liquidglass
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Posts posted by liquidglass
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25 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
I wasn't wondering about that, but instead of why you quoted me without putting in any text!
Yes, I intended replying to your post but suddenly lost the thread. I think it was stuck in the editor
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As the tournament moves towards the end of the first week into the corridors of the knockout phase, expect matches to get more complex and open. I have seen a few too many players snatch victory from the jaws of defeat this week. Korda yesterday, what a narrow escape! Then there was that breathtakingly wonderful match with Shapovalov which I very much enjoyed. Cristian! what a player for the future. Her matchplay body language tells you of an unfinished story still in the making. I was also surprised how the two error machines Giorgi and Keys had so transformed their games in a short space. Keys is certainly dangerous and has a realistic chance. Her game is robust enough to bring the very elite of the game to their knees. She was a promise to the game that was meant to have happened many years ago. A late delivery is not out of the question.
Kasatkina vs linette No doubt Kasatkina is in the form of her life and she has started the year very well. I think she excels well on this surface aided by her very positive attitude on court and her sneaky ability to manipulate the trajectory of the ball constantly giving her opponents different looks. She is the kind of player that once you know her game, you know her game. She the becomes limited in that kind of matchup. I think Linette knows her game and knows it well. H2H is 2-1 Linette and they have all been recent matches. Kasatina has started this year playing many matches. I do not know how that will turn out in terms of how she will adapt physically. I just think Linette's beating of Sevastova in the first round is signal enough. I really want to pick Linette to win here. Verdict: Linette to win with 5.5 handicap @ paddy power
Kontaveit vs Tauson Kontaveit, resilient, tough, feisty and persistent and can be very hard to play. However I think this will be one of the matches of the tournament. I just have a feeling that Tauson will be up to the task in the groundstrokes dept and put Kontaveit under pressure. I strongly smell an upset here but I will put my tail between my legs and opt for +5.5 Tauson Paddy power.
Molcan vs Anjudar Molcan is the younger player here and the one more likely to go through to the next round. I think his preparation has been spot on and Icannot see a different result. good luck all!
- lelit and CzechPunter
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11 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Hm? @liquidglass
Decent day yesterday, only Bencic lost from the bunch.
Yeah Czech, I really put Brengle in as an afterthought suddenly discovering that i was running out of time as match time loomed. It hurt me to mess up that treble. Looking forward to tomorrow.
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3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Nick Kyrgios (+2.5 sets) to beat Daniil Medvedev at 1.98 with Unibet
Looks like a huge price to me honestly. It's just a set we need here and Kyrgios looked in good shape against Broady given he was off for such a long time. His serve is devastating against everyone and Medvedev sometimes responds poorly to adversity, which is what he'll get plenty of from Nick. I'd have this at 1.57.
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Radu Albot vs Vukic Radu is in good form beginning the year winning all his qualifiers inclusing a comprehensive first round win against Nishioka. Remember he beat Bautista Agut here last year and clearly loves the green courts here in melbourne. Vukic though in form as well will have to get ready for the biggest match of his life including the pressure from being the favorite amidst a lot of media attention. Albot looks overpriced here and I am picking him here for the upset.
Kecmanovic vs Paul Both are in good form. Kecmanovic is 2-0 on the head to head albeit one being an exhibition. I believe he is ready to continue with the promise that first took him on the tennis scene. Kecmanovic to win at least 2 sets @11/10 Bet 365
Brengle Vs Osaka There is a reason why this match has been saved for prime time morning. Find out yourself. Brengle +5.5 handicap bet 365
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8 minutes ago, Torque said:
After a lacklustre performance by Zverev today where he made hard work of what should have been a routine victory, I'm going to add a little to my position on Medvedev in the outright market. Some will say that performances like that by the top seeds are common in the early rounds and that might be true, but it's not ideal in my eyes both in terms of exertion and also failing to put in a dominant performance that might make your rivals sit up and take notice. Nadal for example, for whom there were question marks over how he might do here, swatted Giron aside with absolutely minimal fuss and all of a sudden even though a win over Giron is no barometer whatsoever of Nadal's chances, there's more people saying that he could go all the way and that's the value of a dominant win over an opponent you're expected to beat easily. Zverev had a habit for a number of years of making heavy weather of the early rounds of Slams and I'm still not convinced he's completely shaken that habit off. Accumulated fatigue is a big thing for the men in Slams and so unless Zverev can win the next couple of rounds in quick straight sets then his chances of winning this diminish.
