four-leaf

Johanna Larsson to beat (-1.5 sets) Bettanie Mattek-Sands at 2.10 with bet365
I think this bet should have a decent chance of coming in today. Bettanie has played a few three set matches on clay, in fact 4 in a row and lost 3 of them but I don't think she will have as mutch chance to take a set of Johanna as she had in her 3 recent losses in Rome, Madrid and Rabat. She's also beaten Caroline Dolehide on the Madrid clay in qualies. This might be a risky bet but I think Johanna does have a quite decent chance of taking this in two. They've met twice and Johanna lost the first on hardcourt in 3 in Copenhagen and not surprisingly on Johannas favourite surface she won the other 7-5 6-2 on clay in Gstaad.

Johanna Larsson to beat (-1.5 sets) Bettanie Mattek-Sands at 2.10 with bet365
I think this bet should have a decent chance of coming in today. Bettanie has played a few three set matches on clay, in fact 4 in a row and lost 3 of them but I don't think she will have as mutch chance to take a set of Johanna as she had in her 3 recent losses in Rome, Madrid and Rabat. She's also beaten Caroline Dolehide on the Madrid clay in qualies. This might be a risky bet but I think Johanna does have a quite decent chance of taking this in two. They've met twice and Johanna lost the first on hardcourt in 3 in Copenhagen and not surprisingly on Johannas favourite surface she won the other 7-5 6-2 on clay in Gstaad.

Back Stefanos Tsitsipas (AH +2.5 sets) to beat Dominic Thiem at 1.70 with Pinnacle
Did not really understand why Thiem "forced" himself to the final last week in Lyon, rather than saving his energy for the next (two?) week(s), but at least he got his reward and won the tournament. It was no surprise he went through the first round quite easily but will face a tricky opponent in the next turn. The Greek guy already caused him plenty of problems in their previous meetings, at these odds I definitely have to give it a try.
Back Benoit Paire (AH +2.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori at 1.65 with Pinnacle
Once again staying on the safe side and playing set handicap. Kei did not really impress me in the first round, in all honesty, I expected a stronger performance from him. He might have played good tennis in Rome, but at the same time is used to make matches difficult for himself. Stats are also on my side, Paire should be well able to take at least (!) one set in front of the home crowd.
Back Federico Delbonis to beat Pablo Carreno Busta at 3.00 with Bet365
The set handicap seems to be obvious for me here, but now I will risk an play the money line. I am not at all impressed with the Spaniard recently. Shaky performance in Rome, not to mention Madrid and Estoril. Ok, Delbonis is not in a hell of form either, but he holds a decent H2H record, so let's see.
Back Martin Klizan to beat Gael Monfils at 2.45 with Marathonbet
Even if probably his main focus from the beginning of the season was to get in good shape for these weeks, I am not really sure about Monfils. Not because he dropped a set in the first round against an unknown player on the big stages, but the French fun-maker is no longer the player he used to be. This match can definitely go into 5 sets, maybe worth to risk a small amount on that, but I definitely think the Slovak has a good chance here.

Bencic B. vs Chiesa D.
ten weeks without match play will undo Bencic I think against a fully up to speed Chiesa whose won three matches this past week.
Chiesa @ 2.10 with Bet365

Maria Sakkari to beat (-5.5) Mandy Minella at 1.90 with bet365
Hard to see Minella doing anything useful in this match. I had a tiny bet on Mandy in Nürnberg and it didn't go so well as she was actually totally outclassed by Alison Riske. If Maria is on her highest level here she'll do the same if not worse so I bet Maria will be on her game and completely pulverize Mandy who does in all fairness not have mutch to offer in either gameplay or ranking.
Edit: Maria beat Mandy 6-0 6-1 on clay in Fed cup this season.

Khachanov vs Haider Maurer
The one likable thing about a Grand Slam is that you can liken it to the F.A Cup where everyone comes together to compete for the trophy regardless of ranking. I would not want to say much here before arriving at my conclusion so I can save up enough energy to watch the game. Lol! Khachanov as we know is box office in men's tennis but currently formless....well, that is if i base his form on his current win/loss record. Although it must be pointed out that the losses  were against decent heavy weights of the game. To butress my point, I will call a loss a loss regardless. It leaves Mr Khachanov at 1/5 in the abyss at the confidence end.
Haider Maurer as most tennis afficionados know, is no mug on the clay and would appear to be nuturing some hard-t0-detect form. This game has been on my mind right from when i saw the draw and even more now close to the off time. My gutt feeling? Haider Maurer will surely win a set. This could really turn into a rumble in the jungle with 5 sets a clear possibility. Good Luck!!

