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Everything posted by Duke1

  1. Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday October 24th GENK –RAPID Belgian Genk are in top form, both in their national championship and in Euroleague.Today they have a great chance to settle the issue of getting through the group after only three rounds, which will then enable them to turn their attention to the championship and further advance in ranking there. Rapid Vienna, a team with lots of ups and downs this season, are in their way. They are in constant trouble this season, conceding naive goals and getting injuries of their main players. Those details might be a big strength for Genk, who are unforgiving in their own stadium lately, and Rapid will hardly be an exception. The home team will surely be in the offensive mood, trying to quickly score and break through the solid bunker of the Vienna team. Should they manage to succeed, they will have a much easier job in the rest of the game. Genk are technically a better team than Rapid, all their midfielders and forwards are individually strong on the offense, while with Burgstaller and the long injured Alar missing for Rapid the only creative force remaining is 34-year-old captain Hofmann. That would not suffice to parry Genk even in a home game, let alone away. This match smells like Genk dominating, with Rapid trying to defend and score from fast counterattacks. However, with all the weaknesses the Vienna team defense have displayed this year, the home team have a much better chance of achieving their goals and reaching a third consecutive victory that will verify their superiority in this group. Bet: 1 Odds: 1.74 (Marathon)
  2. Re: FC Porto v Zenit Saint-Petersburg > Tuesday October 22nd PORTO - ZENIT Porto are almost always the favorites at their own stadium, but rating them at such ridiculous odds is going too far in my opinion. Zenit are playing some amazing football, they are stronger than ever, literally steamrolling over their competition in Russia, and only bad luck and referees' mistakes prevented them from getting more points in the Champions League. Even though Spalletti says this isn't necessarily a critical game, we need to be realistic and say that this is a do or die match for them. Not many would put pressure on an in-form team ahead of an important match, and Spalletti's statements are logical attempts to reduce it, as he believes his team can achieve their goal if they keep playing at their best. The only mitigating circumstance for them could be if Atletico secure their progress already after four games (which is very likely, as they have two games against Austria) and go into the fifth at Petrovsky with some reservations. But Zenit can in no way rely on that, especially as this would give Porto the same advantage in their sixth game away at Calderon. Therefore, Zenit must not lose today. Reasons to believe in Zenit's positive outcome are aplenty, and the potential key figure for many in this match is Hulk, who is in top form and he could easily wreak havoc in Porto's defense, which he knows very well. Even though I'm deeply convinced that Zenit will leave Portugal undefeated, due to excellent odds and Witsel's absence I will go for a more conservative option in the form of a +1 handicap, which would see our stake return if Porto win by one goal. I expected these odds on x2. Bet: Handicap -1 Tip: 2 Odds: 1.88 BOL ;)
  3. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Tuesday October 15th SWEDEN - GERMANY PREVIEW Sweden, with their 20 point haul, can play hosts for this final qualifying game without any pressure whatsoever. Last week's win over Austria, or turnaround to be more correct, cemented their second place finish in the group. Today's opponents Germany are five points in front, and as Sweden can't overtake them, they have nothing to play for but prestige. Besides that, the hosts will be missing one important player, or it might be better to say crucial foward. Zlatan Ibrahimovic, their biggest star, is suspended for the match. First choice keeper Isaksson and defender Lustig have missed the last training session due to injury, and they probably won't play today. We have some doubts regarding the starting 11, and I still haven't made a final decision. We will miss Zlatan, he's a world class player. We can play the same as we have we played so far, but without him it will be a lot harder - coach Erik Hamren said, before commenting on the match against the heavily favoured German side: - We went into the matches against Germany in Berlin and Austria on Friday a bit too cautiously. However, I would be naive if I thought that we will see more of the ball than Germany today. Germany secured top spot in the group with a convincing win against Ireland. They