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arsenalfh

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  1. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from BillyHills in Daily Racing Competition ~ April Latest Table   
    Great stuff with so many in profit. Feels good to finally win this after being here a couple of years. 
    Thanks to all the participants and especially BH for organising this every month. 
  2. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to BillyHills in Daily Racing Competition ~ April Latest Table   
    Final Table
    Arsenalfh wins the competition for April. It was a very high standard this month so well done to him and the other prize winners.
    We had 17 players in the black and all will be able to enter the KO Cup next weekend.
     
    Prizes:
    £80: Arsenalfh £40: OppoArchitizer Lady £20: Geeuppy £10: Xtc 12 £30 Cup: Cairnhill Diamond Can all prize winners contact:
    team@punterslounge.com  (not me) with their Skrill details, PL Username and prize being claimed.
    All 3 details are required for payment.
    Table

     
     
  3. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to robertob in Monthly Naps Competition, Saturday 30th April 2016   
    3.45 Newmarket: Air Vice Marshal @ 40/1 Bet365
    I'm slightly concerned about the tongue-tie on Air Force Blue and think the stable's second string offers better value. The ground is a bit of a worry for him but it seems to dry quickly right now so it might be okay. AVM is surely one with potential and should be a better 3yo. Can see him run well.
  4. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to richard-westwood in Tuesday Racing (Punchestown Day 1)   
    How unlucky is that!,,,,......2nd and 3rd ....gutted in a way but fab ew returns probably around 70 pts but oh so near 
  5. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to Trotter in Monthly Naps Competition, Monday 25th April 2016   
    well done lads........great tipping today
     
  6. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from DanV89 in Monday Racing   
    Some massive moves for the Lyons horses today with Psychedelic Funk and Elusive Heights winning at 7/2. Couldn't have gone much better today!
  7. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from richard-westwood in Monday Racing   
    Some massive moves for the Lyons horses today with Psychedelic Funk and Elusive Heights winning at 7/2. Couldn't have gone much better today!
  8. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from DanV89 in Monday Racing   
    Lyons' blog from earlier in the year completely through me off backing his first time out. He said he didn't have turf gallops and all his horses need the run and for some reason I never checked out his first time record (which is exceptional as is his record as a trainer in general) or if I did I completely misread something. He's massively in profit with both 2 year olds and seasonal debutantes and he has a couple of nice debutantes here at Naas after his yard really hit their stride yesterday at Gowran. He has his first 2 year old runner tomorrow in the opener at Naas and I would be keen to take on the first three in the betting who are AOB, JB and DW trained so Psychedelic Funk and Thomas O'Malley (JOB trained who is 2-2 with 2 yos) look interesting at bigger prices. That Bean Feasa is going to have her fans as a half sister to Teofilo but he's by Dubawi who's hardly known for precocious two year olds and the dam has produced nothing except Teofilo. Bit of a concern with the JOB runner is that she's bred for middle distances. So Psychedelic Funk has the right trainer, speedily bred, yard won this last year looks the bet at double figures. I just managed to squeeze Psychedelic Funk in as my Nap of the day when I woke up with a sly pick as Betway were considerably larger than the other firms and actually had drifted his price to compensate for the Bean Fheasa gamble so apologies if anyone wants to get on. I would still say 8/1 is value though as you really want to be taking on AOB and DW 2 year olds first time out.
    In the 5.40 Mr Right did me a huge favour at the Curragh a few weeks ago in a handicap sprint and I think he should be favourite over Master Speaker who he beat that day. Yes Master Speaker ran into trouble in running and is just about weighted to reverse the form Mr Right is progressive and was actually eased down at the finish. It looked a strong race at the time as I mentioned that day so these two could be the pair to focus on. Master Speaker also always seems to find trouble and has only managed 2 wins under rules so I like Mr Right again.
    6.10 is another 2 year old race full of potentially very good horses. It's a bit strange that AOB puts full sisters to Hit It A Bomb, Minding and Ballydoyle into the same race but I guess staying unbeaten is not really important as fillies. Blue Bahia ran pretty well on his debut and can be expected to improve for Weld while there's also been money for the Harrington horse so it's hard to have a fancy. If I did have a bet Velveteen for Lyons would be my pick but I'll watch this one. The next race looks better than Listed class on paper and I think Fort Del Oro is going to progress significantly through the sprinting ranks this season and will be the best of these. I couldn't really back one of Lynam's first time out though so I'll sit and watch.

