Fader

Yesterday was very annoying. I couldn't tip up King to beat Hawkins in time because Hawkins was messing about in his late match. I didn't tip up Cahill on his own to beat Ferg and Lines to beat Woollaston and on a seperate note a big accy of mine lost thanks to Yupeng missing a final black against Selby. Very irratating.
There was nothing I was too excited about this morning. I thought Craigie had a chance against Bingham. That's currently 2-2.
All the ones I like today are odds on shots so I will take a chance on a 4-fold with paddy (money back if one loses) tempted by Lichtenberg and Miah but I'll keep it just this today (for now)
2pts J.Robertson / Heathcote / Walden / Saengkham 4/1 paddypower
N.Ireland tips +2pts

I watched Mark Williams for abit late last night hobbling around the table, suffering from bad Gout. He lost the first frame to Mark Joyce but luckily for him a mixture of natural talent and Joyce being cr*p helped him take control and win 4-1. He takes on Elliot Slessor tonight, who is a very underrated player. I don't know much about Gout but I would assume it doesn't heal in just one day and even without the Gout, Slessor would give Mark a game. Worth a small bet.
2pts E.Slessor to beat M.Williams 2/1 bet365

Impressive stuff from Gary Wilson. Beats Jordan Brown 4-0. Allen and Bingtao through in the outrights. Allen hit a 147 in the 4th frame.  Ronnie looks bang on in and ready to play this week and so he looks a cert to go deep.  +4pts on the day. 
A couple that I like tomorrow but I'm waiting on Hawkins result on one of the afternoon matches. I'll mention the 2 that I do definitely like the look of though,
Ali Carter is the first, he takes on Haotian in the morning and I fancy Ali to win -1.5 frame handicap. Carter found a way to go out of the Scottish Open to Ken Doherty despite being 2-0 and 3-2 up, he lost 4-3 but he managed to hit 5 50+ breaks and is most certainly in some decent form. Haotian has lost 3 of the 4 matches he has played this season and despite only losing to Day on a deciding leg, he isn't scoring anywhere near to Ali's level. They've met twice and Ali has won both and I think he will have enough to do it with a couple frames to spare. 
The other one I like is James Cahill to beat Ferg O'Brien. Cahill looked in good form in the last round here, beating Chang Bingyu 4-2 and hitting a century and 2 50+ breaks. He's beaten Lee Walker since then and comes into this match against Ferg O'Brien, who is in decent form himself. The fact that Ferg also has some form means I'll take Cahill in a 4-fold with Oliver Lines and the handicap bet on Carter and Sijun.
3pts A. Carter (-1.5 frames) to beat L. Haotian evens paddypower
1pt accy -  A. Carter (-1.5 frames) /  Y. Sijun (-1.5 frames) / J. Cahill to beat F.O'Brien / O. Lines to beat B. Woollaston 15/1 paddypower
N.Ireland tips +8pts

Yesterday was very annoying. I couldn't tip up King to beat Hawkins in time because Hawkins was messing about in his late match. I didn't tip up Cahill on his own to beat Ferg and Lines to beat Woollaston and on a seperate note a big accy of mine lost thanks to Yupeng missing a final black against Selby. Very irratating.
There was nothing I was too excited about this morning. I thought Craigie had a chance against Bingham. That's currently 2-2.
All the ones I like today are odds on shots so I will take a chance on a 4-fold with paddy (money back if one loses) tempted by Lichtenberg and Miah but I'll keep it just this today (for now)
2pts J.Robertson / Heathcote / Walden / Saengkham 4/1 paddypower
N.Ireland tips +2pts

Rocking and rolling so far! The acca's are always a bit nerve-wracking but nice when you hit one.

