ivanhoe
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Posts posted by ivanhoe
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Konjuh - Keys over 20,5
It is a risky bet I admit (but which isn`t ?)... I told everything about Konjuh yesterday. She did not play brilliantly but she prevailed in the end. There is a quality gap between these two players and Keys should win this, but I think Konjuh can cause problems for the American. Konjuh is on some sort of a rise while Madison hasn`t find her rhytm yet and she has had many ups and downs lately. GL !
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28 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:
Love this, @ivanhoe! Almost as much as I love your avatar. Wibble. Anyway, I have actually felt Croatia are a team that are still vastly playing above their station and think they are prone to being caught off guard by a side like Slovenia.
You`re speaking to a long time Black Adder fan. I believe this won`t be a walk in the park for Croatia. All we have to do now is wait and see... Good luck anyways !
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That was shocking! I`m so sorry your bet didn`t come through. I watched the match and I have to say the quality of tennis was mediocre at best. Siniakova isn`t a shadow of a player she used to be while Konjuh has gained a couple of pounds (I know you don`t say that to a lady) and obviously has some fitness issues - especially in humid conditions like in Miami. Her serve was decent though.
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Slovenia - Croatia
WC qualies are about to kick off this evening... I`m particulary interested in this group H encounter which takes place in Slovenia capital of Ljubljana. On the first look this looks like any other game for both sides, but one mustn`t forget that we`re talking about two neighbouring contries and, what`s more important, rivalry that has always existed between these two sides.
Slovenia is managed by Matjaz Kek. He is an old-school sort of a coach who likes to put emphasis on defence and likes structured, responsible football. Slovenia hasn`t played the strongest European teams recently, but it`s important to say that they lost their last match in 2019. Jan Oblak is their star player, together with the likes of Iličić and Šporar.
Croatia managed to stay in A group od Uefa Nations League athough I felt like it wasn`t the most important competition for them. They are still managed by Zlatko Dalic who led them to the 2nd place in WC 2018 in Russia. In Croatian national team everything revolves around Luka Modric. He`s like wine - the older the better. A leader and a great footballer. Croatia isn`t as strong as two years ago, but a team with the likes of Modric, Brozovic, Perisic, Kovacic, Lovren or Kramaric is more than respectable.
I expect a duel in which Croatia will dominate possession and Slovenia will try to break on counters. Having Oblak between the posts is additional boost for the home defence. Keep in mind that Croatia has never dealt easily with the hosts. That`s why I exepect a game with only a couple of goals scored.
Slovenia - Croatia under 2,5 @1,70
correct score 1:1
- StefanBB and StevieDay1983
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Siniakova - Konjuh over 20,5
Siniakova hasn`t been anywhere near her best recently, while Konjuh is back after being absent for a long time due to injury (elbow issues). We can say that she is having "a fresh start". Konjuh has been in some kind of "warm-up" mode so far this season and has had ups and downs this season which I find completely normal due to the circumstances. Konjuh was Top 20 material before the injury. At least in my opinion.
I believe these two will "cancel each other" today and I won`t be surprised if we see a 3 setter today. GL !
- CzechPunter and four-leaf
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Who am I to disagree with your brilliant picks and previews, but I have a hunch we`ll see more than a couple of goals at Molineaux tonight. It`s do or die for Liverpool tonight if they want to participate in Champions league race. That`s why I expect a bit more offensive guard from Klop`s side tonight. On the other hand Wolves have individuals who can cause problems to most sides in the Premier League. It`s true that they`ve gone through injury crisis and this season is not as successful as last year`s but they are definitely showing signs of improvement.
I believe both sides will score tonight and it won`t be a surprise for me if we see an extra goal or more from any of the sides. That`s why I`ll try BOTH TO SCORE AND OVER2,5 @2,30 at my local bookie.
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Can someone please explain why the odds on Burnley are so juicy. I`m not saying this just because they beat Liverpool - they`ve shown incredible team spirit and have been rock solid at the back this season. They are a hardworking, physical team. They lack creativity but are SO difficult to break. Oh yes, I must mention goalkeeper Nick Pope who has been in tremendous form recently. I have 4,00 on Burnley at my local bookie which I find a value. I also like the option that Villa won`t score twice @1,75. That`s definitely too much if you ask me.
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The winter break is finally over and Croatian clubs are about to start, or better to say continue, their campaign in 1 HNL. I`m planning to write some kind of preview for the spring part of the season together with transfer news and an overview of each of the clubs as soon as possible.