have won every match but one, the amazing draw against Sweden, when they were 4-0 up, only for the game to finish 4-4. Low had this to say about today's game: - We don't want to experiment too much in our final qualifying match. The team are on a good run and we want to keep it going. We don't want to get even for the Berlin game, that's water under the bridge for us. The players have learned from that experience, and that's the most important thing. They will still be missing almost all of their Dortmund contigent, and forwards Klose and Gomez as well, but Schweinsteiger is ready to make his 100th national team appearance. Low is about to sign a new contract, which would run until 2016, so it seems that the German FA are going to place their trust in him for another qualifying cycle. BETTING PREVIEW Basing on this Betprepare preview everything is clear..Sweden will be without Ibrahimovic and Lustig and that will be a huge handicap for them since it’s their best striker and standard, most experienced defender who are missing this match. On the other hand Germany wants revenge for that 4-4 result back in Germany and Low already mentioned that he has no intention of experimenting so I expect away team to be at their best. Bet: 2 Odds: 1.75
  4. Re: Liga Adelante > October 12th & 13th Yesterday was nice for us..U21's scored four goals total taking us over the margin of 2,5 goals ;) Hope Murcia can make us some money too with help of betprepare info :) MURCIA – GIRONA In an interesting match played in Jaen, not even two penalty kicks were enough for Murcia to break the hosts and extend their positive run, which ended after six games without a defeat. Their last loss before that one came at the outset of the season to current leaders Recreativo. Judging by that, this new defeat shouldn't disrupt the cogs in Murcia's machine, and we'll probably see them back to their normal selves in today's match. They will certainly not lack for motivation. Girona took seven points in its last three visits to the Nueva Condomina, but Murcia wasn't as good as it currently is, and now they are looking for payback. The fact that they are at full-strength for this match will help them achieve that and win another three points. Namely, coach Velasquez now faces a challenge of picking the first eleven from a number of quality players as the last absentee, midfielder Tete, returned into contention getting in from the bench in the last game. In the last week's derby Girona managed to win only one point. A small consolation for them, given that they won this point after two consecutive losses. Something is off on the pitch lately and coach Rodriguez is very much aware of that. Some changes are unavoidable as they are now far from the top of the table where they are planning to be in the end. Midfielder Timor, one of their best players, is still out, as well as defender Lopez. Bet: 1 (Home win) Odds: 2.30 (Pinnacle) GL mates ;)
  5. Re: USA > MLS - 2013 MLS Houston Dynamo - Kansas City Kansas won against Columbus with referee help and luck, but they did not look as good as in their previous few matches. Their front line is obviously shaken after they sold Kamara and coach Vermes is rotating a lot and trying different trios, but he still has not found a solution. Their defense and midfield are without best players Zusi and Besler (players that take all set pieces) so I do not see a phase of this match in which they could be better than their hosts who started playing better, are rested and have more players at their disposal. Home team win is a good option, as is that Kansas will not score a goal. But since the visiting team will not take any risk until they find themselves chasing the score, I recommend higher stake on a match without a draw. I think that the visiting team win, if there is no red cards and if some crazy situations do not develop during the match, is highly unlikely. Bet: Draw no bet Tip: 1 Odds: 1.70 BOL ;)
  6. Re: Argentina > Primera division > 2012-13 GIMNASIA LA PLATA – VELEZ (Argentina Apertura) Velez were not convincing in the beginning if the season, but they have been improving from game to game. In the announcement of the Argentinian championship I have written that according to the names, this is the strongest team in the country, and I stay at this opinion. This is a team with a wide range of good players, which is currently pushing at two fronts, but which is located lower on the table because of weaker results at the beginning of the season. When Velez is at its best and plays according to its potential, then this is the team that can beat anybody. And today there is such a situation. Velez Sarsfield come to La Plata in full form and Gareca will bring to the field his strongest line-up. Newell have started to fly away at the top, and if Velez