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goodfren

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    Soccer Over / Under Bet System

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System I am going to change my staking strategy from Day 18 bet onwards, as i feel the current staking plan do not suit my betting pick system. The following staking plan will be base on chances in my pick. My staking plan will have four level of bet point. 1 pts, 2 pts, 4 pts and 6 point system. The point is base on starting bank point (100 point) A note for the reader: About the chances I mention, it does not represent good pick or confident pick. It just derived from my pick strategy. I was more interested to see my system to produce long term profits instead of speculating in confident pick as a good bet.

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting Another great idea just pop out my brain from the inquiry by emersonthome Ley say you have bet 80 matches and your win is 60 bet, that is your peaks, now you have 20 more bets left, what you can do is, bet any many picks you have for a day, if you have overall win or break even in profits, carry on again tomorow and so on until you reach 100 bet. Let say thing are not right after you reach you peaks at 60 winning bet per each 100 bet you make, your overall bet is loss, stop until the new 100 bet started. I think by using this way, is the best way we can to maximised on good form period without breaking out too much of the so called good form and bad form everage. Every one will know exactly what are their everage striking rate. So if one has reach one winning peaks, one can use this daily bet measurement to prevent from losing back what one have already earn.

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting Yes, because you have reach your peaks in winning. Off course this can be further breakdown into more details, like good form everage and bad form everage. The other way would be by feeling i assume, just keep betting if you have strong feeling to win further after your winning have reach your winning peaks until you feel things start to turn backward then stop betting until each predicted bet move till your 100 bet mark. By then you can start betting again based on new 100 bets performance. If you have any other idea do share, maybe we have better solution for refine it, i need more way to see which are best to be used.

    Soccer Over / Under Bet System

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System

    I think there is value in the over here also. However' date=' your odds are way too low. Betdaq offer 2.65 on the over (Batfair may be be even higher), and this was matched at a high of 2.9. Good luck![/quote'] Yes, i know, cos i just post the odd when I finish my pick. So when I cannot find good odd in betfair, i will then take the odd from gamebookers, where the are offered. Anyways, if this system can proved to increase the striking rate, then there will be more profits to be made, at present, i just want to see how i can improved my pick with long odds that have possible win. I will keep improving this system from time to time.

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting

    For testing the reliability of a system there is something known as the "Chi-Test". unfortunatly I know very little bout this but hopefully someone with more knowledge on the ubject may come along and help you out.
    I think i seen once this "Chi Test" but i thought of other thing, so never read it, if no mistake, is in forum somewhere, i cannot remember which forum.

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting Yeah, I really hope so, because i alway believed that every strategy and the winning percentage has it's peaks, if not, it will not be called gambling. If we can monitor our peaks, than what we can do is to avoid when one peaks is achieved, this peak formula has been apply in many of the stock trading, but not in soccer, like candlestick, momentum, moving everage, socastic, rsi and etc... I will try to look for stock trading formula to see if any of it will be suitable for use in sport betting, because all this system were design based on probilities. May stock system is good to monitor goal score for team, this is what i have in mind.

    Soccer Over / Under Bet System

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 15 3.86 pts per each bet. Over Bet Ireland Bray Wanderers - Sligo Rovers @ 2.50 postp Spain 2 Almeria - Huelva @ 2.46 :hope Castellon CD - Gimnástico de Tarragona @ 2.68 :@ Valladolid - Lorca @ 2.36 :@ Xerez - Murcia Real @ 2.70 :@ Gijon Sporting - Levante @ 2.58 :@ This spanish league 2 want to fail me, but it will never fail my systems. Italy B Verona - Bari @ 2.40 :hope Avellino - Vicenza @2.20 :hope Under Bet Italy B Modena - Piacenza @ 2.34 :hope Catanzaro US - Catania Calcio @ 2.30 :$

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting

    The problem with low strike rate systems are twofold. 1. Longer loser runs which can sap the players confidence and also the stake level must be much lower then high strike rate systems. 2. The difficult of proving the that the system is statistically sound and not down to a few "lucky" long priced winners I would be very careful of any system where the strike run is below 20%
    I don't get what you mean for this topic :\