Inter Zapresic - Istra
The first match starts soon and I`m really sorry I couldn`t post this sooner. Inter with a new chairman and manager Zeljko Petrovic. The new chairman is some kind of a football agent whose main goal is to earn some money by selling players and Inter can be a nice "platform" for that sort of a business. It`s been turbulent in Zapresic these days because many players arrived and some left in a very short period of time. To cut the long story short, there is a big question mark next to Inter`s name and all I can say their squad doesn`t look that impressive on paper.
Istra has been is co-owned by Alaves for some time now and although they promised to invest serious money to make the club more competitive but this hasn`t happened yet. They have a promising coach Prelec and I have to say that in the first part of the season they were definitely the unluckiest club conceding many goals in the dying moments and this losing matches. They`ve lost 11 matches and they certainly did not deserve to lose in at least 5 of them. They are an organized side that know how to defend and hit the opposition on counters.
This is an important match for both sides and I think Istra won`t lose tonight. Inter doesn`t have a real advantage playing at home because there are 200-300 spectators in average in each of their matches.
My picks : Istra X2
total goals under 2,5
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Eintracht Frankfurt - Lipzig BTTS YES @1,44
Monaco - Strasbourg 1 @1,61
Leverkusen - Fortuna Dusseldorf 1@1,36
10 points treble
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Bayern - Schalke total goals 2-3
Usually I don`t like these kind of bets but I think this is the most probable outcome of this match. Schalke were underachieving in the previous seasons and something has changed this season - especially defensive wise. Their back line looks really solid and my impression is that they hevae finally become the team. I don`t want to talk about Bayern much because you know the whole story. All I can say is that don`t expect an easy match for them and that the odds are WAY TO LOW on Bayern win. I wouldn`t like to pick the winner of the match but I see it ending in something like 2-0, 2-1 or 1-1.
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Freiburg - Paderborn 1
Freiburg are a team that is usually closer to the bottom than to the top half of the standings but this year circumstances have been a bit different. They`re currently holding the 7th position which gives them hope they can qualify for European competition(s) - after all, they`re only 6 points behind Gladbach that is 4th and being 4th means you`ve qualified for Champions League ! Freiburg have been more than solid throughout of the season - especially at home having lost to Koln and Bayern only. They managed to draw with Dortmund and beat teams like Leipzig or Frankfurt. A very successful campaign so far.
Paderborn are a different story I`m afraid. Of course they won`t give up but I think they won`t be enough for them to stay up. They didn`t want to change their offensive approach which was their trademark in 2 Bundesliga and hats off to that, but Bundesliga teams are a few steps above those who play in 2 Bundesliga and Paderborn are paying the price. Their defence is leaking and have difficulties dealing with Bundesliga forwards and I expect something similar to happen today.
I have to admit I expected a lower price on Freiburg and that scares me a bit (bookies know everything!!) but I simply can`t see Freiburg not winning this one.
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Any thoughts on Stan Wawrinka ? He was the only player who could match Novak some 6-7 years ago. Odds aren`t that bad though I haven`t seen Isner in action.
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4 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Also thinking about Diego stealing a set off Djokovic, the odds are certainly juicy and, even though he doesn't have any big weapons, he'll be there as he was against Rafa in 2018. Hasn't even dropped a set yet, which is sort of incredible given that he doesn't have a serve to fall back on, while Djokovic has. I'm not saying it's going to happen, but yeah, I'm going to go for it at 2.89 with Pinnacle. Diego just sort of has this habit of not falling apart and he can run all day long, while his groundstrokes are as good as they are when it comes to the big guys. Having no serve means that he just can't be among the top guys, but he's not Nishioka-like if you want to make comparisons, he's much hardier and mentally apt. He took a set of Medvedev in the ATP Cup, so I am going to have a sporting play based on the odds alone.
I watched him yesterday vs Lajovic. Even the commentators said that playing vs Schwatrzman is like playing against a brick wall.??? He`s defensively one of of the best players on the tour together with Djokovic. These odds are certainly inviting and definitely worth a risk.
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1 minute ago, Jves said:
@ivanhoe you can call him spoilt, he said it himself, he does not need money from tennis. IIRC his father is like 5th richest Latvian ?♂️
I know his father is rich. You`re right - let`s call him a brat then. ?
