DrO

Marin Cilic (-1.5 sets) to beat Dusan Lajovic @1.70  local bookie

I'm aware of the fact that Cilic isn't in the best shape,but neither is Lajovic. I've seen Lajovic's match agaist Daniel and i can tell you that he was pretty poor and very lucky to win. He won't stand a chance with that kind of performance against Cilic. Also i think he will struggle with Cilic's agressive shots.

Garbine Muguruza Blanco (+4.5 games) to beat Serena Williams @1.72  local bookie

A little risky bet i admit,but i think that somehow Garbine was always a bad matchup for Serena. Serena won over Azaranka but Vika is not a shadow of a player she was. I'm not sure that Muguruza has what it takes to win the match,but i hope she can cover this line.

Andreescu (vs.Voegele) + Schwartzmann (vs.Carballes Baena) @1,69  local bookie 
Canadian girl Andreescu is still flying high while Voegele is real "blast from the past" in IW this week. Still..i think her run ends here...DIego should be too strong for Spaniard even he also had couple strange results lately 

And that exactly what happened.

A double parlay for me tonight
Andreescu (vs.Begu) + Yastremska (vs.Gavrilova) @1,72 (local bookie)

Young Canadian girl is the biggest revelation of the new season so far. At least when i'm concerned. Great talent followed by good results already. Begu is solid,experienced and very resilient player but more a clay court player i would say. She recently beat Andreescu in Fed Cup,but in significantly different conditions. She won't have this advantage tonight. 
Yastremska is another big prospect with more than solid start of the season. She even won a tournament in China on hard court. Gavrilova..she's in mess right now losing all the matches in the season so far. I know that she's going to end this losing run sooner or later,but let's hope this will not happen tonight.

PSG vs Manchester United
The one tie that people are already writing off as done and dusted is this match-up between Ligue 1 runaway leaders PSG and Premier League side Manchester United. The French side secured a 2-0 away win in the first leg and the pair face each other in an 8pm kick-off at the Parc des Princes tonight.
PSG have maintained a winning record since the first leg a few weeks back. Thomas Tuchel's men have won all four of their league matches with relative ease. It's giving their fans hope that they can get the job done at home in this game. The stats suggest PSG have a 95% chance of progressing to the next round.
Manchester United are still doing well under interim manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer but it's not been an easy ride. The Red Devils battled to a 0-0 draw with rivals and title challengers Liverpool but also had a scare on the weekend in a 3-2 win over Southampton.
No side has ever progressed to the next round of the Champions League having lost the first leg at home by two or more goals. This has happened on 34 separate occasions. So United are immediately up against the odds. PSG have also only lost 1 of their last 16 Champions League matches at home. It's hard to imagine they'll lose this one by two goals or more.
The bad omens continue to come in. None of the past six English sides that have faced PSG in the Champions League have managed to take a victory away from the Parc des Princes. In fact, only one English club has managed to do that and it was a Chelsea side managed by Jose Mourinho back in 2004.
We can expect goals to be scored here. PSG are famously attacking in the Champions League having scored 35 goals in their last 10 home games in the competition. However, they haven't managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 home encounters in the competition.
I can see United giving it a real good go tonight. For all the effort and gusto they might deliver I simply can't see them pulling this game back from the dead. It would be a near impossible task with even a great like Sir Alex Ferguson at the helm. We might witness an entertaining spectacle but I think PSG will do enough to hold on to the aggregate win.
BTTS @ 1.80 with Paddy Power
Manchester United +2 @ 1.67 with Betway

Alexei Popiryn (-3.5) to beat Jozef Kovalik @1.65 local bookie

Decent odds on Popiryn here. Alexei is playing good tennis from the beginning of the season,while Kovalik haven't play a single match since USO last year. Also,i think Kovalik is more a clay court "specialist".

Alexei Popiryn (-3.5) to beat Jozef Kovalik @1.65 local bookie

Decent odds on Popiryn here. Alexei is playing good tennis from the beginning of the season,while Kovalik haven't play a single match since USO last year. Also,i think Kovalik is more a clay court "specialist".

If the odds are about the same, I'd prefer the games handicap in this particular case, as Kovalik could potentially fall away in the decider with no match fitness.

Alexei Popiryn (-3.5) to beat Jozef Kovalik @1.65 local bookie

Decent odds on Popiryn here. Alexei is playing good tennis from the beginning of the season,while Kovalik haven't play a single match since USO last year. Also,i think Kovalik is more a clay court "specialist".

Interesting spot @sajtion
I've been looking at the metrics and I think the price on Parma is slightly off here.
I make Parma +0.50 AH line to be between 1.67 - 1.82
So have backed Parma +0.50 @ 1.934 Matchbook
Empoli V Parma is a very unpredictable game in my view but markets have opened the door to a value bet on the away side.

Liverpool will win this today... Bayern with some troubles over the whole Season in Defensive and they have this season big Problems with Counter Attacks from the Opponents. And that is big Liverpool Advantage with this Offensive. Also Bayern Winger Coman is bid doubt, will he miss it would be tough for Bayern...
Also German Teams never looking good, when they must played in England. So for me Liverpool to win with medium Stakes and the AHC -1.5 with very small Stake.
Also Liverpool didn´t play at Weekend so they had over 1 Week to prepare for this Game, while Bayern showed not a good Performance against Augsburg. If they didn´t show a very good Game tonight it can be terrible Night for them...

