partio

Glad to see active discussion and analysis about tennis betting here in Punterslounge; not many forums around where can be found actual talk from this point of view.

As a Finnish I’m looking forward Majchrzak - Ruusuvuori tonight. Ruusuvuori is a clear favourite here, as a pretty fresh rising newcomer on ATP Tour, and anything but win is huge upset for him. Emil played on Semi-Finals in Winston-Salem couple of days ago and five games in week may affect his fatigue, that have been quite his issue in his early career. Secondly this year’s court seem to be bit slowish that not favour Ruusuvuori who is at his best to hit on fast rising bouncing balls. To add, (mentally) Ruusuvuori is quite unconsistent player inside games and sets; especially he needs to be improved in serving consistency to not give so much break ball opportunities for opponent. Usually we see lot of breaks in his games.
So what I like here and expect is that is going to be straight 3 setter for neither player. Odds are not that great for sure, you can find over 3,5 sets priced around 1,60-1,70 depending on bookies. Points explained above; 1) Emil’s current fatigue, 2) court conditions and 3) Emil’s unconsistency inside a game I expect this match to be like 1-3, 2-3 win for Ruusuvuori.
Don’t take this too seriously though, just wanted to share some thoughts about this game as a Finnish, who likes to follow Ruusuvuori’s ATP-tennis journey after our only ATP-player Jarkko Nieminen retired his career years ago
 
 
 

I agree with above, experience Spaniard Bautista-Agut is tough match-up for Ruusuvuori, but few points still stands out in favour of Finnishman to get at least something out from it;
 
RBA prefer grind rallies and hit flat balls from back the baseline as Emil - in principle he’s decent match-up for Finnishman. From this point of view Emil may have better chance to get into his own rhythm and strenght zones as well.

Bautista is not as aggressive tempo player as for eg. Jannik Sinner; I believe Emil may get his moments control the game. Of course, overall RBA is huge challenge from mental and tactical point of view. Requirement here is Emil can keep his level of first serve; 18 aces in 17 games was great performance against Polishman yesterday. Regarding skill sets I would say Ruusuvuori backhand is even bit stronger than Bautista’s. 

As mentioned, in Slam’s best of five periods is in favour of RBA and overall his level is still more consistent and higher quality than Emil’s. Though, Luckily RBA is not playing as high level as year-two ago.
 
Here in Finland we quietly hope and expect Emil has a chance even win this.  Market’s prediction ~65-35 seems fair though. I think there’s little bit better value, once again, in over 3,5 sets (Unibet 1.58). If Emil can go with his highest level in set one, or set two, I expect RBA to drop one for young Finnishman (or even more )

Roberto Bautista-Agut to beat Emil Ruusuvori at 1.54 with Pinnacle
Agreed with @vvararu here, RBA should be way too big a mountain to climb in the longer format. I'd find these odds alright in best-of-three, but he'll outlast Ruusuvori more often than not as well if it comes to that.

Bautista-Agut to beat Ruusuvuori @ ~1.50
Even if the odds are not very big, I still find them pretty good for the quality of Bautista-Agut. For me, the spaniard is 1 level higher than Ruusuvuori, even if the latest has some wins in his pocket lately. Expecting 3:0 or 3:1 in favor of RBA.

Glad to see active discussion and analysis about tennis betting here in Punterslounge; not many forums around where can be found actual talk from this point of view.

As a Finnish I’m looking forward Majchrzak - Ruusuvuori tonight. Ruusuvuori is a clear favourite here, as a pretty fresh rising newcomer on ATP Tour, and anything but win is huge upset for him. Emil played on Semi-Finals in Winston-Salem couple of days ago and five games in week may affect his fatigue, that have been quite his issue in his early career. Secondly this year’s court seem to be bit slowish that not favour Ruusuvuori who is at his best to hit on fast rising bouncing balls. To add, (mentally) Ruusuvuori is quite unconsistent player inside games and sets; especially he needs to be improved in serving consistency to not give so much break ball opportunities for opponent. Usually we see lot of breaks in his games.
So what I like here and expect is that is going to be straight 3 setter for neither player. Odds are not that great for sure, you can find over 3,5 sets priced around 1,60-1,70 depending on bookies. Points explained above; 1) Emil’s current fatigue, 2) court conditions and 3) Emil’s unconsistency inside a game I expect this match to be like 1-3, 2-3 win for Ruusuvuori.
Don’t take this too seriously though, just wanted to share some thoughts about this game as a Finnish, who likes to follow Ruusuvuori’s ATP-tennis journey after our only ATP-player Jarkko Nieminen retired his career years ago
 
 
 

Glad to see active discussion and analysis about tennis betting here in Punterslounge; not many forums around where can be found actual talk from this point of view.

