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StevieDay1983

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  1. Like
    StevieDay1983 reacted to Vince A in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Firstly, I really like the way you explain the stats between the teams before kickoff. As of the time I am writing this, finally Rangnick has officially received his work permit!
    Now I'm a big Manchester United fan, but when it comes to betting, the only bet I never put is on my team's games. 
    I am curious to know though, do you use any algorithm to increase your odds and probabilities of winning when assessing the predictions of the market providers, such as Bet365?
  2. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    West Ham vs Brighton
    The next game up in the Wednesday night previews is the encounter between the early season surprise packages West Ham and Brighton in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the London Stadium. Both of these teams started well this campaign but recent results haven't quite gone to plan with the home team beginning to pick up defeats and the away team getting booed by their own fans for allowing old habits of profligacy in the final third to creep back in to their game.
    West Ham were being tipped as dark horses to gate crash the Champions League qualification spots just a matter of weeks ago but football is a fickle game in a state of constant flux. The Hammers have since suffered back-to-back away defeats against Wolves and Manchester City leaving the club down in 4th and clinging onto their top four place by the virtue of a superior goal difference. David Moyes is already without centre back Angelo Ogbonna and he's joined on the injury list by full back Aaron Cresswell. The goal drought of Michail Antonio undoubtedly coincides with me putting him in my fantasy team because after scoring 5 goals in his first 5 league games of the season he has since bagged just 1 goal in his last 7 league appearances. The good news is that West Ham are unbeaten in their last 7 Premier League games played in midweek including winning the last four such matches.
    Brighton are another team that were raising eyebrows at the start of this season. Graham Potter appeared to have solved the team's finishing issues and they stormed to the upper echelons of the league table as they lost just 1 of their opening 8 league games. That seems a lifetime ago now though with the club now without a win in their last 8 league games and failing to even score in 4 of those matches. The Seagulls are now down in 9th position and the fans are losing patience. Their games aren't exactly packed with goals with games involving Brighton bringing just 26 goals. Only games involving Wolves have seen less goals scored. Still, Potter came out criticising his team's fans after the boos rang out loud on Saturday and that's perhaps fair enough.
    Well, neither team is exactly entering crisis mode at the moment but I would much rather be in West Ham's shoes because it feels their results have come against sides that have been tough opponents. Brighton appear to be the architects of their own demise by consistently failing to take their chances again. This is where the players need to take responsibility and Brighton needed to sign a potent finisher. I think West Ham will win here and you do wonder if Potter's relationship with the fans could sour after his criticism on the weekend if things don't improve soon.
    West Ham to Win @ 2.08 with SBK
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.81 with VBet
  3. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Wolves vs Burnley
    The last of the 7:30pm GMT kick-offs on Wednesday night in the Premier League comes from Molineux where we have an impressive Wolves taking on a dogged Burnley. This game won't exactly be identified as one that will lead the line-up on Match of the Day but it'll be an intriguing game for the purists as we see a clash of styles coming together but who will win?
    Wolves might have started the season slowly but, under Bruno Lage, they are now looking like a team that are appearing to be a solid bet for European qualification. Wanderers are up to 6th in the table and just 3 points outside the Champions League qualification spots after a run of just 1 loss in their last 8 league games. It's now also 192 minutes of league action that the team has gone without conceding a goal. Lage will have to manage without the duo of Ruben Neves and Daniel Podence due to suspension and covid respectively. There is the opportunity for Wolves to win at least 50% of their opening 14 matches of a top flight campaign for the first time in over 42 years. Victory here would see them win four straight home league games in the top division for the first time since 1975.
    Burnley will come into this game down in 18th place and 3 points adrift of safety but with a game in hand on the teams around them after their game with Tottenham at home was snowed off on the weekend. Sean Dyche faces a big problem for this game though with both James Tarkowski and Ashley Westwood missing. History suggests this will prevent a win with the team failing to win any of their 19 league games without Tarkowski and 17 league matches without Westwood. The Clarets are unbeaten in their last 4 league games though and will be fresh after not playing on the weekend. Unfortunately, they remain without a win in the league away from home in their last 7 outings in a run stretching back to last season. If you want a cheeky bet on anytime scorer then Chris Wood has bagged 5 goals in his last 3 games against Wolves.
    Last season left a sour taste in the mouth for Wolves fans with Burnley earning a double over their opponents in the league including a 4-0 win at Molineux. This is a new look Wolves team though and I don't expect the same outcome here. In fact, I think revenge could be sweet for the home team who should have enough to earn a narrow win. The big question is whether they'll keep a clean sheet? I think they could.
    Wolves to Win @ 2.02 with SBK
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.75 with Betfair
  4. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Aston Villa vs Manchester City
    The Premier League offers up two matches at 8:15pm GMT on Wednesday night with the first of those that I am previewing being the game between Aston Villa and Manchester City at Villa Park. These two teams are at opposite ends of the table but they both come into this game off the back of a run of wins in the league. This might not be as cut and dry for the away team as the statistics suggest.
    Aston Villa are thriving under this new reign of Steven Gerrard. The former Rangers head coach has won both of his league games in charge of Villa lifting the team up to 13th in the table and 7 points above the relegation zone. Villa are without Danny Ings and Trezeguet for this clash which is not great news. If Gerrard wins this game then he'll be the first Villa manager in the club's history to win their first 3 top flight league games in charge. They are looking to become the beat the reigning league champions in back-to-back seasons at home for the first time since 1976/77. Interestingly, Villa are slow starters in games having scored 14 of their 18 league goals in the second half of their matches so far.
