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Valiant Thor

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Everything posted by Valiant Thor

  1. Sly bet dont like me, neither do PP or else Id have used them, so I have to use whats available .If it had been a decent bet I'd use my lads account but for the sake of £10ew not worth bothering.
  2. Just the one selection for me 10pts ew 18/1 Unibet 6 places
  3. 4.05 Good Culture 12th Rectory Road 11th 4.20 Redcar Montalvan 1st Creek Harbour 8th
  4. Better prices elsewhere but 5 places available only @ Betfred BOG 4 x 2.50 ew Doubles 20pts staked
  5. Never in doubt , how far Step aside Gigginstown VT's here
  6. Week 2 update Poor on week 2 with only 8 from 16 total selections winning Only 3 wins from 7 on the selected bets. The NAP started like a house on fire but faded badly in the 3rd & 4th quarters , Sundays NB bet was a shoo in
  7. Top Rated (with expected positive edge) in extra place races. (BETFRED) 2.55 Ham Josiebond 7/1 4.30 Ham Talk Now.....jt TR 10/1 4.30 Ham Rosemay....jt TR 13/2 7.00 Wolv Point In Time 11/1 8.00 Wolv Plansina 11/1 possible ew doubles ????????
  8. The 3 flat green tops (extra place races) got some reasonable priced placed horses but the twig hoppers failed to deliver which is no surprise really and just reinforces why I dont take much interest in twig hoppers In hindsight, taking the rated flat runners with a positive edge in an ew Trixie would have produced a nice payout (mainly thanks to the 50/1 shot ) but overall Im pleased with the outcome,it will be interesting to see how the parameters get adjusted now its run some live data. Will put the other results up if Hamilton eventually finishes before it gets dark Of the
  9. Laoise 50/1 second in the 2.05 Ham (green top) looks promising
  10. These are not live on BF yet ,this is a trial. The rating predictions should get more accurate the more it 'learns' ,therefore making the exp odds more accurate. All my bets cancel @ the off as anything can happen in running and if your perceived odds are wrong scalpers will have a field day and I don't intend to feed the leeches
  11. Been spending most of my time on Kaggle lately and and Ive been quite impressed with the ease of use and results from XGBoost which seems to be the go to ML tool atm so Ive had a little play fired in some parameters and given it a whirl on the 8+ runner hcaps to see how it fares today 🙏. Ive incorporated an expected price algo in to give some idea of an expected edge if any against the horses price, +/- 10% of book price would be a reasonable expectation of the horses ratings accuracy at this early stage ( ie if Exp Odds is say 5.00 but price is 21 (320% edge) it does not mean massive value
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