liquidglass

Pablo Carreno-Busta to beat Steve Johnson at 2.00 with Paddy Power
The Miami conditions don't look all that fast to me, which should hand PCB the advantage in this match-up. Both players are now starting to get back into some form, but PCB's dominance in rallies should be the key here. 1.80 would be my odds.
Denis Shapovalov to beat Sam Querrey at 2.12 with Unibet
Based on what I saw from Querrey in his match against Albot, I simply have to side with Shapovalov, who should be fine unless he breaks himself too many times. Querrey doesn't have the defensive weapons that are needed to deal with the Canadian's winners, so he'll have to rely on serving well, which is something that he wasn't really able to do against Albot. At odds against, Shapovalov has to be the play here.

I kind of think on the contrary that the odds are right considering the state of affairs in the womens game. Nobody is dominating and all the big players seem to be taking it in turns to play well or win events. Barty is not playing too bad to think she would lose to a player who has already had a busy past week. Barty should win cosily for the same reasons the svitolina beat Osaka a couple of days ago. Barty is still in reasonable nick, is the fresher of the two and the one with the heavier shots. I would not imagine that she will need to be ultra consistent with her shots to cause maximum damage.

I will definitely agree with you that it will seem a road too too far for Rybarikova to go on and beat Vandeweghe especially having been drawn into three sets against martic in the last round. Rybarikova will really have to be superhuman. The head to head record between the two means absolutely nothing apart from being the catalyst which will help to derail many from crossing the payout line. As we know, Vandeweghe has a big game, but is a high-risk player who can be prone to serial errors during a match. That was the case in 2011 when she lost to Rybarikova in Birmingham. She was still trying to find her way carrying this huge potential on her back. She even lost to Daniilidou, Riske and Rus in the same period. The other loss happened this year preparing for the French Open after she had lost hopelessly to Halep in Madrid proir to playing well in the tournament. She was never able to overcome that bad loss to Halep and it spilled over into the first round of the French Open where Rybarikova again beat her where I believe she lacked focus.
Whatever was about Vandeweghe prior to this years Wimbledon is a story best left for the archives. 2017 is about Pat Cash featuring Vandeweghe. That is all that matters. I also agree with your Williams pick. That is so very clear. I already smell the aroma of your beginners luck as it is your 1st or 2nd posting on this forum. Good luck Matey!!

No luck with any of the WTA picks. I thought at least one would have made it through to the next round, even though they were all underdogs. Murray put in his best performance of the tournament to beat Paire in straight sets so that bet is still going, and as Nadal is now out of the running I'm going to add 2 points to my stake on him to take the title at 5.00 at Smarkets. The rationale for this is similar to my original bet, in that he really should make the final from here and if he does he's not going to be a 4 to 1 shot no matter who he faces.
I'm also going to try again in the WTA market. This time I'm backing Coco Vandeweghe with 2 points at 6.00 at BetBright. The American has made it this far without dropping a set and has looked impressive and full of confidence from what I've seen of her. Having the ear of former Wimbledon winner Pat Cash seems to be helping her and I think she should get the better of Rybarikova in the next round, even though the Slovakian is on a great run right now. After that who knows but I'd rather back her than anyone else in her half.

Rybarykova had a hard game against Martic. She is "out of top form" imo and CoCo will win, odds surely low.
I'm quite confident about Ostapenko is going home. She played with too many errors and had a very weak serves. Venus played well againt big-server Konjuh, i can imagine 2-0 easily.

I'm with @liquidglass so I think Wozniacki takes her first title of the season today..

It still remains a very dicey pick which ever player you chose to back for the win.  Betwise this is how I see it. Both of them have very potent and reliable first serves with Pliskova's being the more reliable. It would seem rather unlikely for anyone of them to win without going over 12.5 in total player games. In fact there is a very high chance of both players to go over 12.5 games. I am however siding with Pliskova over 12.5 games 8/11