@CzechPunter Cori Gauff lost the US open junior final last year only 13 year old to Amanda Anisimova. She's the youngest player ever to reach the US open junior final. Reason why I'm asking about Cori is because she made her pro debut this week on clay in Osprey ITF and won 4 of 5 matches all in straight sets. She's solid as a rock on serve, she didn't drop serve in the entire first set to Katerina Stewart. She lost in first round in the Aussie open junior tournament but come on she was still 13 year old then and she's recently turned 14 and is ranked junior no.20. This girl will be big in the future if she continues this way. I'm interested to see where she will be ranked after RG because of her Osprey adventure.

4 more bets from me for today
Andrea Arnaboldi to beat Mitchell Krueger at 1.80 with bet365
Best bet from chellenger Mestres today I think. The american is nothing on a claycourt while Andrea has enough momentum and talent for clay to see this through.
Steve Johnson to beat Marton Fucsovics at 1.80 with bet365
Odds could change here, Steve might drift to 1.90 or more or less than 1.80 so I'm taking this before anything happens because I think 1.80 is good enough on Steve. I don't think Steve will take this easily but he is better on clay than Marton so he should win.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Ashleigh Barty at 2.50 with bet365
Pavs for me all the way here on this surface where she apparently also is on a roll right now. Ashleigh won their last meeting in straight sets in Zhuhai elite trophy last season but I don't think she's better than Pavs on clay but if it had been grass or hard I would have gone for Ashleigh.
Peter Gojowczyk/Fabio Fognini over 21.5 games at 1.72 with bet365
Not the best of odds but I don't care, sticking with bet365 today. Peter and Fabio going head to head, interesting and most likely a hard fought encounter with 3 sets or at least one tie break because both are playing some excellent stuff right now so over 21.5 games seems reasonable.

He found it in april when he beat Roberto Bautista Agut in a davis cup live rubber in Spain. Before that I had not seen anything good from him on clay but he's got potential.

@CzechPunter Cori Gauff lost the US open junior final last year only 13 year old to Amanda Anisimova. She's the youngest player ever to reach the US open junior final. Reason why I'm asking about Cori is because she made her pro debut this week on clay in Osprey ITF and won 4 of 5 matches all in straight sets. She's solid as a rock on serve, she didn't drop serve in the entire first set to Katerina Stewart. She lost in first round in the Aussie open junior tournament but come on she was still 13 year old then and she's recently turned 14 and is ranked junior no.20. This girl will be big in the future if she continues this way. I'm interested to see where she will be ranked after RG because of her Osprey adventure.

Simon vs Norrie - ATP Lyon
I don't know where Norrie has found this clay form from but I'm going to roll with it.
he has a great serve as opposed to Simon's lately which I hope will pull him thru'.
this is more of a hunch bet for me, I'm sure we all have them. 
Norrie to win @ 2.15 with Marathonbet
Norrie to win 2-1 @ 4.90 with Unibet

4 more bets from me for today
Andrea Arnaboldi to beat Mitchell Krueger at 1.80 with bet365
Best bet from chellenger Mestres today I think. The american is nothing on a claycourt while Andrea has enough momentum and talent for clay to see this through.
Steve Johnson to beat Marton Fucsovics at 1.80 with bet365
Odds could change here, Steve might drift to 1.90 or more or less than 1.80 so I'm taking this before anything happens because I think 1.80 is good enough on Steve. I don't think Steve will take this easily but he is better on clay than Marton so he should win.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Ashleigh Barty at 2.50 with bet365
Pavs for me all the way here on this surface where she apparently also is on a roll right now. Ashleigh won their last meeting in straight sets in Zhuhai elite trophy last season but I don't think she's better than Pavs on clay but if it had been grass or hard I would have gone for Ashleigh.
Peter Gojowczyk/Fabio Fognini over 21.5 games at 1.72 with bet365
Not the best of odds but I don't care, sticking with bet365 today. Peter and Fabio going head to head, interesting and most likely a hard fought encounter with 3 sets or at least one tie break because both are playing some excellent stuff right now so over 21.5 games seems reasonable.

Anett Kontaveit to win 4th quarter at 9.00 with bet365
Max stake on this one. Anett is on the rise and has enough quality to win this on her own without any help from players droping out. It doesn't matter if she faces Petra Kvitova, Caro Woz or Dasha Kasatkina when she is on a roll because she's good enough to beat them all.

