arsenalfh

8.25 Naas - Markhan @ 6/1 BetVictor

York 5.20 - Pomme De Terre 22/1 Corals EW
I am not sure this is the strongest race and I think this horse has been markedly overlooked in the market.
He flopped last time out when he reportedly ran flat but his two runs before that, a win on soft at Thirsk and a 2nd at Ayr on good show him to be an improving type. He must get back to that form and this is a step up in class to those races but conditions will suit, I am confident he is well handicapped, and if all is well then the horse should go close.
 
 

We shall be running a tipsters competition for Royal Ascot's 5-day meeting starting Tuesday 14th June The winner and runners up will receive cash prizes. Please find all the rules below. I will put up the selection threads each day and the table each evening. Anyone wanting to enter in advance due to lack of access let me know via PM. No need to register, just turn up on the day:ok 
Rules:
1 selection per race throughout the 5 days at Ascot   Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over 5 days wins £50 cash via >Skrill (follow link to sign up) 2 x Runner Up wins £25 via >Skrill. No edits allowed in selection posts No losses incurred for losers or Non Runners Replacement selections for NR's can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter all 5 days (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leaderboard posted each evening

Thought I'd got it .....fab run by architecture ...great run by fab...nice ew price though 

Well done Oppo and hard luck bluemal.

Away for a couple of days, taking my laptop so should be able to update table.
Don't panic if its late or something

4.40 Haydock - Asama Blue @ 9/2 Paddy Power
Neither Gosden's or Varian's fillies set a high standard so this is within reach of a newcomer and Haggas has a nicely bred type who should go well first time up for some powerful connections. At the bigger prices nothing stands out and with the two non runners Asama Blue should go well.

6.00 Gowran Park - Reckless Endeavor @ 7/1 Bet365
Mizaah won a maiden well but has to step up to catch up with a few of these who are also open to progress. The Moore Factor flopped on better ground the last time and has questions answer now in similar conditions. Mulligatawny was 3/4L ahead of Reckless Endeavor last time but dropping back to 7f should suit my selection as he ran quite free that day and at the prices he looks the play.

Great stuff Richard. 
Thought we were done when Expreso Brasileiro came but he found more to hang on. The low draw at Gowran is a big advantage.
Now lets see if we can get the treble up with Knockmaole Boy. He's halved in price so I'm hoping for a good run...

Crickey only just realised youve had first one too....nice price as well ......welcome to gowran !,....cmon you beautys !,

Looked at all the at Gowran races except the last two. Nothing I like in the maidens. 6.00 Reckless Endeavor looks overpriced at 7/1. Mizaah won a maiden well but has to step up to catch up with a few of these who are also open to progress. The Moore Factor flopped on better ground the last time and has questions answer now in similar conditions. Not sure he's that good. Mulligatawny was 3/4L ahead of Reckless Endeavor last time but dropping back to 7f should suit my selection as he ran quite free that day.

In the 6.30 race Expreso Brasileiro is short enough with only one win under his belt although his last race is working out well. The next few in the betting have really bad draws which are really hard to win from at Gowran. I like Great Wide Open in stall 1 who looks like he can be competitive off 77 when the remainder look poor enough. Hopefully back over 7f he'll settle better.

I liked Granny May before being made a non runner last time but the price in the 7.00 race looks short enough. Beechmount has got a bad draw and they finished on top of each other in Storm Ranger's last race so Knockmaole Boy looks the value at 10/1. 3rd in a race working out well and might improve for the run. Looks like he should be better than 68 and nothing sticks out at the bigger prices.
The conditions event at 7.30 looks tough. Not a fan of what Shamreen has done on the track and Siamsaiocht doesn't look great either. Both have Group 1 entries though. Ballybacka Queen has some good pieces of form but is too inconsistent to recommend as a bet. No fancy here.

Duffield also has a newcomer at 16/1 who has to be a bet for me in the 2.00 race at Hamilton. Ben Haslam never seems to win 2 year old races and he saddles the favourite while a few of these don't look sprinters on paper and might be better in time as a result. Might been in with a squeak here.
6.00 Gowran Park - Reckless Endeavor @ 7/1 Bet365
6.30 Gowran Park - Great Wide Open @ 14/1 Bet365
7.00 Gowran Park - Knockmaole Boy @ 10/1 Betfair
2.00 Hamilton - Uncle Charlie @ 16/1 Betfair
 

Great stuff Richard. 
Thought we were done when Expreso Brasileiro came but he found more to hang on. The low draw at Gowran is a big advantage.
Now lets see if we can get the treble up with Knockmaole Boy. He's halved in price so I'm hoping for a good run...

630 gowran
Great wide open  98.77
The eyes have it  98.74
Espresso brasilero  98.70
Extremely open hcap ....ordinarily I'd probably avoid it but there's a lot of value in top two horses here ....the fab espresso brasilero has fair form and sets a decent standard to aim at but great wide open has conditions to suit and could run a big race also the eyes have it might prefer slightly faster ground but this is a poor race so He has a good level of form which if he holds he could run a good race ....at 14/1 and 25/1 they look fab value bets in a very open race 
Great wide open 5 pts ew14/1 bet365
The eyes have it  5 Pts ew 25/1 lads 

Looked at all the at Gowran races except the last two. Nothing I like in the maidens. 6.00 Reckless Endeavor looks overpriced at 7/1. Mizaah won a maiden well but has to step up to catch up with a few of these who are also open to progress. The Moore Factor flopped on better ground the last time and has questions answer now in similar conditions. Not sure he's that good. Mulligatawny was 3/4L ahead of Reckless Endeavor last time but dropping back to 7f should suit my selection as he ran quite free that day.