There are five matches that interest me today, starting with a massive outsider in Mager. He's up against Rublev, and whilst I don't expect him to win - I don't think you can expect any player to win when their odds give them a less than ten percent chance of victory - I do think he can be competitive. He has two things in his favour, firstly his rally tolerance is far superior to Rublev and that could draw errors as Rublev goes for winners to try to end rallies more quickly and secondly Mager is better from a tactical viewpoint and is able to construct points better than Rublev can. I've said on here a few times that Rublev is 'see ball, hit ball' and a bit like Sabalenka on the Women's side that's enough to win him an awful lot of matches but he's come undone plenty of times against players with the nous to take him out of his comfort zone, with Lopez the most recent example of that and Mager is in the same mould due to his preference for clay. Rublev is also not averse to being sloppy in the early rounds of Slams and dropping a set which should encourage Mager, and he's also recently had a bout of Covid. With all that said, he could win easily but at the price and bearing in mind the points above I'll take the chance.
The other matches are all WTA matches, starting with Dodin to beat Begu. I can't see why Begu is attracting the level of favouritism that she is - I can only think it has to do with her finishing last season quite strongly on hard. This is a new season though, and Begu is a veteran who hasn't won a Slam match on hard for three years. Dodin took a set against Bencic recently which is a decent effort, and whilst she might lose there's no way she should be the price that she is. Next up I'm backing Cirstea to beat Kvitova, as I agree with others who've suggested that Cirstea is a live dog in this match. Neither player has made a great start to the season, but Cirstea beat Kvitova here last year and looks good value to repeat that win. I'll also back Baptiste to beat Garcia. This is less a bet for Baptiste and more a bet against Garcia, who's been disappointing for some time now. There's very little consistency in her game which is why I think she's vulnerable in this match. Lastly I think Kanepi is worth backing against Kerber. She has a terrific record against seeded players in Slams which suggests she raises her game at the biggest tournaments, and Kerber's hasn't played yet this season after contracting Covid. I'm also going to try a small acca of favourites and see if I can get a return after coming close yesterday.
10pts Medvedev to win ATP Australian Open @ 2.82 Betfair Exchange
5pts Mager to beat Rublev @ 17.00 Boylesports
30pts Dodin to beat Begu @ 3.40 365
20pts Cirstea to beat Kvitova @ 2.75 365
10pts Baptiste to beat Garcia @ 3.00 365
15pts Kanepi to beat Kerber @ 2.63 Boylesports
10pts Kohlschreiber (vs. Cecchinato) x Sinner (vs. Sousa) x Golubic (vs. Zhang) @ 2.27 365
I really like your Mager to beat Rublev. One of my undercover plays that I am willing to risk big stakes. Rublev has only recently recovered from covid and is not physically in prime shape. Earlier today his price dashed out from 1/20 to 1/33 for no reason. Mager on the other hand has the ability to beat Rublev. I also like Dodin over Begu. Big outside play.
