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About Craig7839

  • Birthday 06/12/1989

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  1. Craig7839


    Not sure if this is the right forum guys but ill ask anyway. Hole cards 10/10 and was raised All in pre-flop @ UTG +1. I called with the inital thoughts of this guy would have a Top pair, Turns out he has Ace jack Offsuit Flop shows 5h Jc Kc Turn shows 3d River Qs Naturally he goes on to win and knock me out of the tourny. Aftermath shows clearly that calling an All in preflop was a bad move, however how far should you go with pocket 10's I tend to view most All in's pre-flop as a bluff or someone who is bored of playing. It goes against all strategies of building a pot with a monster hand. Thoughts?
  2. Gents, I'm on the hunt for a decent staking plan, i have developed/developing a low odds system that so far is proving very successfull, However as everyone will be aware doing Huge bets to maximise profit can end up disastrous. Odds are usually in the region of 1.1 - 1.25 (1/10 - 1/4) So for example if i had 10 selections at 1.1 and staked £100 each time it would take 10 bets to double the amount, however if any of those bets lost its a huge step back. On paper and in practice my current methods haven't lost as of yet, not to say that they won't. Success with this i feel will come from a decent staking plan to maximise the output without risking too much or without it taking an eon to generate a worthwhile profit. Any ideas? Many thanks
  3. Re: 0.5 Roller Bet 2 Germany v Portugal over 1.5 @ 1.1 Sent from my SM-N9005 using PL Forum
  4. Re: 0.5 Roller Bet 1 lands at the 60th. More tomorrow! Edit: changed bet number from 3 to 1
  5. Re: 0.5 Roller BET 1:INPLAY Deportivo Capiata v Club General Diaz Over 0.5 @ 1.2 £14.29 - £17.14 Edit: Changed bet number from 3 to 1
  6. Good Evening all, i've played around for a good while with over 0.5 goal rolling bets. I take the bets in-play to gain the better odds. Never really thought about having an end target however my prior success's have been Converting £10 to £500 and then doing set £500 per stake untill boredom takes over and i lose a silly bet. It works out well taking a inplay Over 0.5 bet at 1.1 returning £50 each time. [TABLE=width: 250] [TR] [TD][TABLE=width: 250] [TR] [TD]Bets Completed:[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bank:[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD] £ 18.88[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Withdrawn:[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD] £ - [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Updated[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]16/06/2014[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] As i said, i have no specific target my best is in the region off 110 consecutive wins, along way off the likes of Skittles ;)
  7. Re: In-play corners, Low risk @Finky That depends really on how many corners have been awarded, experience tells me that by Half time if there has only been 4 corners for example, then the line will offer Under 12. If there has only been 1, then Under 9 will be offered.. @Froment. Yea everything seems nice on the surface haha. Ill be running it concurrently to other things that im developing, hopefully start to build up a decent bank with it
  8. Evening all, first post here so thought id make it a system that ive been working on for a short while. In play Corners Description: The system i have devised takes advantage of the fairly common "under-achieving" games across the world, Betting specifically on Under-Corners, the returns are fairly flexible, owing to how long you are willing to hold on for. Its not the most ideal but this system does utilize the Cash-out option. ----------- Stake Plan: The staking plan that i have been using is fairly simple and 'target-driven'. Starting with £10 or however much you wish to, and continuing in a rolling accumulator style. The testing that i have done so far has been quick and simple, requiring only a 20% profit on the initial stake, this has been achieved roughly 10 minutes after placing the bet, however the more you wish to achieve the longer you will need to hold on. ----------- Pro's / Con's: Pro's: Because this bet is based around the under-corners market, the more time passes without a corner the more we stand to gain. The turn-around on placing the bet and cashing out at a target value can be very quick. Correct selection can ensure this is a solid system. Con's: As soon as there is a corner awarded in the match in question, it has a damaging effect on the cash-out value, and can be fairly slow to recover from. Can be limited on matches that meet selection criteria. ----------- Selection Criteria: (Still under trial) *****Selections picked at Half Time***** Ok, so as this system is based on the under-corners market it is important to select games that are playing poor football, ideally what i like to call a blank game (no cards, goals, limited shots, limited/no corners). If there has been goals in the game, a decent goal difference would be preferred i.e 2-0, 3-0 etc. This would lend me to think that the winning team would go hard on the defense and sit back for the remainder. Avoid draws, with or without goals, avoid high shooting games, both on and