EviL ZippY

Nap: 530 Dn:  Mutamaasik 11/10 Betvic
Others
510 Ch: Bug Boy 11/4 bet365
215 E: Kingston Kurrajong 5/1 bet365
450 L: Chosen Mate EW 7/1 bet365

5 meetings
Nap: 350 L: Dantes View 9/2 PP/Coral
Nb: 310 W: Hallings Comet 2/1

EW Bet: 545 Ct: French Mix 8/1 bet365
 
Big race at Listowel
335 Lis: Ratings

1pt Gardens Of Babylon 6/1 Betfair
 

Just 3 meetings, 1 flat, 2 jumps
Nap: 325 Y: Wyclif 5/4 bet365
Other: 2.55 Y: Danzeno 100/30 bet365
 
Big handicap Ratings
220 York

 
1pt EW Cockalorum 14/1 bet365
 

6 meetings on Wednesday including 2 NH fixtures.
 
Nap: 500 B: Lalania 5/4 bet365
Well clear in my ratings and should get back to winning ways
Nb: 700 H: Betsy Trotter 2/1 bet365
A filly in form and another big chance for the Tudhope/O'Meara combo
NH Bet: 350 U: Sid Hoodie 9/2 bet365
Noted when running well after a break last time, can give the fav a run for her money.
 

The 5.05 at Fontwell is a weak contest and at a double figure price it is worth taking another chance on Ballina Lady. Those with good memories will remember I put her up at Stratford back in June when I wrote this
 
A brief message for a couple worth backing tomorrow. Ballina Lady runs in the 2nd and although it was only a weak maiden she won last month they never saw which way she went. That was over 3m, but the pace she has and based on her previous pointing runs the drop down to 2m should not be an issue. The soft ground is a slight concern, but clearly connections aren't worried and even allowing for the fact she is out of the weights in this she still looks well handicapped. That win last time was the first time Lilly had ridden her and she is back on here and hopefully she can make all.
 
I was right to be worried about the soft ground that day as she ended up dropping out tamely. She then ran well until not staying 3m at Southwell the week after. This is a 0-100 but in practice it is a 0-89 as that is what the top weight's rating is (although the 4yo Lord De La Mine is rated 95). That means she gets to run off 69 and then Lilly takes off another 7 so is basically running off 62. Quick ground round here could be ideal for her and as I say at the price in a race this bad it is well worth taking a chance e/w with her.
 
Out of the 8 rivals 3 have no obvious chance whatsoever so we basically have a 6 runner race. Mr Sawyer is a pointer/hunter chaser as well and it made little sense to me why he has backed at Stratford last week and he got nowhere near to winning. He has only run well once in 8 hunter chases and that was when he was 2nd at Stratford in 2016. The  other 7 were all pretty poor efforts and it's hard to see why first time cheekpieces is suddenly going to spark the improvement needed to look like winning under rules. Lord De La Mine is only 4 so might improve and ran OK up to a point at Bangor last week in a better race than this, but a mark of 95 seems high enough on what he has done so far. His trainer has yet to have a runner here but sends two tonight. Primogeniture has yet to run in a class 5 over fences, but didn't win one over hurdles. He never really got close to winning one although he has place claims in a race like this. Mountain Of Angels is probably the biggest danger for me as on his 2nd at Stratford last year and his win at Southwell this year he can win this. The doubt is he has run two stinkers on his other 2 starts since coming back under rules after a couple of runs pointing. He does like to front run though and he could find it hard keeping tabs on Ballina Lady.
 
Diligent is a very short priced favourite and looks a terrible price. He could win and did run well enough in a weak class 4 here last week and he was backed into favouritism as well, but he hardly looks a horse you would want to back at 11/10 given his profile. 
 
So all in all Ballina Lady looks well worth a punt at 14/1 e/w in a bad race where they all have doubts over them.

The treble has landed @ 39/1  
5/4, 9/4, 9/2 

 

Pretty poor stuff on Wednesday
 
Nap : 7.15 W Bathiva 8/11 bet365
Nb: 3.40 M Caustic Love 3/1
Other: 6.25 K Image Of The Moon 9/4

525 eps 
Lady Monica 233 +2 
Poets magic  231 +2 
Some ew value on offer here so ill play 
Lady monica 5pts ew 11/1 pp
Poets magic 5pts ew 12/1 bet365  

Acclamatio   8 00 muss    3pt win @ 5.7 betfair  taken this morning  

Highland Acclaim a proper Epsom specialist in that one as well, and at a tempting mark 

420 eps 
Maximillus  225 +3 
Maksab   223 +3 
Look nicely rated in open race ...decent value too 
Maximillus 5pts win 8/1 b365
Maksab 5pts win 7/1 b365 

6 meetings - just one more week of evening racing - yipee, been a long summer!!!
Nap: 505 R: Clearance 1/1 Hills
Nb: 800 M: Mutamaded 7/2 bet365
EW: 405 R: Equiano Springs 9/2 bet365

 

420 chep 
Clem a   233 +3 
Bold show  229 +2 
These 2 are clear of next horse ...so ill play 
Clem a   10pts win 4/1 lads 
Bold show 5 pts win 9/1 b365
And 1 pt rev forecast 