I just thought it necessary to add what I consider a valuable contribution to your picks as they stand. I am believing that you will add this advice to your bank of experience for future battles. Firstly you need to be aware of the general format of this indulgence to even have a chance of surviving in it. To put it simply, it surpasses intellectual capacities and human wisdom, an indulgence predicated on demonic sequences codes and invincible manipulations not detectable by the mere senses. You will be amazed about some key things that I could reveal to you in 30minutes over a cup of tea that will leave you gobsmacked. I will leave that for now and address the issue at hand.
Firstly as a matter of good principle, you must never play accumulators that are a mixture of today and tomorrow's games. Such an accumulator is bound to fail 9 times out of 10 for definite. That is one of the greatest manipulations of the game that people fall into so easily because they are not aware of the existence of these supernatural demonic codes in play. For anyone reading who thinks I am just ranting on, how many times in your long indulgence in this game have you won with a last selection to be completed the next day. Answer? Very rare.  How many times do you always lose out by the one selection by what seems a little margin? That happens to everybody(losing by one selection 99%of the times because of these invincible codes in play)
Another top manipulative strategy has to do with offers. Offers are to enslave and police your thought process. Once you digest it on any level you are hooked. You must learn by default to always accept the first reasonable offer that gives you your money back and any little extra. Any attempt to consider your position on an offer  based on human wisdom is folly and destructive. Your first principle should be always to protect your investment no matter how much. The right choice only comes once to your memory and briefly so, and you always have to be tough and hard-willed to act on it.
Your first thought to take the initial offer was the right one and I say this with 99% certainty even without the matches played yet. In my opinion it will clearly appear that you have forfeited your chance to make the little profit if you failed to take the offer. I will be totally shocked if your remaining games all make it. Infact where I was initially worried about  Pospisil vs Dolgopolov, I now feel confident on a Pospisil victory having been conversant with these situations too many times. I have chosen that over the  Kokkinakis match, both of which one is primed to give birth to a loser. My pick based on this situation? Pospisil to beat Dolgopolov.   Good luck everyone!!!

Interesting. Thank you for the facts. 

Ostapenko vs Halep
At last the final is here after two weeks of tennis jamboree. They would seem so hard to separate at first glance, but if anything could be used as a pointer to the possible outcome of this match it would be the odds. If you are one conversant with odds, you will know clearly that the odds set for this match don't just add up considering what we already know of both players. First of all Halep is not really in sublime form. She has played so much tennis over the last week that she almost has nothing left to give as we have seen in her last matches. You can also be rest assured that the brash and fearless Ostapenko will be mounting the sort of assault that will amount to 2 Pliskovas put together against Halep. These players have no head to head to go by so apart from the name Halep and future No1, I really do not see her weak game matching up to Ostapenko even with the advantage of court speed. Halep might just have a long afternoon ball-chasing.
This is going to be a kind of match similar to the Basinszky game where the destiny of every point will rest on the racket of Ostapenko, because she is going to be residing in the driver's seat for the duration of that final. Halep opened at 1/4 with Ostapenko 11/4 two days ago. Now the bookies seem to have woken up to the danger and moved 12/5   3/10.  Anyone who is familiar with the odds 3/10 will know that it is simply an odd of no confidence; it is one of the bookies widgiboard codes.
I also like the fearless attitude and easy power in the Ostapenko play that I could not possibly be in my right senses to back against her. Yes, we see players make new records everyday and I believe Ostapenko's will be winning a slam as her first career title. 
If there was ever anything that gave me total conviction of the winner of this match, it will be firstly the printout by Czech punter showing that Ostapenko had a bad record in finals depicting 0-3. That was further boosted by the Pliskova tweet saying she would put all she had on Halep. She was never going to derail me. In the real sense of things Pliskova should by homeless by the time the match ends tomorrow for certain. My verdict is Ostapenko 2-0.  9/2 and comprehensively so. Good luck all!!!

I really do not know what you are on about. You sure make a lot of loose sweeping statements. What has age got to do with anything and you talk like Timea is a 35year old woman playing against a twenty year old. It was a three setter and I think Timea played well in light of the fiery aggression from Ostapenko's style of play. How much is Simona really better than Timea?  If you really believe it an insult to compare Timea to Simona, then you should really be a part of the women"s loose talk program on ITV.  Simona has been pretty average in her last two matches and is looking more like a burnt out wilting candle. If you really think Simona will do better than Timea against Ostapenko, then you certainly will be in for a shock. Ostapenko is still going to be the aggressor in that match taking the game to Simona. Such is her aggressive style.  I cannot even see Halep coping with the barrage of misiles coming at her from various angles. Halep was almost out in the last round and could not even convincingly beat a passive Pliskova?? I cannot see past Ostapenko in straight sets. I just have a very strong feeling that Halep may never win a slam.

