THFC84
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Posts posted by THFC84
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Re: Semi-Final - Brazil v Germany > Tuesday July 8th Brazil to Qualify Evens @ William Hill - You could argue a strong case for either of these teams qualifying but i feel that the home crowd could have a big role to play in this game. Germany have been notorious bottlers of late in major competitions losing the World Cup Final in 2002 ironically to Brazil and being knocked out in the Semi-Final in 2006 and 2010 by Italy and Spain. They also lost in the Final of Euro 2008 to Spain and lost in the Semi-Finals of Euro 2012 to Italy. There seems to be a mental block with German teams over the last 12 years where they just cannot get over the line and buckle under the pressure. Despite Neymar and Thiago Silva's absence i still see Brazil as slight favourites to qualify. They have not played well in this World Cup but are good at grinding out wins when playing badly. Germany have not particularly impressed me apart from their opening 4-0 win against Portugal although Portugal went down to 10 men in the first half. Taking into account the importance of home advantage and the fact that Germany have fallen regularly at this stage of the tournament lately i see Brazil going through.
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Re: Quarter-Final - Brazil v Colombia > Friday July 4th Draw or Colombia 21/20 @ Bet365 - Brazil were my picks to win it before the start of the tournament but they have not lived up to many people's expectations unlike Colombia who look like potential winners in my opinion. I can't see Brazil beating Colombia in 90 minutes because they struggled against Chile and Colombia are a better side than Chile IMO. Brazil looked a very short price against Chile and 4/5 is still too short now. Colombia have the better attack and the better defence so i cannot see them losing in 90 minutes.
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Re: Group E - Honduras v Ecuador > Friday June 20th Under 2.5 goals Evens @ Bet365 - I would have thought unders would be the favourite here but it's the other way round. Honduras were holding France at bay for 45 minutes up until the sending off but offered very little up front and have scored just 2 goals in their 7 world Cup games in their history. Ecuador are an average side but nothing special and whilst i think they will win this game i think it will probably be a tight 0-1. If Honduras fail to score which they have done in their last 5 World Cup games then Ecuador would have to score 3 for this game to go overs and i don't see that happening considering Honduras held France for the first 45 minutes. Games between 2 relatively weak teams normally results in not many goals as shown by the Mexico vs Cameroon and particularly the Iran vs Nigeria game.
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Re: Group B - Spain v Chile > Wednesday June 18th Chile +1 AH 1.900 @ Bet365 - I'm surprised you can get a one goal headstart for Chile at nearly Evens here. Spain were completely destroyed by Holland in the second half with Robben's pace and Chile have players like Sanchez who are capable of doing the same. The manner of Spain's defeat must surely have knocked their confidence and Chile could take advantage. Even if Spain win by one you get your stake back so odds of nearly evens is very good in my opinion as there is a far greater chance of Chile winning or getting a draw than Spain winning by 2 goals or more.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Qualify from Group Betting Agree that Bosnia will go through as there is a clear difference in quality between Bosnia and both Iran and Nigeria. However, rather than go for a straight bet for them to qualify i quite like the odds of them beating both Nigeria and Iran which is a best price 19/10 @SkyBet. It's a bit riskier than a staight bet to qualify but is better value in my opinion.
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Re: Group C - Ivory Coast v Japan > Saturday June 14th Both Teams To Score 21/20 @ Ladbrokes There are very few games i see going BTTS in this first round of games but this is definitely one of them. Both Japan and Ivory Coast strengths are in their attack and their weakness is their defence. Japan's main threats are Kagawa, Honda and Okazaki and the way Japan play means that they frequently both score and concede which is proven by the fact that 12 of their last 16 games has resulted in BTTS and 5 of their last 6 games has had at least 4 goals. Ivory Coast are also a side with many goal threats like Drogba,Toure, Bony, Kalou and Gervinho amongst others but their defence can be quite vulnerable at times. Ivory Coast's last 7 games have resulted in BTTS and that record stretches back to 11 of their last 12 games resulting in BTTS. Therefore given the fact that both sides strengths are their attack, odds against for BTTS looks like a cracking price and even though opening round games are often cagey i still see value at 21/20
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Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th Brazil To Win To Nil 17/20 @ SportingBet Brazil come into the World Cup in great form winning 15 of their last 16 games and 11 of those 15 wins were to nil. Croatia will be without their main goal threat in Mario Mandzukic and whilst they have some very talented midfielders in Modric and Rakitic their striking options without Mandzukic are fairly weak. I don't think we will see many goals in this one as both sides will try to feel their way into the tournament but Brazil should have enough to overcome Croatia and shut them out at the back.