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Yesterday was a good day for me as I expected it would considering the hard work I had put in prior to the tournaments. The bulk of my winnings actually came from the games that I did not bother to put up as I was spoilt for choice and wanted to put out a minimal amount of games to avoid flooding. As it stands those games have already played 3/5 with two games yet to play. I feel confident but not fully so as I fear Tsitsipas might be flattering to deceive. We will see. Here are a few solid games for today
Struff is in considerable bad form winning only one from his last four which cannot bode well for his preparations. Van De Zandschulp is in acceptable form and has been well boosted for a win against Struff from my model. My model is quite consistent when the indicators are steady in the green area which is where this match is. The match has also been boosted by a significant price drop for Van De Zandschulp
Struff vs Van De Zandschulp Van De Zandschulp to win. Paddypower @1/2
I think an opportunistic spot has opened up here to go against Pavlyuchenkova depending on the betting option employed. Pavlyuchenkova ended last season on a limp and has not shown up this year yet anywhere under the radar. She had a very good and busy last year and with the age of her body I do not expect her to be up and running that soon. Bondar is progressive and on the up. I will normally have considered a fully fit Pavlyuchenkova as a bridge too far for her, but with the opening matches that she has played this year this would indicate an ideal opportunity. While I strongly believe that Bondar is good enough to win, my verdict will be
Pavlyuchenkova vs Bondar: Bondar to win a set
I will move away from the public domain and take my next pick on a rookie who I have already seen play a few times. Skatov from Kazakshtan seems to play a style that I admire alot with a veiled amount of confidence behind every shot. I will take him to outlast the veteran Gombos who battled through the qualifiers to make the main draw
Skatov vs Gombos : Skatov to beat Gombos @11/10 paddy power.
I would have loved to include some more powerful plays for today. It is just that I get too busy writing out all my different bets with just over an hour to go and including the reasons can be a bit tedious and time-consuming. Good luck all!
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Hello Guys,
Welcome to the first Grand slam of the year and I am sure you are all as excited as I am that we can all begin to get involved in our one passion again. Let me say this before I get into the games proper that it takes a combination of factors to do well and make profits in the slam because one is always open to one too many temptations that will eventually turn out to be banana skins and cause severe havoc. So I would say that a great deal of care and experience is needed to aid your decision-making process in deciding to take a bet. Knowing what bet to take and what bookmaker to take it with is so very crucial to your success. For the grandslams I always make sure that I have my major betting accounts on standby namely Ladbrokes, Bet365 and Paddypower. The reason is that they all provide me with different betting options to help maximise my tennis knowledge and thus increase productivity. For example only paddy power provides the alternative total games and alternative handicap options. I cannot begin to tell you how instrumental this has been for me over the last 20 or more years. This should give you a rough idea about my age and the wealth of experience that I will be trying to share with you here. I have always done extremely well in the early rounds of slams and I will be expecting this to be no different. I never really go for outright winners most times because I believe that there is more value in the game menu with numerous markets available.
Rune vs Kwon (Alternative handicaps over 35.5 games @8/15 paddy power) Both are young tennis hopefuls who have already met once in Marbella last year on clay playing a tight 3 setter which Kwon won. They both have started they year well and have played 4 matches each to give the indication that they are both in competitive mood. I just cannot see a runaway winner here and have rightly chosen a very attainable mark for them on the alternative handicap market.
Basilashvili vs Murray
Head to Head is 0-2 Murray where both matches have been highly competitive. Their most recent was in Sidney this year where Murray won in three physically exhausting sets. Murray considering the amount of tennis that he played last week and the gauge of what should be left in his natural energy levels career-wise, leaves the door open for a more than likely first round upset. I have always gone by a principle that it is always so very difficult to beat a player that you are basically on the same level with twice in a space of 1-2 weeks. Verdict: Basilashvili to win a set 1/4 @Paddy Power. If you are playing on @bet 365, Basilashvili to win at least 2 sets @5/6.
Arianne Hartorio is a player that I have been monitoring closely. I really like the way that she took out Niemeyer in that final qualifying match and feel that she has got a lot more to offer in the first round if Anisimova's flat hitting style does not catch her out. I think it is worth the caculated risk in the way that I have decided to take this bet. Considering that the markets have also favored her with a slash in her odds of 6/1 t0 11/2, I think that she is a positive bet here.
