TheBeast
-
Posts
86 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Posts posted by TheBeast
-
-
Hello friends I'm done with my examinations and now it's time to enjoy some lawn tennis....
So Djokovic lost, that opens up the first half of the draw especially for Milos Raonic. I remember watching him at the Aussie Open and had a huge feeling that he will be a major force at Wimbledon (Yes, he's come a long way :)). Now the only real threat between him and his goal to reach the finals of Wimbledon is Roger Federer who, if I am not mistaken was dealing with an injury and still having some after effects of that. I think a resurgent Raonic will be too much for Federer to handle even though he has been traditionally good against big servers. Then there's Murray who I think has a very easy path to the finals now that both Wawrinka and Delpo are out. A final between Raonic and Murray, on grass, at Wimbledon - ypu don't need to be rocket scientist to know that Murray has total advantage over here. But i think an E/W bet on Milos Raonic at 8.00 will be a good wager as the runner up part will pay most of the money wagered back... Winning will be an extra bonus... There's also Milos Raonic to reach the finals at 3.75 which seems attractive.
What do you think guys and esp. my man Czech?
P. S. Can anyone please explain how the decimal odds change in E/W bet??
- four-leaf and CzechPunter
-
2
-
After a decent end to a horrible RG, it's time for me to rest my betting for a bit with the biggest examinations of my life coming up in a month's time. It have been a truly memorable last 5 months on this forum, certainly the most clean forum and good respectable guys posting their plays.... I might be back for Wimbly depending on how my preparation has proceeded, but until then ADIOS AMIGOS!!!
MAY THE BETTING GODS FAVOUR YOU ALL MY FRIENDS
- vikki37, Torque, CzechPunter and 1 other
-
4
-
Novak Djokovic v Andy Murray
Not the match many wanted but certainly the match that should culminate the clay court season with Djokovic and Murray both playing tantalising tennis throughout the months of April and May. Many have given their opinions and they all are very strong. But this match here is a contest of mental strength more than their skills. On clay, at this moment, if both play at their peaks, Djokovic might just edge out over Murray. But it's the mental ability that would make the difference today.
Djokovic has got nerves of steel but nervous he will be nonetheless for many a reasons. As liquidglass mentioned, this may very well be his best and last chance to claim his career slam (and the golden slam, but more on that during RIO). Last not because Thiem is rising, but because if Djokovic loses today he may very well NEVER win this slam. Another thing is the fact that he has been so close yet so far in this tournament since 2011. He had a genuine chance every time but extraordinary performances from Nadal and Wawrinka have just kept Djokovic at bay and the Djoker knows that his opponent today is nothing short of spectacular when playing at his best. Djokovic may well be hoping that Murray just doesn't turns up. But if Murray starts playing well, you may very well see that Djokovic will simply fall apart.
Murray on the other hand has been a contender for far too long now. He has improved not only his game but also his mental toughness to a level that matches the best player on the planet today. Murray knows that the final at Rome makes no difference today because a grand slam is a completely different beast. And he knows that he's got nothing to lose and everything to win today because the "experts" have already written him off.
This match is Djokovic's to lose and Murray will not care about what happens on the other side of the net as he will just keep hitting ball after ball, backhand after backhand and pummel Djokovic into submission. Just look at the Scot's eyes for Christ's sake.
Andy Murray to win the French Open
-
8 hours ago, owenclass said:
Well done on the Muguruza bet to win outright. I was very tempted on doing the same bet
Thanks mate.... Had a feeling Muguruza had a big chance.... Didn't think she'd do it in straight sets though..... Now I just hope she doesn't fade away like many before her have....
-
42 minutes ago, liquidglass said:
What I find most interesting is not really about the pricing of the matches stated, but rather about the danger of diverting people to price and possibly buy goods that do not exist. The men's final has been covered both ways I presume. However knowing this indulgence well enough, I would say that there is a much bigger chance of any anybody else in the final on the women's side than just taking Serena/Muguruza for granted. Stosur/Bertens are still very much in this. There has to be one more twist at least before the end of what has been a bizzare tournament.
