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four-leaf

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  1. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
    You've convinced me, it's worth it at those odds. GL.

  2. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
  3. Like
    four-leaf reacted to tomagio in July 31 - August 6   
    Okay i'm really surprised nobody is betting this. 
     
    Zekic - Fognini 
    Fabio won few days ago Gstaad and we all know what player he is. He likes to have a rest and i have things to backup my bet. 
    1) on instagram he said that is time for rest after winning. 2 days isn't rest. Specially before US tour.
    2) he is father now and he surely wants spend some time with his baby
    3) His opponent. Zekic is in lifetime form, he's beating good players and he's having good run. 
     
    I will play ML, hcp and set hcp on Zekic for big stake. GL all. 
     
     
  4. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Crespo in July 31 - August 6   
    Yecong He to beat Farrukh Dustov ( highest odds 2.10 @ betway )
     
    Yecong He is of course far from a top player, and hell, he may be even far from an average player, but this bet is not so much a bet on him as it is a bet against his opponent Dustov. Dustov didn't play that much over the past 2 years because of injuries and he hasn't won a match in ages. Even though he starts playing regularly again, to me it looks like he's still far from fit and I also have a feeling he really isn't that bothered anymore either. If He wins, it may also be due to a retirement of Dustov, so I would recommend a one ball or one set bookie. I picked betway because it has the highest odds, but I don't know about their rules, since I only play at Betfair.
  5. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from WaveRunner67 in July 31 - August 6   
    Jack Sock/Marius Copil first set tie-break? Yes 4.00 bet365
    No time for any further analyze of this but Sock has had his fair share of problems against big servers like Copil, Raonic, Muller, Isner, Karlovic before and Copil has improved his game big time since last year.
  6. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
    Jack Sock/Marius Copil first set tie-break? Yes 4.00 bet365
    No time for any further analyze of this but Sock has had his fair share of problems against big servers like Copil, Raonic, Muller, Isner, Karlovic before and Copil has improved his game big time since last year.
  7. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from Crespo in July 31 - August 6   
    Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Dayne Kelly at 1.40 with bet365
    The junior no.1 shouldn't have any problems winning this match. Comparing them as juniors Dayne was not better then 436 as a junior and he's 27 years old and haven't done mutch as a pro so Miomir really should win this match.
  8. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
    Miomir Kecmanovic to beat Dayne Kelly at 1.40 with bet365
    The junior no.1 shouldn't have any problems winning this match. Comparing them as juniors Dayne was not better then 436 as a junior and he's 27 years old and haven't done mutch as a pro so Miomir really should win this match.
  9. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
    Early odds.
    Monica Niculescu (-2.5) to beat Nao Hibino at 1.84 with Unibet
    Hibino isn't WTA-level material at the moment. A good lucky run in Nanchang, Niculescu is close to Pliskova's level - and Pliskova would've beaten her easily had the match actually gone on without that injury.
    Oceane Dodin to beat Jelena Jankovic at 1.88 with Marathonbet
    Jankovic has been a joke all year long, also had a really bad showing in Nanchang physically. Dodin, on the other hand, is on the rise and should be starting to win this kind of matches.
    Francesca Schiavone to beat Katerina Bondarenko at 1.78 with Pinnacle
    Schiavone has been very good since that incident in which she was denied a wildcard into Rome, while Bondarenko is just meh. The conditions should help her a bit, but Schiavone should be too strong nonetheless.
    Dudi Sela to beat Jared Donaldson at 2.02 with Pinnacle
    Sela brings that sort of consistency that should allow Donaldson to choke the match away, which is something he's been doing for a while now. Not even sure why Donaldson is the favourite here - he's the more talented lad for the future, but I don't think he's got an edge over Sela already.
    Vanessa Andreescu (+1.5 sets) to beat Camila Giorgi at 2.03 with Pinnacle
    Andreescu is incredibly talented and Giorgi is incredibly inconsistent, so I fancy the underdog to take a set here more often than not really. Giorgi can drop sets against everyone really, almost out of habit.
  10. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Robinnho in July 24 - July 30   
    Hanfmann to beat Haase @ 2.90
     
    Think there is value to bet on the underdog after watching both QF yesterday.  Both played well to dispose of their higher-ranked opponents especially Hanfmann (Ranked 222 before this ATP) showed no sign of tiredness in 3 sets in the high altitude.  As you all know well that ranking speaks nothing when a player is fit and at his best, the odds is partly set at the vast difference in ranking and so I see value in Hanfmann qualifying for his first ATP final after his first SF.
  11. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30   
    Back Christopher Eubanks (+4.5) to beat Jared Donaldson at 1.90 with Pinnacle
    Great result for Eubanks in the first round and I fancy him to give it his all against Donaldson as well, as he's got a history of playing top-notch tennis in this event. Donaldson is definitely overrated at the moment, he's done very little since Miami really. He's also a bit choky, while Eubanks should be able to hit freely.