Impressive stuff from Gary Wilson. Beats Jordan Brown 4-0. Allen and Bingtao through in the outrights. Allen hit a 147 in the 4th frame.  Ronnie looks bang on in and ready to play this week and so he looks a cert to go deep.  +4pts on the day. 
A couple that I like tomorrow but I'm waiting on Hawkins result on one of the afternoon matches. I'll mention the 2 that I do definitely like the look of though,
Ali Carter is the first, he takes on Haotian in the morning and I fancy Ali to win -1.5 frame handicap. Carter found a way to go out of the Scottish Open to Ken Doherty despite being 2-0 and 3-2 up, he lost 4-3 but he managed to hit 5 50+ breaks and is most certainly in some decent form. Haotian has lost 3 of the 4 matches he has played this season and despite only losing to Day on a deciding leg, he isn't scoring anywhere near to Ali's level. They've met twice and Ali has won both and I think he will have enough to do it with a couple frames to spare. 
The other one I like is James Cahill to beat Ferg O'Brien. Cahill looked in good form in the last round here, beating Chang Bingyu 4-2 and hitting a century and 2 50+ breaks. He's beaten Lee Walker since then and comes into this match against Ferg O'Brien, who is in decent form himself. The fact that Ferg also has some form means I'll take Cahill in a 4-fold with Oliver Lines and the handicap bet on Carter and Sijun.
3pts A. Carter (-1.5 frames) to beat L. Haotian evens paddypower
1pt accy -  A. Carter (-1.5 frames) /  Y. Sijun (-1.5 frames) / J. Cahill to beat F.O'Brien / O. Lines to beat B. Woollaston 15/1 paddypower
N.Ireland tips +8pts

Impressive stuff from Gary Wilson. Beats Jordan Brown 4-0. Allen and Bingtao through in the outrights. Allen hit a 147 in the 4th frame.  Ronnie looks bang on in and ready to play this week and so he looks a cert to go deep.  +4pts on the day. 
A couple that I like tomorrow but I'm waiting on Hawkins result on one of the afternoon matches. I'll mention the 2 that I do definitely like the look of though,
Ali Carter is the first, he takes on Haotian in the morning and I fancy Ali to win -1.5 frame handicap. Carter found a way to go out of the Scottish Open to Ken Doherty despite being 2-0 and 3-2 up, he lost 4-3 but he managed to hit 5 50+ breaks and is most certainly in some decent form. Haotian has lost 3 of the 4 matches he has played this season and despite only losing to Day on a deciding leg, he isn't scoring anywhere near to Ali's level. They've met twice and Ali has won both and I think he will have enough to do it with a couple frames to spare. 
The other one I like is James Cahill to beat Ferg O'Brien. Cahill looked in good form in the last round here, beating Chang Bingyu 4-2 and hitting a century and 2 50+ breaks. He's beaten Lee Walker since then and comes into this match against Ferg O'Brien, who is in decent form himself. The fact that Ferg also has some form means I'll take Cahill in a 4-fold with Oliver Lines and the handicap bet on Carter and Sijun.
3pts A. Carter (-1.5 frames) to beat L. Haotian evens paddypower
1pt accy -  A. Carter (-1.5 frames) /  Y. Sijun (-1.5 frames) / J. Cahill to beat F.O'Brien / O. Lines to beat B. Woollaston 15/1 paddypower
N.Ireland tips +8pts

Straight into the next one as the Cazoo European Championships get started on Thursday. Peter Wright won this last year, beating the previous years winner James Wade, in the final. A 4 day event that's hosted in Austria, Suljovic's home country.
The top 32 players from the European Tour make up this event so think the Super Series, Winter Series winners etc..
Price is in the top half and it looks like he will meet MVG in the Quarter Finals (aslong as MVG can beat Wade) in the other part of the top half we have Ratajski, Smith, Searle, Noppert and Aspinall so this tournament will really catch fire Quarter finals onwards. The player I like from the top half is Ratajski. He played some really good stuff last week and was unlucky to go out to Clayton in that Quarter Final. He was the only player to really push Clayton at the Grand Prix.
In the bottom half Peter Wright will have Suljovic and Cullen in his half. I think Suljovic has a chance of going deep in this event but it's hard to know his form because the Grand Prix has the double in/double out aspect. Add to the fact Mensur is "at home" i think he is worth a small bet. In the other half of the bottom I like a few outsiders. Cross will likely meet De Sousa in the Quarter Finals but I wasn't that impressed with De Sousa and I think one of Rydz/Humphries/Williams can give Cross a go if they make it through.
2pts e/w K.Ratajski to win European Championship 25/1 paddypower
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1pt e/w L.Humphries to win European Championship 25/1 paddypower
1pt e/w M.Suljovic to win European Championship 33/1 paddypower
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0.5pts C.Rydz to win European Championships 66/1 paddypower
0.5pts L.Williams to win European Championships 100/1 paddypower

