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bawsak

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Everything posted by bawsak

  1. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Bracketed last selection (England) as I expected to find a few more but nothing else for tomorrow.
  2. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 3 1 0 = +3.48 95 48 46 = +5.84
  3. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Tuesday (England) Birmingham 1/2 Middlesbrough 1/5 Reading 4/11 Fleetwood 21/20 Leyton Orient 4/11 Oxford evs Wimbledon 3/1 (0.5) Portsmouth 5/6 Mansfield 5/4 Bury 21/20
  4. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Monday Samsunspor 8/11 Genoa 17/4 (0.5) Kalloni 4/5 Nancy 8/13
  5. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 1 0 2 = +0.38 92 47 46 = +2.36
  6. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 3 4 4 = -1.61 91 47 44 = +1.98
  7. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Sunday (cont) Gil Vicente 15/4 (0.5) Penafiel 21/5 (0.5) Espanyol evs
  8. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Sunday PSG 6/10 Augsburg 1/2 Karlshue 2/5 Fiorentina 1/5 Cesena 5/1 (0.5) Udinese 17/2 (0.5) Inter 4/11 Tenerife 11/10 Go Ahead Eagles 7/2 Excelsior Virton 3/10 Platanias 1/3
  9. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 19 5 5 = +5.27 88 43 40 = +3.59
  10. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Thanks for the feedback Slay. Always welcome. I will attempt to answer the questions. Firstly, the leagues I bet on: Yes it's true I have no knowledge of many of the teams. I will bet on a game if there is enough action on a betfair line to make an accurate judgement on the true odds. If the 1X2 line has Back / Lay of 1.01 / 99 on every line then of course there is no way of knowing, however if it is Home 1.99 / 2.00 Draw 3.5 / 3.55 Away 4.7 / 4.75 then I believe I have enough info to make a judgement on what I consider the DNB odds should be. If I then find DNB odds better than this then I will take the bet. Regards the odds, I will happily take short priced favourites or long odds underdogs (notice I have Milan tonight at 19/2) and anything in between if my system shows value. It has generally been the favourites that have fallen into that category. I do not know why this is, perhaps bookmakers are more competitive in trying to secure action on the favourites so that drives the price closer to the true value on them? If anyone has knowledge of the bookies process on this or has worked for a bookmaker, perhaps they could clarify? On to the strike rate, on odds of 1.2 you do not have to win 10 of 12 to equal 0 as there are PUSHES (stake returned, not lost) if it is a draw. So for example 12 bets of 1.2 if the results were 7 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss this would return a profit. Finally I do not think it is impossible to make profit in the long run. What this system will not do is make you large profits. I would regard a 2% return to be fairly successful. So for every £100 you bet you would only make £2 profit, if that isn't what you are looking for then it is not the system for you. Thanks for the contributing and feel free to continue to do so.
  11. Re: Scottish Football > February 3rd - 7th Spartans 14/5 (Coral / WilliamHill) v Berwick Non-league teams are generally underrated in Scottish Cup betting. Spartans are probably the most professionally run non-league outfit there is in Scotland. This is the equivalent of say Barnet v Northampton. Would you consider Barnet value at 14/5 at home?
  12. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Saturday Swansea 2/5 Norwich 1/9 Reading 13/8 Doncaster 8/13 Bradford 4/5 Preston 2/7 Plymouth 1/2 York 1/3 Telford 4/1 (0.5) Queen's Park 2/9 Hibernian 1/10 Inverness 4/5 DR Congo 4/5 Dijon 1/2 Borrusia Dortmund 2/7 Mainz 05 4/9 Wolfsburg 2/7 Milan 19/2 (0.5) Bologna 6/10 Frosione 8/15 Alcoron 2/5 Lokeren 7/10 Heerenveen 6/10 Vitesse 2/7 Porto 1/14 Uniao Madeira 7/10 Covilha 1/2 Maritimo B 17/11 Erciyesspor 6/10
  13. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 1 3 0 = +0.25 69 38 35 = -1.68
  14. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 3 0 2 = -0.89 68 35 35 = -1.93
  15. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Friday Eupen 1/4 Ajaccio 4/7 Troyes 3/10 Carpi 8/15
  16. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Thursday A couple from the Copa Libertadores if anyone doesn't recognise the names!! Ghana 2/7 Cerro Porteno 10/11 Palestino 6/10 Ajax 2/7 Panthrakikos 2/9
  17. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 3 1 1 = -0.2 65 35 33 = -1.04
  18. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 2 1 1 = -0.09 60 34 32 = -0.84
  19. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Wednesday A few early picks Liverpool 3/10 Monaco 2/11 Leverkusen 1/3 Utrecht 13/8 Setabul 1/6
  20. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Tuesday Oldham 10/11 Sunderland 5/6 Livingston 4/7 Club Brugge 1/12 Dover 9/10
  21. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 1 0 1 = -0.5 58 33 31 = -0.75
  22. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Monday Le Harve 1/2 Spezia 3/5
  23. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 1 1 1 = -0.06 57 33 30 = -0.25
  24. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy 10 2 4 = +1.99 56 32 29 = -0.19
  25. Re: Draw No Bet Strategy Sunday Not had much time to research Sunday games, may have a few more tomorrow Ghana 4/9 Juventus 1/6 Den Haag 14/1 (0.5)
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