4 more bets from me for today
Andrea Arnaboldi to beat Mitchell Krueger at 1.80 with bet365
Best bet from chellenger Mestres today I think. The american is nothing on a claycourt while Andrea has enough momentum and talent for clay to see this through.
Steve Johnson to beat Marton Fucsovics at 1.80 with bet365
Odds could change here, Steve might drift to 1.90 or more or less than 1.80 so I'm taking this before anything happens because I think 1.80 is good enough on Steve. I don't think Steve will take this easily but he is better on clay than Marton so he should win.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova to beat Ashleigh Barty at 2.50 with bet365
Pavs for me all the way here on this surface where she apparently also is on a roll right now. Ashleigh won their last meeting in straight sets in Zhuhai elite trophy last season but I don't think she's better than Pavs on clay but if it had been grass or hard I would have gone for Ashleigh.
Peter Gojowczyk/Fabio Fognini over 21.5 games at 1.72 with bet365
Not the best of odds but I don't care, sticking with bet365 today. Peter and Fabio going head to head, interesting and most likely a hard fought encounter with 3 sets or at least one tie break because both are playing some excellent stuff right now so over 21.5 games seems reasonable.

Ok I'm not giving up yet, 3 bets from me today
Caroline Dolehide to beat (-1.5 sets) Maria Irina Bara at 2.20 with bet365
Caroline is up 2-0 against Irina and is yet to lose a set to her. Caroline is about 3 years younger and seeing that she beat Irina in straight sets when she was 16-17 makes me even more confident in this bet. Let's see if Caroline can do it again outside Florida.
2018 $60,000 Indian Harbour Beach, FL USA Clay Final DOLEHIDE 4-6 5-7
2016 $25,000 Wesley Chapel, FL USA Clay Round 2 (Qualifying) DOLEHIDE 5-7 5-7
Harmony Tan to beat Georgina Garcia-Perez at 2.25 with bet365
Going with the french 20 year old woman here seems like the best option. Georgina is nothing special.
Alexandra Dulgheru to beat Tamara Korpatsch at 1.80 with bet365
Dulgheru has played well enough to pass this test as well. I think she should be a slightly bigger favourite. She's also beaten Tamara once last season in 3 sets on hard.

Ye really great write ups, not a single correct bet. Crap is what it is. I've had 2 correct bets this week. Not exactly a great week for me.

Ok I'm not giving up yet, 3 bets from me today
Caroline Dolehide to beat (-1.5 sets) Maria Irina Bara at 2.20 with bet365
Caroline is up 2-0 against Irina and is yet to lose a set to her. Caroline is about 3 years younger and seeing that she beat Irina in straight sets when she was 16-17 makes me even more confident in this bet. Let's see if Caroline can do it again outside Florida.
2018 $60,000 Indian Harbour Beach, FL USA Clay Final DOLEHIDE 4-6 5-7
2016 $25,000 Wesley Chapel, FL USA Clay Round 2 (Qualifying) DOLEHIDE 5-7 5-7
Harmony Tan to beat Georgina Garcia-Perez at 2.25 with bet365
Going with the french 20 year old woman here seems like the best option. Georgina is nothing special.
Alexandra Dulgheru to beat Tamara Korpatsch at 1.80 with bet365
Dulgheru has played well enough to pass this test as well. I think she should be a slightly bigger favourite. She's also beaten Tamara once last season in 3 sets on hard.

Ok this is the last bet for today
Marta Kostyuk to beat (-1.5 sets) Martina Trevisan at 2.20 with bet365
The great big talent of this 15 year old ukrainean girl is available to see for everyone and yet she's as high as 1.50 to beat this italian because she dropped a set to Eri Hozumi in first round. I don't think she'll drop a set this time and it comes to me as a nobrainer since Marta is way more talented than Martina. It's 9 years between them and Marta is already ranked top 150, the question is only when she will break top 100. Martina has been top 150 last season for a short period at 144 which is her career high ranking but losing on clay in straight sets to players like Silvia Soler Espinosa in Rabat qualies, Michaela Honcova in a italian 25k ITF and getting destroyed by Marie Bouzkova in Lugano qualies doesn't look good. That 3 set final loss in another 25k italian ITF to Manon Arcangioli 23 years old ranked career high 268 (2015) doesn't look good either. Based on those matches I'd be surprised if Marta drops a set here. In round 1 Martina defeated Francoise Abanda in 3 sets and that's nothing special as well as Martas 3 set win over Eri Hozumi is nothing special. Anyway now I think it's not impossible that Marta will raise her game and likely take this in 2. I better be right about this risky bet since I've already lost a lot of risky bets this week.

