Wildgarden

Give Me A Copper was just held off. 

!st & 3rd.

Wolves Trio 
415 PINK JAZZ 11/2 ew bet365 ( nb ). 1st 13/2
Trainer S.Curran 5/15 last saddled , horse previous CD winner has 1st time blinkers & tongue tie , T.Greatrex taking 3Lb off , good chance of place as is finding 1 or 2 better.
515 ARTISTIC STREAK 28/1 ew sky bet ( long shot ) 3rd 50/1
Is a previous distance winner , won time before last , E.McCain claiming the 7Lb in form of late , Dan Skelton has one entered , he can't have sent many to Wolves on a Saturday night in December before , worth noting !
615 QUIET PLACE 4/1 sky bet 
There's only Dundalk for Irish trainer J.W.Davison to send his horses to so on the back of 1 placed effort & two 4ths sends one across the seas to Wolves in this class 5 novice race.
Decent end to the day albeit the Irish raider was disappointing .
 
 
 
 

Decided to not bother with the ultra competitive races at Cheltenham, but look forward to watching them. 
 
1.15 Cheltenham, Gino Trail 33/1 ew
1.22 Hereford , Still Believing 17/2
2.32 Hereford , Fugitives Drift 15/8
3.15 Doncaster , Give Me A Copper 15/2

Now in to 10/1 so some support.

Dec +26
Few extras for me 
13.15 Chelt Born Survivor  14/1 Lost
13.50 Chelt Champagne Mystery 18/1 Lost
*15.22 Fair Presentingnewyork 10/1 Lost 
17.00 New Debawtry 28/1 NR
All prices as of now b365 
*against an odds on fav 
-3
Dec +23 
 

Have picked a couple of well handicaped horses running at Wolves tonight. They both seemed to be drifting in the betting but i do fancy them both e/w.
7.15-EL HOMBRE 9/1 e/w  4 places bog
8.16- PADDY POWER  17/2 e/w 3 places bog
Plus an e/w double

All prices Bet365:
12.20 Doncaster - 3pts win Defi Sacre @ 4/1
Very consistent type who was well in contention when coming to grief last time and also ran well on seasonal reappearance. The form of his two efforts that rounded off last season read very well now to suggest this mark isn't beyond him and I think he wins this with a clear round.
1.15 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Born Survivor @ 14/1
I thought a few of these were potentially handicapped to the hilt and Born Survivor has had excuses on quite a lot of his chasing starts - bled from the nose last time out, has run after absences a couple of times and a lot of his novice runs have come in top company. I think two miles might be his best trip in competitive races and looks quite a handy price considering he ran as well as could be expected in the circumstances here last time. 
1.50 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Coole Cody @ 11/1
Usually when I get a win out of a horse I'll look elsewhere the next time but I do think Coole Cody will run well again. Was an almighty performance last time considering he slipped early on and went such a good gallop. Looked vulnerable but pulled away again at the finish and a 6lb rise doesn't look insurmountable. He's straightforward, jumps well and stays this trip all day so I think he's got a good each way chance again off a nice riding weight.
3.00 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Stormy Ireland @ 20/1
This looks wide open with Goshen the potential superstar but he hasn't been brilliant in two flat runs since the Cheltenham festival so will go for one at a big price. Stormy Ireland is at her best when cracking on with it over two miles over hurdles I think and has beaten some nice types quite easily in the past. Stays this trip well and can just crack on from the front I suspect. Ran okay over fences the last twice but can be quite careful at her fences which cost her the race at Bangor despite rallying well up the run-in and I think back to hurdles she could go well for a very long way at a big price.
3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Singlefarmpayment @ 5/1
Travelled like a dream on seasonal reappearance at Sandown and whilst isn't the easiest to win with, should strip fitter now and is just edging down the weights. Made an error at 2 out and faded thereafter but he's clearly in good heart and if the cards drop right I think he can land this.

Just one win bet so far today
12.05 Chelt Adagio £7.10 win at 11/8 with Bet365 = poss return of £16.86
This one appears to be best out of Chantry House (too short a price) 12.40, Ashtown Lad 2.25 (nothing wrong but has strong competition), Goshen 3.00 (ran badly on the flat, though we all want it to win for Jamie Moore), Ofalltheginjoints 2.05 Don (Up in class) and Kapga De Lily 1.22 Her (up 9lbs)
Will see how Adagio goes; if it loses I may have a bet on Ashtown Lad.  Will keep you posted.
 