Only 6 meetings on a BH?
Nap 2.45 R: Flying Dragon 9/4
Nb 2.40 C;  What Will Be 6/4
Other
430 R: Fayez 100/30
 

nice mate

That makes a refreshing change

Hamilton abandoned so just 5 meetings
Nap: 605 NA: Bramble Brook 6/5

Nb: 410 B: Lady Mascara 2/1
EW: 400 K: Choral Music 10/1
 

5 meetings on Monday, nothing better than a Class 4!
Nap: 315 L: Little Bird 11/10
One to note:
245 L: Cantiniere 7/2

 

Nap: 320 S: Lil Rockerfeller 5/2 betfair
Nb:  220 S: Game Line 7/4 bet365
EW: 420 S: Sid Hoodie 10/1 bet365

 
 

9 meetings and just too many to get a grip on in my opinion.
Anyway the Nap is at Perth over jumps.
415 P: Ardera Cross 6/5 Betvic
Others
335 N: Sir Dancealot 7/2
425 R: Hortzadar 11/2 
620 B: Hope Is High 13/2
EW Patent
 
 

Only 8 meetings on Friday!!
Nap goes in the first race
140 Wolves: Maid Millie 2/1 bet365
Top class stuff at the Curragh : 5/1 Double
645 Sir Dragonet 8/11
615 Southern France 2/1 
 

*ZippY rushes to the window, desperately checking for signs of an upcoming apocalypse and the end of the world as we know it, as, unbelievably, @BillyHills picks a winner @ Ayr :eek: 
 
:p

445 A: Nicholas T  (6/4 Coral)
I cant pick my nose as far as Ayr is concerned but thats the only negative for the Nap Nicholas T.
Elsewhere I like:
425 C: Ink Master
800 B: Kylie Rules

5 meetings, busy for a Sunday
I like Redcar so will go all in there!!
220: Thunderous
255: First Dance
330: One To Go
405: Rangefield Express
440: First Flight
515: Muscika
545: Never Be Enough (Nap)
615: Donnachies Girl (Nb)
56 Trebles

It is a busy day on Sunday with 3 races catching my eye at Newton Abbot. I'm glad Midnight Folie was an unbackable price on Thursday as I would have put her up otherwise. That defeat though means we are getting 15/8 about a horse who should be favourite. She had to do too much to soon with the battle for the lead with the 3rd and it meant she had little left on the run in to fend off the winner. She was backed heavily into 1/4 so it was clearly expected she would go in again and this race should be much more to her liking. Granted it was her smallest winning margin, but I thought her win over course and distance was her most impressive of the 3 and she should be able to get a soft lead here. What is also in her favour is it looks like she only has two viable rivals both of whom are unproven over this trip. Granted Dan Skelton knows what he is doing, but on paper it seems a strange move to run Chasma over this far. If he gets well backed though I would be worried as there winners do tend to be well backed. Chequered View seems like a more logical candidate for stepping up to this trip and he should benefit from a run over 2m at Southwell a month ago. I still think Midnight Folie is well handicapped though. I said off 85 she had at least 30lbs in hand so based on that she has 10lbs still plus her jockey takes off 7lbs.
 
In the 5.00 I really like Ballyknock Cloud. You might remember I put him up as being well handicapped ahead of his return to rules. He was quite well backed and as all good e/w bets do ended up finishing 4th. That doesn't tell the whole story though as he got badly hampered at a crucial stage and it put him on the back foot, before he was able to stay on again. That was a class 4 like this but that was a 0-115 whereas this is a 0-105 so it is a weaker contest. Granted better luck in running I would be amazed if he doesn't go close in a race like this.
 
Damut I'm Out plugged on for 3rd in the race Hidden Charmer just got beat in at the beginning of the month. He was a long way behind Hidden Charmer and he just couldn't go fast enough to catch the 1st 2 up, but he was only beaten just over 3L and this slightly longer trip will help. I also can't see anything being capable of what Hidden Charmer did that night in this so I am having a saver on him.
 
Pointed And Sharp isn't without a chance and Isle Road has been well backed after winning over hurdles here last week. He's up to a new high handicap mark of 100, but for a 10yo he's relatively unexposed so I wouldn't discount him either. I put up This Breac as a small bet against Midnight Folie here last month and he helped make the running before dropping out and being well beaten. Quite how the handicapper only dropped him a lb after that I don't know. The shorter trip might actually help him although he's never run over it and we know Bryony is good on front runners. I might have to have a very small just in case bet given he's 28/1, but I think he needs to probably run in a lesser grade and ultimately it is hard to see him being up to beating Ballyknock Cloud or Damut Im Out let alone the other two I have mentioned.
 
I have to back Skinflint again in the last. He has now bumped into 2 well handicapped horses. First off it was Midnight Folie here over fences and then Brave Helios over hurdles at Worcester. They were miles clear of the rest on both occasions and he really deserves to get his head in front and is clearly well handicapped. Alanjou is probably the biggest danger having won on both starts for Barry Brennan. They were weak races he won and he is up 10lbs, but he has been rated higher in the past so he could still be well handicapped as well. Hopefully though Skinflint can get the better of him and the rest.