In the 6.30 race Expreso Brasileiro is short enough with only one win under his belt although his last race is working out well. The next few in the betting have really bad draws which are really hard to win from at Gowran. I like Great Wide Open in stall 1 who looks like he can be competitive off 77 when the remainder look poor enough. Hopefully back over 7f he'll settle better.

I liked Granny May before being made a non runner last time but the price in the 7.00 race looks short enough. Beechmount has got a bad draw and they finished on top of each other in Storm Ranger's last race so Knockmaole Boy looks the value at 10/1. 3rd in a race working out well and might improve for the run. Looks like he should be better than 68 and nothing sticks out at the bigger prices.
The conditions event at 7.30 looks tough. Not a fan of what Shamreen has done on the track and Siamsaiocht doesn't look great either. Both have Group 1 entries though. Ballybacka Queen has some good pieces of form but is too inconsistent to recommend as a bet. No fancy here.

Duffield also has a newcomer at 16/1 who has to be a bet for me in the 2.00 race at Hamilton. Ben Haslam never seems to win 2 year old races and he saddles the favourite while a few of these don't look sprinters on paper and might be better in time as a result. Might been in with a squeak here.
6.00 Gowran Park - Reckless Endeavor @ 7/1 Bet365
6.30 Gowran Park - Great Wide Open @ 14/1 Bet365
7.00 Gowran Park - Knockmaole Boy @ 10/1 Betfair
2.00 Hamilton - Uncle Charlie @ 16/1 Betfair
 

1.30 Ayr - Danielsflyer @ 14/1 Bet365

1.30 Ayr - Danielsflyer @ 14/1 Bet365

Eagle Top looks very short. He needs a strong gallop which he won't get and I'm not sure he's an easy ride at all as he doesn't look entirely straight forward as his inconsistent profile suggests. He was beaten as favourite last season and at odds on here at Newbury too and I could easily see him running 10lbs below form. I'll be siding with Carnachy who looks really progressive and should come on for that effort at Goodwood.
The only potential Group 1 horses in the Lockinge are Limato and Endless Drama and Lyons has been quite bullish about the latter so he's the bet. Not sure how Toormore isn't favourite after his first run of the season when he would have needed the run and Dutch Connection is worse off at the weights after losing this time. Kodi Bear has his first run of the season and still needs to improve to win this I would think and surely Buick turning down Belardo is a negative for him and the ground is drying fast. Limato has run well in 2 slowly run 7f races so he's not a certain stayer in what will be a strongly run contest and might come on from this so he can also be taken on. Mahsoob looks like he's finally filling his potential but although the Lockinge has been the target he looks sure to be better at 10f. Arod looks big on the best of his form but you couldn't like his attitude last time and it will be interesting to see if GM Hopkins can build on his good run. Very competitive but the one potential star miler in this is Endless Drama.

4.10 at Newmarket doesn't look great to me. There are two unexposed horses in the race one of which is the favourite who is first time out for Hannon the other is Venturous who is 2nd time out for Appleby who tend to come on a fair bit for the run. That race looked pretty strong with progressive types finishing up the order so I think he should be favourite.
2.45 Newbury - Carnachy @ 9/2 Betway
3.55 Newbury - Endless Drama @ 12/1 William Hill
4.10 Newmarket - Venturous @ 5/1 Ladbrokes (Pricewise), 4/1 Generally

5.25 Chepstow - Nazik @ 3/1 Betfair
There were some decent looking types in here that looked like they would improve for the run but the rain has brought 4 non runners including what I thought was the main danger. Nazik appeared to be outpaced early on last time probably because of greeness rather than a lack of speed. You can't get much quicker bred than this one so he might come on a fair bit from that and David Evans is a trainer I would like to keep on side rather than take on in these races.

7.10 Roscommon - Synopsis @ 10/1 Betvictor
I don't think many are well handicapped and the Lyons trained Synopsis could be by far the best horse in this. He's going to encounter much softer ground than he has previously and may not be streetwise enough for a 16 runner handicap with only 2 starts under his belt but if he handles conditions he could be hard to stop. Jockey bookings not a concern as Keane has to ride the Murtagh horse owned by Qatar. Happy with a double figure price.

7.10 Roscommon - Synopsis @ 10/1 Betvictor
I don't think many are well handicapped and the Lyons trained Synopsis could be by far the best horse in this. He's going to encounter much softer ground than he has previously and may not be streetwise enough for a 16 runner handicap with only 2 starts under his belt but if he handles conditions he could be hard to stop. Jockey bookings not a concern as Keane has to ride the Murtagh horse owned by Qatar. Happy with a double figure price.

5.25 Bath - Indira - 13/2 -Hills

2.20 Beverley - Twizell @ 8/1 Bet365
Love taking on these Mark Johnston unraced 2 year olds in maidens. They are so overrated and you can find value by backing smaller yards who find success in these races. Twizell cost 50k and has a nice speedy pedigree for Ann Duffield who had a 2 year old winner on Friday and does well with these types. Not much else to like so hopefully this one comes in for some support.

That were exactly my thoughts too. I'm not much surer afterwards. But one way or the other, it looked an excellent prep run and I was quite happy with the AVM performance. Plenty to come from this lad I suspect. 

Herald The Dawn was my pick e/w at 33s but I think this one is interesting. The thing I'm struggling with is figuring out if he's in here because he's working well or just as a prep because all the talk was of Air Force Blue being the stable's only representative.
Good luck!

Great stuff with so many in profit. Feels good to finally win this after being here a couple of years. 
Thanks to all the participants and especially BH for organising this every month.