bawsak

Thanks mate. Will do. Again it’s experimental just now. Just really using it as a place to log it. Wouldn’t encourage followers at the moment ??

Miami +10
N.O. -2.5
Phi +3
N.E. -8
GB -3
LAC -2.5
NYG +7
Buf +3
Indy +7
 
 

I have updated a few areas. New Orleans have fallen off a cliff with Brees form and Thomas injury. OLine still good but rest of offence is average. 
 
I haven’t done all teams so won’t post revised grades but they dip to 74. 
 
Detroit also dip slightly to 69 but at home should still be a pickem game so decent pick to win at 6/4.  I don’t really fancy Detroit on the spread at -3 at 1/1 given NOrleans could hit form and blow them out (they are as likely to win big as win small)

Just the 2 Bets this week

I have created a system to rate NFL teams. Not sure if it’s any good but gonna experiment using it for bets. Please don’t follow it for bets at the moment as I haven’t any evidence it works. More of a running experiment. We will see how it goes
Here as some preseason ratings I created using some numerical formulas based on PFF grading for position groups. 
 
Blue numbers are defensive grades, pink is offence and yellow overall (with offence double weighted). Position grades have been weighted for importance in the following order: QB, WR, DB, OL/DL, LB, TE, RB. I haven’t included FBs or special team players in my grading. 

Also note these are preseason gradings and I haven’t made any adjustments yet for wk 1&2 performances  
 

Ah right. That does make sense now I think about it. Thanks for the clarification.