off target. Ideally 2-3 games would be picked. Ideal market would be the under-corners line offering in the region of between 1/2 and 1/4, 2/5, 2/7 etc ----------- Placing and cashing the Bet Ok so we have picked 3 games that are low on cards, shots, a couple corners but no more than about 3 or 4. All the games are at HT and are generally boring games to be at. Our favourite. Place the bet with whatever your chosen stake is, cash out value will instantly offer around 80% of your initial stake. As soon as the matches resume play the cash out value will begin to increase at increments of around 5-10% every 30 seconds or so. Have your target value already in your mind and wait for the cash out to reach that amount, basically we want no corners for around 5-10 minutes, as soon as there is a corner it will lower the cash out value to an amount that is still recoverable. From this point it is just a waiting game. ----------- An example here shows a staking plan at a 20% profit margin. As you can see the first amount of bets are fairly minuscule profits, but as im sure everyone knows on this sort of bet, the first line as as important as the last. This is purely an example showing how far this can go and 100% would not recommend lumping 25k on a 20% profit [TABLE=width: 370] [TR] [TD=align: right]1[/TD] [TD] £ 10.00[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]23[/TD] [TD] £ 552.06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD] £ 12.00[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]24[/TD] [TD] £ 662.47[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [TD] £ 14.40[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]25[/TD] [TD] £ 794.97[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD] £ 17.28[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]26[/TD] [TD] £ 953.96[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [TD] £ 20.74[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]27[/TD] [TD] £ 1,144.75[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD] £ 24.88[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]28[/TD] [TD] £ 1,373.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD] £ 29.86[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]29[/TD] [TD] £ 1,648.45[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD] £ 35.83[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]30[/TD] [TD] £ 1,978.14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD] £ 43.00[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]31[/TD] [TD] £ 2,373.76[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD] £ 51.60[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]32[/TD] [TD] £ 2,848.52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]11[/TD] [TD] £ 61.92[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [TD] £ 3,418.22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD] £ 74.30[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]34[/TD] [TD] £ 4,101.86[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]13[/TD] [TD] £ 89.16[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]35[/TD] [TD] £ 4,922.24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]14[/TD] [TD] £ 106.99[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]36[/TD] [TD] £ 5,906.68[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]15[/TD] [TD] £ 128.39[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]37[/TD] [TD] £ 7,088.02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]16[/TD] [TD] £ 154.07[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]38[/TD] [TD] £ 8,505.62[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]17[/TD] [TD] £ 184.88[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]39[/TD] [TD] £ 10,206.75[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]18[/TD] [TD] £ 221.86[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]40[/TD] [TD] £ 12,248.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]19[/TD] [TD] £ 266.23[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]41[/TD] [TD] £ 14,697.72[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]20[/TD] [TD] £ 319.48[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]42[/TD] [TD] £ 17,637.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]21[/TD] [TD] £ 383.38[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]43[/TD] [TD] £ 21,164.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]22[/TD] [TD] £ 460.05[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]44[/TD] [TD] £ 25,397.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD=align: right]45[/TD] [TD] £ 30,477.18[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] --------------------------------- Here is an example of the first couple of bets, cashed out as soon as the next target was hit. Some of the cashouts go slightly over the required amount, the extra would just sit in the balance as surplus. Hopefully this will be of use to people, ive never shared a system before so not to sure how best to explain it, this should do. Any questions feel free to ask. Using the above staking "Targets", i managed it to bet 20 whilst still playing around with selection criteria, a fair amount of luck got me that far as looking back on some of the bets i did i wouldn't think of placing some of them now. Cheers, Craig
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