 

Being backed in from looks of it so value there as it stands.

todays selections


DONCASTER 12:55 Wild Max 11/8 win

CHELTENHAM 13:15 Zanza 5/1 e/w 3 Places

CHELTENHAM 15:00 Song For Someone 5/1 e/w 3 Places

DONCASTER 15:15 Give Me A Copper 13/2 e/w 4 Places

plus e/w yankee

430 Newcastle firmament 6-1 Ew betvictor
Handy 4th course in June down 1f from that effort back and not far off in most recent accounts.

745 Wolverhampton ivareflection Betfair sp win and place (think odds may be better than 33-1 offered atm)
815 Wolverhampton heer we go again win place 17-2 willhill

Nicky Henderson has 2 runners in the 3.00 at Cheltenham tomorrow. I will go with VERDANA BLUE at 16/1 as this also fits a number of my other strategies.

The danger with the longer odds selections is the psychological impact of long losing runs and the potential impact on the betting bank.
I also find that with my successful systems the odds generally shorten and better value can be obtained by taking the early prices.

Tough  racing tomorrow  no really strong bets for me but will play in three races. I will start off in the last at Donny.
3.15 Don- How SINGLEFARMPAYMENT has not won more races ill never no but  is very hard to win with so  is a tentative  e/w play at 13/2  1/5 3 places BOG. Tough race but fair e/w price some bookies going 4 places that may be the way to go.
1.15 Chel- NIETZSCH 12/1  e/w 1/5 3places  BOG ia another tentative bet in  a very tough race to call but   price is good  for this decent hurdler who is shaping up well over the bigger obsticles  did well at this track over the smaller fences and i do like the jockey thats is booked.
1,50  Chel- The big handicap of the day  and boy is it another tough  won  going to play 3 e/w main one being Irish raider CHATAM STREET LAD around 14/1 to 16/1  some paying 6 place  but i will wait to sat morn to get bog 6 places  . I  think this horse will be a good chaser  won dong hand stands at Cork lto loads more in the tank decent price decent chance i think. BENATAR i got 25's 6places  not bog  earlier thats gone 18's now  best  may drift in the morn. This yard can get them fit for first run  back on a very good mark  seem to be plenty of dosh around for it. My other one is 40/1 shot and rank outsider MILITARAIN  not a no hoper in my eyes  ran a good 3rd lto drops back in trip  here  the experts seem to think it won't suit hence the price but  has won over shorter i am willing to take a chance  and play small stakes e/w at the big odds.
Good Luck
 
 

I’m going to take an EW punt on Gino Trail at 33/1. Tends to Pull up quite a lot nowadays, but was the same in his early years. The horses record when he makes it the whole way round is superb, and this course will hold no fears for him. Pulled up last time which was first run back after a break , so that may have blown a few cobwebs away.  Runs off a very good mark and if he manages to stay the whole race will surely go close. It’s all or nothing with him, and I’ll risk it at those odds. 

115 chelt 
Magic saint  312
Capeland  310 
These 2 are tough performers and not much between them ...there are other improving types in this race who could spring a surprise but they set a high standard 
Magic saint 4pt win 6.8 betfair 
Capeland 4pts win 8.0 betfair 

Cheltenham Stage their 2nd day of their Caspian Caviar meeting tomorrow and here’s an early look with my thoughts.
12.05 2m 1f Juvenile Hurdle 
Adagio brings the best hurdling form to the table with his 2nd to Duffle Coat at the last meeting (Historic Heart held) . He’s won in France on heavy ground so were the ground to really turn it shouldn’t bother David Pipe’s juvenile. Both Elham Valley and Son Of Red won on their debuts and have to carry a 7lb penalty today. Of the three newcomers Dan Skelton’s Shake A Leg looks the best of them – a 83 rated horse on the flat in Ireland and bought for 30k. I’ll stick with the hurdling form of Adagio who looks quite progressive though. 
ADAGIO 2 points win @ 7/4 william hill
 
12.40 2m 4 1/2f Novices Chase 
I can’t look beyond Chantry House (below) most impressive on his chasing debut at Ascot and is held in high regard by the team at Seven Barrows of Nicky Henderson’s. Stablemate Fusil Raffles wouldn’t appreciate any more rain and is stepping up in trip and the biggest danger maybe Paul Nicholl’s Quel Destin but this is all about Chantry House but no bet at the skinny odds. Maybe a bet to win by 8l or more maybe the way to go. 
 