Please don't assault other members, thank you. And yes, do consider that to be a warning.

I think when Nadal beats Thiem, Delfino may go quiet.

Well well well......Trust me, I am on your side because I took Cheung to win in a medium bet but played the over 36.5 in my main bet. Still, I have to say that despite your comment, your inner man must be telling you different. I smell de-ja-vous big time. Cheung will seem to have lost this match on the rain delay. He will be lucky to get to the 5th set in my opinion..........well unless the tennis gods take Sunday off. Same story with Bellis yesterday. The big players are always able to perform more efficient checks and balances with an overnight delay. I really wish I am wrong.

I can't argue with your post but I would add this. Getting to the latter stages of a grand slam and the physical demands that go with it is the norm for Djokovic. It isn't for Ramos and that could be a factor. Best of luck with your bet. 

I agree with Pironkova @10,16, worth a try.
Two other players I fancy to win are Lopez (@2,49) against a struggling Ferrer and Kasatkina (@2,53) against Vondrouseva who has unbelievable results so far, but she still is only 17. Kasatkina is also doing well on clay this year with a 8-2 record.

Somebody tipped Bonzi. Well, that was the worst tip ever. Bonzi is a big MUG

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Richel Hogenkamp to beat Elise Mertens at 2.00 with bet365
Richel comes into RG with a small tournament win in Tunis on clay. Her best surface seems to be clay and she did well to qualify for the main draw and she's got every chance of picking up a win here in this tournament. They've never faced so I guess I'm throwing myself into the unknown here but I got to try Richel and see where she takes me.

Thanks for the opinion. Such injury is very tough to be healed for less than 48 hours. When you are moving and the Adrenalin is rushing, you can't feel it too much. The problem comes on the next day. Maybe you are right about the body language. It's also possible that Mladenovic to start the match and if she sees that couldn't finish fast with Errani and the Italian is having an edge, just to quit in the first set. We will see

Firstly, let me correct a point you made about Brady being horrible on clay. That really is what I call an unsubstantiated sweeping statement. Granted you might be cheesed off with the way she lost to Mladenovic, but that is tennis. It was a big pressure match worsened by playing an injured player. Brady never shies away from clay as some players do that show a disliking for the red dirt. She plays a whole lot of matches on clay even going to South America to play tournaments on clay. On clay She has beaten the likes of Mertens, Rogers, Haddad Maia, Sakkari, Krunic and many decent others.
Mladenovic should really have had authentic claims to this year's French open crown aside a few worries. She has played too much tennis prior to this tournament . However she seems a different calibre of player with regards to mental toughness and fitness. Sometimes it has to require an element of luck to help one reach a title. The question is can she recover from that last physical exertion, hybernate and re-energise herself? It is not outside the realms of possibility. I am not going to count her out just yet. I have noticed from experience that knowledge of a players injury or tiredness can really be a distraction to the punter. Errani is in good form too. The fear is that her game could get swallowed up by the big game of Kiki if she come out firing. Best advice to bet in play. Mladenovic wins hands down on first glimpse of good body language!!!!

Bonzi vs Ramos Vinolas
I just could not believe what I was seeing when I saw the odds for this match. It became apparent to me that the odds-generating computer device for the bookies must be dysfunctional. Let me first say a bit about Bonzi. Bonzi has won 13 from his last fourteen matches, and please do not ask me against who? A win is a win and a good confidence builder. On the way to the penultimate tournament before the french open, he beat Munoz-De La Nava 6-3  7-6 one I can boldly refer to as decent opposition. He beat Smyczek 6-2 6-2, beat Polansky 7-5  6-3 and beat Lajovic 6-1 6-1. He beat everyone in easy straight sets till he lost to Silva Dutra from a disintrest in the match because I watched that match.
He beat Medvedev in the first round, Medvedev's surprise retirement not really detracting from the form of this Bonzi guy. Ramos has lost five from his last 6 and has already played way too much tennis to be considered fresh. The tournament organisers as usual have given it a prime time slot and I believe it should live up to the hype.
I believe Bonzi can win a set at the very least 2/1. But as usual with a partisan home crowd on his side I am going total Bonzi games over 9.5   4/6. Good luck guys!!!!
 