    I liked Credit The Giver in the 7.40 but preferred Maincin at the prices. Seems on a handy mark on some of his early season form from last year and is still lightly raced so more should come at a big price. In the concluding maiden Footbridge is the obvious one and will probably be very hard to beat but Freeman looks decent and Lyons has to newcomers with Keane turning down a pretty expensive yearling. Lyons says Keane's pick Elusive Heights is sharper than the same owner's Ex Patriot who ran well on debut at Gowran yesterday so I'll take a chance on that one.
    4.35 Naas - Psychedelic Funk e/w @ 8/1 Paddy Power
    5.40 Naas - Mr Right @ 5/1 Betfred
    7.40 Naas - Maincin e/w @ 18/1 SkyBet
    8.10 Naas - Elusive Heights e/w @ 11/1 SkyBet
     
  9. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to BillyHills in Tuesday Racing (Punchestown Day 1)   
    Champion Chase 
    ...........The British interest is from Gods Own and Simonsig and are worth looking at for different reasons. Gods Own (10/1 Bet365) is trained by Tom George and he comes here on the back of a fortunate victory at Aintree. He was the horse who took advantage of Vautour’s demise and came home 2 ¾ lengths clear of Al Ferof. Prior to that he was 4th to Sprinter Sacre at the Festival and would have been closer but for a bad blunder two out. He was 5 lengths behind Special Tiara and I fancy him to close that gap on a track that he obviously acts on having won the Ryanair here a couple of years ago.
    Selection: 
    Gods Own EW @ 10/1 Bet365
     
    Full Preview
     
     
  10. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to mattyrobinson in Matt's Pony Racing Club   
    Finally saved by the law of averages and 2 winners on the board!
    There were some interesting tactics on show at Sandown today. Chief Whip ran a creditable 3rd in the first race of the day, hitting the front a little too early before tiring and getting pegged back in the final furlong. The eventual winner came from off the pace up the stand side, where there appeared to be better ground.
    It was a similar story in the following race, where Western Hymn turned in a bit of a workman-like performance to be beaten by My Dream Boat under a fantastic ride by Adam Kirby. I had reservations about the well being and race fitness of the former prior to the race, and so had plumped for the seemingly very consistent Tullius. My chap ran his race (with typically unnerving high head carriage) but finished well beaten in the end. Again, the eventual winner came from a long way off the pace on the stand side. I don't think there's much question that Western Hymn will come on for the run and I'm sure he'll be back to winning soon enough.
    The classic trial looked a proper race and the first two home looked like definite ones to watch this season. Midterm is beautifully bred, and duly proved the hype surrounding him to be well placed. It was a confident ride from Ryan Moore, and although the runner up looked like giving him some serious problems on the run in, I get the feeling that he was fairly in control throughout. Algometer ran an absolute blinder in second, with the front two streets ahead of the others. I had him in my notebook following his maiden win, so it was pleasing to see that he's trained on well over the winter. They both hold Dante and Derby entries so we can look forward to the rematch in due course.
    The bet365 Mile was a bizarre race. The pace-setter for Belardo went off at a right clip and had the field really well spread from the off. Ultimately, the majority of the field ended up way too far back turning for home (including Adaay) and the race was fought out by those who raced prominently. Toormore out-battled Dutch Connection to win, with Belardo and Gabriel finishing off well, while never in danger of catching the leaders. Both of the Godolphin runners will probably now go to the Lockinge at Newbury, where I'd expect Belardo to reverse the form (unless the ground comes up quick).
    They went very fast in the 5f handicap, where Handytalk was a little out-paced in mid division. He was asked to close the gap a long way from home and ultimately tired much too early. It was a pretty quick time, and I was impressed with the way that Willytheconqueror put the race to bed. 
    Finally, Ryan Moore came to the rescue in the final race of the day above Stargazer. The Sir Michael Stoute trained colt was a little unlucky on occasion last year, but clearly enjoyed the extra 2 furlongs he was given today. He managed to reverse the form with Paris Protocol (receiving weight) and won a shade cosily in the end. SMS looks to have his string in good condition at this early stage of the season.
     
