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Posts posted by four-leaf

  1. 1 hour ago, neilovan said:

    I think there a a few matches worth taking today.

    Djoko looks very good. Only issue is a mental one, where he loses a little focus ... but as for hitting the ball, he looks great. For me the key matchup is backhand cross court, where the Tsitsipas (1 handed) backhand will not hold up. Djoko too consistent, patient, powerful and accurate here. Just for fun, go and find a youtube video of Djoko doing backhand rotations with a medicine ball (https://www.facebook.com/TennisLegendOfficial/videos/novak-djokovic-medecine-ball-workout/10153373516061806/). Holy cow ... Crazy strong, I get tired from watching him. Djoko will pound him into the ground there, and will win a relatively close match.

    Jabeur is on borrowed time in this tournament. Should have been beaten by Sakkari, and even yesterday Kasatkina was serving at 5-4 deciding set. Kasatkina gave it away dropping serve twice in a row and losing 7-5 in the decider. Jabeur probably quite tired, after two 3 setters in a row, while Swiatek comes into this match fresh, after a 6-1 6-2 demolition of Sabalenka. For me this match is an absolute no-contest. Swiatek will move better, serve better, hit the ball better, and be stronger mentally and fresher physically. First set is probably crucial, but when Swiatek wins it, there is NO WAY that Jabeur can come back (of course the odds will be miniscule).

    I don't like the starting -5.5 handicap, but if/when Swiatek wins the 1st set, the 2nd may just be one way traffic (so maybe an inplay bet here). I would be going Swiatek in 2 sets (1.5).

    As mentioned before I see Claire Lui is in the final of the WTA in Paris, played Haddad Maia. I am happy with a smallish bet on her winning here (at odds of even money).

    I'll take her as a single and Djoko and Swiatek as a double.

    I'm off to play tennis (8.30 am kickoff). 4 tough sets of doubles, then some breakfast with the guys. Weather looks perfect. Great morning ahead 😁


    I will do the same as you except playing 4 sets of doubles.

  2. Hamad Medjedovic to beat (-1.5 sets) Alex Marti Pujolras with Betfair at 1.68

    Hamad is the next Nole from Serbia trained at Tipsarevic Tennis Academy. He is steamrolling these small ITF Futures events and he's also 18 years old and climbing fast. Soon to be a challenger prospect.

  3. 18 hours ago, harry_rag said:

    Could it be that they've just started to limit the amount you can get on, as is often the case with any sort of winning account? They would usually notify you if they were withdrawing special offers etc. but if they made a trading decision to limit you they wouldn't necessarily inform you.

    Ultimately it's not unknown for them to limit the maximum stake you can get on any bet to zero. They don't close your account so you're still free to play the exchange or (of course) the gaming products but you won't be able to get a penny on a fixed bet via the sportsbook anymore.

    Maybe you've done well enough to earn the dubious honour of going down that route!

    Yes I have a winning account

  4. 41 minutes ago, raduvlad1995 said:

    yep, I ve avoided that one went for some bets on evans and coria against verdasco. Many interesting matchups and players playing today but hard to predict for me. I also hate how windy conditions are in delray , I didn t bet on norrie simply because of them.

    Coria's lack of power might be his undoing tonight. If Verdasco hits the spot Coria will be in trouble.

  5. 1 hour ago, neilovan said:

    Good call there. Players just coming for a holiday and totally under cooked. 

    Sat through the Jabeur v Zvonerava match which was borderline atrocious. I think Jabeur made 68 unforced errors in the match, 1st game of the 3rd set Zvonerava served 3 doubles,  made 4 unforced errors and still won the game. Shows you how well Jabeur was playing. What a pile of garbage. 

    Yupp, Vika is in decline so please don't make the mistake to back her in the future. Vika will still be the same player as she's been since her comeback even though she might reach some finals. But has she won any final since her comeback by acctually playing? No, retirement by Muguruza and walkover from Osaka.

  6. 25 minutes ago, raduvlad1995 said:

    Oh I won't most likely, just wanted to see knowledgeable people's opinions. Also I don t know of any other tourneys going on right now(I don t bet on challengers or atp qualifiers just main draws).

    Well you have Brenda Fruhvirtova in her second straight final v the same opponent in Tucuman, Argentina as she's facing Paula Ormachea again later tonight. You've got the mens icehockey in the olympics later as USA is facing Germany and will most likely roll over the germans pretty easily by at least 3 goals. You've got the St. Petersburg WTA final where I belive the estonian wins again to clinch the indoors record of 19 straight wins.

  7. 1 hour ago, raduvlad1995 said:

    man both the finals that I m interested in today are nightmares..I think ruud is better right now than schwartzman but he has a loosing h2h against diego and has to face the home crowd fave and alliassime-tistsipas you have a guy that flops hard in finals and a guy that flops hard in atp 500 finals..Might stay out of these matches today, any opinions on how these matches are gonna go ? It's so frustrating cause if felix would bring his usual level from rotterdam this year, there's no doubt that he beats tsitsipas (with the curent tsitsipas level of tennis) but he actualy wins about 44% of points in finals compared to about 52% career average.

    Why bet on those finals? There's plenty of other matches to bet on. Why feel so obligated to bet on two finals with uncertain outcomes?

  8. 23 minutes ago, neilovan said:

    For me the most impressive display of the day was Konteveit finally getting it together against Ostapenko. Was 3 -0 down first set and landed up winning it 6-3.  Not easy to roll off 6 straight games against a decent opponent. Power hitting! Then solid enough to take the 2nd 6-4.

    She has had 3 excellent wins against in form and good players (Cirstea, Bencic and Ostapenko), after a shaky start against Teichmann (first round). Now faces Sakkari in the final, last meeting Konteveit won 6-1 3-6 6-3, which is a demolition. First set is a statement!

    Still undecided but if going for Konteveit,  I would be choosing Konteveit on the -3.5 game handicap, over Konteveit straight win (odds of 1.9 instead of 1.5). She is so streaky, but if she plays near her best for 40 minutes it's game over in a big way.

    Why would it be over if she plays near her best? It's more likely she plays her best. However 18 straight indoors are the first on WTA tour since Henin 2010 and it will be 19 tomorrow most likely to clinch the record.

  9. 5 hours ago, DrO said:

    It seems that Rublov is slowly finding his form,he likes the conditions in Rotterdam,but i feel he was not tested yet here..Felix to me looking better form the start of the season..but his game stil has ups and downs..for example his serve is very efficient,but in the same time he can produce double faults even when he serving for the match..

    Bottom line - for me this is much more closer match then the odds suggesting it..it's more 50/50..so with these odds i'll give a try with FAA to beat Rublev @2.30 with a smaller units..

    Not gonna be close whatsoever, FAA 2-0 easily..

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