Wildgarden

3 e/w for me main bet SOLCOMBE 8/1 2nd bet365 bog 5 places 8/1 if  this horse gets away  ok from the stalls should run a very big race longer trip should suit too, ALENQUER llost 50/1 bet365  5places not shown his best so far  in oz   will be peaked for this could outrun his price. ASHBURN 4th 40/1 betfair 5places  Another horse which is too big a price imo.  New Trainer has got this horse back for another crack at this race top jock booked.

I ran this through the computer as best I could and it also picked gold trip top rated ....so that seems a good Ew bet ....Ew wise it picked future history and serpentine ...but there's a question over distance with those two ....but Holly Doyle has her first ever ride on future history and she likes to break records so it would be no surprise to see her at least place if she stays ....so small Ew future history too 🤔

430 chelm 
Positive impact. 8.2 8/1 
Legend of leros 8.0 14/1 
Urban sprawl.   7.6 
5pt Ew top 2 

615 kemp 
Caragio 8.2 5/1 
Follow your heart. 8.0 17/2 
Zero carbon.  7.6 
Soar above  7.5 
5pt wins top 2 1pt rev forecast 
 

2.00 ain't 
Minella drama. 8.8 16/1 
Hitman.  8.6 4/1 
Difficult race to rate with a few novice types and one horse returning after 600 day layoff and the ground will be heavy  ....hitman finished 2nd in this last year and looks to have been aimed at it again but heavy ground ??...dangerous ...at a bigger price minella drama looks overpriced and won't mind the soft ...5pt wins both 

Flight deck 3rd !!....I'm happy with that ....pays at 13/1 so +40.00 on the day 😀

Only the one race catches my attention ...
3.00 chelt 
Espoir de romay.  8.7 16/1 
Party business.   8.6 20/1 
Flight deck. 8.3. 66/1 
Very open race and hard to know who's going to be fit ....and both top rated have had wind surgery so it could help or hinder but with 6 places on offer let's just play and see what happens. .  ....5pt Ew all 3 
Good luck all who play in this race 😁

7.00 wolv 
Intervention. 8.1 3.9 
Motagally. 7.7. 25.0 
8pts win intervention ....motagally 2pts 

335 wolv 
Bookies are going very short on caltonian here ...7/4....and I get it ...could be better than he looks so worthy fav ....with Galileo glass no pushover either at 4/1......but computer has flagged....Graceland girl ....as a dark horse selection  and I'm going to play this one at 14/1..Ew ....ran a pretty good race when last seen on aw and has been tried on turf since without showing much ....returns to aw off much reduced Mark as a result so if he has any talent then conditions are perfect now ....hence. ..dark horse 🙂...speculative but very good value 
5pts Ew Graceland girl 14/1

Ropey a gallent 2nd for ew "sheckels"

@Tedthewolf
It's in the lap of the gods if rain spoils it now ....I've rated the race on soft but if it rains it might go heavy ....rating currently is ...
Al mubhir. 8.8. 14/1 lads 
Sonny Liston. 8.5. 7/1 
Blue for you   8.2 
Coeur dor. 8.2 
Raadaburg. 8.1 
My idea of good outsider is Al mubhir .....but draw could be against him .....best drawn is sonny Liston in 7 with Ryan Moore onboard ...commands respect on that ....but value horse Def Al mubhir and I've had a tenner Ew at 14/1 with lads ...all the others are much shorter (as low as 11) ...for the haggas horse with Marquand aboard ...5 places 
 

Did the business ....around +40.00

830 newc 
I thought notable ran a really good race for the grade lto from what was a relatively poor draw so in my eyes it upgrades his performance so the 7/1 Ew looks a value bet tonight so I'm drawn to play 
5pt Ew notable 7/1 

2nd to a 22/1 ..jeez....8pts profit on night 

1st and 3rd 

8.00 chelm 
Katar.  8.0 3/1 
Tilswirth only ta  7.4 
Oisin Murphy is up on Katar tonight. ..should make a bold bid with all pieces in place 
Katar. 10pt win 

Some weird ones ...why get rid of horse with 16% s.r ....or 50!!...for that matter ...and yeah even the a.w is taking a pounding last couple days ....it's getting very slow on there ....I noticed a heavy ground horse won at big price so that shows you something .

7.00 chelm 
Batal Dubai.  8.2 11/4  
Cuban breeze.  8.0 6/1 
These 2 are a bit ahead of rest 
8pts batal ....4pts Cuban 
 

Placed
+£180
+£210 oct
-£373 10/07/23

Tough race because there are a few unknowns with horses transferring from fences .....but rated as follows 
November hcap 
Whiskey sour. 8.7 
Brouge  8.4 
Powerful Aggie.   8.1 
Raving royale.   8.0 
Lord Erskine. 8.0 
For me it looks Ew top 2 
Hard to know how well brouge will take the step up but he looks a progressive type .....for me it looks Ew on top 2 

Didn'thavemuchtodo                                         2 50 Naas/                          1/40th og a pt ew   14/1
Punchbowel Flyer                                               3 00 Naas/                          1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
 
 
 
P/L    + 173.25 pts

I'll give it a whirl ....give me half hour 😁

3.35 york 0.5 comb fc and  0.5 tc  TItian Certain Lad Scampi- 6pt invested

Lot Of Joy                                                        2 40 New/                      1/40th of a pt ew            50/1
The Very Man                                                 2 40 New/                      1/40th of a pt ew            40/1
Commander Crouch                                     4 25 New/                      1/40th of a pt ew            12/1
Minnetonka                                                    5 00 new/                       1/40th of a pt ew            33/1
Mr Wagu                                                         2 25 yrk/                         1/40th of a pt ew            25/1
Laugh a Minute                                             2 25 Yrk/                         1/40th of a pt ew            22/1
Tronador                                                        4 15 Chp/                        1/40th of a pt ew            33/1
Hurricane Ivor                                               4 35 Nas/                        1/40th of a pt ew            28/1
 
 
P/L   +173.65 pt

2,25 York fancy 3  e/w in this but only putting one up till i get 6 places BOG
1pt e/w  MAGICAL SPIRIT 33/1 6p not bog  will love the ground i think the draw is ok  mark in low 90's is fine can forgive bad run lto in the Ayr gold  cup has won and been placed in these big handicaps  can't see it go off 33's so have jumped in early without bog disappointed corals only paying 5 places in this  race   anyway can put bad run behind him and go well at a very generous price imo.
Edit- 2,25 York 2pts e/w  MR WAGYU 14/1 6p bog  would have like a bigger price  but hopefully will drift a bit looks to have a really big chance off current weight over due a win!!
2.40  NM  2 e/w  for me GOSHEN has a bit of  class  over hurdle looks  to have a very strong  chance in this not overly happy with 11/1  but  bog and  6 places helps a bit (10/1 8places with skybet  for anyone who they still let bet there!!!) 2pts e/w and 1.5pts e/w on 66/1 shot THE GRAND VISIR  is way, way over priced and will deffo outrun its price imho  great place chance imo again anyone with skybet can get 8 place its 6p bog for me.