    Staked: 15
    Returned: 12.80
    P/L: -2.20
    ROI: -14.67%
    I should have a bit more time to go through tomorrow's action so I'll be back with some (un)wise words later.
  11. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from Xtc12 in Monthly Naps Competition, Friday 22 April 2016   
    2.45 Doncaster - Thankyou Stars e/w @ 20/1 Stan James
    A few of these at the top of the market are entitled to need the run for trainers who tend to bring them on slowly. This could open things up for one of the unraced types to run a big race and Karl Burke's Thankyou Stars has a decent enough profile to suggest she can run well here.
  12. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to BillyHills in Saturday Racing - (Inc. Scottish National)   
    Three For Saturday
    5.20 Ayr:  Alcala @ 2/1 Bet365 Nap
    2.40 Chelmsford: Katie’s Diamond EW @ 13/2 Boyles
    4.30 Bangor:  Mountain Tunes EW @ 9/1 Laddies
     
    Previews
  13. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from Tipsterix in Monthly Naps Competition, Wednesday 13th April 2016   
    4.30 Newmarket - Mahsoob @ 5/1 William Hill
    This one was prominent in the King George betting last summer and is clearly still very highly rated as he carries a Lockinge entry. He was keen over 12f last year and connections believe he is getting quicker with age. They also say he looks great after being freshened up as his form tailed off towards the end of last season. He already has strong form and still looks unexposed.
  14. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from Blazing Bailey in Monthly Naps Competition, Wednesday 13th April 2016   
    4.30 Newmarket - Mahsoob @ 5/1 William Hill
    This one was prominent in the King George betting last summer and is clearly still very highly rated as he carries a Lockinge entry. He was keen over 12f last year and connections believe he is getting quicker with age. They also say he looks great after being freshened up as his form tailed off towards the end of last season. He already has strong form and still looks unexposed.
  15. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to BillyHills in Weds racing newm craven meet   
    430 Nm: Earl Of Sefton Stakes
    Preview
    Dutch Connection now a NR
    Selection:  Mahsoob EW 6/1 888Sport
    Verdict:
    A cracking renewal of the Sefton Stakes and I cant see past Dutch Connection on this occasion. He has the form to win in higher class than this and has done nothing wrong to date. He has to prove his stamina, which is the only slight worry, but I reckon his class will pull him through as long as this ground doesn’t get too soft. Air Pilot and Custom Cut are very solid rivals and the selection will not have it all his own away I’m sure. Mahsoob could improve and nick a place but I’d be surprised if he’s good enough to take this. A fascinating contest and a race that could provide plenty of future winners.
  16. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to Racingahoy in Tuesday Racing (Newmarket Craven Meeting)   
    Fancy a few outsiders plus Hannon's in the Fielden 
     

    https://racingahoy.wordpress.com/2016/04/11/can-you-smell-the-classics/
  17. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from mr.benn in Aintree Tipsters Competition - Final Table   
    What a finish! Congrats to all the winners!
  18. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to BillyHills in Daily Racing Competition ~ April Latest Table   
    Apr 10th

  19. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from BillyHills in Sunday Racing - (Inc. Leopardstown)   
    Another great card at Leopardstown. There can't be many racecourses that can guarantee such quality fields for every single meeting. I can take on Housesofparliament in the first after being beaten 8L in a weak enough maiden in the autumn. Bolger thinks Stellar Mass wants better ground and he's never backed up his Group 2 4th while Weld's doesn't look like one Abdullah's really nicely bred horses and I can see him drifting. I like Oxx's Star Glitter who cost 150k and Oxx has a good record with debutantes.

    In the second race I really want to take on True Solitaire at the prices as I really don't think he has much scope for improvement and Weld says he'll like better ground. Johannes Vermeer is probably worth taking on first time out as a Ballydoyle runner although he goes in testing ground and is clear on form. Stenographer only got going the last half a furlong the last day and didn't seem to mind the testing ground so he's my pick. He did pretty well to get up and when looking beaten and the extra 2f in distance will bring a lot of improvement. Godolphin paid a fortune for him and he could be anything so I'll take a chance at the prices.