want to stay in competition for the title, today they should not lose any points. Gimnasia showed last week that despite good results from this season, it is still not at the same level as the strongest teams, and were smoothly defeated 3-0 against San Lorenzo. Velez is actually the team of the same quality like San Lorenzo, perhaps even a bit stronger and it is clear that the guests have the advantage. After the defeat against San Lorenzo, the host coach Troglio announced broad changes in the line-up, which can't be good for the team which doesn't have a strong bench. The betting houses gave the host a role of the favorite, perhaps because they have more points, but this makes no logic to me. This is why I will take the guest victory without a draw (Asian handicap +0). In case of the draw, the stake is returned, and the bet is profitable if Velez win. Bet: Handicap +0 (or DNB) Tip: 2 Odds: 2.05 BOL ;)
  7. Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday October 3rd CHERNOMORETS ODESSA - PSV I expect both teams here to be primarily focused on tight defense and this is why. For Odessa it’s their style of play, especially when they host big names like PSV today. Besides that they’ve got all three points in Zagreb and a draw here against one of the group favorites would suit them more than well. Odessa’s defense line is also impressive, in last five games on home turf they’ve allowed only one goal and this season no one was able to outclass them. On the other hand PSV will be focused not to lose today and coach Cocu prepared a tight, defensive lineup 4-2-3-1 with only one striker up front. The main reason for are absences of captain and first goalscorer Wijnaldum and important striker Park who are both missing this match as well as some defensive players so they decided to bring more stability to defense. I don’t expect too much goals today and the goal margin should stay under 2,5 goals. Bet: Under 2,5 goals Odds: 1.85 BOL ;)
  8. Re: Zenit Saint-Petersburg v FK Austria Wien - Tuesday October 1st ZENIT vs AUSTIA VIENNA Zenit has excellent attacking skills, they have the creativity and great finishing. In last three games in domestic championship theyve scored 12 goals and their average this season is more than 3 per match!! They have almost none problems with absences, only Sirokov has minor injury and might be spared for this match. Austria showed some solid performances recently but it was mainly due to home turf and their away form is not that impressive. They are the weakest of all opponents in group G and since the others (Porto, Zenit and Atletico) are more or less even team it will be very significant for them to get past Austria with ease. Moreover team from Austria couldnt even handle the pressure in their championship, losing two games in a row and according to Betprepare theyll be seriously weakened by the injuries of Stankovic and Rogulj, two first-team players, as well as Gorgon, Grunwald and Dilaver. Even if Austria was to come with full squad it would be a surprise if they managed to avoid serious defeat here in Russia and with these absences it will be even harder for them. Bet: -1,5 handicap Tip: 1 Odds: 1.75 Cheers ;)
  9. Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 KALMAR - GOTEBORG Although Kalmar are playing a solid game recently, I am not convinced that they will be able to parry their guest neither in quality not in motivation. The Kalmar defense, as mentioned in the preview, looks very stable at the moment, but that has a lot to do with the schedule they've been having. They played rather more defensive teams in their last five games, such as Gefle, AIK, Halmstads, and it's no wonder they managed to keep their net intact. That will definitely be much more difficult against a team such as Goteborg, which they've already proven earlier against Malmo, who loaded them up with four goals. Goteborg are in dire need of points at the moment, and cannot afford a fumble here. They are one of the teams with the best form in the championship at the moment, I'd even dare say the most impressive, looking at their results. Against the opponents Kalmar got one point from, playing no-goal ties (Gefle, AIK, Atvidabergs), Goteborg scored high wins and it is hard to say which part of their game is more impressive - the killer offense or the tough, impenetrable defense. Aside from that, the home team will again be missing their best midfielder and offense player Soderqvist, which makes it difficult for them to strike back. Anything other than Goteborg winning this, as currently the better and more motivated team, would be a surprise Bet: 2 Odds: 2.10 BOL ;)