    Manchester City come into this game with a chance of moving top of the league table if results go their way. Pep Guardiola's side still have a huge injury list to contend with but I'm not sure he'll draw much sympathy given the huge sums of money he's ploughed into the squad down the years. Kevin De Bruyne is definitely ruled out whilst there will be late fitness tests for Jack Grealish and Phil Foden. Aymeric Laporte is also unavailable through suspension. The Citizens have won their last 5 matches in a row across all competitions. They are just one league win away from equalling their record of 30 league wins in a calendar year set back in 2017 and 2019. City are about to enter December which is their worst month of the year results-wise under Guardiola. However, they have won their last 15 league games played on a Wednesday.
    If Aston Villa fans are looking for optimism in the head-to-head record against Manchester City then they will be disappointed. City have won the last 7 meetings in all competitions by an aggregate score of 23-3. Villa's last win over City came in 2013 when they won 3-2. I do think City are vulnerable here with their absentees but I still think they should get past Villa here. It'll be a valiant effort from the home side though who won't make life easy for the visitors.
    Aston Villa +2 @ 1.80 with QuinnBet
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.74 with SBK
  5. Like
    StevieDay1983 reacted to ALEXXXXXXXX in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Aston Villa
    They get a winning streak in recent games under the management of Steven Gerrard, which makes them up to thirteenth in the table of the League. They are good at home game, with 67% unbeaten rate as host this season.
     
    Manchester City
    They are on a run, getting a five-match winning streak. They play well on defensive, with only seven conceding goals this season so far. There is a bad news that Ferran Torres and Kevin De Bruyne are suspend due to injuries, which weakens their playing.
     
    Verdict:
    Although Manchester City take the upper hand over Aston Villa, Aston Villa still stand the chance to win. Man City have to prepare for UEFA Champions League. There are two games left before that. They will probably not try their best in upcoming games. Besides, Aston Villa are in form. So the result of upcoming game is suggested to be a draw.
     
    Prediction: 1-2, 2-2
  6. Like
    StevieDay1983 reacted to StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Everton vs Liverpool
    The hosts started the campaign very well, but they fell into the results crisis. Rafa Benitez’s side picked up just a point on the previous six occasions and slipped to 14th place. However, nothing indicated such a slump after the Toffees snatched a draw against Manchester United at Old Trafford. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is still out due to an injury, while his teammates from the offense haven’t contributed enough. Everton also struggles in defense, as they conceded in six of the previous seven matches. The hosts had three straight wins at Goodison Park, but in the last three matches, they stayed undefeated just once. Everton needs to improve its form urgently in order not to enter the danger zone.
    On the other hand, Liverpool bounced back after losing to West Ham with two straight victories. The away side is 3rd in the Premier League, being just two points behind Chelsea. Jurgen Klopp’s side has been pretty convincing in the past two rounds, beating Arsenal and Southampton 4:0. Diogo Jota has been on fire lately, scoring three goals in the last two matches. Besides that, the Reds are the most productive team in the competition with 39 goals scored. Liverpool has been very good on the road, but their latest outing wasn’t successful. The visitors want to keep pace in the title battle and search for another three valuable points.
    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
    Their previous four clashes at Goodison Park ended without a winner, but Liverpool has been in a much better momentum. The Reds are hot favorites in this one, and although the Merseyside Derby is pretty tricky to predict, we believe Liverpool will take the victory.
    Goals Market Prediction
    Both teams have been involved in many high-scoring matches this season, and we think they’ll continue in the same fashion. Liverpool is especially efficient on the road, and we should see at least three goals in total.
    Liverpool AH -1 @ 1.65 
    Over 2.5 FT @ 1.60 
    Correct score 1:3 @ 12.00
  7. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from ALEXXXXXXXX in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Southampton vs Leicester
    The Premier League action continues into Wednesday night when Southampton host Leicester in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at St Mary's Stadium. These two teams experienced contrasting results on the weekend with the home team making it back-to-back defeats where as the visitors secured a much-needed win at home. Both sides will be keen to add 3 points to their tally here but can either team pull it off?
    Southampton will be keen to avoid their two losses in a row from becoming a bad run of results. Ralph Hasenhuttl's side have a track record of going through periods of feast and famine. The Saints are down in 15th place and just 5 points above the relegation zone so experiencing a series of bad results now could be catastrophic. Fortunately, the team is boosted by the return of duo Jack Stephens and Ibrahima Diallo from injury. Stuart Armstrong remains sidelined though. Southampton have now lost 20 Premier League matches in a single calendar year for the first time since 1996. Their home matches have been starved of entertainment so far this season with just 9 goals being scored by either side in their 6 home league games so far. The 11 goals scored by Southampton in the league is the second worst in the division after the 7 scored by Norwich. They have only scored more than 1 goal on two occasions in the league this season.
    Leicester are looking to build on their 4-2 win over Watford on the weekend in a win that lifted the club up to 10th in the table and just 5 points off the Champions League qualification places. In my preview for that game I was stating how much the Foxes were struggling to meet expectations set from previous campaigns. Amazing what a difference a win can make. Brendan Rodgers has seen his side go unbeaten for the last 3 away league matches. Their away games are also packed with entertainment with the team scoring and conceding in their last 14 league games on the road. Defensive issues continue with the club keeping just 1 clean sheet in their last 19 league games. A random pick for anytime scorer could be Ayoze Perez who has scored 7 league goals against Southampton including bagging two hat-tricks.