Absolutely brilliant fight again this morning. Fury is just a different breed, he looked like he could go another 12 rounds at the end of that fight. True champion. Let's hope there is a number 4 because let's face it, who else can Fury beat  
The evens shot on Fury was free money despite it only being a tenna but the 9/1 comes in with both fighters going down but The Gypsy King wins in Round 11.
+23pts

What! A! Match! just incredible from Clayton. Not sure I've seen a better performance. The checkouts were from another planet. All 3 bets wins for +26pts 2/1, 3/1 and 6/1 winners to get the tournament into the profit. I can't believe Clayton was 150/1 to win the Worlds not that long ago. He's now around 10s.
Grand Prix bets +14.5pts

In the stupid hours of Sunday morning, around 5-6am, the trilogy will be completed as once again Fury takes on Wilder.  I think we'll see a closer fight than the 2nd one and perhaps more like the first fight. I still think Fury will win but I can see this one going to latter stages and perhaps even going to a decision on points, to Fury, who is the much better boxer.
skybet are doing evens on Fury winning but it's a tenna max bet. Paddypower are offering a free bet of the same amount for their "what odds" bets which are what my other 2 selections are.
6pts Fury to beat Wilder evens skybet
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2pts Both fighters to go down and Fury wins 9/1 paddypower
1pt Both fighters to go down and the fight go the distance 12/1 paddypower

The final is tonight then and I can't ignore the difference in form of the two. Everything points to Clayton, the form, the averages, the doubling, the crowd, who will be 100% Clayton and the fact Price is struggling with his arm (know how that feels) 
The problem is Price always finds a way to win these and has a massive head-2-head advantage. I'm very much torn, because you have to favour Clayton on all these facts above. I'll go with my heart instead of my head on this one and I'll take Clayton to win. His averages have been consistently good through the tournament and if he goes below 90 for this one then we know he has a real mental block with Price. He did beat him in a Players Championship final but that's not on the TV.
I get the feeling this will either be a Clayton win with ease or Clayton will bottle is alittle bit and it be a scrappy 5-4 Price. One thing for sure, Clayton isn't scoring 180s like Price is and is tending to go T19 after two T20s. He is hitting alot of 140s but that's always been the case with Clayton and so I think Price hits most 180s tonight. 
4pts J.Clayton (-1.5 sets) to beat G.Price 2/1 paddypower
2pts Price to hit the most 180s but LOSE the match 3/1 paddypower
2pts Clayton win / Price most 180s / Clayton highest checkout 6/1 skybet

The final is tonight then and I can't ignore the difference in form of the two. Everything points to Clayton, the form, the averages, the doubling, the crowd, who will be 100% Clayton and the fact Price is struggling with his arm (know how that feels) 
The problem is Price always finds a way to win these and has a massive head-2-head advantage. I'm very much torn, because you have to favour Clayton on all these facts above. I'll go with my heart instead of my head on this one and I'll take Clayton to win. His averages have been consistently good through the tournament and if he goes below 90 for this one then we know he has a real mental block with Price. He did beat him in a Players Championship final but that's not on the TV.
I get the feeling this will either be a Clayton win with ease or Clayton will bottle is alittle bit and it be a scrappy 5-4 Price. One thing for sure, Clayton isn't scoring 180s like Price is and is tending to go T19 after two T20s. He is hitting alot of 140s but that's always been the case with Clayton and so I think Price hits most 180s tonight. 
4pts J.Clayton (-1.5 sets) to beat G.Price 2/1 paddypower
2pts Price to hit the most 180s but LOSE the match 3/1 paddypower
2pts Clayton win / Price most 180s / Clayton highest checkout 6/1 skybet

An interesting event in which the last 3 years have been the EXACT same score and the EXACT same 2 finalists in a row. Trump has beaten Ronnie 9-7 three years running in this event, which i suppose is an interesting fact before we start.
We've had a real lack of snooker recently but we're now in for a sustained period of play. We have this event followed by the German Masters and then qualification to the Masters, all in October. We then have the English Open at the start of November and the UK Championship at the end.
I'm looking at the outright draw and there are a few I'll give a chance. 
2pts e/w M.Allen to win Northern Ireland Open 18/1 paddypower
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1pt e/w D.Gilbert to win Northern Ireland Open 33/1 paddypower
1pt e/w Y.Bingtao to win Northern Ireland Open 33/1 paddypower
1pt e/w A.Carter to win Northern Ireland Open 50/1 paddypower
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0.5pts e/w Z.Yuelong to win Northern Ireland Open 70/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w R.Walden to win Northern Ireland Open 75/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w M.Gould to win Northern Ireland Open 75/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w G.Wilson to win Northern Ireland Open 100/1 paddypower