Arianne Hartorio vs Amanda Anisimova over 17.5games @ 4/7 (Alternative total Paddy Power)
Stefano Tsitsipas is certainly not in the best of form.....I take that back to say...not in form judging from his dismal form to close the 2021 season out. My guess is that it would be hard to expect much from him in this tournament considering that he is also recovering from surgery and could take a few tournaments more to recover. They have already mey twice with Tsitsipas beating M. Ymer very badly in straight sets. I am willing to forget whatever the reasons for those defeats were considering that Ymer is in very good form and the markets have recently shown the green lights in his favor slashing his price from 6/1 to 9/2 and now 4/1
Tsitsipas vs Mikael Ymer: Mikael Ymer to win a set @ 4/6 Paddypower. I have chosen this option as the best investment option that looks very very likely. I also believe that the outright win is very advisable on a single. Worth a risk in a slam of this nature considering the surprises that we are bound to expect from the covid effect generally.
Finally, I really like the way that Sasnovic has started the year positively recently losing in the melbourne final to Anisimova . I feel she comes into this grand slam fully charged up and at the right level to give her career a considerable uplift.
Sasnovic vs Anisimova: I expect this to be a tasty competitive hard fought battle from two players on the assendency. Qinwen Zheng is the real deal and has the firepower to be of relevance in the womens game. She has a game that unveils no obvious weaknesses and I am hoping that the difference between the two players will be the amount of court time already spent by Zheng at melbourne and the qualifiers collectively. Verdict: over 20.5 games @4/7 (alternative handicaps paddy power.) Good luck!
- four-leaf, Torque and CzechPunter
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On 1/15/2022 at 2:17 AM, CzechPunter said:
Alright, guys! We’re just in time for the first Grand Slam of the new season and I’d like to wish everyone the best of luck! The lead-up has been largely overshadowed by the Djokovic saga, but that’s just how it was bound to be given what he triggered by his antics. It’s also a big bother for the pre-tournament betting, as he shouldn’t play, but who knows – the lawyers might score a good one and have it overturned just in time.
For that reason, I’m not going to place any long term bets just yet, especially since there are still two finals to go in a few hours. Andy Murray has recovered nicely from the Bagnis debacle and is now in the finals against Karatsev, while Kokkinakis is living the Aussie dream. As for the match bets, I’m decided on these so far:
Yulia Putintseva (-4.5) to beat Harmony Tan at 1.89 with Unibet
Putintseva is yet to play in this season, but she should be way too strong for Harmony Tan if she’s reasonably fit. I saw Tan lose against Potapova and she just looked like a walking bye in that match, horrible movement, poor unforced errors, bad everything. She had some decent results at the very end of the previous season in Linz, but she also lost to unknown players a bit before that. I don’t trust her at all and Putintseva is a player that will draw unforced errors from her.
Su Jeong Jang to beat Danka Kovinic at 1.95 with Pinnacle
Kovinic is playing with no belief these days and she’ll be up against Jang, who I was impressed with during the qualifiers. I saw her against Errani and Masarova and she looked very decent in both matches. She can run all day from the back of the baseline, she basically beat Errani at her own game in their showdown.
Katie Volynets to beat Beatriz Haddad Maia at 2.03 with Pinnacle
Above evens for a 6-0 qualifier? Count me in! I admit that I haven’t seen Haddad Maia recently, but she didn’t crush a 900-ranked player and then lost a set against Dabrowski, who’s a doubles specialist. That’s not a good start to the season and it just shows that she’s still struggling. Volynets has nothing to lose here, she has plenty of form and she beat Haddad Maia in Wimbledon last year. I don’t see a reason to have her as the underdog here.
Priscilla Hon (+6) to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 1.84 with Pinnacle
Yeah, Vondrousova is the favourite and I’ll be rooting for her, but +6 is a disrespectful handicap honestly. Hon should believe in herself after beating Kvitova and then troubling Azarenka for a large chunk of the match, while her loss against Cristian was very tight as well. Vondrousova is yet to get going this year, she had two hard-fought matches so far and 6 games is a lot to cover imo.
Heather Watson to beat Mayar Sherif 1.73 with William Hill
Watson is not the above average player she once was anymore, but she still has enough power to outplay Sherif, who has no real weapons. This is just a wrong match-up and, unless Watson goes missing big time, she should be comfortable in this one.
