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four-leaf

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  1. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from black_baar in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Peter Polansky to beat Daniel Elahi Galan at 1.63 with Pinnaclesports
    Daniel has a 4-1 record on hardcourt on the ATP tour but those wins comes from Bogota where he beat Pere Riba and 3 davis cup wins against not so good hardcourt players with Thiago Monteiro being the best he's beaten in Davis cup on hard. He came from a clay challenger title in Italy to play in Los Cabos but lost badly in qualies to Marcos Giron. He may have known he was gonna get into maindraw anyway since it was kind of obvious that Ryan Harrison would pull out but now he faces a Peter in some kind of form after his Granby challenger title where he defeated some players out of top 200 including fellow canadian veteran Frank Dancevic. But it was nonetheless quite good effort by him to win the title and a title is always a title no matter who you faced. He also won his round 1 match in Los Cabos last season against similar opposition as Daniel.
    Amanda Anisimova to beat Qiang Wang at 1.775 with Pinnaclesports
    Amanda has played well to qualify for San Jose and Qiang comes of her first ever title in Nanchang but that was on clay in China and to travel some distance and play on a different surface could be tough for her just a few days after. Also Amanda beat Qiang in Miami earlier this season so it's highly possible she wins again.
  2. Like
    four-leaf reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Jared Donaldson (-2.5) to beat Jordan Thompson at 1.80
    Although Jared hasn't been particularly good on the clay or grass, I will back him to win here. He beat Thompson earlier this year in Australia, and his favourite surface is clearly hard courts. Furthermore, the crowd will be behind him, giving him further impetus to end his current bad run.
  3. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from FabioTennis in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Denis Istomin to beat Philipp Kohlschreiber at 3.62 with Pinnaclesports
    Denis owns a 5-2 record in this matchup and has beaten Philipp on clay 2014 in Munich and they met on the grass of Stuttgart this season and Denis won 7-6 7-6. Denis has played some good tennis so far last days coming through the qualies and managing to beat Federico Delbonis pretty nicely in straight sets. Philipp may be the reigning champ in Kitzbuhel but he's got obvious problems with Denis and coming into the tournament without having played a match can always be tough against a dangerous player like Denis. Philipp lost in Hamburg first round last match to the champ Niko Basil and his season hasn't been all that good so there's every chance he'll be in a heap of trouble tomorrow.
  4. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Peter Polansky to beat Daniel Elahi Galan at 1.63 with Pinnaclesports
    Daniel has a 4-1 record on hardcourt on the ATP tour but those wins comes from Bogota where he beat Pere Riba and 3 davis cup wins against not so good hardcourt players with Thiago Monteiro being the best he's beaten in Davis cup on hard. He came from a clay challenger title in Italy to play in Los Cabos but lost badly in qualies to Marcos Giron. He may have known he was gonna get into maindraw anyway since it was kind of obvious that Ryan Harrison would pull out but now he faces a Peter in some kind of form after his Granby challenger title where he defeated some players out of top 200 including fellow canadian veteran Frank Dancevic. But it was nonetheless quite good effort by him to win the title and a title is always a title no matter who you faced. He also won his round 1 match in Los Cabos last season against similar opposition as Daniel.
    Amanda Anisimova to beat Qiang Wang at 1.775 with Pinnaclesports
    Amanda has played well to qualify for San Jose and Qiang comes of her first ever title in Nanchang but that was on clay in China and to travel some distance and play on a different surface could be tough for her just a few days after. Also Amanda beat Qiang in Miami earlier this season so it's highly possible she wins again.
  5. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Cameron Norrie at 4.00 with Unibet
    Overrating Norrie much? The conditions in Mexico are going to be fairly new for him, while Gunneswaran has already played two matches in them and is a pretty useful player overall as well. At 4.00, I'm willing to have a cheeky bet on the Indian (the set and games handicaps are playable too).
  6. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from ElPrincipito007 in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Rudolf Molleker to beat Joao Domingues at 2.35 with Unibet
    Rudolf is the new german next gen star after stunning the field by winning Heilbronn challenger before Roland Garros. Now he's facing Joao who is nothing special in challenger Liberec, Joao has lost 3 of his last 4 matches to Matteo Viola, Gleb Sakharov and Lukas Rosol so that's enough for me to say Rudolf will not be an easier match. When Molleker played in Hamburg last year and beat Leo Mayer in qualies, he was No. 923 in the ATP Rankings. Now, he was at a career-best No. 271, and thanks to his victory against David Ferrer, has continued to rise this Monday to No. 251 and he will likely keep on rising and this match should just be another stop on the way. I'll be very surprised if he loses this.
