four-leaf
-
Posts
3,055 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
51
Posts posted by four-leaf
-
-
Martin Klizan seems to be back...
-
Excuse me for going off topic here but there's another event going on in Belgium this week and I've noticed a clear wrong priceing in Goffin v Shelbay. Goffin still goes around on his name and has been put as a quite heavy favorite tonight.
I dare to say Shelbay has a pretty good chance of upsetting the local favorite at 3.45.
So Abdullah Shelbay to beat David Goffin at 3.45 with Coolbet
- CzechPunter, ThunderDan9, Schokolade2 and 3 others
-
2
-
4
-
11 hours ago, Smiles Tennis said:
C. Gauff to beat A. Sabalenka - 2.92 with Betfair
Gauff can win ugly if needed and Sabalenka has huge problems in Slam semi finals. Little bit of value for me here.
I totally agree
-
-
Oceane Dodin to beat (+1.5 set) Qinwen Zheng at 2.42 with Coolbet
I can buy Dodin +5.5 so I can just as well take the set hcp.
-
3 hours ago, timovk said:
AUS Open WTA Outright Winner Sabalenka @4.30 Draftkings
Sabalenka has been very solid here: 3-0 loosing only 6 games. She is tough nut to crack even to Swiatek who has not been at her best lately. Sabalenka has beaten Swiatek twice on hard and IMO everything over @3.00 has value!
AUS Open ATP Outright Winner Djokovic, @2.1 Draftkings
Nole has played just what he has required. Loosing two sets, but he has not played in 100%. I have even 70% for the Serb, so a lot of value!
Sorry, that's not gonna be an easy task for any of them. Coco and Carlitos are on the prowl so beware.
-
-
-
@Duffyduck74 english is my second language also as I am swedish. I don't know what level of english the austrian population has in general but I know germans prefer to write and speak german so maybe it's the same i Austria. Sorry for complaining on you.
- amity, CzechPunter and harry_rag
-
3
-
@Duffyduck74 you don't need to elaborate, what I want is that you are open for discussion and being willing to read other peoples opinions about your ideas. If you only post what you think without listening to others what is the point with this forum then?
-
Jakub Mensik to beat Denis Shapovalov at 1.64 with Coolbet
Any given Sunday I'd go all in on this. It's all good with Mensik. But far from ok with Shapo.
Alex De Minaur to beat (-5.5 games) Milos Raonic at 1.72 with Coolbet
I don't understand what the bookies see in Milos which makes them lower line to 5.5.
Dasha Kasatkina to beat (-1.5 sets) Peyton Stearns at 1.96 with Coolbet
Good thinking
-
20 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
That's an unnecessary degree of pedantry and looks slightly silly given it's close proximity to multiple misspellings of "Sweeny".
I don't know about anyone else put I find that degree of criticism of someone else's selections (after they have lost) slightly excessive. Please stick to constructive comments preferably before the event. Otherwise it might look like there is an intention to discourage someone else from posting, which I'm sure is not the intention.
Yes I wrote Sweeney myself which is incorrect. But there seems to have been a loss of my post where I urged @Duffyduck74 to have a discussion here before placing bets to avoid mistakes when betting.
-
18 hours ago, Duffyduck74 said:
My Picks for Today:
Tiafoe - Coric @ 2,56 | 2/10 👎
Sweeny - Cerundolo @ 3,32 | 1/10 👎
Marozsan - Cilic @ 2,225 | 2/10 👎
O'connell- Garin @ 3.02 @ 2/10 👎
Halys - Harris @3.27 | 1/10 👍Kombi {Shevchenko - Munar 🤬
Arnaldi - Walton
Machac - Mochizuki} @ 2,19 | 1/10 👎All on Suprabets.