    I never feel comfortable backing Southampton to win simply because they are so inconsistent under Hasenhuttl. He's just about keeping their heads above water and I'll admit he's had his injury issues to deal with this season. Leicester looked a lot better against Watford and the fact they are free-scoring has helped massively. I can see an away win here and I'm going to shove down that Perez anytime scorer bet.
    Leicester to Win @ 3.01 with VBet
    Anytime Scorer: Ayoze Perez @ 4.75 with Betway
  8. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Newcastle vs Norwich
    The midweek Premier League action kicks off on Tuesday night with a 7:30pm GMT game between the two struggling sides of Newcastle and Norwich at St James' Park. It's the bottom two teams in the top flight going head-to-head and it's difficult to emphasise how devastating a defeat could be for either side here. You have to say that this is more a must-not-lose game rather than a must-win encounter.
    Newcastle are still waiting for their first league win this season. The new Eddie Howe era is still yet to bring that elusive victory with the Magpies suffering a 2-0 loss away to Arsenal on the weekend to keep them rooted to the bottom of the table on just 6 points and 6 points adrift of safety. Howe will be without key duo Jamaal Lascalles and Matt Ritchie for this game which is a blow. Newcastle are one of only two teams, including Watford, in the top flight yet to keep a clean sheet this season. The club's form in midweek games isn't very encouraging either with Newcastle having lost 6 of their last 8 midweek Premier League matches. Interestingly, the last time Newcastle played a home game when starting at the bottom of the Premier League table was back in October 2015 when they faced Norwich and won 6-2.
    Norwich appear to have made a wise decision in replacing former head coach Daniel Farke with Dean Smith. The Canaries have dragged themselves off the bottom of the table with 2 wins and a draw from their last 3 league games. That's quite a turn around considering they only took 6 points from their previous 25 league games in the top flight stretching back to their last run in the Premier League. One statistic that remains a concern is that Norwich have only managed a shot to goals conversion ratio of 5.2%. Norwich's record of midweek Premier League matches is even worse than Newcastle's with the club failing to win on a Tuesday in their last 14 efforts.
    The head-to-head record between these two has an interesting angle to it. Newcastle haven't lost a league fixture at home against Norwich since 1988 but Norwich are unbeaten against Newcastle in the last three Premier League meetings and Smith himself is unbeaten against Newcastle in 5 meetings as a manager. I think we could see both teams play out a draw here.
    Draw @ 3.75 with SBK
    BTTS @ 1.77 with SBK
  9. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Leeds vs Crystal Palace
    The second game in the Premier League taking place on Tuesday night is the clash between Leeds and Crystal Palace at 8:15pm GMT from Elland Road. If there was one word you had to use for the form of these two sides recently it would be inconsistent yet stubborn. Neither side is getting turned over by any opposition but they are also finding it hard to build up a run of victories.
    Leeds are continuing their laborious start to the season. Marcelo Bielsa's side are in 17th place and 3 points above the relegation zone with Burnley in 18th position possessing a game in hand. The Whites have only lost 1 of their last 5 league matches but it's also just 1 win during that period too. The good news coming out of the club this week is that key duo Luke Ayling and Patrick Bamford are set to start building up their match fitness with the under-23s from this week so their returns are edging closer. Leeds are averaging just 1 goal per home league game which doesn't compliment their pressing style of play. In fact, they are yet to score more than two goals in a league game this season.
    Crystal Palace will still feel this season has started in a positive way despite their 2-1 loss at home to Aston Villa on the weekend. Patrick Vieira's side have now gone back-to-back matches in the league without winning leaving them down in 11th place. The Eagles have lost just 1 of their last 8 league games but have drawn 5 of those games. The team remains unbeaten in their last 3 league matches. They have also scored in 8 straight league games so they are a potent team up front. One historical statistic that is a worry is that Palace have won just 1 of their last 12 Premier League games played in midweek.
    At face value it appears that this game has a draw written all over it. Both teams are struggling to turn their superiority in matches into victories. I think this will be an intriguing game with both teams capable of playing exciting football but in that respect we could end up seeing the two teams cancel each other out. I don't think either side would be disappointed with a draw either. Leeds have won 5 home league games against Crystal Palace but that run could end here.
    Draw @ 3.40 with Betfred
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.97 with SBK
  10. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from StefanBB in Premier League Predictions > Nov 30th - Dec 2nd   
    Southampton vs Leicester
    The Premier League action continues into Wednesday night when Southampton host Leicester in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at St Mary's Stadium. These two teams experienced contrasting results on the weekend with the home team making it back-to-back defeats where as the visitors secured a much-needed win at home. Both sides will be keen to add 3 points to their tally here but can either team pull it off?
    Southampton will be keen to avoid their two losses in a row from becoming a bad run of results. Ralph Hasenhuttl's side have a track record of going through periods of feast and famine. The Saints are down in 15th place and just 5 points above the relegation zone so experiencing a series of bad results now could be catastrophic. Fortunately, the team is boosted by the return of duo Jack Stephens and Ibrahima Diallo from injury. Stuart Armstrong remains sidelined though. Southampton have now lost 20 Premier League matches in a single calendar year for the first time since 1996. Their home matches have been starved of entertainment so far this season with just 9 goals being scored by either side in their 6 home league games so far. The 11 goals scored by Southampton in the league is the second worst in the division after the 7 scored by Norwich. They have only scored more than 1 goal on two occasions in the league this season.