  10. Re: Ligue 1 Orange > September 28th & 29th NICE – GUINGAMP ***absent players Nice: Maupay, Anin, Mah. Traore, Eysseric, Bautheac Guingamp: Vivian, Cerdan, Pereira, Samassa Guingamp had a lot of luck so far. First of all Bastia gave them two unnecessary penalties and they took only one point, they’ve won against Sochaux who had a lot of problems in that match (injuries, new players, poor form), they’ve barely managed to get a point against Reims when opposing team had problems in the attacking part and all that doesn’t seem very impressive from the Guingamp side. Moreover, the point won against Reims is all they’ve managed to get on the road this season. Nice on the other hand is a strong team and they’ll be looking for reaction after loss away in Nantes. They’ll be playing on new stadium, with full support of home crowd since they are unbeaten at home this season. Bet: 1 Odds: 2.00 BOL ;)
  11. Re: Finland > Veikkausliga > 2013 LAHTI – JARO Lahti is in excellent shape at the time, winning four out of last five matches. They also have strong motivation to fight for the third place that leads to Europe and besides that they will be boosted by the return of their top goalscorer Rafael who was suspended for the last three matches. On the other hand Jaro is currently way out of form with five losses in a row and in most of them they were outplayed by great margin. Their motivation is not something they can rely on since they’ve already fulfilled their goal – escaping relegation zone. Lahti has everything to play in this match and they are in front of home crowd while Jaro has nothing to play and hasn’t won away since May. Bet: 1 Odds: 1.70 BOL ;)
  12. Re: Bundesliga > September 20th - 22nd STUTTGART – EINTRACHT FRANKFURT After they've made changes on coaching position Stuttgart became more stable and is showing improvement lately. Now when they are out of European competitions their main and only focus is domestic championship in which they now have two victories in a row. In last match on their home arena they’ve trashed Hoffenheim with 6:2. On the other hand Eintracht is also solid in this season beginning but today they’ll have some serious fatigue problems. Only three days ago they had a tough match against Bordeaux in EL and they are not the team used to playing on both fronts (their own coach Armin Veh admitted they will have problems with fatigue). Moreover, three Eintracht’s key players will be missing this match - Meier, Rosenthal and Schwegler. I think Stuttgart’s selfconfidence is higher, they are rested and don’t have major problems with absences and anything but their victory today would be a surprise. Bet: 1 Odds: 2.10 BOL ;)
  13. Re: Sweden > Allsvenskan > 2013 OSTERS – HALMSTADS We're dealing here with clash of two newcomers included in relegation battle and I expect a serious and cautious approach from both sides. Osters is 4 points ahead of Halmstads and their main goal will be to stay on that distance and not to risk to much going gung-ho. On the other hand away team is basing their play on strong defense waiting for counters and set pieces because they don’t have the capacity nor the quality to play differently. In last two rounds both of them scored only 1 goal total and the offensive part is not their strongest. Except for Syrianska they have the worst attack in the league so far although their defenses are amongst better in the lower part of the Allsvenskan. Moreover, (according to Betprepare) Halmstads will probably be without their most dangerous player Selaković who sustained an injury in the last round. I expect a tight match and not so many goalscoring opportunities. Bet: Under 2,5 goals Odds: 1.80 BOL ;)
  14. Re: Slovakia > Corgon League > 2013-14 SLOVAN BRATISLAVA – NITRA (Slovakian league) Found this preview on Betprepare and seems like a reasonable bet..think it's worth a shot ;) Nitra was a good customer to the Slovan's players in the last season as well, and they aparently had a better team then. This current team is, not to use an uglier word, horrible. The dilemma regarding this game was this: home team's win with more than 2.5 goals in the game (bwin@1.75) or more than 2.5 home team's goals. I decided for the second option, because even the first one would hardly pass without Slovan scoring three goals, since Nitra's offense is pretty bad. And Unibet is paying really well for this second option. Yes, you could always say why would they chase the third goal if they're 2-0 in the lead? They didn't have to do that last season either, but they won at home with 4-0 and 5-1, and 3-0 in an away game. Slovan is the most potent offensive team in the league, and after two games in front of empty stands, they will be playing in front of supporters again, and that is definitely an extra motive. They've already gone over this margin twice this season, they stayed under three times, but they missed everything against DAC, and the game against Senice was a derby. And they were up 2-0 against ViOn in front of empty stands. But, more important thing for me right now is what Nitra's defense looks like - in four out of five away games they conceded four goals (Trencin, Kosice, Zilina and Dukla BB). They were under that only against equally bad DAC, they conceded only one goal and lost. Bet: Home team total goals over 2,5 Odds: 2.10