@alexcaruso808 yeah, I tend to use Paddy alot mate. They tend to do alot of the boosts and bonuses and also tend to have the money back if 1 loses (which as you can see happens to me alot) :d 
I don't want to promote somebody gambling when they have a self exclusion but are you not able to create a new account or something?

ah so close to both winning 4-1. Just Price's injury flaring up again to cause him issues. Luckily, Bunting just wasn't good enough to take advantage. That final set from Price and the couple of 180s means he hit the 7/2 match treble for a +5pt night.
I think the final is no surprise. You would have to say Clayton much better form but he always seems to fail to play his game against Price and so it's not set in stone in any sense.
grand prix bets -1.5pts

More and more it's looking like a boring old Welsh final. Price looks to be got at right now. He isn't playing that great, but he hasn't needed to. Bunting was pretty average lastnight and he would need to add about 10pts to his average to win tonight in my eyes. Clayton looked much better last night and beat a real in-form Ratajski. I think Clayton and Price go through 4-1/4-2. Noppert has looked possibly the best player of the lot but I just feel like we're waiting for the doubling to abandon him. 
2pts Price to beat Bunting, most 180s and highest checkout 7/2 paddypower
1pt Price and Clayton both to win and hit most 180s 7/1 paddypower
1pt Price and Clayton both to win 4-1 18/1 paddypower

In the stupid hours of Sunday morning, around 5-6am, the trilogy will be completed as once again Fury takes on Wilder.  I think we'll see a closer fight than the 2nd one and perhaps more like the first fight. I still think Fury will win but I can see this one going to latter stages and perhaps even going to a decision on points, to Fury, who is the much better boxer.
skybet are doing evens on Fury winning but it's a tenna max bet. Paddypower are offering a free bet of the same amount for their "what odds" bets which are what my other 2 selections are.
6pts Fury to beat Wilder evens skybet
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2pts Both fighters to go down and Fury wins 9/1 paddypower
1pt Both fighters to go down and the fight go the distance 12/1 paddypower

he just threw it away. That's what annoys me more. Absolute choker.

I'm following this one - good luck mate!!!

Into the Quarter finals now. Everybody plays tonight. Full line-up :
Noppert Vs White
Ratajski Vs Clayton
Price Vs Chisnall
Bunting Vs Searle
Noppert looked really good yesterday against Van Der Voort. He went down 2-0 in the 1st set and was matching Van Der Voort in 100+ averages for the first set. He came back to win that set and never looked back. White also went a set down. Infact, 2 sets down and 6-0 in legs down but came back into it to beat Labby. Difference is Labby allowed it and much like Ross Smith the night previously, he kinda bottled it. I think Noppert wins tonight. He is consistently getting in and White struggled quite alot at times to get in.
I think Clayton likely beats Ratajski. It looks very much like a Clayton Vs Price final right now. Price beats Chizzy for me. Like previously mentioned, I think Ross Smith bottled it against Chizzy and should have won that match easily at 2-0 up. It was a frustrating match as I was on Smith on the outright but let's face it, he wasn't  beating Price and nor will Chizzy be in my opinion. He isn't playing well enough.
In the final match, I think it's likely to be the closest result. I would side with Searle as he is just flying right now but he's hitting the big out shots every match and still laboring over the line so if those big checkouts stop then he could be in trouble. I think that will come in the Semi-final though.
6pts D.Noppert to beat I.White 4/6 betvictor
2pts Noppert, Clayton, Price and Searle all to win 11/2 paddypower
2pts Searle to beat Bunting, hit most 180s and highest checkout 5/1 paddypower

Cheers, error for not logging in on phone, chose everton before... so glad this one got beat..
Thanks anyway!

Wahey! a winner. Clayton does the business and hits the match treble for +13pts. We're still in the red but it's not so embarrassing now  
-6.5pts

Well done to the 7 through. It was a hard week, this week. Only helderjma has his joker left. 

 

Well done to the 7 through. It was a hard week, this week. Only helderjma has his joker left.