    Leicester are looking to build on their 4-2 win over Watford on the weekend in a win that lifted the club up to 10th in the table and just 5 points off the Champions League qualification places. In my preview for that game I was stating how much the Foxes were struggling to meet expectations set from previous campaigns. Amazing what a difference a win can make. Brendan Rodgers has seen his side go unbeaten for the last 3 away league matches. Their away games are also packed with entertainment with the team scoring and conceding in their last 14 league games on the road. Defensive issues continue with the club keeping just 1 clean sheet in their last 19 league games. A random pick for anytime scorer could be Ayoze Perez who has scored 7 league goals against Southampton including bagging two hat-tricks.
    I never feel comfortable backing Southampton to win simply because they are so inconsistent under Hasenhuttl. He's just about keeping their heads above water and I'll admit he's had his injury issues to deal with this season. Leicester looked a lot better against Watford and the fact they are free-scoring has helped massively. I can see an away win here and I'm going to shove down that Perez anytime scorer bet.
    Leicester to Win @ 3.01 with VBet
    Anytime Scorer: Ayoze Perez @ 4.75 with Betway
  11. Thanks
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from Teodore in Premier League Predictions > Nov 27th & 28th   
    Brighton vs Leeds
    The evening kick-off in the Premier League on Saturday comes up at 5:30pm GMT when out-of-form duo Brighton and Leeds go head-to-head at the Amex Stadium. Is this the game where one of these two sides start to turn their results around or will we see both teams cancel out each other? The importance to earn 3 points here is evident for both teams but is there much separating them?
    Brighton might have started this season with a bang but the problems of last season appear to once again be setting in. The Seagulls are without a win in 7 league matches now and it's seen them drop down to 9th in the table. Graham Potter's side are still just 6 points outside the Champions League qualification spots though so all is not lost. Defensive concerns are a big worry for Potter with his team conceding 9 goals in their last 4 league games and have also seen 23 shots on target on their own goal. A pick for anytime scorer here is Neal Maupay who has bagged 4 goals in 6 appearances against Leeds.
    Leeds are slowly getting all their big players back but the Whites remain down in 17th place and just 2 points above the relegation zone. Marcelo Bielsa's men have won just 1 of their last 5 league games. The biggest concern for Leeds is the fact they have dropped 10 points this season from winning positions. Interestingly, only Chelsea and Leeds are yet to concede a league goal from outside the penalty area. There is also a fascinating statistic that Bielsa has a 65% win rate against English managers in the top flight compared to just 23% win rate against non-English managers in the Premier League.
    Both of these teams are going through their own tough spells at the moment. Brighton have shown at times this season that they could be a real force in the top flight where as Leeds just haven't really got going yet. Brighton have won 8 of their last 9 league matches against Leeds but the ELO ratings are favouring the away team by quite a way. I am concerned that Leeds have lost their last 5 away games against Brighton but I just feel a Leeds win is due so I'm putting my faith in the ELO ratings.
    Leeds to Win @ 3.85 with SBK
    BTTS @ 1.81 with SBK
  12. Thanks
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from Teodore in Premier League Predictions > Nov 27th & 28th   
    Norwich vs Wolves
    The final preview for the 3pm GMT kick-offs on Saturday afternoon in the Premier League is a potential firecracker affair between a seemingly rejuvenated Norwich and an in-form Wolves at Carrow Road. If you had put this game forward to me a few weeks ago then I'd have said there was only one winner but football is a funny old game. Fast forward a few weeks and suddenly it's not quite so cut and dry.
    Norwich were looking like a team all at sea under Daniel Farke but the arrival of new head coach Dean Smith appears to have galvanized the troops. The Canaries ushered in the new era with a storming 2-1 win at home to Southampton last week. That made it back-to-back victories and lifted Norwich off the bottom of the table to 19th position and just 3 points from safety. Suddenly, things are looking more positive for last season's Championship winners. There is a chance for the team to win three straight wins in the top flight for the first time since 2012. 
    Wolves present quite the opposition to Norwich this week. Bruno Lage's side bounced back from defeat to win 1-0 at home against West Ham last weekend. It was a superb 3 points for Wanderers and lifted them to 6th in the table and just 4 points outside the Champions League qualification places. It's now 5 wins from their last 7 league games and it appears that Lage's reign is one that is moving the club in the right direction. A key part of those results has been the return of Raul Jimenez who scored the winner last weekend. This is officially their best start to a top flight campaign since 1979. The team's record against newly promoted teams is also impressive having won 5 of the last 7 of those such encounters.
    I think this will be a tricky tie for Wolves with Norwich seemingly building up a bit of form and momentum. However, this is a Wolves side that fear nobody at the moment. Lage has got them playing effective football and last weekend's result against one of the league's best performers was a huge statement. I can see Norwich giving it a real good go but I think Wolves could still have too much for their hosts.
    Wolves to Win @ 2.20 with Betfred
    Anytime Scorer: Raul Jimenez @ 2.90 with Mansion Bet
  13. Thanks
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from Teodore in Premier League Predictions > Nov 27th & 28th   
    Liverpool vs Southampton
    The 3pm GMT action on Saturday afternoon in the Premier League continues with Liverpool versus Southampton at Anfield. Both of these sides are pretty much par for the course so far this season with the home team knocking on the door of the title race in 3rd place just 4 points behind league leaders Chelsea and the away side down in 13th position but 5 points clear of the relegation zone.