    Alice Springs sets the standard but again she's a short priced Ballydoyle contender and seems to like a decent surface. I don't like Juliette Fair as again I don't think she has much improvement in her and Weld says she is a 6f filly so it's unlikely she wants 7f at Leopardstown on heavy ground. How High The Moon also looks short when you consider she's likely to come on for the run and needs to find improvement. Michael O'Callaghan seems mad about this Now Or Never and she ran a really good race behind Herald The Dawn before running below form in the Moyglare. He seems to think she needed more time to recover before that run and his stable usually starts the season well so she's the one for me.

    Aidan's horses in the Ballysax are probably more his 2nd string and Bolger seems to think the world of Moonlight Magic so he might take some beating in a race he's won multiple times in recent years. Bolger said he was very backward last year so he's probably improved a good deal over the break and he looked a proper middle distance colt on both his starts last season so should also relish the step up to 10f. He's bred in the purple being very closely related to Sea The Stars and the form of both his wins is working out.
    The first handicap on the card is a no bet race for me. Favourite should improve but his form is on better ground and there's not much else to like. In the subsequent race Tribal Path won well last time at Cork and that race couldn't be working out better so he could be tough to stop on a 6lb higher mark in similar conditions. He's been running well off similar marks on the all weather during the winter so he might need a few more pounds to stop his progress on turf. I think Laganore is better than 87 but as I said last time I doubt he'll be trying for the Tony Martin yard with the heavy ground looking far from ideal on his known form. Money for him could be significant but Aussie Valantine sets a good standard so I'll leave the race alone.
    Leopardstown 2.10 - Star Glitter (Will be looking for a price in the morning)
    Leopardstown 2.40 - Stenographer @ 8/1 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 3.15 - Now Or Never @ 9/1 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 3.50 - Moonlight Magic @ 5/2 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 4.55 - Tribal Path @ 9/1 Bet365
  20. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from DanV89 in Sunday Racing - (Inc. Leopardstown)   
    Another great card at Leopardstown. There can't be many racecourses that can guarantee such quality fields for every single meeting. I can take on Housesofparliament in the first after being beaten 8L in a weak enough maiden in the autumn. Bolger thinks Stellar Mass wants better ground and he's never backed up his Group 2 4th while Weld's doesn't look like one Abdullah's really nicely bred horses and I can see him drifting. I like Oxx's Star Glitter who cost 150k and Oxx has a good record with debutantes.

    In the second race I really want to take on True Solitaire at the prices as I really don't think he has much scope for improvement and Weld says he'll like better ground. Johannes Vermeer is probably worth taking on first time out as a Ballydoyle runner although he goes in testing ground and is clear on form. Stenographer only got going the last half a furlong the last day and didn't seem to mind the testing ground so he's my pick. He did pretty well to get up and when looking beaten and the extra 2f in distance will bring a lot of improvement. Godolphin paid a fortune for him and he could be anything so I'll take a chance at the prices.

    Alice Springs sets the standard but again she's a short priced Ballydoyle contender and seems to like a decent surface. I don't like Juliette Fair as again I don't think she has much improvement in her and Weld says she is a 6f filly so it's unlikely she wants 7f at Leopardstown on heavy ground. How High The Moon also looks short when you consider she's likely to come on for the run and needs to find improvement. Michael O'Callaghan seems mad about this Now Or Never and she ran a really good race behind Herald The Dawn before running below form in the Moyglare. He seems to think she needed more time to recover before that run and his stable usually starts the season well so she's the one for me.

