xxx1984xxx

Kontaveit - Kerber
I saw Kontaveit today. incredibly bad at its own impact. Kerber will punish that several times in the sentence. Kerber arrived earlier to prepare for the tournament. for me here a clear 2: 0 for Kerber with a super odd of 2.25

Kontaveit - Kerber
I saw Kontaveit today. incredibly bad at its own impact. Kerber will punish that several times in the sentence. Kerber arrived earlier to prepare for the tournament. for me here a clear 2: 0 for Kerber with a super odd of 2.25

https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-47121681

https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-47121681

50:50

50:50

Personally i think Opelka is the right favorite here. This guy will not concede BP if he serves in the same way he's doing, he's a monster server. Let's see what the others think but personally i see Opelka winning this.

Hi @apeman666, if my current info is correct (and I haven't checked in quite some time, since I'm using the same bookies over and over again), Pinnacle pay out after set one, Marathon do the same, Bwin were paying after one ball some time ago.
@xxx1984xxx I can see Fabbiano getting something, but I'm not backing him myself. Opelka's win over Isner is a bit too flattering though, Fabbiano should be tougher to crack imo.

Double
Gille/Vliegen - Karlovic/Zimonjic
Gille/Vliegen a very good Challenger Double. 
14 win
7 lost
Zimonic lost his last 10!!! Matches
Karlovic does not play very often and also unsuccessfully  ans he ist out in Single  
and they play together for the first time. That can not be done, because the space is too slow
1,8 great odd 
 

Double
Gille/Vliegen - Karlovic/Zimonjic
Gille/Vliegen a very good Challenger Double. 
14 win
7 lost
Zimonic lost his last 10!!! Matches
Karlovic does not play very often and also unsuccessfully  ans he ist out in Single  
and they play together for the first time. That can not be done, because the space is too slow
1,8 great odd 
 

:-)

Thiem says the places outside are extremely fast. it says it's like two different tournaments
 
In den ersten Tagen in Melbourne ließ es der French-Open-Halbfinalist zunächst etwas langsamer angehen. Am Samstag trainierte er zweimal und "trotzte dem Regen", wie er zufrieden feststellte. Bei seiner ersten Einheit hatte Thiem ein Zeitfenster ohne Niederschlag erwischt, am Nachmittag durfte er dann in der überdachten Hisense Arena ran. Der Belag auf dem drittgrößten Court der Anlage am Yarra River unterscheidet sich extrem von dem auf den Außenplätzen. "Die sind höllisch schnell. Es werden hier wahrscheinlich zwei verschiedene Turniere gespielt", sagte der Schützling von Erfolgscoach Günter Bresnik über die unterschiedlichen Bedingungen.

I think that it largely depends on which Goffin turns up. Last week he was excellent at times, but this is going to be different atmosphere-wise. Pouille can draw from the H2H record, but he is yet to be good in 2017. I honestly don't know, I wouldn't be shocked by any result there. Goffin 3-1 if he plays well, Pouille 3-1 if he doesn't?

My tip of the day tomorrow:
Shapovalov-Janowicz.
Both players I have often pursued in the grass season. We start with the young Shapovalov. Already in the last year with great results on Grass. These victories against Edmund and a strong performance against Berdych. Of the Pole with a victory against Dimitrov. The game I've seen. As the game has won, it does not know itself. Almost no single return point. Then only with defeats. Against Skugor he even lost 2-0.

The serve is, of course, a weapon. but otherwise? Backward weak. When the ball is in play, it has clear drawbacks. At a best of five, I am convinced that Jano will weaken the service one time or another.
For me the Pole is never favorite.
Shapovalov win 2,0

My tip of the day tomorrow:
Shapovalov-Janowicz.
Both players I have often pursued in the grass season. We start with the young Shapovalov. Already in the last year with great results on Grass. These victories against Edmund and a strong performance against Berdych. Of the Pole with a victory against Dimitrov. The game I've seen. As the game has won, it does not know itself. Almost no single return point. Then only with defeats. Against Skugor he even lost 2-0.

The serve is, of course, a weapon. but otherwise? Backward weak. When the ball is in play, it has clear drawbacks. At a best of five, I am convinced that Jano will weaken the service one time or another.
For me the Pole is never favorite.
Shapovalov win 2,0

Tsurenko @2,7 (MB)
H2H she is leading 4-1 over Mladenovic. She beated her even earlier this year. In the previous match, Mladenovic had 25 (!) breakpoints against. I think this odd is worth a try.