Matteo Berretini (-1.5 sets) to beat Brandon Nakashima at 1.83 with Sbobet
The only one I like in men’s in the first round so far. Berretini might be 1-2 for the season, but he played very well against Medvedev and Humbert, while Nakashima folded quite tamely against Opelka. Beating Fognini and Vesely, well, let’s just say that this doesn’t count for that much these days.
I think that while it might be fair to say that Vondrousova has not got going yet, it will be right to say that from the matches that she has already played, she would seem to have enough firepower to beat an opponent who certainly cannot cope with her mixed spins and general pace of play. The Hon problem with Vondrousova is specificallyabout a very horrible matchup. In the two times they have played Hon was bagled on both occasions amidst a runaway scoreline. I just think that the match is too risky and should be better left alone on a day when there are so many other alternatives.
- Torque and CzechPunter
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11 hours ago, neilovan said:
Oh man, Really looking forward to the Aussie open.
My strategy for betting tennis in the majors...
1) Everybody is bringing the best version of themselves to these tournaments. First round win is worth 100k, so four decent tournaments in a year sets a player up. Good quality players normally step up in the big 4 tournaments.
2) In 127 matches, most of the winning is done by a select few players.
3) Don't be scared of low odds( 1.1 to 1.35) . 127 matches x 2 is plenty (woman's and men's draw) and first round has plenty of miss-matches. Take a couple of big legged bets in the early rounds, where the difference in abilities is huge. It get's much harder to predict winners by round 3 or 4.
4) When you take a huge legged bet, take your bigger risks early (chronologically) . It let's you build odds and value and you can trade out even if 5 of 20 legs have won.
5) The combination of 5 to 7% more difficult to beat a good player in a best of 5 set match + higher quality of the competitor = more consistent.
6) Don't fall in love with anybody. Stuff happens, so don't overdo betting on anyone player. There are many many other opportunies.
I have two ridic bets for the tennis... just gotta get past a couple of football legs at the beginning;
1013991445- Placed On:15/01/22 14:00
- NUMBER OF BETS:1
- Cashout status:ELIGIBLE
15/01/22 14:00Newcastle United vs Watford FC1ST HALF- 9'- 0:03-Way Odds (1X2) - 11.90Ymer, Mikael vs Tsitsipas, Stefanos2-Way Odds (12) - 21.16Vondrousova, Marketa vs Hon, Priscilla2-Way Odds (12) - 11.19Voegele, Stefanie vs Kasatkina, Daria2-Way Odds (12) - 21.17Tiafoe, Frances vs Trungelliti, Marco2-Way Odds (12) - 11.16Tauson, Clara vs Sharma, Astra2-Way Odds (12) - 11.25Swiatek, Iga vs Dart, Harriet2-Way Odds (12) - 11.12Stephens, Sloane vs Raducanu, Emma2-Way Odds (12) - 11.95Sousa, Joao vs Sinner, Jannik2-Way Odds (12) - 21.05Schwartzman, Diego vs Krajinovic, Filip2-Way Odds (12) - 11.30Sanders, Storm vs Sabalenka, Aryna2-Way Odds (12) - 21.29Ruusuvuori, Emil vs Auger-Aliassime, Felix2-Way Odds (12) - 21.37Ruud, Casper vs Molcan, Alex2-Way Odds (12) - 11.19Marterer, Maximilian vs Fritz, Taylor2-Way Odds (12) - 21.15Kontaveit, Anett vs Siniakova, Katerina2-Way Odds (12) - 11.14Ivashka, Ilya vs Andujar, Pablo2-Way Odds (12) - 11.15Humbert, Ugo vs Gasquet, Richard2-Way Odds (12) - 