Yes one more twist... Take out Serena or Novak maybe
-
Hello everyone.... I don't usually bet on soccer but enjoy watching big European tournaments (UEFA CL and EURO)... I would like to start betting on football and I think this tournament is good for that.... I would like to know how to prepare myself and gain some good knowledge regarding the favourites and underdogs this year.... Some good websites or videos would be appreciated.... Thank you and may the betting gods favour us all....
-
2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Too bad Putintseva didn't win, had a real chance there and I liked her attitude as well!
I'm just wondering - had Djokovic hit the linesman with the racquet here (https://twitter.com/Eurosport_UK/status/738353354749841408), would the umpire disqualify him as per the rules or would the tough conditions get blamed? I think that I know the answer
- although, to be fair, it's better to get hit by a racquet in a situation like this than to face Nalbandian's wrath .
Alas!!! Can't see the video in my country (India).... Well anyway Djokobitch is stupid.... I thought he would be a better person after he became a father and having an astounding season last year.... I actually started to like that jerk in January..... Well let's just hope he doesn't wins this grand slam.... If he does his tantrums will reach another level... I so hope Thiem wins that set Czech... It's actually fun watching that retarded freak being frustrated.....
-
2 hours ago, NoOne said:
What do you think of match Murray - Wawrinka? To me, Murray closer to victory. : D
I think it will be a close contest and will be decided by how Wawrinka plays... If his unforced errors to winners ratio is low, Murray will have a very very tough time.... A lot of ifs here for me.... I'll just enjoy the freakin' contest....
-
21 hours ago, TheBeast said:
Well what a time for bet365 to send me some loyalty bonus
Just when Muguruza is back in riveting form of last year's Wimbledon and it looks like the final is poised to be another showdown between Serena and Garbińe.... Been following her since last year's Wimbledon and she really impressed with the vain fightback in the finals in the second set when she had probably lost.... She has got all the credentials to beat Serena and now that Serena isn't in her form of 2015 the result can certainly come.... I was eager to pick her up a bit earlier but she wasn't really going on in 2016 until now.... And also the loyalty bonus means I have nothing to lose and everything to gain.... But I'll still take the each way bet just to ensure some free returns 
Garbińe Muguruza to win Roland Garros @ 3.25 E/W on bet365
Good luck my friends
Gosh I so hope Putintseva somehow does a Kerber today..... Serena is more pathetic today that that AO final... Giving away 6 games worth of unforced errors in first set alone.... Fingers crossed
-
1 hour ago, CzechPunter said:
Exactly, my words. Pathetic umpiring and also pathetic behaviour from the Serb, he was even doing crazy stuff against Darcis despite leading comfortably like today. TB lost the crucial points and he deserved to lose based on that, but it's just unreal these off-play things. Of course, Djokovic then celebrates the win with a ball-boy and gets good press for what a great character he is
.
That is exactly why I like to call him Djokobitch
-
4 hours ago, owenclass said:
Day twelve
David Goffin to beat Dominic Thiem 7/4 paddy power
Over 39.5 games 10/11 paddy power
This is one of the biggest matches these two are going to play in their careers as it is a chance of reaching a semi final of a Grand slam and also probably their favourite as they love the clay. Thiem during this tournament has been great and he really looks like a top ten player, while his opponent has really improved as player as his is capable of winning one of the big ones. I think Thiem is the slight favourite here but his opponent is one tough player especially on his favourite surface so this should be a cracking match
Thiem will probably win this but the games line looks good.... Will probably be a 4-5 sets match.... Thiem 3-1 looks most likely outcome but we never know with this years RG....
-
4 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Back N.Djokovic/T.Berdych - Over 3.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.50 with Bet365
Back Tie-break in Match - No (Goffin/Thiem) for a 7/10 stake at 2.37 with Bet365
I was shocked to see Berdych absolutely bombing it against Ferrer and that same level of play will give him a chance against Djokovic, so I like the sets overs at odds of 2.50. The H2H between him and the Serb might look absolutely awful and it is, but it's not that bad if you look at the clay court record only, so that should give the Czech some hope. I also like the bet on there not being a TB in Goffin/Thiem - neither guy has a particularly strong serve and the conditions should help breaks as well, so 6-2/6-1 sets look much more likely that 7-5/7-6 ones.
