four-leaf

T. Paul - J.Draper @2.19 Marathonbet 👎
Draper has been convinced (5-1) on January. He did beat easily Paul a week ago. IMO Draper is much more versatile player and should be a favourite! 
 

@Duffyduck74 english is my second language also as I am swedish. I don't know what level of english the austrian population has in general but I know germans prefer to write and speak german so maybe it's the same i Austria. Sorry for complaining on you.

@Duffyduck74 english is my second language also as I am swedish. I don't know what level of english the austrian population has in general but I know germans prefer to write and speak german so maybe it's the same i Austria. Sorry for complaining on you.

@Duffyduck74 english is my second language also as I am swedish. I don't know what level of english the austrian population has in general but I know germans prefer to write and speak german so maybe it's the same i Austria. Sorry for complaining on you.

@four-leafConsider yourself warned.

Please @Duffyduck74 don't even say you had bad luck. Picking Sweeney and Cristian Garin who you even spell incorrectly as Gary in reality even before their matches they were massive underdog. O'Connell and Cerundolo are no pushovers as you seem to think. Cerundolo can play on every surface better than Sweeney ever will. What reason did you even have for placing your bet on Dane Sweeney to acctually beat top 20 player Francisco Cerundolo who's even won a ATP250 on grass a few months ago? Did you seriously think Francisco didn't play well on hard and you chose to categorize him as a clay specialist?

Please @Duffyduck74 don't even say you had bad luck. Picking Sweeney and Cristian Garin who you even spell incorrectly as Gary in reality even before their matches they were massive underdog. O'Connell and Cerundolo are no pushovers as you seem to think. Cerundolo can play on every surface better than Sweeney ever will. What reason did you even have for placing your bet on Dane Sweeney to acctually beat top 20 player Francisco Cerundolo who's even won a ATP250 on grass a few months ago? Did you seriously think Francisco didn't play well on hard and you chose to categorize him as a clay specialist?

Allen has started poor once again. Why on earth did he not take that blatant plant? 😕 

Looks as though the game's up this time. Missing far too much. It probably doesn't matter anyway as far as the final goes - Ronnie is dialled in.

Can't play much better than 3 centuries in a row, would love an Allen comeback though and I agree about the plant in the earlier frame!

yeah, fair play, Carter has been brilliant 4 frames won with 3 centuries and 4 50+ breaks. Utter rubbish from Allen but perhaps he needs to be 4-1 down to play eh? 😐 there is the century to win the "both to get a century" bet atleast. Can't see Allen coming back this time, though.
*edit* it's now 4-3. What a steal. One thing Allen does have is incredible bottle.

He can't complain about the chances he(Mark) had to make it closer, hope Ali gets stuffed by Ronnie tomorrow! 17-1 H2H doesn't bode well for him. Reminds me of that funny tennis quote by Vitis Geralitis about getting beaten 17 times in a row.

Carter to beat Ronnie @  3.30 with a local. Ronnie is yet to be tested this tournament withhis opponents all crumbling at some point. He is far from his best while Carter has been on fire since now and i rate his break building better than Ronnie's atthat moment. The h2h doesnt sound good for Carter ofc, but i think that is the perfect opportunity to make it 17:2. A couple of quids on 10:7 @ 17 with a local

Sorry I was in a little hurry, so I just threw in the bets.
Cilic beat Murray 6:3, 7:5 4 Days ago (ok, it was an exibition, but still...) and only just lost to Struff in Hong Kong (6:3, 6:7, 6:7)
Marozsan lost against Shelton(3:6, 4;6) and against Bautista-Agut (2:6, 3:6) and just won against an imho out of form Monfils (6:4, 6:7, 7:6).
Furthermore Marozsan is all but a specialist on hardcourt and favours rather clay avoids to play on hardcourt as good as he can, while Cilic was was never to bad on hardcourt.
The odds give me a Probability of ~ 45%, and I would rate this match 50:50 at least, rather 55 %. Maybe I'm wrong, but these are the reasons, why I bet on Cilic.

Saville @1.92 bf
Don’t understand these odds frankly, Saville already won vs. Frech last year when she was just back in the circuit, is coming from a good run in Hobart, and is playing in her home country. Moreover, Saville has a lot of variations in her game that can cause trouble to players much more gifted than Frech. 1.60 would have been the right odds imo.
 

Svitolina 2-0 + Kasatkina @1.90 bet 365
Don’t think that Preston has the game to bother Elina in any way, I’ve watched her playing a couple of times and I’m unimpressed tbh.
Worst possible matchup for Stearns imo. She is so prone to unforced errors and Dasha can really drive her crazy making her play a lot of extra balls. Not surprised that the 2 previous H2H ended 6-2 6-1 and 6-0 6-1.

Take Maroszan without hesitation

Take Maroszan without hesitation

Ostapenko @ 1.66 bf
I’ve seen Penko in the last matches always in control and painting the lines, like she really wants to win the tournament… Dasha is not an easy opponent for her, great defensive game on her side, but I think in the end Penko will prevail 

Jack Draper v Jiri Lehecka
over 2.5 sets, 
match about to begin so not much time for write up, but both playing been playing well this week, so expecting this to go distance at shades of odds against 

Ostapenko v Kasatkina
Ostapkeno to win 2-1
the last three times these have met have ended in 2-1 victories for Ostapenko and that’s what I’m going for today. 
 
 

2/1 double comes in. Wish I went for the win double now. 

A 147 and a century, hats off for Mark Allen. He could go all the way!

Yeah but I think part of that from Trump is probably feeling like he was lucky to be in that position considering he was 4-2 down. 

Glad about this. Means Allen beats Selby tonight and he has to beat Carter to make a final.