11.27Evans, Daniel vs Goffin, David2-Way Odds (12) - 11.31Dolehide, Caroline vs Collins, Danielle2-Way Odds (12) - 21.22Diyas, Zarina vs Rybakina, Elena2-Way Odds (12) - 21.17Dimitrov, Grigor vs Lehecka, Jiri2-Way Odds (12) - 11.14Davidovich Fokina, Alejandro vs Bolt, Alex2-Way Odds (12) - 11.27Bautista Agut, Roberto vs Travaglia, Stefano2-Way Odds (12) - 11.10Maria, Tatjana vs Sakkari, Maria2-Way Odds (12) - 21.08Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Southampton FCLOST Double Chance - X21.71StakeMax. Payout75.0022032.24Cashout 10.16LOL 1st 2 football bets both lost. Bet down in flames before it got off the ground.andRuud, Casper vs Molcan, Alex2-Way Odds (12) - 11.19Van Uytvanck, Alison vs Bucsa, Cristina2-Way Odds (12) - 11.35Bektas, Emina vs Samsonova, Liudmila2-Way Odds (12) - 21.23Alcaraz, Carlos vs Tabilo, Alejandro2-Way Odds (12) - 11.24Kukushkin, Mikhail vs Paul, Tommy2-Way Odds (12) - 21.25Bautista Agut, Roberto vs Travaglia, Stefano2-Way Odds (12) - 11.10Wang, Qiang vs Gauff, Cori2-Way Odds (12) - 21.13Hurkacz, Hubert vs Gerasimov, Egor2-Way Odds (12) - 11.14Giron, Marcos vs Nadal, Rafael2-Way Odds (12) - 21.07Tomljanovic, Ajla vs Badosa, Paula2-Way Odds (12) - 21.27Sorribes Tormo, Sara vs Flipkens, Kirsten2-Way Odds (12) - 11.27Barty, Ashleigh vs Tsurenko, Lesia2-Way Odds (12) - 11.09Khachanov, Karen vs Kudla, Denis2-Way Odds (12) - 11.13Osorio Serrano, Maria Camila vs Osaka, Naomi2-Way Odds (12) - 21.13Manchester City vs Chelsea FC3-Way Odds (1X2) - 1WON1.58Djere, Laslo vs Shapovalov, Denis2-Way Odds (12) - 21.141. FC Cologne vs Bayern MunichWON3-Way Odds (1X2) - 21.38Munar Clar, Jaume Antoni vs Karatsev, Aslan2-Way Odds (12) - 21.27Azarenka, Victoria vs Udvardy, Panna2-Way Odds (12) - 11.11Krejcikova, Barbora vs Petkovic, Andrea2-Way Odds (12) - 11.20Bencic, Belinda vs Mladenovic, Kristina2-Way Odds (12) - 11.18Parry, Diane vs Kostyuk, Marta2-Way Odds (12) - 21.22Hanfmann, Yannick vs Kokkinakis, Thanasi2-Way Odds (12) - 21.27Gomez, Emilio vs Cilic, Marin2-Way Odds (12) - 21.09Kenin, Sofia vs Keys, Madison2-Way Odds (12) - 21.57Ivashka, Ilya vs Andujar, Pablo2-Way Odds (12) - 11.15Diyas, Zarina vs Rybakina, Elena2-Way Odds (12) - 21.17Ferro, Fiona vs Svitolina, Elina2-Way Odds (12) - 21.25Kontaveit, Anett vs Siniakova, Katerina2-Way Odds (12) - 11.14Rublev, Andrey vs Mager, Gianluca2-Way Odds (12) - 11.04StakeMax. Payout100.0027347.69Cashout 17.89As far as I can see these tennis bets can all win. Only van Uytvanck scares me here.Good luck whatever you decide to doReally?? You must either be new to these 2 mile long parlays or have a lot of hope to burn expecting the almost impossible to happen. You are sitting on a minefield blindfolded.
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12 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Was looking to pile up on Kokkinakis, but I was hoping for something like 1.80 against Ymer. The current odds aren't quite there for me, despite his good form and the fact that he has everyone behind him.
A good bet is always about trying to sense the right time or period to invest in an upward trend. Despite what has happened to Kokkinakis in the past, this is the beginning of the season and at least it looks like he will hold up physically till the end of this very tournament. We also know what his ability is when on song. I think he is a very attractive bet. Happy New Year all!