Edit: Yes I overestimated Cilic. My bad. Sweeny and Gary both lost in the 5th, so bad luck. And even Coric was not that bad. Could even have made the 2nd set, which would have made it a different game. Had also a MTO because of a bladder on his right heel). And according Shevchenko: That was ridiculous and nearly conscientious objection to work... 🤬
Please @Duffyduck74 don't even say you had bad luck. Picking Sweeney and Cristian Garin who you even spell incorrectly as Gary in reality even before their matches they were massive underdog. O'Connell and Cerundolo are no pushovers as you seem to think. Cerundolo can play on every surface better than Sweeney ever will. What reason did you even have for placing your bet on Dane Sweeney to acctually beat top 20 player Francisco Cerundolo who's even won a ATP250 on grass a few months ago? Did you seriously think Francisco didn't play well on hard and you chose to categorize him as a clay specialist?
- CzechPunter and ThunderDan9
-
2
-
12 hours ago, Duffyduck74 said:
Sorry I was in a little hurry, so I just threw in the bets.
Cilic beat Murray 6:3, 7:5 4 Days ago (ok, it was an exibition, but still...) and only just lost to Struff in Hong Kong (6:3, 6:7, 6:7)
Marozsan lost against Shelton(3:6, 4;6) and against Bautista-Agut (2:6, 3:6) and just won against an imho out of form Monfils (6:4, 6:7, 7:6).
Furthermore Marozsan is all but a specialist on hardcourt and favours rather clay avoids to play on hardcourt as good as he can, while Cilic was was never to bad on hardcourt.
The odds give me a Probability of ~ 45%, and I would rate this match 50:50 at least, rather 55 %. Maybe I'm wrong, but these are the reasons, why I bet on Cilic.
You really shouldn't categorize Maroszan as a clay specialist. Those hungarians can play on all surfaces and Maroszan is capable and talented enough to win matches on all surfaces. And losing to Struff for Cilics part doesn't look good because Struff is one of the most unmotived players after bigger exploits and right now he just had his biggest exploit last season in Madrid and that has as it seems been enough for him for awhile. He's got his decent ranking and probably no plans except chilling out on the court.
-
@Duffyduck74 makes no sense to move in on Cilic and you don't even give a bad reason
-
3 hours ago, Swami said:
Cilic is 36 now and in 2023 he played only 3 official matches, I’m really tempted to go with Marozsan @1.80 in a 3/5 match… the only thing preventing me at the moment is an apparently hard fought 3setter match vs. Struff in Hong Kong at the beginning of the year… have you seen him playing in Hong Kong? What do you think?
Take Maroszan without hesitation
- CzechPunter and Swami
-
2
-
7 hours ago, Foo_Fighter said:
Wow. Left it at 4-1, shocking
No not very shocking. I warned everyone about Selby before the match so because you chosed to bet on The Jester it doesn't mean it was shocking to anyone but you.
-
A 147 and a century, hats off for Mark Allen. He could go all the way!
-
But Murray is on a collisioncourse with Nole
-
Anyone heard of the snookertable standing on a huge piece of chalk built 400 years ago somewhere in England?
-
Just look at Trump just 10minago at 5-4 up breaks to 41 and suddenly puts the white in a hopeless position only able to hand it over. Shaun managed to snooker himself yesterday. A week of comedy. We are back in the medieval age.
-
-
I can tell you all one thing that Selby has in no way been any better than anyone this week. He fumbled away a frame for Milkins who cleared the table with 88 break. He wasn't exactly clutch in other frames either, his 6-1 looks better than it was and should have been 6-0 since Milkins gave it all away.
- Fader and ThunderDan9
-
2
-
18 hours ago, amity said:
X post removed. You could try being at least semi-polite, as all the other posters are. I don't go around posting X links willy nilly on here, as you well know, and if I did post one or two before, it was quite some time ago. I remember posting one comment about the Aussie Open in another thread which wasn't specifically a thread for the Australian Open, but it was a general comment and absolutely nobody had an issue with it, except it seems, you. Seriously dude, let's just keep the talk to tennis (and other sports in the other sections) and be respectful to each other, and we'll all get along fine.
Sorry, I didn't mean to be impolite but the smart TV I used went crazy over all the X content. It was just to much and it slowed down the browsing completely. Android u know and cheap Samsung. And I've not seen anyone post content from X here so if you have done it I haven't noticed.
Tennis Tips - January 29 - February 4
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Where is Filip Kraji?