    Aidan's horses in the Ballysax are probably more his 2nd string and Bolger seems to think the world of Moonlight Magic so he might take some beating in a race he's won multiple times in recent years. Bolger said he was very backward last year so he's probably improved a good deal over the break and he looked a proper middle distance colt on both his starts last season so should also relish the step up to 10f. He's bred in the purple being very closely related to Sea The Stars and the form of both his wins is working out.
    The first handicap on the card is a no bet race for me. Favourite should improve but his form is on better ground and there's not much else to like. In the subsequent race Tribal Path won well last time at Cork and that race couldn't be working out better so he could be tough to stop on a 6lb higher mark in similar conditions. He's been running well off similar marks on the all weather during the winter so he might need a few more pounds to stop his progress on turf. I think Laganore is better than 87 but as I said last time I doubt he'll be trying for the Tony Martin yard with the heavy ground looking far from ideal on his known form. Money for him could be significant but Aussie Valantine sets a good standard so I'll leave the race alone.
    Leopardstown 2.10 - Star Glitter (Will be looking for a price in the morning)
    Leopardstown 2.40 - Stenographer @ 8/1 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 3.15 - Now Or Never @ 9/1 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 3.50 - Moonlight Magic @ 5/2 BetVictor
    Leopardstown 4.55 - Tribal Path @ 9/1 Bet365
  21. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from DanV89 in Monthly Naps Competition, Thursday 7th April 2016   
    2.50 Aintree - Cue Card @ 6/4 Stan James
    I'm a massive fan of Cue Card and think he can bounce back here. The King George is the best piece of chase form this sseason which has been well advertised by Vautour, Don Cossack and Smad Place. Cue Card was the winner of that race and was going best when falling 3 out in the Gold Cup so provided that fall hasn't left a mark he'll take some beating with Djakadam now quite exposed and Don Poli falling short of this level.
  22. Like
    arsenalfh reacted to Darran in Aintree day 1 Thursday 7th april   
    Bound For Glory – Ran a superb race to finish 5th in this last season, but the ground will be softer on this occasion and that caught him out when a disappointing 6th at Ludlow last time.

    Clonbanan Lad – Made a solid hunter chase debut when a 17L 3rd behind Mendip Express at Warwick, and then ran well at Sandown in the Royal Artillery Gold Cup before his stamina ran out. He was a good 2nd in a strong hunter chase at Leicester last month and then won a lesser contest in easy enough style at Fakenham last time. Could run a nice race as he is in decent form this season, but the level of that form is below what is needed to win this.

    Cottage Oak – Finished 5th and 8th in this race in the past, but firmly on the downgrade now.

    Current Event – A really interesting contender especially as connections have booked Katie Walsh for the ride. This is the ideal trip for him as he proved last season when winning at Cheltenham’s hunter chase night in impressive style, and then when scoring in the only handicap hunter chase of the season at Newton Abbot. He has just had the two runs this season and, whilst he was possibly a fortunate winner of his point on seasonal debut, he put in a super effort to finish 4th at Cheltenham. I thought Will Biddick gave him a very good ride that day and that, combined with the slow pace, meant he was able to stay better than he would have done in a strongly run race. He unseated in this last year at the 7th so it was way too early to know how we would have got on, but he has the ability to be bang there if getting round this time around. He has won on soft ground, so the ground shouldn’t be a concern for him

    Current Exchange – Ran much better than I thought he would when 9th at Cheltenham, but I would be surprised if he did better than that over this shorter trip.

    Daymar Bay – Caused a massive shock when winning at 50/1 at Ludlow last month. Didn’t appear to be a fluke as he did it well, but would need to step up again to be winning this.

    Dineur – Finished 2nd in both his hunter chase runs at Ffos Las and at Leicester. They were fair efforts, but a long way below what is needed to win this.

    Doubledisdoubledat – Trainer won this with 100/1 shot Tartan Snow in 2013, but this horse should be an even bigger price based on his two runs this season.

    Forge Valley – Going to be very outclassed in this.

    Fort George – 13 and firmly on the downgrade.

    Fredo – Made a decent enough hunter chase debut at Musselburgh when 2nd to Kelpht, but disappointed when only 5th at Warwick on his next start, and unlikely he will be good enough.

    Major Malarkey – Ran pretty well in this last year to finish 4th given the trip is not long enough for him, and showed up well for a long way at Cheltenham when he was enterprisingly ridden. Could run well again, but will likely get himself too far back before staying on and finishing in the top half of the field.

    Marasonnien – He won a Grade 1 novice hurdle at the 2012 Punchestown Festival and he seems to have retained a fair bit of ability. He was disappointing in his first two points, but they were his first runs since April 2013. He then beat Salsify in really good style in a hunter chase at Gowran last month, before easily reversing form with Luska Lad, who had beaten him in February, in a point. Katie Walsh has ridden him the last two times and I don’t know if there is anything to read in the fact she has chosen to ride Current Event this time around. He clearly stays well, but he has won over shorter in the past and he doesn’t look short of pace. Crucially he also handles cut in the ground. He looks to have a very good chance and it could be a plus he missed Cheltenham.