  15. Re: Benfica v Anderlecht > Tue 17th September BENFICA - ANDERLECHT PREVIEW Following a problematic preseason due to a series of poor defensive performances, Benfica have entered the new championship in a similar way, but they are starting to show glimpses of the playing style that brought them wins over respectable European teams in recent seasons, especially in home games. Over the last season alone, Celtic and Spartak fall at Benfica's statium in the CL, and Leverkusen, Bordeaux and Fenerbahce followed in the EL during springtime. All these teams are stronger than Anderlecht, who should be the right opponent for them to continue raising their form after improved performances against Sporting (in the second half) and Pacos, reminiscent of their recent seasons' dynamic and attacking play that brought them some good European achievements ever since Jorge Jesus took charge. Anderlecht are Group C underdogs with a rather young team that lacks experience at the European level, and playing away is not their strong suit. This summer, most of the important players have left the club, so it's small wonder they are already trailing six points behind Standard. They've displayed a respectable goalscoring ability in the championship, as well as some defensive errors. None of Anderlecht center backs are over 23 years of age. They lack the necessary European experience and I believe that they will not be able to stop the home side's forward line led by Cardozo and Lima, who jointly scored 63 goals last season. In a match where the home team is at least a class above the visitors, with both teams better on the attack and relatively weak in defense. Bet: Over 2,5 Odds: 1.80 Cheers ;)
  16. Re: Austria Bundesliga 15.09. Jet another winner ;) Thanks to nice informations we're on fire ;) Keep tuned for more picks coming :)
  17. RIED - SALZBURG I found this nice info on Betprepare site and I think its worth a shot. Ried will be missing their most creative player Zulj, Ziegel is also injured, defender Janeczek and forward Kreuzer as well as long-term injured Rieter are all out of action for today so the home team will be in a lot of troubles because their previous good results rested on these key players. Ried and their results in the first seven rounds are to be applauded, but it is time for their winning series to end, as the best team of the league, Salzburg, are coming to town. Salzburg's claim to being best will require proving, of course, but the team coached by German Roger Schmidt will have plenty of motivation to do so. Fumbles again Ried cost Salzburg their title last year, as they have not managed to beat their tough opponent in four games, squandering as much as nine points through one loss and three ties. Smart men and good sports teams learn from their mistakes though, so the lesson was surely not lost on Salzburg, and they will want payback for all the frustrations from last season. The guests are arriving to Ried in full, with their strongest lineup at the moment, and a string of players that Ried cannot hope to match. Soriano, Mane, Alan and Kampl are a quartet of offensive aces the home team will find difficult to neutralize. Bet: 2 Odds: 1.75 Cheers ;)
  18. Re: Manchester United v Crystal Palace > Sat 14th September Finally an "easy" game for United. Certainly easier than the matches they played recently. After the draw against Chelsea and defeat to Liverpool, this is the match where the Red Devils should prove the critics wrong. Crystal Palace doesn't have the firepower to make life difficult for United, unless the Manchester team underestimates them and doesn't go into the match fully concentrated. Since they are in a so called "crisis", I expect David Moyes' players to go all out from the beginning and break down the visitors in the first half. The next match for United is a local derby against City, and there is nothing better for boosting morale than a resounding win. As the captain Vidić points out, the defence is pretty good, but the attack has yet to start firing on all cylinders. This is the perfect opportunity for them. De Gea is confident in goal, and playing in front of a packed Old Trafford has never been easy, and it certainly won't be for today's visiting team. Bet: Home team to win by nil Odds: 1,85