- CzechPunter and Torque
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2 hours ago, 888888 said:
Nakashima against Alcaraz
Nakashima has impressive record on indoors this year 19W 3L against very decent players similar to Alcaraz so i don't see why he is such a dog?
i am taking him to win at least 2 sets at 1.90
I fully agree with you. However I do not think the bet is right in the current format that they are playing. Better to take Nakashima +4.5 @4/5 paddypower or the outright win @ 15/8. Goodluck anyway.
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On 10/18/2021 at 6:09 PM, Simplicity11 said:
What were the tips? I’m genuinely curious as to what information you could’ve provided that wasn’t common knowledge.
Thanks
I only just returned back to the forum today to see your message and I am a bit confused as to what your point is. Firstly you entered the discussin between myself and Czech without having any idea of what was been talked about except propelled by the hunger of looking for a verbal contest. You started by attempting to misquote me to try to establish some sort of silly arguement and even when I correct you, you try to extend the matter by creating another variant. If you did not read what I originally posted why all this waste of words? And if you did read it what was common knowledge there? If knowledge was so common you would not have so intelligently picked Basilashvili over Norrie. You just need to laminate your mouth and stay out of people's businesses that does not concern you.
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2 hours ago, Simplicity11 said:
I’m curious as to what information was vital to the outcome?
2 hours ago, Simplicity11 said:I’m curious as to what information was vital to the outcome?
You have rephrased wrongly. lol! No information was vital to the outcome, rather from now knowing the outcome (results of both tips that we the subject of the write up) the tips were very vital.
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16 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Nope, the link with the odds. In general, copying isn't a good idea.
Sorry Czech, I just felt that I had to revisit this issue after your last comment. You make it sound like we get paid for contributing to this website, perhaps I need to remind you that this is not the case. In truth you are the one who always stands to gain from our contributions aside from the satisfaction we get from writing. I feel that there is a proper way to address people in this regard. I have now been on this site for many years and you should have figured out by now that I am not somewhat of an infinitessimal baby. Granted that I made a mistake in not editing the post completely before posting, it should not have detracted from my original intention which was to provide the visitors to the forum with information that turned out to be very vital and precise from the outcome of the results. You should have politely suggested that I edit and recheck my post before posting. Better still, there was nothing wrong in asking me to edit and repost knowing that in this business it is not very wise to compromise information. The problem was not copying but editing considering that copying is not a brainless exercise. So when you throw in a lose comment such as saying that it isn't a good idea, It just comes out as being sarcastic and disrespectful.
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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
@liquidglassPlease don't copy stuff from other websites with THEIR affiliate links!
my apologies. I was not aware of any affiliate link attached to that post. I had checked all that before posting and it seemed perfectly fine. Unless you are referring to something innocuous.
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3 hours ago, Bus _ankers said:
I think that I too probably backed Medvedev for the Australian Open final, but I don’t think that should put us off doing the same here.
I can’t find too many reasons to think that Djokovic will win this - obviously his greatness and his name alone are reasons enough - however I think there are many factors in Medvedev’s favour:
Medvedev is the best hard court player in the world. Djokovic may still be the best overall, across all surfaces, but I think that Medvedev has taken Djokovic’s status as the best player on the hard courts.
Djokovic has struggled a lot this tournament, and has lost six sets in six matches (compared to Medvedev’s one set lost), with several of those sets dropped by Djokovic against players from way down the rankings.
Which, following on from that, means Djokovic has spent a huge amount of time more on court. This hasn’t always hindered him in the past, but I think it might come into play here, should the match be a long one.
On top of that, Djokovic must be fatigued from the year as a whole, and especially the French Open/Wimbledon/Olympics/US Open recent run. I don’t see how he can have enough left in the tank to compete with Medvedev, given the energy that Djokovic has spent over the past three months, across various continents and surfaces, with little time to recover.
