Number of last 32 matches which have been decided by 1 score or less (inc draws); I'm counting 1-scr as 6 points, a converted try. WR - % of those matches won. Over the course of time this fugure should be arounf 0.500, slightly higher for the better teams, slightly lower for the worse teams Blowout - Number of last 32 matches which have been decided by more than 1 score (7+ points). WR - % of those matches won.Over the course of time the higher this % the more dominant a team can be determined to be Takeaways St Helens the most dominate side, Wakefield unlucky not to have won more 1-scr games; Leeds the opposite
  12. MLB 2018

    I've decided to adapt and trial my Pythagorean Ratings to baseball; up to date ratings (in league order below)..
  13. NBA 2018

    Updated ratings; it's almost Play Off time... Top rated Utah Jazz available at 100/1 for NBA glory....
  14. Poland Ekstraklasa 2017/18

    I've had a gander at the Ekstraklasa ouutrights ahead of the Championship/ Relegation rounds which get underway this weekend. As you can see below Lech Poznan top my ratings over the last 8, 16, 24 and 32 matches. Over the last 32 Ekstraklasa matches (includes the final 2 fixtures from last season) they have the highest ppg, won by a 2+ margin more than any other side and lost by a 2+ margin the least. Betway have them at 3/1 to claim the title. Going into the Championship round they hold 1 point advantage over Legia and Jagiellonia. One cause for concern would be their poor away form - just 3 wins all season, but they host both their nearest rivals in the run in, Jagiellonia also host Legia.