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Valiant Thor

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Posts posted by Valiant Thor

    Racing Chat - Tuesday 31st August

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said:

    Do you ever put your picks here then a few hours later you look at them and think "this horse has no chance of winning!"  ?

    Whether it wins or not is irrelevant

    The art is trying to ensure your perceived chance of it winning is better than the odds suggest.

    Even if you have a 5% edge on heads in the flip of a coin (H @ 2.1 T @ 1.9) you can still lose over a set amount of time due to variance

    ie  Flip a coin every day for a year and back heads every time some years you will win others you will lose even though you have an 'edge'

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    6 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

    In a bit of a 'Brenda Spencer' mood this morning due to next doors grand-kids running around the garden since 8.00 this morning screaming like banshees so today's selections could be anything.

    Current Total 99.87pts

    image.png.c1f107e2619ae4bcd938c095a0f1bb5f.png

    Stake 20pts

    PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts

    SECRET POTION 5.15pts

    ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts

    WON  PORTERINTHEJUNGLE 5.94pts @ 4.00 BOG = 23.76

    LOST  SECRET POTION 5.15pts

    LOST  ROYAL RUBY 8.91pts

    Staked 20...Returned 23.76....Profit 3.76

    RUNNING TOTAL + 103.63PTS

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