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Monfils - Gulbis 1
I simply can not ignore Monfils here. He`s like a box of chocolates...You never know what you`re going to get. He is also a player who is always a joy to watch, one of the players I would always pay for the ticket just to see him in action. Tennis avant-garde. He`s definitely past his prime but I`ve always thought that he deserved a bit more in his career - especially on Grand Slam tournaments. Gulbis has risen from the dead here but I doubt he can take something out of this match. Last year he had 8-30 (?!) record. When Gulbis was younger everbody was talking (including Niki Pilic) that there is a great career ahead of him but it simply didn`t happen. I don`t want to call Ernests a spoiled brat but he threw his talent away. By the way, the record between these two is 3-0 in Mofils` favour.
So...We have a guy who deserves a lot more on the Grand Slam level and a guy who doesn`t deserve anything. Monfils all the way for me.
Mertens - C.C. Bellis over 20,5
Those who follow the tennis section here could`ve read what I said about Bellis. I`ve read what you guys wrote about the match and I can not but to agree with you though I think Mertens will have a bit more difficult task here. I watched Mertens in Wimbledon last year and was impressed with her ability to endure long rallies and powerful shots she is able to produce. Bellis`s style is different - shorter rallies, change of pace and not-so-powerful but precise and delicate shots. That`s why I think she`ll give Mertens a bit of a headache - at least in one the sets. I agree with you that Bellis`s chances to win this are not big simply because she hasn`t played for a long time on this level and that`s why I`ll also try the correct score: 2-1 Mertens.
Vekic - Swiatek 1
As I`ve said before, Donna is completely focused on tennis and will do her best to reach the final stages of AO. Reaching the 3rd round is her best result ever. I believe Swiatek is an ideal opponent for Donna and I have to say that the draw has been rather kind to her this year. She`s definitely aware of that and I think she won`t miss this chance to confirm herself as a player capable of performing well on the biggest of tournaments.
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Querrey - Sandgren over 40,5
40,5?! Yep, that`s a lot, but I expect at least one tie-break and I think there`s quite a big probability both players will take a set. That should be enough to cross this line.
Schwartzman - Lajovic 1
Although I really like and appreciate Lajovic as a tennis player I sincerely doubt he can win this. Though there is definitely some value on Lajovic I believe Schwartzman is far more dynamic and energetic player and if he takes the initiative and makes Lajovic run the Serb will have a lot of problems. A win for the Argentine in my opinion.
Kvitova - Alexandrova 1
Risky bet. Kvitova is prone to weather conditions and I checked them. It shouldn`t be too hot which, in my opinion, should go in favour of the Czech player. Alexandrova is on the vicious run but I hope it stops here. Probably a 3 setter but in the end I see Petra as the winner. Low stakes of course.
- darko08, CzechPunter, Grass Cash and 1 other
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Wolverhampton - Liverpool
Liverpool have been incredible recently and are flying high. Watching Liverpool`s players play pressing is sometimes surreal. School example of teamwork and cohesion. They create and score with ease no matter who they`re playing against. They let off some of the steam in their previous match vs Utd so don`t really expect them to be on that level - at least mentally.
Wolverhampton, on the other hand, are a team that`ve lost only 5 times this year (together with Man City) and that says enough. Their manager is Portuguese and they have got many players from Portugal which tells me tactical preparation is very important to them and they know how to defend. Molineux isn`t a place where guests win matches easily.
Wolverhampton will probably sit at the back and wait for their chance on the counter while Liverpool won`t rush and will patiently wait for the opportunities and space to open. It`s not going to be easy but I believe Liverpool will continue their streak tonight. A side that concedes a goal will have to play more offensively and leave more space at the back (I think Liverpool will score first) so I wouldn`t go for an under - it all depends on the time when the goal will be scored.
Liverpool to win
Total goals 2-3
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2 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Oh, wow. I've completely forgotten about that match @ivanhoe. I saw Norrie leading solidly and then I didn't check the result, he really must've messed up. Herbert can be a solid bet indeed, I'd expect him to get quite a few easy holds unless Goffin is spot on with his passing shots. Definitely a step up from Chardy, especially mentally.
I`m hoping to see a similar scenario. I don`t usually like these big handicaps but in the end I`ve decided to take this one. We`ll see...Hoping for the best, expecting the worst.
Just to mention Vekic once again. After she broke up with "Stan the man" she is completely dedicated and focused on tennis. I mean, you can really see she is giving her maximum in every match. I think she`ll win vs Cornet but I don`t expect an easy match. I`m tempted to take an OVER in that match too.
