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Everything posted by TheresNoLimit

  1. Re: Wimbledon 2013 The tips on here are 2-0 in favour of Murray at the moment and I find that baffling. Djokovic was around 1.14 to beat Del Potro and is around 1.6 to beat Murray. Why the massive difference in prices? Is it simply because Murray is a member of the 'Big Four?' To me, the odds on Djokovic should have been around the 1.3 mark in both the Del Potro and Murray matches. Bookies seem reluctant to offer someone from the 'Big Four' at any sort of decent odds - in a game like this I think that provides us with big value on the favourite, ie Djokovic. Murray's record in Grand Slam finals is 1-5. Djokovic's is (I think) 6-4. If you take the 'new Djokovic' (from 2011 onwards) his record is 6-2. What is the Grand Slam record between these two? I can only think of one Murray win. Djokovic is totally dominant in the head-to-heads and the only major win which Murray had between them came with some serious help from the wind anyway. Granted, grass is the one surface Murray COULD compete with Djokovic on. However, I feel Djokovic is on top of his game on grass and Murray is not at his best on grass at the moment. I think Djokovic will match 2011 in terms of the specific Grand Slams he wins this year. 3-2 Djokovic would be my prediction if pushed. I already have big money riding on Djokovic (effectively a free bet, as I get my stake back if Murray wins) from the start of the tournament and I think I'll have bets on the result being either 3-1 Djokovic or 3-2 Djokovic tomorrow.
  2. Re: Wimbledon 2013 I think betting on Djokovic, Murray or Janowicz to lose a set is risky, let alone all three! I'd rather be on the 3-0 bets to be honest. We'll see how it pans out though.
  3. Re: Wimbledon 2013 The outright prices on Del Potro in particular and also Berdych to some extent look huge, I'm surprised they haven't been reduced although I suppose in some way their task hasn't changed with Tsonga, Federer, Nadal out inthe other half. I'm on Djokovic with Murray cover from pre-tournament so I think I'll lump some serious cash on Del Potro now. 28/1 is massive, worth an each way look. Also, barring injury Murray will reach the final, do any bookies have odds on this? 1/3 or higher would probably be backable.
  4. Re: Wimbledon 2013 You know there are other possible scores apart from 3-1? Do you feel this is a profitable long term strategy?
  5. Re: Wimbledon 2013 I'm not sure about this. I'll say it now and I'll repeat it if as I expect Murray and Federer meet in the semis. Murray will beat Federer and probably quite comfortably. I could be wrong but that's the way I see it. You have to remember that Murray was beating Federer in last year's final when it was an outdoor grass match and Murray has demolished Federer several times since then. The match reaching 5 sets in Australia flattered Federer big time, I remember at the time thinking how one-sided a five set match it was (Murray had 4 more breaks of serve than Federer did in the match and Federer managed to win the two tie breaks.) Wimbledon is obviously Federer's best shot at winning yet another Grand Slam but the way Murray destroys Federer's second serve, I just don't see how Federer could beat Murray over 5 sets.
  6. Re: Wimbledon 2013 Federer 'should beat Murray?' Where do you get that from? Murray has Federer's number nowadays and destroys his second serve and to a certain extent his game in general. Granted, grass would probably be Federer's best chance of beating Murray but I've already got their potential semi-final marked down as one of my best money-making chances of the tournament as the bookies will no doubt over-estimate Federer as usual based on his past, leaving us with very decent odds on Murray.
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