    Mendip Express – Didn’t take to the fences straight away when he ran in the 2014 Becher Chase, but eventually found his stride to finish 2nd. The slow pace didn’t suit him at Cheltenham and he struggled to get involved and finished 8th in the end. There will be a stronger pace here and he does handle the ground, but I still struggle to see him having enough pace to be hitting the frame.

    Monkey Kingdom – Was given a terrible ride when 3rd in the Ffos Las mud on his hunter chase debut and then ran no sort of race at Ludlow on his next start. He is probably better than he has shown in hunter chases so far, but he probably isn’t as good as his BHA rating suggests.

    Need To Know – Was well beaten at Cheltenham and likely to be a similar story here.

    Night Alliance – Took advantage of some suspect rides to win in the Ffos Las mud in February, but he was well beaten behind Mendip Express at Warwick and he pulled up at Ludlow last time. The more rain the better for him though.

    Ockey De Neulliac – Was still running a big race when falling at Valentines in this last year and was back to form when just failing to hold Robbie at Carlisle last time. Been a great servant since connections picked him up a couple of years ago and capable of giving a bold showing, but doubt he will be quite good enough to hit the frame.

    On The Fringe – Has to go down as one of the best hunter chasers there has ever been as he was given a great ride by Nina to win his 2nd Cheltenham Foxhunter. Now he wasn’t as impressive as last year and he looked to have a hard race which might not help him. The other view you could take is that he had clearly come on for his seasonal debut and another run might bring about further improvement. The problem is although very few horses have a serious claim you are still taking 7/4 about a horse over the Grand National fences. The other point is that although Jamie Codd is a good jockey, I do view it as a negative that Nina is suspended for the ride. He might well do the double double and in many ways I hope he does, but there looks like being some e/w value against him.

    Pacha Du Polder – His performance at Cheltenham was discussed more than the winner's! My view on it was Victoria gave him a cracking ride. Everyone had drummed it into her that the horse had little chance of staying so she was so focussed on preserving the horse’s stamina so they could finish the race. Now obviously she had more horse underneath her and a more experienced jockey would have realised this sooner and made their move earlier. It is no surprise though that given her lack of race riding experience she wanted to do what she was told. He was flying up the hill and there is every chance he feels like he hasn’t had a race as he wasn’t put under any pressure at all. Will Biddick takes over and he was a very good 2nd in this last year with Will on top. He would probably prefer better ground, but it was soft when he won at Wincanton last month and it was soft when he was 2nd to Teaforthree at Bangor last year. He has a massive chance again.

    Richmond – Well beaten at Cheltenham last time and although 2nd to Mendip Express at Warwick in January he was comfortably beaten.

    Sam Cavellaro – Was an 8L 2nd to Pacha Du Polder at 125/1 at Ludlow last March and then went on to win over 2m at Cheltenham’s hunter chase night. That form is below what would be required here and he showed little when pulling up at Ludlow on his seasonal debut.

    Swallows Delight – Will be outclassed in this.

    Summary – It may sound boring, but it is rather hard to see anything other than one of the front four in the market taking this. On The Fringe could well win again, but it is hard to think he is value at the prices. I think their is a fair chance that Pacha Du Polder can reverse the form with him especially as he looks to have a little bit more stamina than he did last year. Marasonnien missed Cheltenham and that could work in his favour. He looked to retain plenty of his old ability in his last two wins and he looks just the type who will take to the course. If Katie Walsh did get off him to ride Current Event then that is certainly a pointer to his chances and this is his trip. No doubt some bookies will be going 4 places and I am more than happy to back all three of them as if they all got round safely they could easily finish in the first four places.

