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About jamiedavies02

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    Legend Punter

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  1. Euro 2020 Outright Ante-Post

    The performances of Serbia thus far in the World Cup mean quotes of 150/1 are of interest to me at this early stage. Key players such as Milenkovic (22), Milojevic (29), Matcic (31), Kostic (27), Milinkovic-Savic (25), Tadic (31) and Mitrovic (25) should still be around the squad; infact only 5 of the current World Cup squad are currently aged over 30 so the vast majority of the squad will (barring injury) be available for selection in 2 years time
  2. Brazil Serie A Predictions 2018

    Shots ratings; Projections;
  3. Ratings based on pythagorean expectation;
  4. Ratings based on pythagorean expectation;
  5. Ratings based on pythagorean expectation;
  6. MLS Cup 2018

    Updated projections and ratings... I've added Houston Dynamo (20/1 Betway) to my portfolio. The Texans are projected to finish 2nd in the Western Conference which will mean they bypass the knockout round. They also rank 3rd on my Western Conference ratings and 5th overall. 20/1 is the wrong price for me. Already advised; Orlando (50/1, now 33/1) - flirted with the play offs in mu projections, have dropped out in recent weeks but their rating is steadily improving RSL (50/1, still 50/1) - projected to finish 3 points outside the play offs, however their rating has been steady Toronto (6/1, now 20/1) - Had a woeful start due to Champions League distractions, they're now out of the way hopefully they can kick on and climb up the table Sporting Kansas (25/1, now 9/1) - Projected as the number 1 seed in the West with the the conferences top rating and 3rd overall
  7. Asian Champions League Predictions 2018

    The 6/1 available about Jeonbuk Motors to win the ACL Outright represents excellent vlaue. So-called Chinese powerhouses Guangzhou Evergrande and Shanghai SIPG have already crashed out of this seasons competition pathing the way for Jeonbuk, a side who topmy Korean ratings, from a nation that have won 4 of the last 9 renewals within a region that has won 8 of the last 9 finals. They play fellow Koreans Suwon Bluewings in the Quarter Finals, if their league match prices are anyting to go by they'll be favs for this, they'll meet Tianjin or Kashima in the semis, they were favs both home and away to Tianjin in the group stages whilst Kashima and Suwon shared favouritsim when they met in the group stages suggesting Jeonbuk will be favourites should they meet the Japanese side. As already stated the Eastern region has won 8 of the last 9 finals so you have got to have the Eastern side favs going into that. In the other half of the draw the top 2 sides in Iran meet the top 2 sides in Qatar - for me the slight edge goes to the Qatari sides who since 2013/14 lead the head to head over Iranian sides 12-11-8, over this samer period Qatari sides have an overall win rate of 0.560 comapred to 0.510 of Iran.
  8. Champions League Predictions > May 26th

    Real Madrid are underpriced in all markets for me - if we go back to the start of the season it was pretty much pickum for La Liga between Real and Barce whilst Liverpool were 14/1 5th favs for the Prem. Now I get there's been a lot of football played in the meantime and I know Real finished some 17 points behind Barcelona, but on my ratings there isn't much between the two Spanish sides - the difference being Barce have better save and conversion rates. In fairness Liverpool are 2nd on my ratings only behind Man City. I do think the gap has closed between Real and Liverpool but not as much as the market suggests, Reals strength in depth and their previous Champions League finals experience is another factor in their favour. Real Madrid to win @ 23/20 (general) Real Madrid to lift the trophy @ 4/6 (general)
  9. Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions 2018

    Swedish ratings and projections...
  10. Norway » Eliteserien 2018 Season

    Norwegian ratings and projections...
  11. FA Cup & Scottish FA Cup Predictions > May 19th

    My Premier League ratings... Over 32 matches I make Chelsea the better team - they should be slight favs for me, happy to back them at around even money to lift the trophy.
  12. MLS Cup 2018

    6 wins on the spin sees Orlando creep into play off projections; they face a difficult run of games with Atlanta (h), Toronto (a) and NYCFC (h) coming up in their next 4 games, the other match in that sequence could be pivotal to their pay off chances as they host Chicago who are projected to finish 2 points behind them.
  13. League One Final Ratings Play Off Selection Rotherham @ 9/4 (general) League Two Final Ratings Play Off Selection Lincoln @ 5/2 (general)
  14. Final Championship Ratings Play Off Selection Aston Villa @ 11/4 (general)
  15. Bellew v Haye 2 Predictions

    My recollection of the first fight is that Haye won every round until the injury (round 5/6 i think) - something that is being overlooked in my opinion. That fight was over a year ago so I do intend to rewatch it before coming to a final conclusion. That being said you could say that that was Bellews plan;let Haye take the early rounds and come on late when he gases. Obviously we got robbed of the opportunity to see how that would have played out should both fighters remained fit. At this stage I'm considering dutching Haye 1-6 at 21/10 with Bellew outright at 2/1 which pays around 1/2, another option would be to replace Bellew outright with Bellew 7-12 and points; this pushes the price out to around 4/6