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Group Winner Betting Greece to Win Group C 15/2 @ Betfred Greece are being underrated in my opinion. They are solid defensively conceding only 4 goals in qualifying and 3 of those were in one game against Bosnia. They are not strong in attack but if they keep it tight at the back then they will always have a chance to win games. This group is by far the most open out of all the groups and 15/2 is a very big price in my opinion for a Greek side who don't lose many having lost just 5 out of their last 45 games since the 2010 World Cup. If Greece are able to get a point from their first game against Colombia then they will have a real chance against Japan and Ivory Coast who are both shaky defensively. Colombia are the strongest team in the group but at odds of 15/2 i am willing to take a chance on the Greeks here. :hope
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Qualify from Group Betting Iran and Costa Rica to finish bottom of their groups 10/11 @ Coral - Costa Rica are in a very difficult group with England, Italy and Uruguay and are the weakest team by some distance. Iran have an easier group with Argentina, Bosnia and Nigeria but i cannot see them finishing anywhere but bottom of the group. Bosnia proved they are a good side in qualification and are solid defensively and have the likes of Pjanic, Dzeko and Ibisevic in attack. Nigeria have some Premier League players in their side with John Obi Mikel, Victor Moses and others and have recent experience in the World Cup. Iran's squad on paper is very poor and has only one Premier League player in Dejagah. They struggled in 2006 picking up just 1 point and i can't see them doing any better this time even with an experienced manager in charge. Highest Scoring Group: Group B (Spain, Netherlands, Chile, Australia) 5/1 @ William Hill I can see this group being the high scoring group because there is so much attacking talent on show. Chile's style of play means that they will certainly score goals with Sanchez leading the way but they will also concede and are vulnerable defensively. In qualifying Chile scored 29 goals and conceded 25 in 16 games (an average of nearly 3.4 goals per game). Netherlands are fairly strong in attack with the likes of Robben and Van Persie but are weak defensively and Chile and Spain should get goals against them. Spain are typically an underish team with a solid defence, however i can see them scoring a few against all of these teams because neither Australia, Chile or Holland are defensively strong. Australia are likely to be the whipping boys of the group and should concede at least 2 against all of the other 3 teams you would expect. All in all i can see lots of goals in this group and 5/1 seems like a decent price for Group B to be the highest scoring group.
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Re: Group B - Spain v Netherlands > Friday June 13th Spain are 11/8 with SkyBet to score 2 goals or more which looks a great bet to me. Holland are poor defensively and Spain now have a proper striker in Diego Costa so they should score at least 2 against the Dutch.
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Re: FC Bayern München v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 29th Half Time Score: Bayern Munich 0-0 Real Madrid 14/5 @ Bwin Full Time Score: Bayern Munich 1-0 Real Madrid 19/2 @ BetVictor Under 2.5 Goals 6/4 @ BetVictor Bayern Munich to win on Penalties 45/1 @ Paddy Power Real Madrid to win on Penalties 45/1 @ Paddy Power I won't be going big on these bets as this game is so tough to call. However, i'm not convinced we will see a goalfest here. It wouldn't make sense for Bayern to go all out attack in this game as they know that an away goal for Madrid will mean they need 3 to qualify. Instead i think they will start off quite conservatively and only start pressing for a goal in the second half so for me 0-0 at half-time is a good price at 14/5. Madrid will play on the counter and let Bayern have all the possession they want and i can see both teams being scared to concede particularly Bayern. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals looks quite appealing at 6/4. In the unlikely event that this game does go to extra-time i think we are unlikely to see a goal with both teams being more scared to concede than looking to score and towards the end they would probably both settle for a penalty shootout. Guardiola and Ancelotti are both brilliant managers and i think this will be a great tactical game but i don't see a lot of goals in this one despite the great attacking talent on show.
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Re: FC Bayern München v Real Madrid > Tuesday April 29th Bayern are way too short at that price!