  12. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
  13. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from nickycfc in July 17 - July 23   
    Dustin Brown to beat Thomaz Bellucci at 2.37 with bet365
    I don't know what Thomaz was up to this past week when he lost to Gastao Elias in straight sets having failed to serve out the first set. He's so awful right now Thomaz that I can't give him any chance whatsoever to beat Dustin who he never has beaten without Dustin retireing. When Dustin didn't retire in Gstaad last summer he beat Thomaz. The reputation Thomaz has doesn't make him an automatic winner. And Dustin should have a quite good reputation of winning matches like this so the odds doesn't make sense to me.
  14. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
    Mikael Ymer to beat Henri Laaksonen at 2.62 with bet365 
    After Mikaels show last week in Bastad I think he's worth a bet. He will climb on the ranking and if it's anywhere he should climb more then he already has since last week it's in the Swedish open. If he beats Henri he will be awarded with a mutch tougher match against Pablo Cuevas. He's been given a wildcard ofcourse along with his brother Elias and I expect great things from him in the future. He's been playing good tennis in Bastad and should continue with a first round win.
  15. Like
    four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
    Back Polona Hercog to beat Cagla Buyukakcay at 1.45 with BetVictor
    Hercog is on a tremendous run at the moment - in fact, she's done virtually nothing wrong since coming back to the tour. On top of that, she also has a good record in this particular event, so this shouldn't be too tough for her.
  16. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
    Dustin Brown to beat Thomaz Bellucci at 2.37 with bet365
    I don't know what Thomaz was up to this past week when he lost to Gastao Elias in straight sets having failed to serve out the first set. He's so awful right now Thomaz that I can't give him any chance whatsoever to beat Dustin who he never has beaten without Dustin retireing. When Dustin didn't retire in Gstaad last summer he beat Thomaz. The reputation Thomaz has doesn't make him an automatic winner. And Dustin should have a quite good reputation of winning matches like this so the odds doesn't make sense to me.
  17. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
    Elias Ymer to beat Fernando Verdasco at 4.00 with bet365
    Noway Elias should be at 4.00 in this matchup. He's playing at his favourite surface where he's played the past week in the challenger event at the same place that is Bastad. No travel time for Elias and he's got a match against a player coming from gras who can be a bit lacklustre at times in matches like this. I remember his brother beat him in Stockholm last season in straight sets so I can easily see another triump for one of the Ymer brothers here.
  18. Like
    four-leaf reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2017   
    Garbine Muguruza vs Svetlana Kuznetsova
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Kuznetsova to win 5/4 paddy power
    Well Muguruza is favourite for this match but her opponent has really impressed in this tournament especially on the grass and i can see her winning this
    Venus Williams vs Jelena Ostapenko
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Ostapenko to win 11/10 paddy power
    I think this could be time that we see the younger player beat the older more experienced who has win this title five times as she has been such revelation and i can see her winning this match and the title
    Magdalena Rybarikova vs Coco Vandeweghe
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Rybaricova to win 5/4 paddy power
    The player who has been impressive on this surface has been Rybarikova and can win again against a good player who is still maybe has not got the quality to win a Grand slam and will struggle against the grass specialist
    Johanna Konta vs Simona Halep
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Halep to win 5/4 paddy power
    This has to be the match of the quarter finals and it will so tight that it will go down to who wants it the most and who can win the big points at the right times
     
    Ostapenko
    Rybarikova
    Halep
    All to win 10/1 paddy power
     
    Name the Finalists
    Garbina Muguruza vs Jelena Ostapenko 10/1 paddy power
    Garbine Murguruza vs Simona Halep 7/1 paddy power
     
    These would be a great finals and it is worth a bet at these odds
  19. Like
    four-leaf reacted to radicaly in Wimbledon 2017   
    I really see a value on Ostapenko today.
    I will take Ostapenko @2.25 (5 units) + Ostapenko -1,5 sets @3,92 (2 units). Total is 7 units on this game.

    First of all, that's the first H2H between the 2 ladies.
    V. Williams has been playing great games but none of the girls have the quality of Ostapenko actually. 
    To arrive in QF, she played Mertens, Wang, Osaka and Konjuh (ranked 22nd)...  The game vs. Konjuh can't really been taken into consideration after 2 long games from Konjuh against Begu and Cibulkova. (2:13 minutes and 2:36 minutes..)
    On the other hand, Ostapenko played pretty easy games as well but Giorgi and Svitolina in the last 2 rounds were good tests and she was strong enough to win them in 2 sets.
    As in Roland Garros, she knows how to improve her level when the big games arrive.
    IMO, Williams will try to play a lot of winners quickly and if Ostapenko can return them and stay calm, it should finished in 2 sets. If this is a three setter, Ostapenko should go through considering the age difference. 
    Good luck all,
  20. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from ElPrincipito007 in Wimbledon 2017   
    Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
    Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
  21. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    Johanna Konta to beat Simona Halep at 1.80 with bet365
    Johanna should win this in the end even if it goes to three sets. She proved she could hold her nerves and win in three today and she has a 2-0 head-to-head advantage in this matchup winning most recently in the Miami quarters this season by 2-1. Not to bad to think that it will end in another 3 set triumph for Johanna.
  22. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Coco Vandeweghe at 2.30 with bet365
    When looking at this match I see a 2-0 advantage and 4-0 i sets to Magdalena over Coco and most recently they faced in Roland Garros. First time they met was back in 2011 on grass. With the form Magdalena is in I dare to say she'll win this match. Coco had an kind of easy job against Caro Woz but it won't be so easy here.
  23. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Torque in Wimbledon 2017   
    Nice one. 
  24. Like
    four-leaf reacted to Torque in Wimbledon 2017   
    Getting a bit ahead of myself obviously but I can't see Muller winning in straights - hope I don't jinx it!
  25. Like
    four-leaf got a reaction from Torque in Wimbledon 2017   
    Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
    Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
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