    Liverpool might have only won 1 of their last 3 league games but the 4-0 home win over Arsenal in their last league outing was followed up by a convincing 2-0 home victory against Porto in the Champions League in midweek. Jurgen Klopp's men are back to winning ways and they're playing like a wounded animal. It's now 22 league games scored in a row for the Reds and they have now scored more than 1 goal in 16 games straight across all competitions. It's also interesting to note that Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 9 league victories. If you want an anytime scorer bet other than the obvious Mohamed Salah this week then Sadio Mane has scored 8 goals in his last 8 league appearances for Liverpool.
    Southampton come into this game as the underdogs but it'll be more interesting to see how Ralph Hasenhuttl's side reacts after the 2-1 defeat away to bottom three placed Norwich last weekend that was a loss that ended an unbeaten run of 4 league games, including 3 wins, for the Saints. Despite their upturn in form before last weekend's loss, Southampton have only won 1 of their 6 league games on the road this season. That has totalled up to 13 losses in their 17 away league games during this calendar year. Intriguingly, only Chelsea and Manchester City have conceded less goals in the first half this season.
    The head-to-head statistics don't make for pretty reading for Southampton fans with Liverpool having won 7 of their last 8 games against Southampton in the league. Southampton also haven't won in the last 7 league games played at Anfield. Not only that but they've lost the last 4 trips to Liverpool without scoring a single goal. I wouldn't be surprised to see another clean sheet win for Liverpool here.
    Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 2.45 with SportNation
    Anytime Scorer: Sadio Mane @ 2.15 with SpreadEx
  14. Thanks
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from Teodore in Premier League Predictions > Nov 27th & 28th   
    Arsenal vs Newcastle
    The first Premier League game of the weekend takes place at 12:30pm GMT on Saturday when Champions League-chasing Arsenal entertain bottom-of-the-table Newcastle at the Emirates Stadium. These two teams are competing at opposite ends of the table but can we expect any kind of shock after a recent managerial for the away side or will the home fans be validated in "trusting the process".
    Arsenal suffered a setback to their improving season last week after the Gunners lost 4-0 away to title contenders Liverpool. It was a gut-wrenching defeat for Mikel Arteta's side who had gone unbeaten in 10 matches across all competitions prior to that loss. It was a disappointing result for Arsenal who had kept back-to-back clean sheets prior to that game but was it a one-off? The team are still 5th in the table and only 3 points outside the top four. Arsenal have still got their decent home form in tact with just 1 loss from their 8 home games so far in all competitions. They also come into this game knowing they have won the last 7 meetings with Newcastle and haven't lost to the Toon Army at home since 7th November, 2010.
    Newcastle will have mixed feelings about last weekend's 3-3 draw with Brentford. Before the game there was a feeling of optimism amongst the Magpies faithful that they could get a win from this fixture. However, the fact they were 2-1 down and 3-2 down but managed to claw back the result twice will have pleased new head coach Eddie Howe at the level of character his players showed to get something from the game.  The team are still rooted to the foot of the table but are now just 5 points adrift of safety. Unfortunately, they have lost 17 of the last 18 clashes with Arsenal across all competitions so they can be forgiven for not having the most optimistic stance ahead of this encounter.
    I think this is going to be a tough game for Newcastle as it is but their head-to-head record against Arsenal over the last decade has been atrocious. I am expecting to see a rebound performance from the Gunners in this game and I think it could take some time before we start seeing Howe's managerial impact on the team. Newcastle are one of only two teams along with Burnley who have yet to win a league game away this season and that will continue here.
    Arsenal to Win & BTTS @ 3.00 with Bet365
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.65 with SBK
  15. Like
    StevieDay1983 got a reaction from yossa6133 in Championship Predictions > Nov 26th - 29th   
    Luton vs Cardiff
    OK, so the midweek game for Cardiff didn't exactly go to plan. Hull firmly came and pooped on my parade. Anyway, the good thing about the Championship is that teams don't have to wait long to try to make amends. It's Luton up next for the Bluebirds in a 3pm GMT kick-off this Saturday afternoon from Kenilworth Road. My optimism has been slightly dented after the last game but it still exists!
    Luton have been one of the surprise packages this season so far in the second tier of English football. Nathan Jones's men are in 12th place and they had been play-off pushers before a run of just 1 win in their last 5 league games. In fact, it's now 298 minutes of league football without scoring a goal for the Hatters so there is a fear that a bit of a rot could be setting in. Despite losing key players including James Collins, Matty Pearson, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jones has adopted a more pressing style of play that has made use of the team's attacking threats such as Harry Cornick, Luke Berry, and Elijah Adebayo. The current approach from Jones means there's been a lot of pressure on the attack to score. Recently, they've not been managing it and results have faltered.
    Cardiff were very poor against Hull in midweek. It was a stark reminder of the task in hand for Steve Morison. A few decisions he made were questionable but he'll learn as he goes in this role. Booing from the home fans during the game was mystifying and inexcusable if you ask me and emphasised how our own fan base can contribute to the toxicity of the club. Morison is trying to change the playing philosophy of the team and it won't happen overnight. Especially when half of the team are inexperienced youth players and the other half are experienced players who either can't play passing football or are winding their contracts down so have lost motivation to compete or both.