  19. Re: Bundesliga II > 13th - 16th September AALEN – MUNICH 1860 Aalen seemed like a solid team beating Kaiserslautern recently but I don’t understand that they can be such major favourites against undoubtedly better Munich who is main candidate for promotion to Bundesliga. Quality difference between these two is major. Even though this might be a difficult match I think odds on Draw no Bet are exceptionally good. Munich appointed new coach Funkel who by the way lead 5 different clubs to promotions so far and it’s expected for players to be motivated in order to prove their spot in first lineup with new coach. Bet: DNB away win Odds: 2.00 Cheers ;)
  20. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread Another winner :) Atletico did their job in just 26 mins :)
  21. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread ATLETICO MG - CORITIBA Atletico is on the edge of falling into danger zone and therefore they have an imperative to win today and key factors should be the home turf and absent players in the visiting team. In home team strikers Donizeti and Guilherme are fit after injuries and should provide enough firepower upfront today when Tardelli is expected to get some rest. On the other hand there is probably no team in Brazil with one player standing apart and above his teammates like Coritiba with Alex. He did not even travel for this away match, even though he is not injured according to betprepare betting site where I found that info. Other than Alex, several more players will be missing today in all lines, including defensive midfielder Junior Urso and the important defensive pair Leandro Almeida and Victor Ferraz. Because of this, the Coritiba defense will feature three players with only eight matches played in total between them. Odds on home win are already down so I’ll go with home team to score some goals. Atletico has scored at least two goals in six out of last seven home games and I expect the same today. Bet: Home team over 1,5 goals Odds: 1.85 Cheers ;)
  22. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread Gremio provides another winner :) 7th winner in a row :)
  23. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread NAUTICO – GREMIO Nautico so far managed to collect only 9 points which is 13 less than they need to get to safe zone so in reality no one believes they will be able to stay up in this league. Even the chairman decided to give up – after they fired their last coach (fifth time this season) they decided not to invest in new coaching names so they left the team in hands of inexperienced former assistant. In last round they’ve managed to get a point away in Corinthias but it was lack of efficiency from opponents side that caused the goalless draw. Only spark of “creativity” from Nautico was kicking the ball as far from their goal as they can. That kind of play brought them only one goal in last 8 rounds, and today they’ll be without two of their best strikers Carioca and Rogerio (suspension and injury). Gremio is on the other hand on second place, only six points behind leading Cruzeiro and today they’ll try to shorten the gap because Cruzeiro is also going on difficult away trip to Goias where Gremio was also defeated two rounds before. That defeat was the only “black spot” in Gremio’s form – in last seven outings they won six. They do have some absences but those are not so important for the team and are mostly related to defense line which inefficient Nautico is not capable to put in danger. Since they appointed coach Gaucho they’ve found their winning formula and I really don’t see how Nautico will be able get two consecutive positive results against top teams – they wouldn’t be on the last spot if they are really able to do so. Bet: 2 (Gremio wins) Odds: 2.00 Cheers ;)
  24. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > 10th September And Slovenia takes all three points..another pay-day :)
  25. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > 10th September SLOVENIA – CYPRUS (WCQ Europe) Slovenia and Cyprus played seven times so far and not once did Cyprus manage to win. There is absolutely no reason why that trend should be broken today. Their motivation is not on the highest level as they don’t have even theoretical chance to go to Brasil and they have a lot of problems with absences. Striker Cristofi, defender Christoua and winger Efrem are all out including one of their most dangerous offensive player from APOEL, Aloneftis who has a suspension. As for their play it is enough to say that they haven’t scored in more than 340 minutes. Slovenia on the other hand will be boosted by the return of their captain Cesar and they still have a chance to advance at least to play-offs if they win all the remaining three matches. They’ve had a bit of luck beating Albania recently but their stable and organized, moreover disciplined play will be enough to get them all three points here against last-placed Cyprus. Bet: 2 Odds: 2.10 bol ;)