Firstly, let me correct a point you made about Brady being horrible on clay. That really is what I call an unsubstantiated sweeping statement. Granted you might be cheesed off with the way she lost to Mladenovic, but that is tennis. It was a big pressure match worsened by playing an injured player. Brady never shies away from clay as some players do that show a disliking for the red dirt. She plays a whole lot of matches on clay even going to South America to play tournaments on clay. On clay She has beaten the likes of Mertens, Rogers, Haddad Maia, Sakkari, Krunic and many decent others.
Mladenovic should really have had authentic claims to this year's French open crown aside a few worries. She has played too much tennis prior to this tournament . However she seems a different calibre of player with regards to mental toughness and fitness. Sometimes it has to require an element of luck to help one reach a title. The question is can she recover from that last physical exertion, hybernate and re-energise herself? It is not outside the realms of possibility. I am not going to count her out just yet. I have noticed from experience that knowledge of a players injury or tiredness can really be a distraction to the punter. Errani is in good form too. The fear is that her game could get swallowed up by the big game of Kiki if she come out firing. Best advice to bet in play. Mladenovic wins hands down on first glimpse of good body language!!!!

Hamou vs Cuevas
I was quite surprised by the results of yesterday's games where I really expected a bit more resistance from the players that I backed against.....but surprisingly they let me get my stash without even the slightest glimpse of a nervous moment in sight, Apart from Bonzi, my main pick on the forum, Makarova, Dodin and Tommy Boredo all conspired with me to rape the bookies. hahaha!
I am spoilt for choice today with so many good picks with all more than decent chances of doing what I expect them to do. As I will never post more than one or two, I have chosen this game as one to write about. 
Seriously speaking, Cuevas should murder Hamou period. Total mismatch in my opinion. Perhaps that is why this is the FA Cup of tennis with all the thrills and excitement expected from the unknown. I have used my system again in analysing this matchup. Quite interesting findings I will say. I always like putting my system to the litmus test especially in situations like these. It is what I am all about in all honesty.
First principle in gambling - a winner is a winner regardless. Hamou comes here with a whole lot of matches on clay under his belt and I mean a lot - plus winning all three matches of the qualifying series in straight sets. And yes, I said it, you do not have to know who he beat. A winner is a winner.
Cuevas on the other hand has played a lot of high quality tennis recently and had some good results too. However he has only won one from his last three.
Odds movement from opening to current clearly backs a good Hamou showing with margin to chose from different markets where you want to make your profits from, Also the organizers of this tournament surely know what they are doing in putting this match in the prime time slot plus the voiciferous home support expected. Hamou's hard face in one look depicts determination and I will take my chances on the evidence already in view. With an investment mind in play the pick is over 29.5 games, even though I clearly expect Hamou to do considerably more, Good luck all !!!!!

Bonzi vs Medvedev
Anyone looking at the games lined up on day one of this years French Open will agree with me that we face a very complex conundrum in trying to find easy winners. There are a whole lot of temptations lurking and one can easily get carried away with the excitement and run into some serious losses if following the early fluctuating markets. As I have always said, I put in a whole lot of work to make sure that my followers can always look forward to real value as opposed to flirting with hope. It is the more reason you will always see me tip in way of investments as opposed to gambling. 
Well Bonzi is a young Player who has been plying his trade on the satellite tour with a lot of victories, especially recent victories in the midst of decent opposition. He really could be anything in this FA cup of Tennis with so many imponderables expected. He faces Medvedev, a very talented player who really blossomed in the last few months showing us that he has some real talent. Medvedev has since being in a bad patch losing his last 5 matches, more significantly, losing 3 from 3 on clay. In my opinion it will certainly be the wrong time and occasion for him to rediscover his form especially against a player like Bonzi who should really be having a lot of vocal support from the partisan home crowd.
I have reached my conclusion by applying one of my very reliable systems that has to do with tracking the market moves points from opening to current time. The system has been very reliable for me working over 80% of times. My conclusion is that Bonzi should win this match somehow in the end. It really should not matter whether Medvedev plays well or not. Clear positive pick on circumstance. However, being an investment tipster, my pick will be 
Bonzi to win a set at 4/11 paddypower*** positive 9/10 Good luck all.