    I still have faith that Morison is the right long term appointment and we'll see a big clear out in the summer. I've seen enough to make me think we can get something here. Will it be a draw or a win? I'll cautiously back the draw. Luton have shown this season that they can pressure defences into mistakes and our defence remains a bit of a joke when put under pressure. Luton will pressure us. We will make mistakes. They will score. It just depends if we can score just as many or more.
    Draw @ 3.62 with VBet
    BTTS @ 1.87 with Betfair
     
  16. Like
    StevieDay1983 reacted to ALEXXXXXXXX in Premier League Predictions > Nov 27th & 28th   
    Liverpool
    They are on a run now. Even if they play two-fronted attack on the League and European games, they play well on both. After they qualify for next stage in UEFA Champions League, they rotate their key players in last game and make great preparation for EPL.
     
    Southampton
    It is a pity that their two-match winning streak is ended by Norwich City in last game though they have higher possession percentage. They do not play steadily. Now they rank the thirteenth in the table of the League.
     
    Verdict:
    Liverpool take the upper hand over Southampton. What’s more, Liverpool are in good condition. They are looking good for a shot at the title this season. There is no doubt that Liverpool are going to win in upcoming game.
     
    Prediction: 2-0, 3-0
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    StevieDay1983 reacted to BillyDuke1989 in Champions League Predictions > Nov 23rd & 24th   
    Manchester City vs. Paris Saint Germain
     
    ManCity have nine points and are solely leading the group after four rounds.
    The Citizens easily beat Leipzig and Club Brugge. Pep Guardiola's team defeated the Belgians twice - 5-1 away and 4-1 at home.
    The only defeat at the moment for Man City was at the end of September, losing away to PSG (0-2).
    Manchester City have failed to win only two home games this season.
    Kevin De Bruyne may miss the upcoming game. The Belgian midfielder tested positive for the coronavirus last week.
    PSG, meanwhile, is in second place in the group. At the moment, the Parisians have eight points.
    Unlike Man City, Paris have never lost in this Champions League. But at the same time, the French top has already drawn twice.
    In early November, PSG did not keep the winning score in the away game with Leipzig. The opponents fought back in the last minutes, realizing a penalty.
    Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé and Neymar are ready to play in the match against Man City.
    PSG had a great home match against Man City. But at the same time, we must admit that the champion of England that day was very unlucky in attack. Of course, now City will be in the mood for revenge.
    And the last matches of Man City in the Premier League (first of all, a confident victory over Manchester United) indicate that PSG will be extremely difficult to score points at Etihad.
    Bet - Manchester City wins + total over 2.5 in 2.28.
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    Atletico Madrid vs. Milan
    Atlético is below their capacity in the Champions League. Only 4 points in 4 games is clearly not the best disposition.
    Diego Simeone's team is one point behind second-ranked Porto. So in the remaining fights, Madrid need to push up.
    In their league, Atlético is not doing very well either. In the last round, Madrid defeated Osasuna minimally, and occupy a modest 4th place.
    Atletico has staffing problems, and they are very serious. Antoine Griezmann was disqualified, João Felix and Kieran Trippier were injured.
    The current Champions League is a failure for Milan. The Rossoneri scored only one point, but, paradoxically, they can theoretically compete even for the 2nd place in the group.
    True, for this Milan need to beat Atlético. Perhaps, once again, the team will be saved by 40-year-old Zlatan Ibrahimovic ?!
    Milan played their last league match unsuccessfully. The shootout with Fiorentina ended in an offensive 4-3 defeat.
    Ante Rebic and David Calabria will not help the Milanese in Madrid. However, the Milanese have someone to play and even get the desired result.
    Madrid in recent matches look unconvincing, besides, one of the leaders of the Griezmann team will not play.
    Milan attack well and will probably try to take points.
    The Milanese need to actively attack in order to preserve the chances for the European Cup spring. My prediction and bet - X2 2.37.
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    Manchester City vs PSG
    The second night of this round of Champions League group games is coming up on Wednesday evening and there are some plum ties taking place. One of those is the clash in Group A between reigning Premier League champions Manchester City and the current runaway Ligue 1 leaders PSG in an 8pm GMT kick-off from the Etihad Stadium in Manchester. Neither side has booked their place in the last 16 yet so there is a big opportunity for them to do exactly that here.
    Manchester City head into this game after a couple of sublime domestic displays that have seen them move up to 2nd in the English top flight and just 3 points behind league leaders Chelsea. Form has been almost as impressive in this competition with Pep Guardiola's side sitting top of this group on 9 points with their only loss being a 2-0 defeat away to PSG earlier in the campaign. The Citizens have now won their last 9 Champions League matches at the Etihad Stadium. They are also the second highest scorers in this season's group phase of the Champions League. Unfortunately, Kevin De Bruyne is still isolating after contracting covid.
    PSG know that a defeat here could throw a spanner into the works of their qualification plans for the last 16. Mauricio Pochettino has had his name linked to the vacant Manchester United job this week which will certainly have affected the club's preparations for this game. The Parisians are 2nd in this group and 4 points ahead of 3rd placed Club Brugge. The team are without a win in their last 3 away games in the Champions League and only possess a 20% win ratio against Manchester City. There is hope in the form of Lionel Messi though with the Argentine legend scoring 7 goals in 7 appearances against City. In an intriguing move, centre back Sergio Ramos could make his debut for the French club here.