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting O.k Guys, i think i have rough idea on how to measure own winning peaks. 1st: Record upto 500 bets one made. 2: Write up how many winning bet in 500 bets. 3: The total winning bet in 500 bets is divided by 5 to get everage winning bet per each 100 bets. 4: Use the total estimated winning bet for each 100 bets minus 15% to 20% (up to individual requirement) as a correction for good form and bad form period. Once you have the number of your peak bet figure. This rule can be adjust to one is prefer, no hard rules for point 4. 5: When your winning bet on the following bets reach the figure of your peaks, then you can stop betting until all prediction bet pass 100 bets. In short, one have to keep making it's prediction bet so that your intended bets pick is keep moving. Important note: To monitor one betting peaks, one must have a non change systems or strategy of picks so that the accuracy can be predicted correctly about one winning peaks. For more accurate estimation of own winning bets peaks, I would prefer to monitor it base on each 100 bets i made and carry it on until i have made 500 bets then make the everage for each 100 bets to see the difference of everage winning bet per 100 bets and the actual winning bet per each 100 bets. By using this measure, we can also notice our bad form period. Example: Our peaks winning bets is 60 bet per 100 bets. But after 50 bet, our winning bets is only have about 20 winnings bets, it could indicate that our current form is inconsistent, therefore we may decide not to bet or bet lesser for this period until the next 100 bet period is coming. Off course this rules may not have to be use by more aggresive punter, but is a good rules for punter who does not want to take big risk. Any comments to further refine this indicator is highly welcome.

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: How to become a winner in Betting No mr %, I said if only i could find a system which fail me 90% of the time, then I would be able to win 90% of the time. So, is anyone know how to measure the peak of the system? Any rough idea is welcome as there will be many reading it, who know's one may come up with great solutions. Like in stock, they can use technical chart, what about sports, any technical formula which can measure win loss peak?

    How to become a winner in Betting

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    I think one should not worry about what system one will create, any system does has it's way to find the weak and good point as indicator for a good bet. So the best way would be to spend your time throughly on your system to spot the best way to use it for profits. If one who like thinking and to calculate, then stat system will do best. If one who like logic or have common sense, then fundamental analysis system will do best. One thing one must always remember, no matter how bad one system is, to me, I like to have a system that either give win or loss 90% of the time, the reason is simple, if win 90% of the time, I stick to it, if it fail me 90% of the time, I simply reverse my betting. At last I get 90% win most of the time. But in reality, most system tend to end around 50% (more or less) if one bet as longer as it wanted. So the conclusion to winning is actually how well one can avoid the bounce back theory. To me, the best way to measure this is by staying away for sometimes when one system has reach its peaks. Then how to measure this peaks, paper trade will do best but I still don't the specific way to measure this peak yet, if anyone of you has interest in this, let us share the idea of how to measure own performance peaks. There are no specific way to win in betting, one only need to know one best ability is at best in which area. Correct? Wrong? Doesn't matter. Trying is everything. If you have thoughts in this, let us share it here.

    Soccer Over / Under Bet System

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Over / Under Bet System Day 14 4.39 pts per each bet. Over Bet Spain 2 Eibar - Lleida @ 2.58 Ciudad de Murcia - Ferrol @ 2.18 Hercules - Elche FC @ 2.62 Numancia - Albacete @ 2.30 Tenerife CD - Ejido @ 2.32 Ireland Longford Town - St. Patrick's Athletic @ 2.56 -> postp Derry City - Cork City @ 2.58 International Friendly Slovakia - Belgium @ 2.06

    Make a living with betting ¿should i be a mathematician?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Make a living with betting ¿should i be a mathematician?

    one thing its clear ' date=' we must take away the factor luck in the long run and this is with mathematics , the problem is that i had very bad teachers and i want learn statistics to make profit. In betfair its "easy" make money in the short run thanks to back and lay but in the long run you lose (i lose manchester-sunerland much money) but i Barcelona - arsenal i get good profit . So maybe use leaguepad and learn equations and statistics.[/quote'] I am really not sure why your winnings has something concern with bookie or betfair? Why is back and lay make you loss in the long run. :\
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