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Goffin - P.H. Herbert +7,5 2
Czech wrote somewhere that Goffin is one of the best no-big-weapons player on the tour and I agree with him to some extent. Goffin easily beat Chardy who I find a mediocre hard-court player while Herbert showed mental strength and won the match vs Norrie being 1-2 down. Herbert reached the 3rd round of AO twice so one can`t say he doesn`t like playing there. Last year he beat Querrey, Chung (though he was recovering in a way) and lost tightly against Raonic. I`m hoping to see the same scenario tonight where Pierre-Hugues will use his chances and stay close till the end.
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Bellis - Muchova 1
I can`t go against myself and will back C.C. Bellis again. Yes, Muchova is another level, much better than Maria but I believe Bellis will intelligently use her main weapon - strong and precise shots from the baseline. I saw Muchova likes coming forward and playing volleys (unfortunately a rarity in women`s tennis) but I think Bellis will have an answer to that in precise and strong passing shots. I expect a big battle with a lot of breaks so OVER wouldn`t be a bad idea too. I just hope C.C. prevails in the end.
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Anybody seen Wozniacki playing ?? I`m asking this because this is her last tournament and she`s about to face Yastremska who`s been set as a favorite. I`m just wandering if that`s realistic because both should be well motivated and should "cancel" each other - a typical scenario for an OVER. Your thoughts are more than welcome.
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C.C. Bellis - T. Maria 1
I wrote about Bellis before. I like her style and shots - everything she does on the court looks simple and easy. She had been injured and she played only four matches in 2019 and her fitness might be questionable but I believe she posses more than enough quality to beat experienced German. Her motivation shouldn`t be be an issue here. I won`t be surprised if she takes this in straight sets.
Duckworth - Bedene 2
I believe Slovenian will finally make a breakthrough and advance to the 2nd round of AO. He has the skills and experience to do this. Duckworth is a fighter that never gives up and can be unpredictable when playing at home but I simply think Bedene is a better player will prevail in the end.
Hercog - Peterson 2
I know Peterson has had some fitness issues lately but I still think she deserves my support. She likes playing on hard while Hercog doesn`t - hard court has never been her cup of tea. I watched her a couple of times and, at least in my opinion, she didn`t play well. I`m not saying it will be easy but Rebecca should advance to the next round. Low stakes though.
- CzechPunter, darko08 and tomcody
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WBA - Stoke
WBA have been far from their usual level lately and tonight they'll try to end their winless streak in Championship which is now a month long. On the other side we have Stoke that have been underachieving heavily but have shown signs of improvement lately. The present situation is far from ideal for Stoke but I think they have enough quality players in their ranks to turn things in their favour and bring Sroke to calm waters far from relegation battle.
Wba plays fluid, attacking football with many short passes and are really dangerous upfront. On the other hand their defence is leaking at times and is definitely weaker part of the team. The same can be said for Stoke - a team that will punish opponent's offensive approach but can concede anytime.
One might expect a little tighter approach from both teams tonight because WBA wants to get back on the winning track and Stoke will try to escape from the relegation zone but still I see goals in this one. An early goal for any of the teams would be ideal for my bet and that's exactly what I expect.
total goals OVER 2,5
both teams to score
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Juvan +5,5 - Yastremska
Juvan is being touted as big talent of Slovenian tennis. She has had a nice run in the qualies and I believe she can make this match challenging enough for Yastremska. They are both 19 and it`s a fact that Yastremska has achieved more than Juvan up to now but I believe Kaja can keep this close enough.
McNally - Stosur +1,5 sets
I believe that Samantha, with support on her side, can take a set in this duel. McNally has been convincing in the qualies but I think she`ll have a bit tougher task tonight.
Lajovic - Edmund +38,5 games
As most of you here I don`t think we`ll have a winner in straight sets. Dusan is a fighter, never gives up and has, at least in my opinion, one of the better backhands on the tour. He`s had a good run on the ATP Cup though I think of it as some kind of confidence building and a way of getting to use to the conditions. Edmund reached AO semi-final in 2018 and that says a lot. 2019 was a bit disappointing for him and he`ll certainly do his best to repeat 2018 result though he could have gotten an easier opponent in the 1st round.
Any ideas why Zidansek has risen to 1,60 ???
- darko08 and CzechPunter
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Tennis Tips - March 22 - March 28
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
With all due respect but Sinner is just a boy - physically more than mentally. He is also an excellent tennis tennis player - don`t get me wrong. You`re right - Khachanov has been out of form this season, but I believe now is the right time to turn that around. I think there is some value on him ( 2,35 at my local)and I`m eager to take that. Low stakes though. Good luck with your bet !