  7. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MrCrossover in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Svetlana Kuznetsova (-1.5 sets) to beat Kristie Ahn at 2.20 with Paddypower
    At 2.20 I'm willing to give Sveta a go. Kristie hasn't been all that good this season to acctually challenge for top 100 which she did last season. She recently lost to no.490 Sanaz Marand in Ashland ITF and before to no.251 Ashley Kratzer in Berkeley ITF. That's just about the way Kristies season has looked and she's lost heavily to every top 100 player she's faced. Now Sveta isn't top 100 anymore after not defending her points from last season from the Wimbledon quarterfinal. She's had a tough season but I think Kristies season has been even tougher and she doesn't have the quality to extend rallies without making errors in the end when facing players of Svetas calibre and her first serve is weak and the second even weaker. Even if Sveta plays a bad match here she could still win in straight sets so 2-0 Sveta for me.
  8. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Svetlana Kuznetsova (-1.5 sets) to beat Kristie Ahn at 2.20 with Paddypower
    At 2.20 I'm willing to give Sveta a go. Kristie hasn't been all that good this season to acctually challenge for top 100 which she did last season. She recently lost to no.490 Sanaz Marand in Ashland ITF and before to no.251 Ashley Kratzer in Berkeley ITF. That's just about the way Kristies season has looked and she's lost heavily to every top 100 player she's faced. Now Sveta isn't top 100 anymore after not defending her points from last season from the Wimbledon quarterfinal. She's had a tough season but I think Kristies season has been even tougher and she doesn't have the quality to extend rallies without making errors in the end when facing players of Svetas calibre and her first serve is weak and the second even weaker. Even if Sveta plays a bad match here she could still win in straight sets so 2-0 Sveta for me.
  9. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Peter Polansky to beat Ryan Harrison at 2.63 with Paddypower
    Special occasion. I would never go against Ryan if Peter or any other player ranked below 100 is on the other side of the net unless Ryan has had to play singles final and doubles final in Atlanta and playing 3 set matches every singles match he played last week plus minimum 1 hour of doubles match. Ryan played average 3 hours of tennis every day he played in Atlanta, only his first matchday was shorter then 3 hours because he didn't play double so that day was 2h 10min. Peter comes from winning Granby challenger and should not be so tired after that having won all 5 matches except final in straight sets so he's in good form and he won a match in Los Cabos last year and with a likely fatigued Ryan I can see Peter winning this. Taking the bet with a one-set bookie if Ryan retires after first set.
  10. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 30 - August 5   
    Wasn't last week good enough? 
    Svetlana Kuznetsova (-3.5) to beat Kristie Ahn at 1.80 with Paddy Power
    Mihaela Buzarnescu (-3.5) to beat Sachia Vickery at 1.80 with Paddy Power
    Malek Jaziri to beat Evgeny Donskoy at 1.90 with Paddy Power
    One of the last chances that I'm giving to Kuznetsova, but yeah, she should still be way too strong for Ahn, who's dropped down a level recently. Buzarnescu is a very straightforward pick, on the other hand, I don't rate Vickery all that much, she's just average and home conditions can only get you so far. Finally, Jaziri has always been quite useful on American hards and he has a 4-0 record against Donskoy. The Russian's run in Umag means nothing to me, everyone's beating Lorenzi these days and Dzumhur was a bit mental on the day.
  11. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
    Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.
  12. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Leonardo Mayer at 2.62 with Bet365
    Mayer is the obvious favourite, but I'm going to ride with Nikoloz till the end. I don't even know what to say, but, after such a good week, I can't do without a bet on the guy. Besides, Mayer hasn't been untouchable recently.
  13. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
    Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.
  14. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from XinumS in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
    Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.
  15. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MABS in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
    Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.