The weight of the occasion, and what is on the line, not just the calendar Grand Slam, but becoming the first man in history to go past 20 singles Grand Slams, will surely also be a massive burden. No man has achieved the calendar ‘Slam, or even really come close to it, since the 1960s, because it is so tricky to do. I think Djokovic will also come up short here.
Yesterday, I fancied Medvedev strongly, however I think I will probably take Medvedev to win but also have a bet on Djokovic to win 3-2, as cover. I’d be very surprised to see Medvedev end up with less than two sets here, and at better than even money, I think this is a gift, and yet another example in recent years of the bookies being a bit stuck in the past with Federer, Nadal and Djokovic, and the odds not reflecting the fact that they are nowhere near as dominant as they once were.
You have said it all. I fancy Medvedev even more now as i notice that he has now shortened a bit on Paddypower. Even if the opponent was not Medvedev, it will still pay largely to back the occasion beating Djokovic. For Medvedev, he seems to have come to claim his season moving up the gears nicely
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@Czech how come you refer to me as "new members" after 8years? or does it take a decade to qualify as "Regular members"? just wondering...
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54 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Well, let's just hope that she won't play like she did against Brengle. That was poor from both despite the scoreline.
I hear what you say, well...depending on what page you are reading on that winning book. I have always noticed in the past that knowing how a person played in a previous game can sometimes severly impair one's judgement of the next game. Better to just stay with the score minus opinion most times. The Brengle game could really be where she found her mojo. Me thinks!!!
- CzechPunter and four-leaf
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7 hours ago, Teodore said:
Guys, what about Rogers win 2.26 and to win set 1.46. i know Raducanu play great but for me this is huge value. What do you think ?
It is really hard to know what to think from the evidence on display. Raducanu whilst in this tremenduous form is yet to be truly tested. She is yet to meet a true heavy weight ball swatter where her defensive and counter-punching skills will be better tested. Rogers is definately a step up on previous challenges looking down the list of Raducanu's past conquests. I am not convinced that Raducanu is playing at the standard worthy of being included in the second week of a grand slam. I do not rate Sorribes Tormo that high on hard courts and think she was caught out in a match-up problem. Rogers is home and might be rising into some authentic form. The beating of Cirtea and Barty really upholds this form well. The bookies will be hoping that they catch unsuspecting punters out with this Raducanu hype that really has no strong roots. Rogers to win a set deserves the wager of a house in the present circumstances.
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HOPING TO TURN IT UP TODAY ON Spider's Web
Berretini to win and both players to win a set 6/4
Basilashvili to win a set 2/5
Lloyd Harris to win a set 1/3
Sakkari/Kvitova over 21.5 games 8/11 @bet 365 (Advice 8/10) Good luck all
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Surprisingly I got off to a good start yester day on my Spiders Web segment with all the picks ending up as outright winners. This really puts me under pressure for a repeat of the dose. I believe that I have done so well in private on this grand slam to be confident of following up. Here we go.
A Popyrin 1/1
Alex Molcan /Schwartzman over 31.5 games 4/7 (Alt handicap)
Sloane Stephens to win a set 2/5
Tiafoe/Rublev over 34.5 (Alternative handicaps) 4/7 @paddypower
Good luck All!!!
- four-leaf and CzechPunter
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I will be starting my daily nap called Spiders Web which will run right through to the final of the US Open. I will not be individually giving reasons for each pick as they will be picks that will come from a mixture of form, matchups and last minute odd movements. I will be chosing these picks with the aim of making some considerable daily profits. We all know that there are no bankers in this game but I can apply mathematical wisdom and clutch perception to eek out a winning corner here.
Kontaveit to win a set 1/4
Otte to win a set 1/3
Gracheva +5.5 8/11
K. Pliskova 2/5 (Karolina)
@50 staked = 50 x 3.03 @ 201.51 bet365.com
Good Luck all!
- mark22 and CzechPunter
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Australian Open 2022
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
I am hoping that Kyrgios will at least win 5 games in the third set to bring my final game of the parlay over 33.5. I do not think that is happening here.. I worry for a man half gone.