Not so much Time today, but i think we can made some Profit today because Fixtures and first Matchweek after Winter-Break are good for todays bet.
For me today i like Hoffenheim to Win. I´ve wrote it in last Weeks Preview against Munich. Hoffenheim in full of Fitness after Winter Break and made a good Game against Munich. Freiburg on other Side only 1 Lose at Home against Hoffenheim in all Time but for me today and what i see on first Game after Break - Hoffenheim can win this.
Then for me i play Away Win on Leverkusen but only on DNB. Leverkusen lost First Game at Home againts Gladbach, but they shouldn´t lose such a Game. Leverkusen with many Chances and today agaisnt Wolfsburg who for me are a not the Same Quality like Gladbach. Think now after Winter Break Wolfsburg will slip slowly down in Table.
Also i see Dortmund will smash Hannover today - simple Reason here is - that Hannover´s Squad isn´t good Enough. Should become 4-5 Goals from Bremen last Week, but they didn´t score only once. So i think Dortmund with his quality can made this heavy today.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten
Leverkusen AHC 0 @ 1.98 5/10 bet365
Dortmund AHC -2 @ 1.79 5/10 unibet

You can get odds around 2.15 for Nadal now.
I can't see any value in 1.80 for Nadal. Even 2.15 is questionable but obviously at those odds right now if you want to take a bet, then take Nadal at 2.15.
You might get better odds after the first service game Djokovic brings home.
No reason to take a pre game bet here. 
50/50 matchup, close odds, no value at all.
Leaning torwards Nadal as he LOOKED BETTER although both did well throughout the tournament but it was only a LOOK. This is a complete different matchup.

True, however, unlike Djokovic, he has not lost a set. He inexplicably lost a set to Shapovalov and was in command of the 2nd set against Medvedev but then lost it in a TB. Djokovic's serve looks quite vulnerable to be quite frank, something that I'm sure Nadal has noticed.
Nadal is playing on another level...

@DrO Well, what can I say, she's proving me wrong in this regard, but I'm still pretty sure that there are going to be a few tournaments in which she's going to go out R1/R2 while complaining about not having enough energy .

Berdych  The handicap line was for the entire match, not the first set!

Rafael Nadal (-5) to beat Tomas Berdych at 1.85 with Marathon
I watched both today and I can't see Berdych doing much even in his current form. The mental handicap is still going to be there most likely and Nadal's somewhat improved serve should be crucial in making the Czech suffer.

Mixed Doubles
S. Zhang/J. Peers -1.5 sets @ 2.25 Sbobet 4/10
Usually don't like those mixed doubles events as it's more a exo than a real tournament if women and men sharing a tennis court BUT i like this one as Fucsovics on the other side looked injured vs. Coric, took a medical timeout there and wasn't able to play near 100% there. I doubt he is going all in here.
Zhang and Peers already played three slams together in mixed doubles in 2018 and they won 5 of their 8 matches reaching the semifinal of the US Open finally. They should win this quite comfortably i think.

Tonight double:
Čorić 1,30
Pouille 1,72
 
Good luck!

For the first time in the season, Vallecano comes from two consecutive wins in the championship and, as logical, has attracted both her psychology and her hopes for staying in the Prize Division. Her last success, the double at Valladolid's headquarters, and he would have liked to crack the ... good, with a third three-pointer, this time against Celta. The team from Vigo disappointed in a big part this year, coming from home defeat from Bilbao with 2-1. Commonly, the two teams seem capable of all as a whole, but they can score once in the game
RAYO VALLECANO vs RC CELTA DE VIGO @@ Both team to score, odds 1.65

Probably because Muchova is overrated but mostly unknown reason

Muchova is overrated and Pliskova should win it quite easily. I watched a lot of Pliskova in Brisbane and she looked in superb shape. She is at least one class above Muchova. Can't see the Muchova hype by the way and i backed her vs. Yastremska at the beginning of the season but still no idea why she should beat Pliskova who is one of the favorites to win the whole tournament. Wouldn't even touch her at odds 5-6. 

Double parlay for me tonight

Iga Swiatek (vs.Bolsova Zadionov) + Badosa Gilbert (vs.Raina) @2.10 (local)

Swiatek is talented girl on the beginning of her professional career. She showed that she's very strong mentally as well,overturning the match with Olga Danilovic,winning tie-break in the decider. Iga won in the only match they played last year on Pelham ITF 62 61. It was on the clay,and i suppose that this surface will be even bigger advantage for Polish girl.
Badosa i think is better player than Raina and i really like her result in the previous round where she won over Denisa Allertova. 

GL
 

Double parlay for me tonight

Iga Swiatek (vs.Bolsova Zadionov) + Badosa Gilbert (vs.Raina) @2.10 (local)

Swiatek is talented girl on the beginning of her professional career. She showed that she's very strong mentally as well,overturning the match with Olga Danilovic,winning tie-break in the decider. Iga won in the only match they played last year on Pelham ITF 62 61. It was on the clay,and i suppose that this surface will be even bigger advantage for Polish girl.
Badosa i think is better player than Raina and i really like her result in the previous round where she won over Denisa Allertova. 

GL
 

Obviously the match did not go as I expected, but I guess that wining bet is all that counts. 

While i'm still thinking about Olga's match i did find something interesting in Men Q

C. Ruud - H.Laaksonen under 22.5 games @1.95 (local)
I think that bookies have something wrong here. Laaksonen's game is more suitable for indoor conditions than outdoor hard courts. And h2h is also speaking in favour of this bet 'cause Ruud have beaten him twice in relatively easy fashion. The last match was just a week ago at Playford Challenger and Casper won 63 64. I don't see what could change for Henri in 7 days.