As a Finnish I’m looking forward Majchrzak - Ruusuvuori tonight. Ruusuvuori is a clear favourite here, as a pretty fresh rising newcomer on ATP Tour, and anything but win is huge upset for him. Emil played on Semi-Finals in Winston-Salem couple of days ago and five games in week may affect his fatigue, that have been quite his issue in his early career. Secondly this year’s court seem to be bit slowish that not favour Ruusuvuori who is at his best to hit on fast rising bouncing balls. To add, (mentally) Ruusuvuori is quite unconsistent player inside games and sets; especially he needs to be improved in serving consistency to not give so much break ball opportunities for opponent. Usually we see lot of breaks in his games.
So what I like here and expect is that is going to be straight 3 setter for neither player. Odds are not that great for sure, you can find over 3,5 sets priced around 1,60-1,70 depending on bookies. Points explained above; 1) Emil’s current fatigue, 2) court conditions and 3) Emil’s unconsistency inside a game I expect this match to be like 1-3, 2-3 win for Ruusuvuori.
Don’t take this too seriously though, just wanted to share some thoughts about this game as a Finnish, who likes to follow Ruusuvuori’s ATP-tennis journey after our only ATP-player Jarkko Nieminen retired his career years ago
 
 
 

Welcome back to the forum @partio!

Glad to see active discussion and analysis about tennis betting here in Punterslounge; not many forums around where can be found actual talk from this point of view.

As a Finnish I’m looking forward Majchrzak - Ruusuvuori tonight. Ruusuvuori is a clear favourite here, as a pretty fresh rising newcomer on ATP Tour, and anything but win is huge upset for him. Emil played on Semi-Finals in Winston-Salem couple of days ago and five games in week may affect his fatigue, that have been quite his issue in his early career. Secondly this year’s court seem to be bit slowish that not favour Ruusuvuori who is at his best to hit on fast rising bouncing balls. To add, (mentally) Ruusuvuori is quite unconsistent player inside games and sets; especially he needs to be improved in serving consistency to not give so much break ball opportunities for opponent. Usually we see lot of breaks in his games.
So what I like here and expect is that is going to be straight 3 setter for neither player. Odds are not that great for sure, you can find over 3,5 sets priced around 1,60-1,70 depending on bookies. Points explained above; 1) Emil’s current fatigue, 2) court conditions and 3) Emil’s unconsistency inside a game I expect this match to be like 1-3, 2-3 win for Ruusuvuori.
Don’t take this too seriously though, just wanted to share some thoughts about this game as a Finnish, who likes to follow Ruusuvuori’s ATP-tennis journey after our only ATP-player Jarkko Nieminen retired his career years ago
 
 
 

Glad to see active discussion and analysis about tennis betting here in Punterslounge; not many forums around where can be found actual talk from this point of view.

As a Finnish I’m looking forward Majchrzak - Ruusuvuori tonight. Ruusuvuori is a clear favourite here, as a pretty fresh rising newcomer on ATP Tour, and anything but win is huge upset for him. Emil played on Semi-Finals in Winston-Salem couple of days ago and five games in week may affect his fatigue, that have been quite his issue in his early career. Secondly this year’s court seem to be bit slowish that not favour Ruusuvuori who is at his best to hit on fast rising bouncing balls. To add, (mentally) Ruusuvuori is quite unconsistent player inside games and sets; especially he needs to be improved in serving consistency to not give so much break ball opportunities for opponent. Usually we see lot of breaks in his games.
So what I like here and expect is that is going to be straight 3 setter for neither player. Odds are not that great for sure, you can find over 3,5 sets priced around 1,60-1,70 depending on bookies. Points explained above; 1) Emil’s current fatigue, 2) court conditions and 3) Emil’s unconsistency inside a game I expect this match to be like 1-3, 2-3 win for Ruusuvuori.
Don’t take this too seriously though, just wanted to share some thoughts about this game as a Finnish, who likes to follow Ruusuvuori’s ATP-tennis journey after our only ATP-player Jarkko Nieminen retired his career years ago
 