  16. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from WaveRunner in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Cameron Norrie at 1.80 with bet365
    Ryan played a big match last night, didn't drop serve all match and deserved to reach the semifinal. The same cannot be said about Cameron who only reached the semi by benefit of a second set withdrawal by Nick Kyrgios who showed no eagerness at all to play and practically gave the match away to Cameron. Ryan showed some great composure in saving several break points in his last match and his big serve and good baseline play saved him several times in those situations. I expect him to do the same here and eventually reach his second consecutive Atlanta final.
  17. Confused
    four-leaf got a reaction from Rypcio in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Tallon Griekspoor to beat Tristan Lamasine at 1.80 with bet365
    I think Tallon deserves a bet here because he's doing great when it comes to holding serve. He took out Marco Trungelliti without any problems and Tristan only beat Thiemi de Bakker because he was likely fatigued after winning last week in Scheveningen. Tristan has fallen a lot in the rankings down to around 400 due to his lack of good gameplay and Tallon is still a player on the rise who is just waiting to get into top 200. Tallon is good enough to reach the final.
    Leonardo Mayer (-1.5 sets) to beat Jozef Kovalik at 2.25 with bet365
    I think Leonardo deserves a bet today on the set handicap. He's by far the better player in this matchup and Jozef should be happy with reaching the semi. Leo is playing so good in Hamburg and this week is a great chance for him to defend his title and he can surely win this in straight sets like he's done so many times before in Hamburg.
  18. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Tallon Griekspoor to beat Tristan Lamasine at 1.80 with bet365
    I think Tallon deserves a bet here because he's doing great when it comes to holding serve. He took out Marco Trungelliti without any problems and Tristan only beat Thiemi de Bakker because he was likely fatigued after winning last week in Scheveningen. Tristan has fallen a lot in the rankings down to around 400 due to his lack of good gameplay and Tallon is still a player on the rise who is just waiting to get into top 200. Tallon is good enough to reach the final.
    Leonardo Mayer (-1.5 sets) to beat Jozef Kovalik at 2.25 with bet365
    I think Leonardo deserves a bet today on the set handicap. He's by far the better player in this matchup and Jozef should be happy with reaching the semi. Leo is playing so good in Hamburg and this week is a great chance for him to defend his title and he can surely win this in straight sets like he's done so many times before in Hamburg.
  19. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Nicolas Jarry at 2.20 with Unibet
    Looks like 50/50 to me. The previous picks on Basil obviously had more value, but I don't see how he's the underdog in this one.
  20. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MABS in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Feliciano also looks pretty bad at the start of the match. Maybe best to leave him alone.
  21. Like
    four-leaf reacted to liquidglass in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    You talk about LGH like he has is a wealth of experience advantage over Ayeni. 1000 spots between them means absolutely nothing especially at this early stage of their careers where their individual talents is an unknown quantity. LGH has not been on any sort of dangerous form lately to even suggest that he could beat anyone under 19.5games. Ayeni looks to be the player on the rise and will only be too focused for this game after winning a set of sijsling. I strongly feel that Ayeni holds similar pedigree to Mmoh and should come out swinging in this match. Over 19.5 games with a strong possibility of Ayeni winning a set.
  22. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Ryan Harrison to beat Hyeon Chung at 2.75 with bet365
    Good effort by Hyeon last match against Taylor Fritz but it's been a long time since he played before Atlanta so I think he will struggle here. They've met once before in 2015 on hardcourt and Ryan won 6-7 6-1 6-1. Ryan is also defending his Atlanta runner up so points so there's every chance that he wins this. Never wrong to trust an american in america since they're usually quite dangerous in the states.
  23. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Carreno-Busta at 3.75 with Unibet
    Leonardo Mayer to beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman at 2.40 with Pinnacle
    I like these two underdogs in Hamburg today, both should have a decent chance of winning given their forms and the conditions. I do like PCB and DSS as players, but they are grinders more than anything and the Hamburg conditions aren't exactly great for grinding, as evidenced by many of the recent results. On top of that, Schwartzman also looked injured in his previous match (which is why I'm taking Mayer with a one-set bookie).
  24. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from MABS in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
    Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 
  25. Thanks
    four-leaf got a reaction from yogg in Tennis Tips - July 23 - July 29   
    @CzechPunter I think both your bets tomorrow looks worth taking and making a parlay of so...
    Vaclav Safranek to beat Rogerio Dutra Silva at 5.00 
    Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Pablo Cuevas at 3.25 
    Double total odds at 16.25 with bet365 
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