Somebody tipped Bonzi. Well, that was the worst tip ever. Bonzi is a big MUG

This week we have 3 tournaments, 2 250 and 1 500. Almost all the top players are taking part in these tournaments. Dubai with RF Murray Stan RBA Monfils and Acapulco with Nadal Nole Thiem Goffin and many more so yeah this week we'll have good tennis. Even if Dubai and Acapulco are on hard court, conditions here tend to be on the slow side which normally should give an edge to good returners especially in Acapulco which is one of the slowest hard court tournaments on tour.
I fancy two players in this first round in Acapulco. The first one being Lorenzi, he will face Yen Hsun Lu. Conditions as I said are on the slow side so this should favour the Italian who has improved considerably on hard court during the last year. Lu is a player more adapted to the fast asian courts so I think he might feel unconfortable in Mexico. Lu is not having a good year so far IMO, he's 3-5 so far, but two of the three matches that he won were due to a big choke from his opponent. Khachanov lost the match himself after being a set and a break up against Lu and then Fratangelo lost it incredibly after being a set and DOUBLE break up. Odds on Lorenzi are now around the 2.5 mark which I consider value. I would make him a slight favourite for this match.
Then the other one I fancy is the Dog, he is facing Cilic in the first round but form of these players is going in different directions. Dolgopolov has had a good run in the South American clay court tournaments, on the other hand Cilic has had a terrible year and he's had massive losses (Brown Kovalik) I might say he hasn't recovered yet from his massive choke in the davis Cup final. Dolgopolov reach the semifinals here last year and he outplayed Tomic during the first two sets. He's playing now on hard after playing two weeks on clay but as I sais conditions here are pretty slow so he might not need too much time to adapt to these conditions. Only concern is that he retired from his last match but I think it was more a precaution. Odds on him are around 3 and I'll have a small bet on him.
Then in Sao Paulo where conditions are a bit quick (altitude) even if its a clay court tournament, I fancy Monteiro against Berlocq. Last year the brazilian lost against eventual champion Cuevas in the QF. He also had a good run in Gstaad last year where conditions are a bit fast due to the altitude. He's around 2.25 so I'll take him to beat Berlocq. He's got a handy draw so I'm also on him to win it all at 30 EW.
2.5 units on Lorenzi to beat Lu at 2.45
2.5 units on Monteiro to beat Berlocq at 2.25
1.5 units on Dog to beat Cilic at 3.1
good luck to everyon this week

Gastao Elias vs Orlando Luz
Monday is always a good day to aim at a number of speculative bets with reason, as it is always difficult most times to tell who is in form and who is not. The matter even gets more complex when you have to go through the extra consideration of who has really come to compete and who has not. There are also "other" factors to consider as in weather, surface, home advantage, age etc. 
Gastao has been in sticky form for a while now, but it looks obvious that he has at least played well in defeat on the last two occasions to be worthy of favoritism against an unknown. Well....an unknown if you are one that easily gets swallowed up by intimidation. I really do not think that it will require any sort of tennis wisdom to try and work this match out as certain warning signs have already started flashing. 
Orlando Luz is a freshman bubbling with a whole lot of youth on his side. Although he has been plying his trade on the Futures tour many levels below, He comes here with a winning mentality as can be seen from his impressive record and also a lot of enthusiasm and expectation. Expectation from realizing that a chance has arrived. He would only have been encouraged by his performance against Andreozzi last week, who in fact is a more credible opponent that Elias formwise. This is Luz second game of the year?? Expect considerable improvement from Luz at home. He should win a set and possibly match. Luz to win a set 6/5 Paddy Power. Good Luck!!! 
 

In advance. Excuse my English. Rublev is the better player. Especially its shape is currently better. Rublev went through the qualification and knows the place very well. Martschenko with a loss to de Schepper and much worse against Janvier. I had expected 1.5. 1.8 I find much too high. I wish you success

In advance. Excuse my English. Rublev is the better player. Especially its shape is currently better. Rublev went through the qualification and knows the place very well. Martschenko with a loss to de Schepper and much worse against Janvier. I had expected 1.5. 1.8 I find much too high. I wish you success

In advance. Excuse my English. Rublev is the better player. Especially its shape is currently better. Rublev went through the qualification and knows the place very well. Martschenko with a loss to de Schepper and much worse against Janvier. I had expected 1.5. 1.8 I find much too high. I wish you success

Dustin Brown to beat Marin Cilic at 4.33 with bet365
Dustin was just awsome in the match against GG-Lopez and he should give Marin a hard time in this match. He reached semi finals in Montpellier last year so he's got some points to defend and judging by the way he was playing against GG-Lopez he will most likely be able to take out the out of form croat who hasn't played since losing 3-1 to Dan Evans in Aussie open.
Thomaz Bellucci to beat Janko Tipsarevic at 1.72 with bet365
Thomaz reached the final in Quito last year so he's got points to defend and he's given Janko some hard times before beating him twice, on clay in the Gstaad final 2012 and once on the hardcourts of Indian wells 2009 and also giving him a good match on grass losing in 3 in Stuttgart 2012 when Janko was top 10. Grass is a surface Thomaz absolutely dislikes but still he gave Janko a good match so Janko is an opponent that seems to fit him so I'll take him to beat the serb again. Not mutch to say about Jankos last match against DG-Traver since DG-Traver retired at 4-1 down but Janko probably would have won it by 5-6 games and maybe he would have needed some more court time also to be absolutely ready to face this harder round 2 opposition. Thomaz received a bye into round 2 and his form is not very good either but he's only played two matches so far this season losing both on hard court. I might be wrong but still I think he can beat Janko.

It's fine imo, more opinions are always better.