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/vnnG0Z
Berdych has been really surprising throughout the tournament.... I thought he would lose to Cuevas but he didn't... Then against Ferrer he doesn't lose a single set.... Hopefully he comes with similar attitude against Nole.... He's got all the weapons to atleast take a couple of sets from the Serb....
I will also take the games handicap at +7.5 games for Berdych along with over 3.5 sets....
Gud luck Czech....
-
Well what a time for bet365 to send me some loyalty bonus
Just when Muguruza is back in riveting form of last year's Wimbledon and it looks like the final is poised to be another showdown between Serena and Garbińe.... Been following her since last year's Wimbledon and she really impressed with the vain fightback in the finals in the second set when she had probably lost.... She has got all the credentials to beat Serena and now that Serena isn't in her form of 2015 the result can certainly come.... I was eager to pick her up a bit earlier but she wasn't really going on in 2016 until now.... And also the loyalty bonus means I have nothing to lose and everything to gain.... But I'll still take the each way bet just to ensure some free returns Garbińe Muguruza to win Roland Garros @ 3.25 E/W on bet365
Good luck my friends
-
19 hours ago, potus said:
I think we have to leave the betting alone with the weather the way it is, surely it's turning things into far too much of a lottery to be betting on.
Exactly it's been wierd right..... Especially when your money is locked on a bet for 2 days..... I had Halep handicap against Stosur which she looked comfortable to cover when the play stopped.... 2 days later she blows it away.... Although good thing was Pironkova winning against Radwanska
-
Yesterday was a bummer..... Gabashvili lost a close tie break and then won two straight sets in scintillating fashion where he broke Isner thrice... The bet looked great and the in play odds after set 3 were 1.2 Gabashvili v 4.5 Isner.... I thought lets take Isner just in case.... The devil within raises his ugly head and says "Shut up Gabashvili will do it easy"..... An hour later Isner is the winner
Thank goodness Wawrinka 3-0 bet evened out the losses and the IPL bet letting me make some good profit ultimately..... Need to think a bit differently in this tournament now....
-
39 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
I was thinking the odds are a touch high there as well, haven't seen Isner recently though, but the H2H is intriguing to say the least.
Hopefully this will bring me some money mate..... Thnx for the input...
-
9 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
These two losses bring my YTD total to -89 pts, but that's actually not the worst downswing I've ever had over the many years. Lots of re-building ahead for the rest of the season though
.
Don't be too hard on yourself Czech. The tennis season's been tough on us bettors since February. One good tournament and the next few tournaments we are blowing away everything we've won. Gud luck mate.
-
Today's value bet seems to be Teymuraz Gabashvili @ 2.37 on bet365 v John Isner. Both Isner and Gabashvili have had comfortable victories against their respective opponents but Gabashvili has been in better form as he has faced tougher opponents than Isner has and dominated them. But more resounding are the H2H stats between these two. Overall it is 2-1 Gabashvili, on clay it is 1-1 but last year Gabashvili got a rather comfortable victory in straight sets over Isner. Add to this the unreliable current form of Isner and the confidence of Gabashvili and I think we have a winning bet at our hands.
But as always my inexperience in the betting world always seeks confidence and advice from my fellow bettors. So, your thoughts my friends?
-
5 hours ago, owenclass said:
Day six
Nick Kyrgios vs Richard Gasquet
Over 40.5 games 4/5 paddy power
These matches are always interesting between these two and this one i think will be a long one with maybe four or five sets as we will see a lot of rallies and maybe a few tie breaks in the match
I am thinking on similar lines but instead took over 3.5 sets as Kyrgios is more than capable of winning a set or two by 3+ games.... Gud luck by the way may we both win
-
16 minutes ago, astute said:
Similar thoughts Beast. If it comes to an out and out scrap then Grab will do him. Also Grab first round was straight forward in contrast to Paire. I think this will be my play today, odds of almost 2/1 more than appeal.
Gud luck astute....