 
 

Back A.Murray/A.Zverev - Over 3.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 3.75 with Bet365
Back Lleyton Hewitt (-2.5) to beat James Duckworth for a 8/10 stake at 1.80 with Paddy Power
Back Stephane Robert (-1.5 sets) to beat Bjorn Fratangelo for a 8/10 stake at 2.00 with Unibet
Back Rajeev Ram (+2.5 sets) to beat Kevin Anderson for a 7/10 stake at 2.38 with Unibet
Back Brian Baker (+2.5 sets) to beat Simone Bolelli for a 7/10 stake at 2.65 with Unibet
Argh, that might be the worst start to the season I've ever had, hopefully I'll pull it back to the black numbers quickly. Five for me on Tuesday in total. Firstly, the 3.75 on offer for Murray to drop a set looks seriously massive to me. Yes, yes, he should be winning this easily, but with all the talk about him even flying back home mid-tournament, it's fair to say that there's a chance of him not being completely focused - and Zverev isn't a poor player by any standards. Hewitt should also beat Duckworth easily enough - it's not even about the quality, it's about that I don't believe that Duckworth will handle the occasion (he even said that he will apologize to Hewitt if he wins, which certainly isn't the right attitude). Robert should also find his way to beat Fratangelo without dropping more than a set - the American shouldn't even be here, as he lost in the final round of the qualifiers. Finally, call me a naive optimist, but I think that both Ram and Baker have a chance of getting a set against Anderson and Bolelli. There are question marks hovering around Anderson and Ram's playing style will put him under pressure. Meanwhile, Bolelli has been dreadful so far in this season and Baker will give it his all on his comeback - and he isn't even the worse player of the two, it's just that he lacks match practice big time.
Please note that I'm taking the Ram and Baker bets at Unibet, who settle already-won set handicap bets (and void ones that could still possibly go either way) in case of retirements - and all four players in question could imaginably retire.
Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/tennis/australian-open/australian-open-betting-will-murray-make-a-strong-start-in-melbourne--2016011801

No worry and yes, forgot to mention that most likely stakes are quite limited on Unibet "special offers" which is shame. You will be quite happy if you get 15 euros in while punting on those offers. Worth trying still.
Happy to see here Punters tennis lounge some active discussion and tipsters. Previews based on players gameplay and deeper information are always welcome while you cannot get much from looking just statistics and base your bets only on them. 

This bet might be best settle to Unibet which has "Novak Djokovic to Australian Open campaign" with such high odds as 2.20. Just information for all who're looking best price to punt this bet, not any advertising meaning at all.

Back Novak Djokovic to win the Australian Open for a 8/10 stake at 1.72 with Paddy Power
Back Tomas Berdych to win the 2nd quarter for a 4/10 stake at 7.00 with Paddy Power
Back Bernard Tomic to win the 4th quarter for a 2/10 stake at 15.00 with Skybet
Back Who Will Go the Furthest? - Stanislas Wawrinka (vs. Rafael Nadal) for a 7/10 stake at 2.20 with Bet365
I've never been a big fan of short odds, but who else if not Djokovic really, especially given the long format. I also quite like Berdych and Tomic in the quarter betting, the biggest names have some problems and that could open up the draw for bit. Finally, Wawrinka could also go further than Nadal imo, I actually wouldn't be surprised to see the Spaniard lose surprisingly early. He did make it to the finals in Doha, but he didn't have to play against anyone strong and he then folded quite easily against Djokovic, so I'm not sure why some are thinking that he might have a chance in Melbourne.
Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/tennis/australian-open/australian-open-betting-can-anyone-stop-the-world-s-number-one-in-melbourne--2016011602