    This is an example of the sort of game that shows why we all love the Champions League. Manchester City and PSG started this season as arguably two of the favourites to win this competition and now they face each other in a "winner progresses to the last 16" game. I mean, even a loss could see both teams still qualify depending on the other result in the group. I just feel this match will see City take revenge for the loss they suffered in Paris earlier in the group stage.
    Manchester City to Win & BTTS @ 2.90 with SportNation
    Anytime Scorer: Lionel Messi @ 3.55 with Unibet
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    Liverpool vs Porto
    The second preview I'm going to do for the Wednesday night matches in the Champions League group phase is the 8pm GMT kick-off between Premier League title-chasing Liverpool and Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto at Anfield in Group B. The home side have already confirmed their place in the last 16 of this competition but they'll want to keep their fine form in this competition going against a visiting team that could potentially also qualify for the next round with a victory.
    Liverpool have made light work of what was seen as a nightmare group that includes Porto, Atletico Madrid, and AC Milan. Jurgen Klopp's men have pulled off 4 wins from their 4 group stage matches so far. The Reds have scored an impressive 13 goals already in their matches but it'll be interesting to see how many changes Klopp makes to his squad for this game knowing that top spot is guaranteed. It's now just 2 losses from 23 home matches for Liverpool under the management of Klopp. However, they have failed to win 2 of their last 4 competitive games at Anfield.
    Porto will see this as a chance to take a big step towards reaching the knockout phase of this competition. Head coach Sergio Conceicao's men are in 2nd place and 1 point ahead of 3rd placed Atletico Madrid but know if they win and Atletico lose against AC Milan then qualification is secured. If Porto win and Atletico draw or lose then Porto will only need a draw in their final group game at home to Atletico. A draw or loss here would potentially throw advantage back into Atletico's hands. The Portuguese side have only lost 1 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
    A lot of the outcome in this game will depend on the line-up Klopp puts out. I can see him starting a number of key first team players with the likes of Mohamed Salah and Virgil Van Dijk starting but I think we could well see the likes of Tyler Morton, Takumi Minamino, and Divock Origi get run outs. I'm unsure how this game will pan out because of that but I wouldn't be surprised to see Liverpool still sneak a win.
    Liverpool to Win @ 1.91 with SBK
    Anytime Scorer: Mohamed Salah @ 2.18 with SBK
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    Manchester City vs PSG
    The hosts stabilized their form recently, and they entered a new winning streak. Manchester City celebrated in the last three games in all competitions, and they aim for another one. Pep Guardiola’s side sits in first place in the group, being one point ahead of their upcoming rival. The Citizens have conceded just once in the previous three games, while Phil Foden and the lads have been pretty efficient. They are doing well in the Premier League as well, being three points behind the top-placed Chelsea. Manchester City lost their first encounter against PSG, and they will search for revenge.
    The away side is the only undefeated team in the group, but they sit in 2nd place. They go to this match after a 3:1 victory against Nantes in Ligue 1, but they had a hard task to book all three points. PSG secured a win in the last ten minutes of the clash, playing without Keylor Navas, who was sent off. Mauricio Pochettino’s side is 11 points clear of their rivals in the French top-flight, and they are marching to the new title. Despite Neymar and the lads being very productive this season, they haven’t been tight enough in defense. PSG failed to keep the clean sheet four times in a row, and they are about to face an opponent with high attacking potential.
    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
    Although PSG hasn’t lost seven times in a row, Manchester City has been more convincing lately. We see them as favorites in this match, and they should beat their direct rivals for the top spot in the group. PSG should suffer their first Champions League defeat this season.
    Goals Market Prediction
    Although their first encounter stayed under a 2.5 margin, we expect to see more goals in this one. PSG has been involved in many high-scoring matches lately, while Manchester City has been lethal for the opponent’s goalkeepers. Therefore, the crowd should enjoy at least three goals in total.
    Manchester City to Win @ 1.60 
    Over 2.5 FT @ 1.55 
    Correct score 3:1 @ 12.50
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    Atletico Madrid vs Milan
    The home side heads to this match after a hard-fought win over Osasuna last weekend in La Liga. That game showed that Diego Simeone’s side still hasn’t stabilized its form, but Atletico Madrid stayed in the top four. They are four points behind Real Madrid, and we’ll see an exciting title race in the Spanish top flight. Los Colchoneros need to tighten their defense, as they kept the clean sheet just twice on the last seven occasions. Atletico Madrid is third in the Champions League Group B, being one point behind Porto and three ahead of their upcoming rivals. If Luis Suarez and the lads win here, they will knock out Milan from the top-two race.
    Milan cannot be satisfied with its Champions League performances, as they snatched just a point from the four rounds played. Their form is on a decline, as Rossoneri haven’t celebrated three times in a row in all competitions. Stefano Pioli’s side failed to keep the clean sheet on the previous four occasions, and they missed the chance to climb to the Serie A top. Zlatan Ibrahimovic and the lads have been pretty productive, though, as they didn’t score just once this season. However, this game is Milan’s last chance to stay in the game for the knockout stage spot, and they need to win this one.
    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction
    Neither team has been confident lately, and both Atletico Madrid and Milan have had some hiccups in the past few weeks. Therefore, we won’t be surprised if they split points in this encounter.
    Goals Market Prediction
    Atletico’s defense hasn’t been too tight this season, although we got used to their disciplined game in the back. Milan has also conceded many goals recently, and since both teams should go for a win, we can expect to see goals in both nets.
