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blackfritz

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Posts posted by blackfritz

  1. Re: The Superbowl

    Just found one at Capital sports. To be a 2 point conversion: Yes 1/5 No 7/2 Surely they have got this the wrong way round? Have had a couple of quid on the No anyway.
    There has not been a single 2pt conversion in the whole of this post season. 2 failed attempts last year and 3 failed attempts the previous year, no attempts in the 2 superbowls before that. i.e no successful attempts in the past 4 Superbowls. 7/2 seems to appeal more all of the time. Also Canbet offer 2.20 on 3.5 Field Goals or more, which could be worth a small punt.
  2. Re: NFL Thanksgiving games I have taken a small treble using the teasers. Man U to win tonight ( OK accept aftertiming) at 4/7 plus Indi -2.5 at 2/5 and Chicago + 9.5 , again 2/5 all with Stan James, gives something just over 2/1 for the treble. I like the teasers as it gives you a bit of leeway if teams don't quite perform as planned, I know Minni let a few down at the weekend, but on the teaser they were -2.5 so just crept in! Still think Indy will win by probably 8 or more on Thursday night, and certainly wouldn't disagree with potential Chicago win. This one could go either way and value must be with Chicago!

  3. Re: Best Mate Think a lot depends on how much rain they have had at Exeter. If the ground is too soft BM may not even start, seem to remember he got beat on his first outing last year by Jair du Cochet (RIP) so may only be out for a spin tomorrow. Don't think theres much value there at 4/6 or thereabouts. Sir Rembrandt looks a reasonable price at 3.05 on Betfair so will have a small win stake on SR and watch race with interest.

  4. Re: Lay system - opinions wanted!!! Surely laying to recoup your losses and make a set profit is the same as trying to back winners and make a set profit - the Martingale system. A sure way to the poor house. Even with losing lays at 2/1 a run of 5 -6 lays that all actually win mean that the stakes following this system on the next race to get anything back have to be quite huge! e.g lay 2/1 1st race - winner lose 20pts, next race 2/1 - stake 30pts ( to get your 10pts profit) - winner gives liability 60pts etc. 3rd race lose 140 pts, 4th race lose 300 pts, 4th race lose 620 pts, 5th race lose 1260 pts, 6th race - sell house and give proceeds to Betfair! Much better to go with a percentage of bank system, that way you won't be wiped out after 4-5 losers. As long as strike rate is reasonably high, which you seem to have achieved so far, this way you should make some profit!

  5. Re: Miami Under Canbet currently going 2.00 with Minni giving up 3.5 points, were only going 1.93 yesterday for the same spread. There doesn't appear to be any adverse injury news thats any different from weekend, is there any reason why the odds are drifting out a bit? Still appears to be worth a few quid, NO very hit and miss. Willing to risk Minni giving up more than 1 FG on this. Intrigued by the Teasers, and have taken 6pts giving: Minni +3, New England +2 Denver +4.5 Jets - 4 Philli -2 Pays 4.50 if all come in. Good luck whatever you do this weekend!j

  6. Re: Miami Under Canbet currently going 2.00 with Minni giving up 3.5 points, were only going 1.93 yesterday for the same spread. There doesn't appear to be any adverse injury news thats any different from weekend, is there any reason why the odds are drifting out a bit? Still appears to be worth a few quid, NO very hit and miss. Willing to risk Minni giving up more than 1 FG on this. Intrigued by the Teasers, and have taken 6pts giving: Minni +3, New England +2 Denver +4.5 Jets - 4 Philli -2 Pays 4.50 if all come in. Good luck whatever you do this weekend!j

  7. Re: NHL "Lockout" unfortunately I know absolutely nothing about European Ice Hockey Leagues, theres none shown on TV over here and I don't even think the results are printed in the papers. Normally 1 or 2 NHL games shown live on TV each week, but looks like thats not to be this year.

  8. Re: ryder cup Europe 6.5 to 1.5 ahead after Day One, fantastic start. Europe will probably play the 3 players who havent played yet in tomorrow mornings fourballs,all rookies in Ryder Cup, so nerves may come into it a bit. Europe into 2/5 now so no value in backing at that price, still think they will win but will lay at 1.45 as I feel odds may lengthen after tomorrow morning session.

  9. From Daily Telegraph today: "The NHL has been closed down after commissioner Gary Bettman announced a "lockout" of players. Talks between NHL clubs and their players have continually broken down over a proposed salary cap. The NHL lost $224m ( £124m) last season. Players earn around $1.83m (£1m) per year and according to Bettman take around 75% of overall revenue. He wants this reduced to less than 50%. Some players have already made contingency plans by signing with european clubs. With no end in sight in the stand-off which could see the cancellation of the entire season" Anyone know if theres any truth in this? or is it just paper talk?

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