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Re: US Masters > April 10th - 13th E/W Matt Kuchar To Win The Masters 22/1 @ William Hill - Extermely consistent without ever winning a major but he has a great chance to end that now. If it wasn't for Jason Day's recent injury i would back him but it's not worth the risk. Kuchar finished 8th last year and 3rd in 2012 and has finished in the Top 30 at the Masters for the past 4 years so i expect that he will be there or there abouts come Sunday. He has been very consistent this year with 6 top 10 finishes in just 9 tournaments missing the cut only once. He finished a respectable 13th at Doral and if he can be within a couple of strokes come Sunday then he has every chance of winning. Along with Sergio Garcia, you would say he is the form player in terms of consistency and he is long overdue a major win and with injuries to other top players this is his best chance.
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Re: Europa League > Thursday March 13th Tottenham vs Benfica: Benfica +0.25 AH 17/20 @ Bet365 - Benfica to qualify 17/20 @ Sporting Bet - Even though i'm a Spurs fan, i can't see us winning tomorrow night. We are playing really poorly at the minute and lack a goal threat and Adebayor can't do it all by himself. I'm sure the 4-0 defeat at Chelsea will have knocked Spurs confidence and Benfica are a very good team with a lot of experience in Europe and were finalists last year, so they know how to get the job done in this competition. Although the Portugese league is very poor, it is still impressive that Benfica have conceded just 1 goal in their last 16 matches in all competitions. As much as i'm sure the Spurs players want to win this competiton, we have a huge game against Arsenal on Sunday and so Tim Sherwood has a big decision to make about his squad rotation so we could see a few players who don;t often get a game line up vs Benfica e.g. Chadli, Fryers, Sigurdsson. We were quite fortunate to go through against Dnipro and Benfica are a class above them and i don't see us winning tomorrow night or qualifying from this tie. This first leg will end up 1-1 or 1-2 to Benfica in my opinion.
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Re: Europa League > Thu 22nd August Dinamo Tbilisi vs Tottenham - I'm not having a bet on this game as it involves my team but these are some decent bets IMO. Tottenham to win 8/15 @ Bet Victor - Spurs will play a weakened side here with the likes of Friedel, Defoe, Carroll, Townsend etc. likely to get a start. However, Spurs should still have enough to win this game quite comfortably as Tottenham's second string side is still far better than Tbilisi's first XI and 8/15 is a decent price IMO as i can't see Tbilisi really threatening Spurs. Under 2.5 goals 11/10 @ BetVictor - I think there is a bit of value in the unders here as Spurs will not go all guns blazing with Sunday's game against Swansea in mind and i think 11/10 is a little big here. Jermain Defoe First Goalscorer 5/1 @ Paddy Power - I expect Defoe to play instead of Soldado tomorrow night and he will want to get on the scoresheet here to make a point to AVB that he still has an important part to play for Spurs this season and Defoe generally does very well against the poorer teams but struggles against better teams (stating the obvious i know). He has a good record in the Europa League for Spurs scoring 13 goals in 24 games and 5/1 is a decent price for him to open the scoring tomorrow night against a poor side. Correct Score: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-2 Tottenham 7/1 @ BetVictor - I don't think Spurs will run riot in this game and i can see it being a really dull but comfortable game for Tottenham and 0-2 looks a likely scoreline as i fancy Spurs to keep a clean sheet in this one.
Semi-Final - Netherlands v Argentina > Wednesday July 9th
in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions
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Re: Semi-Final - Netherlands v Argentina > Wednesday July 9th Netherlands to Qualify 5/4 @ William Hill - Argentina have not impressed me at all in this World Cup and i can't believe how bad they have been. On paper this team should be blowing everyone out of the water with their attack but it just hasn't clicked and they have had to rely on Messi to get them out of jail but i think their run will end here. Argentina have managed to sneak one goal victories against Bosnia. Iran, Nigeria, Switzerland (Extra Time) and Belgium but they now face a step up in class against the Dutch. Out of all of the 4 teams left i would say the Dutch have been the most impressive in this World Cup although they made hard work of seeing off Mexico and Costa Rica but prior to that they were great particularly against Spain and had a great result against Chile. Their 5-3-2 formation has worked wonders in this tournament and they are very good on the break with Robben in particular. I can see Messi and Co struggling to break this Netherlands team down with their 3 centre backs and the Dutch are more than capable of scoring on the counter particularly with Mascherano and possibly Demichellis in the team who are not exactly the quickest. I can't see Argentina sitting deep in this game and they will probably do most of the attacking which suits Holland as seen by the fact they struggle to break teams down when they sit deep like against Costa Rica but do well against the likes of Spain and Chile who like to attack. Taking all that into account i see Netherlands going through to concsecutive World Cup Finals. Good Luck.