1.15 2m 1/2f Handicap Chase 
Zanza was hit with a 7lb rise for his comfortable win at Newbury on Ladbroke Trophy day but I feel that that race fell apart with both the 2nd and 3rd favourites falling early on leaving Zanza with little to beat. There shouldn’t be much between the Paul Nicholl’s pair Magic Saint and Capeland on Ascot form and the fact that Harry Cobden has chosen the latter swings me towards him of the pair. Venetia William’s Ibleo looks the one to back here following a highly encouraging re-appearance when been run down late at Ascot by Amoola Gold who went on to give the smart First Flow a scare at the next meeting there. That’s good form and Ibleo can defy a 5lb rise especially if the rain arrives. 
IBLEO 2 points win @ 10/3 bet365
 
1.50 2m 4 1/2f Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase 
I’ve previewed this in depth on Monday evening and stand by my selection then of Brian Ellison’s Windsor Avenue who for me has as good a chance as any, though obviously with 17 going to post you’ll certainly need a fair slice of luck as well. Though are numerous dangers though I do think that Benator can run well at big odds and suggest a small ew wager on him as well. He’s been missing 693 days but was smart when we last saw him (he was 3rd in the 2018 JLT at the Festival) and the handicapper has kindly dropped him 7lb for his absence. Trainer Gary Moore couldn’t be in better form. 
WINDSOR AVENUE 1 point each way @ 10/1 (advised Monday)
BENATOR ½ point each way @ 25/1 1/5 odds 123456
 
2.25 3m Grade 2 Novices Hurdle 
Several of these are stepping up this 3m trip for the first time with Irish traveller Make Good jumping up a whole mile. Pats Fancy, Took The Lot and Wynn House are other moving up in trip. Ashtown Lad was very impressive himself when trying 3m in a handicap 20 days ago and is a major player here but I’m going with the Paul Nicholls trained Danny Kirwan who has always been held in high regard by the Ditcheat team. Maybe this trip will suit as he was an impressive Irish point winner and looked an improved horse when winning at Ascot over 2m 4f last time. 
DANNY KIRWAN  1 point win @ 9-2 Boylesports
 
3.00 2m 1f Unibet International Hurdle 
Any softening of the ground will be massively against Sceau Royal, Silver Streak and Verdana Blue and this does have a sub standard and open look about it. If there is one horse who could blow them all away and stamp his credentials on the Champion Hurdle market it surely is the Gary Moore trained Goshen who was set to be an easy winner of the Triumph Hurdle in March. The only negatives for him is the fact he two subsequent runs on the flat were to say the least disappointing but I’m happy to give him a chance here mainly because I find it hard to get too enthusiastic about the others for one reason or other. 
GOSHEN 1 point win @ 5/2 bet365
 
3.35 2m 4 1/2f Mares Handicap Hurdle 
An open race to conclude the two day fixture. Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle winner Indefatigable heads the weights but she flopped at Kempton last time (maybe more than the trip). If the ground was too soften two of the front ones in the market The White Mouse and handicap debutant Aggy With It may struggle as they are unproven on a soft surface. Down the bottom of the handicap I can see the Warren Gretarex (who’s horses are running better now than earlier in season) trained Printing Dollars running well. She is 7lb out of the handicap but is actually 3lb lower than her good runner up spot in a Class 2 handicap at Ayr’s Scottish National meeting in April 2019. Considering Greatrex’s horses were so out of form I thought she ran well till the last at Ascot on her re-appearance, her first since a wind operation and with that behind her and at a big price she’ll do for me. Maybe the icing on the cake is the fact that owner’s son Sam Waley-Cohen is absent with Brian Hughes taking over and riding at his minimum weight of 10-0 
PRINTING DOLLARS 1 point each way @ 25/1 Paddy Power 1234
 
 

Almost threw it away on the run in, a nervous few seconds.