I also fancy Czechs all 3 plays albeit I'll just parlay the money line... Also fourleaf's Halep handicap sounds good too....
-
1 hour ago, astute said:
Gabasvila roughly 2/1 to beat Paire is another fancy. Has a decent games on clay, coupled with terrible attitude of Paire. Thoughts? Being a little cautious as not been around past few days so if a player I could back has injury etc then this gives me that insight. Thanks in advance.
I fancy this too..... When I see Benoit Paire every single time the question that pops into my mind is... Why in the god's name is this guy playing tennis? Gabashwili, if plays anything like he did against Young, should blow Paire away.
-
If RCB win the toss they are going to chase down that target no matter what as Gujrat Lions just doesn't seem to have the bowling prowess that could stop Virat Kohli as of now.
So the -2.5 wickets handicap will be easy money IF RCB win the toss... Gud luck everyone...
-
38 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Already said a bit about Brown-Sela, Sela looks like the better pick to me there, although the odds aren't incredibly exciting. As for Young-Gabashvili, that looks like a complete coin-flip to me, so perhaps you're right with just picking the guy at odds against. Gaba is arguably the better clay courter, but he hasn't performed well since beating Almagro in..er..Barcelona it was I think.
2 hours ago, four-leaf said:I've taken Brown already so it's to late for me to change my mind. It will probably be a hard game for Brown but I think he'll take it in the end since he's warmed up and prepared for the surface more then Sela is. It's the surface that makes me pick Brown but I think you may have two good bets but I also hope you are wrong about Sela.
Thanks guys for the input..... Time to place first RG bets.... Gud luck everyone.... May the betting gods favour us all....
- Torque, vikki37, CzechPunter and 1 other
-
4
-
9 hours ago, Torque said:
A couple of outright bets to get me started at Roland Garros.
Rafael Nadal to win The French Open @ 6.5 Coral (1 pt)
If memory serves, Nadal was about this price last year when he wasn't playing as well as he is now so that immediately arouses my interest. Coming into this tournament the Spaniard has won in Monte Carlo and Barcelona, and has only lost to Djokovic and Murray since the tour returned to European clay. Those two are obviously his biggest rivals and are ahead of him in the betting, but Djokovic was strangely subdued in Rome and I continue to have reservations about Murray's mentality when it comes to this slam, which is arguably the most difficult to win as it is so demanding. Nadal's level certainly dropped last season, but he appears to be in the ascendency once again and you can always count on him when it comes to effort and attitude. Can Nadal complete his own version of 'La Decima'? I wouldn't put it past him, particularly if Djokovic buckles under the pressure of trying to win here for the first time.
Serena Williams to win The French Open @ 5.0 Unibet (1 pt)
Not an original choice it's fair to say, but as Unibet have boosted this price I think it's worth taking. For the most part, Williams continues to dominate the rest of the WTA and she warmed up for this tournament with a fairly straightforward win at the Rome Masters. That should mean she is in good shape and ready to hit the ground running here, and in all honesty I don't see anyone that is playing well enough right now to beat the American. It's possible that she could slump in a match as we've seen before, and it's possible that an Azarenka or a Halep could step up and deliver a knock-out performance but based on recent tournaments I wouldn't want to bet on it. Like Nadal, Williams is going for her own slice of history and I think this could be the tournament where she finally draws level with Graf on 22 Grand Slam Singles titles.
I'm also going to have a 1pt punt on Nadal/S Williams in the Winning Double market on Betfair at odds of 25.
I think you are spot on with Serena there for such a magnificent price. And I don't think we need to worry about Azarenka or Halep beating Serena at the French Open. She usually is good against strong opponents. It's usually the huge underdogs playing out of their skin against whom Serena often seems a little uninterested but that seems improbable at this slam.
Wimbledon 2016
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Andy Murray -6 (3-way handicap) @ 2.20 v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Tsonga is abysmal when it comes to big matches and Murray has his eyes set on the ultimate prize.... Murray needs to win by 7 games, that is 2.33 games per set.... Murray can do much better that in his current form.... Expect an easy win for Murray with multiple sets going 6-3 6-2 to Murray...