Anett Kontaveit to win 4th quarter at 9.00 with bet365
Max stake on this one. Anett is on the rise and has enough quality to win this on her own without any help from players droping out. It doesn't matter if she faces Petra Kvitova, Caro Woz or Dasha Kasatkina when she is on a roll because she's good enough to beat them all.

One more bet from me for today
Caroline Dolehide to beat (-1.5 sets) Marie Bouzkova at 2.37 with bet365
19 year old Caroline is one of the better american next gen players coming up right now and she should be top 100 very soon, maybe before Wimbledon. She's a big hitting player with the obligatory big first serve so she can throw in an ace from time to time and she's capable of blowing her less good opponents of the court even on clay and I think Marie is one of those less good opponents. I'm confident Caroline will win so why not try her in straight sets since she's just 1.57 to win outright and I like taking that extra risk. From what I've seen of Caroline since last year in august when I saw her first time on bet365 livestream she's extremely or just very talented at serving and can put big pressure on her opponents serve. She often goes to tie-breaks if needed and is strong in that department. Currently she's not just in form as she is consistently as good as she's been showing lately.

One last bet from me for today
Reilly Opelka to beat Jozef Kovalik at 1.72 with bet365
Reilly is really one in-form american on clay. Jozef has no form, we could see that in davis cup when he lost to Mirza Basic in straight sets. I don't think Jozef will break Reilly. Ernests Gulbis had to fight hard to even get one break last saturday. Reilly is not just serving strong because his baseline game is also on a high level but one thing he sucks at is dropshots but luckily he doesn't try that to often since he mostly fails. He tried one dropshot last saturday and failed so if he doesn't try to many dropshots in this match I think he wins in straight sets.
For jackpot: Reilly Opelka -1.5 sets at 2.88 with Paddypower

Kiki Bertens is good but that 1.71 is just too low for me to be taken.

Ok this is the last bet for today
Marta Kostyuk to beat (-1.5 sets) Martina Trevisan at 2.20 with bet365
The great big talent of this 15 year old ukrainean girl is available to see for everyone and yet she's as high as 1.50 to beat this italian because she dropped a set to Eri Hozumi in first round. I don't think she'll drop a set this time and it comes to me as a nobrainer since Marta is way more talented than Martina. It's 9 years between them and Marta is already ranked top 150, the question is only when she will break top 100. Martina has been top 150 last season for a short period at 144 which is her career high ranking but losing on clay in straight sets to players like Silvia Soler Espinosa in Rabat qualies, Michaela Honcova in a italian 25k ITF and getting destroyed by Marie Bouzkova in Lugano qualies doesn't look good. That 3 set final loss in another 25k italian ITF to Manon Arcangioli 23 years old ranked career high 268 (2015) doesn't look good either. Based on those matches I'd be surprised if Marta drops a set here. In round 1 Martina defeated Francoise Abanda in 3 sets and that's nothing special as well as Martas 3 set win over Eri Hozumi is nothing special. Anyway now I think it's not impossible that Marta will raise her game and likely take this in 2. I better be right about this risky bet since I've already lost a lot of risky bets this week.

I got to take this bet to
Diane Parry to beat Rebecca Sramkova at 6.00 with bet365
Another 15 year old player, french girl Diane Parry with no WTA experience or ranking. Her first match was beating Jana Fett which is very impressive considering how good Jana has been going this season. Gonna be interesting to see if we can have another Marta Kostyuk here. Diane is junior no.27 and Rebeccas career high as junior was 200 4 years ago. Rebeccas favourite surface is hard and we have a 15 year old home player here. Smells upset to me!

I got to take this bet to
Diane Parry to beat Rebecca Sramkova at 6.00 with bet365
Another 15 year old player, french girl Diane Parry with no WTA experience or ranking. Her first match was beating Jana Fett which is very impressive considering how good Jana has been going this season. Gonna be interesting to see if we can have another Marta Kostyuk here. Diane is junior no.27 and Rebeccas career high as junior was 200 4 years ago. Rebeccas favourite surface is hard and we have a 15 year old home player here. Smells upset to me!