Dec +30 
Few extras for me 
1pt level stakes win only 
12.40 Chelt Sarasota Star 13/2 Lost
12.55 Ban Norwegian Woods 14/1 Lost
15.18 Punch Ambitious Fellow 33/1 Lost
17.30 Dun Muraahin 8/1 Lost 
Prices as of now b365 
-4
Dec +26 

All prices Bet365:
12.05 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w The Mighty Don @ 10/1
I quite like the outsider of the lot here...the favourite isn't proven over this far, the second favourite wasn't that much further ahead than The Mighty Don last time and the third favourite didn't jump well enough at Newbury for me last time. The Mighty Don is five times the price and there's little wrong with his win two starts back and ran okay behind L'Air Du Vent at Exeter last time giving that one 5lbs in the process. This stiffer test will suit and looks to hold solid claims at the weights so seems overpriced to me.
12.40 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Rowland Ward @ 20/1
Looks a big price here given he's done little wrong over hurdles and looks well handicapped on its victory over Thyme White last season. Shaped well on seasonal return when drifting in the market and needing the run but conditions suit, should strip fitter now and a mark of 129 is far from restrictive.
1.15 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Sweet Adare @ 8/1
Hasn't run too badly in a couple of chases this season but has had stiff tasks and also shaped as if the minimum trip was too sharp. Now runs off a lower mark than when last winning over hurdles and the step up in trip looks likely to suit as it has won over 2m3f over hurdles. Cheekpieces go on as well and Victor Dartnell's runners are in good form.
1.50 Cheltenham - 2pts win Fanion D'Estruval @ 9/2
Really promising type who travels well, jumps soundly on the whole and appears to see out his races well enough to suggest the extra yardage here will suit. Did well to keep on again after pecking badly at the last here when last seen and could possibly have won without that mistake. Kalashnikov could be vulnerable late on here and Mister Fisher has a bit to prove after last time out so I think this is a rock solid option today. 
2.25 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w West Approach @ 15/2
It wasn't a pleasant watch last time when this horse loses ground at every fence but he wasn't quite so bad in the jumping stakes two starts back and if running that well again I think he'll win this. Has a big engine as despite not jumping at all last time, still loomed up with a chance and ultimately the 3m3f on soft ground just tired him out in the end. This is an easier race, the better ground might help his jumping and with even a slightly smoother round, I think he'll go close.
3.00 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Beau De Brizais @ 13/2
Jumped like a stag around here last time when beaten by Kingswell Theatre but the swing in the weights today and the fact that his conqueror has a good record fresh and that was its first run of the season means that I fancy Beau De Brizais to turn the tables today. Neverushacon hasn't quite matched his Irish form here and whilst this looks quite open, Philip Hobbs' runner looks a rock solid each way option. 
3.35 Cheltenham - 1pt e/w Boyhood @ 28/1
Tom George's runner looks a bit overpriced here having shaped okay if a bit laboured when last seen. That came after a lengthy absence however and has been given time tor recover since and he'd have a good chance on old form. He certainly stays and runs this track well and in a race where quite a few have to prove their stamina and/or their wellbeing, this one can keep galloping and hopefully make the frame.

Positive day yesterday for us and it should have been better with Scofflaw trading into 1.10 only failing to win.

Todays selections are;
 
12:40 Cheltenham Tegerek 12:55 Bangor Lex Talionis 14:25 Cheltenham Storm Control 15:10 Bangor Minella Drama 15:25 Doncaster Bushypark 16:15 Southwell Luscifer 18:15 Southwell Little India 18:45 Southwell Liamba 19:15 Southwell Dark Side Prince 19:45 Southwell Jazz Legend  

todays selections

BANGOR-ON-DEE 13:30 Accordingtogino 15/8 win

CHELTENHAM 13:50 Top Notch 9/2 win

CHELTENHAM 14:25 Storm Control 13/2 e/w 3 Places

CHELTENHAM 15:35 On The Blind Side 4/1 win

plus e/w yankee

another that scored highly
BANGOR-ON-DEE 14:05 Poker Play 6/1 (discounted only 4 runners)

You knew I would have to investigate !
My database has 5 winners from 148 runners with a very poor AE of 0.59.
Nothing in the statistics to recommend her I'm afraid, even her 14 runners on heavy going have all lost.