    Draw @ 4.10 
    BTTS Yes @ 1.85 
    Correct score 1:1 @ 7.70
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    Chelsea vs. Juventus
    Chelsea
    The Blues are in 2nd place in the table with 9 points. Even if they are defeated, no one will overtake them, but the hosts still have a chance to keep up with Juventus.
    In the previous match against Juve, Chelsea lost 0-1, but after that the team won two victories without conceding a single goal. Tomas Tuchel's team defeated Malmö 4-0 and beat him 1-0 in the second round.
    Before the game with the Bianconeri, the Blues played two games in the Premier League, where they were at odds with Burnley 1-1 and confidently beat Leicester 3-0.
    Chelsea have won three straight UEFA Champions League home games without a goal conceded. In this Champions League, the hosts have only one goal conceded.
    Juventus
    The Bianconeri are at the top of the standings with 12 points. In the last round, they got a ticket to the Champions League playoffs ahead of schedule.
    Before the international break, Juventus beat Zenit 4-2 at home. It was the only match in the group stage where the guests conceded. Prior to that, they won 3 times in a row, beating Zenit 1-0, Malmo 3-0 and Chelsea 1-0.
    The victory over Zenit was the beginning of the team's winning streak, which has already made up 3 matches. Before the 5th round, the Zebras beat Fiorentina 1-0 and Lazio 2-0 in Serie A.
    Paulo Dybala, Giorgio Chiellini, Federico Bernardeschi and Danilo will not be able to play.
    Prediction and bet
    Chelsea will play to win. First, he wants to get even for his defeat in the first round. Secondly, he still has an incentive, since Juve is three points away and in 2 rounds it is still possible to get around him.
    To this I will add a good winning streak of the Blues in the Champions League at Stamford Bridge. I recommend betting on Chelsea's clear win.
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    Malmo vs. Zenit
    Malmo
    Malmo are fourth in the Group H standings with no points in four rounds.
    Jon-Dahl Tomasson's players alternately lost to Juventus 0-3, Zenit 0-4 and Chelsea 0-4 and 0-1.
    In the Swedish championship, the hosts are doing much better. They top the standings (55 points) with two rounds to go, although Djurgarden, two points behind, have a game in hand.
    Last weekend, Malmö went on to beat Hecken 2-2 at home.
    Felix Beimo, Jonas Knudsen, Anders Christiansen and Ola Toivonen are recovering from injuries at the Swedish club.
    Zenit
    Zenit is on the third line in the group H standings with 3 points.
    Petersburgers this season of the Champions League beat Malmo 4-0, losing to Chelsea 0-1 and Juventus (0-1 and 2-4).
    In the RPL, the guests are in the lead (33 points), four points ahead of the nearest rival.
    In the 15th round, Sergei Semak's team won a major victory over Nizhny Novgorod 5-1, with Artem Dziuba signing three times at the goal.
    Among the injured at Zenit are Claudinho, Stanislav Kritsyuk and Daler Kuzyaev.
    The game in St. Petersburg showed the difference in class between these teams. The team from St. Petersburg surpassed the rival in all respects and rightly won with a large score.
    The Swedish side had only one decent game in the group stage when they lost 0-1 at home to Chelsea. However, in 90 minutes of play, she never shot on target, allowing the Londoners to do it ten times at once.
    Given the above, it seems to me that we will face open play. My prediction and bet - both teams to score.
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    Chelsea vs Juventus
    The second Champions League preview I'm covering on Tuesday is the clash between Chelsea and Juventus in Group H which is set to kick-off at 8pm GMT at Stamford Bridge in London. The home side will be looking to join their opponents by qualifying for the last 16 but they'll need to gain revenge against a team that appeared to have their number when the teams last met earlier in this campaign.
    Chelsea might be doing well on all fronts this season but progress to the next round of this competition isn't confirmed yet. If Thomas Tuchel's side want to avoid a nervous last group game against Zenit St Petersburg away then they'll want to get the single point required to progress to the next phase. The Blues are currently in 2nd place and have sealed their place in the Europa League knockout stage but that's not what the club wants. The team are boosted by the news that star striker Romelu Lukaku could return to the squad with Kai Havertz and Timo Werner also in line to be involved. Defence has provided a firm foundation once again for Tuchel's team with Chelsea keeping six clean sheets in their last 8 matches.
    Juventus may well not be performing on the domestic front with the team down in 8th in Serie A but Massimiliano Allegri's side have already booked their place in the last 16 of this season's Champions League with 4 wins from their 4 group stage games so far including a 1-0 win over Chelsea at home earlier in the campaign. The Old Lady have kept three clean sheets in their four group matches thus far showing how their defence has also been the building block for their performances. The team will be without a number of quality players for this game including Giorgio Chiellini, Aaron Ramsey, Federico Bernardeschi, and, potentially, Paulo Dybala. A draw will see the Italian side confirm their top spot so that's their motivation for this one.
    This is certainly going to be a tightly contested game. Both sides have been resolute in defence but I think Juventus missing Chiellini is a big blow. Chelsea have a few big hitters coming back and will want to get the win to seal their last 16 spot but also re-open the group winners discussion heading into the last game. I think they'll do it in a low-scoring affair with a single goal separating the two teams.
    Chelsea to Win to Nil @ 2.50 with Bet365
    Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.83 with SBK
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