    Pacha Du Polder 1.5pts
    Marasonnien 1.5pts e/w
    Current Event 1pt e/w
  23. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from Blazing Bailey in Sunday Racing - Inc. The Curragh   
    Not the best card to punt at the Curragh tomorrow but it's certainly interesting with Found returning as well as Derby mover US Army Ranger set to make his debut. Nothing stands out in the opening 2 maidens at the prices. 
    In the 3rd race Master Speaker has to have a good chance with Ryan Moore booked as he got no sort of run the last day and was sure to go very very close. However he's only 2lbs better off with Bubbly Bellini and 1lb better off with Club Wexford so 4/1 is short enough for me. I preferred Mr Right at 20/1. He's progressed nicely on the all weather over the winter culminating with a 2nd in a race working out well. He has to prove himself on turf but he was tried over a variety of trips last season and probably not showing much so he just looks an improved horse this time around. Still lightly raced there's still scope for improvement off 71.
    The Gladness Stakes looks full of horses who aren't going to run to form between Sruthan who doesn't run to his best twice in a row, the O'Brien trio who are going to need the run and Gordon Lord Byron who doesn't look to be the same horse and again will come on for the run. Of the outsiders I think Weld's Joailliere still has plenty of scope for improvement, will love the ground and the step back to 7f will suit so I'll take her against the field. I would have liked to have seen more from Onenightidreamed in the Irish Lincoln to consider him and Flight Risk is more exposed than Joailliere at a similar price. Unfortunately the ground has ruled out the promising Endless Drama.
    As much as I wanted to take on Found she handles the ground and the only one who is anywhere near to her on form is Bocca Baciata who is short enough at 7/2. I could forgive Success Days' Derby run but he was really poor in Germany off a good break and giving weight he's also not appealing.
    Cassells Rock looks well handicapped off 75 after being given what looked to be one of the softest rides of the year in a Cesarewitch Trial at Newmarket with a mark of 84. He was poor on his next two runs though so he maybe he's just not that good but it's impossible to know with the Tony Martin yard. If he was trying I think he could take some beating but who knows and I don't like anything else so I'll leave the race alone.
    The concluding maiden is a cracker with the big Derby mover US Army Ranger making his debut but the Weld horse is also highly rated and has been smashed in tonight. The Coolmore second string also looks promising and there's really nothing I fancy so I'll watch with interest.
    3.15 Curragh - Mr Right @ 20/1 Paddy Power
    3.50 Curragh - Joailliere @ 10/1 William Hill
  24. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from DanV89 in Sunday Racing - Inc. The Curragh   
    Cheers Dan. Master Speaker didn't get a clear run again but Ronan Whelan was already coasting home when Ryan Moore came charging on his outside. Levins seems to rate Mr Right pretty highly and it wouldn't surprise me if this is strong form. We already knew Master Speaker was well handicapped based on his last run, the 3rd Expreso Brasileiro looks an improving type and the 4th Creggs Pipes was a horse who I really fancied here 2 weeks ago but passed over him today as I think he's going to improve for better ground. McCreery's stable tend to need the run so I'll be sticking Expreso Brasileiro in the tracker too.
    The outsiders from last night's betting finish 1-2-3 in the Gladness but Joailliere was the wrong one. Ran well enough but she's starting to look a bit exposed.
    US Army Ranger was a good winner of the concluding maiden and the Weld's Aasheq also looks promising. Don't think he stayed that trip at all as he travelled so well before his legs seemed to tie up in the last 1/2f. Don't think he was striding out at all.
  25. Like
    arsenalfh got a reaction from BillyHills in Sunday Racing - Inc. The Curragh   
    Cheers Dan. Master Speaker didn't get a clear run again but Ronan Whelan was already coasting home when Ryan Moore came charging on his outside. Levins seems to rate Mr Right pretty highly and it wouldn't surprise me if this is strong form. We already knew Master Speaker was well handicapped based on his last run, the 3rd Expreso Brasileiro looks an improving type and the 4th Creggs Pipes was a horse who I really fancied here 2 weeks ago but passed over him today as I think he's going to improve for better ground. McCreery's stable tend to need the run so I'll be sticking Expreso Brasileiro in the tracker too.
    The outsiders from last night's betting finish 1-2-3 in the Gladness but Joailliere was the wrong one. Ran well enough but she's starting to look a bit exposed.
    US Army Ranger was a good winner of the concluding maiden and the Weld's Aasheq also looks promising. Don't think he stayed that trip at all as he travelled so well before his legs seemed to tie up in the last 1/2f. Don't think he was striding out at all.
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