TheresNoLimit
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Posts posted by TheresNoLimit
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Re: NBA regular season 2013/2014 Why were 8-1 home record Mavericks not favoutrites at home to 2-6 away record Timberwolves?
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Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England Ok, another 'I don't understand cricket' question. I get why players would want to hit the ball in the air and look for boundaries during T20 and one-day matches, where they have to find the balance between scoring and preserving their wicket. However, why were England's players doing this in the second innings of this test match when their ONLY objective should have been to preserve their wickets? Fair enough if you get bowled or out LBW but why hit the ball in the air and give the opposition a chance to catch it when there is no possible gain from this? Am I missing something here? (Kevin Pietersen being the most obvious example but several others as well.)
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Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England
Thanks. I'm thinking the 1/6 on Australia to win the match is very short and it's putting me off betting on it. I'm sure England can bat out for the draw from here, why are the odds for the Australian win so short?Sorry for the long reply: It has been an easy pitch to bat on, but that doesn't mean runs are guaranteed. The pressure of a first Ashes match, tensions carrying over from the summer, an iffy prep by way of warm-up games either rained off or against crap opposition, all variables that have played out here. The wickets weren't due to the pitch, but either shocking shot selection, or wilting in the face of intimidatory bowling (90+mph short balls). These things happen in cricket. England have not batted well as a team for a long time now. The tricky betting issue is, the ability is there, its just for whatever reason lots of experienced batsmen are going through ruts at the same time (Cook, Trott, Prior). To try and answer your question, England lost wickets in a quick heap because they, in an effort to regroup after losing wickets of Cook, Trott and Pietersen, stopped looking to score runs. Some pundits have suggested this is possibly down to Carberry's lack of experience at test level, just letting the spin bowler Lyon bowl at him. This then allows bowlers to develop rhythm, confidence and pressure. Once England lost Bell cheaply, the Aussie's were fired up, and they had Johnson bowling very aggressive, attacking short bowling. England have not faced this for a long time, the pitches in Aus are faster and bouncier than England. Subsequently, they wilted under the combination of Lyon building pressure, Johnson bowling rapid aggressive bouncers, and the Aussie crowd as fervent as heard for a long time. Finally, I wouldn't say it is fair asking people how you should bet now to recoup losses. People post on here with their tips and reasonings in good faith, but nobody has professed to tip up sure things, and to go big on any sport you don't profess to have a knowledge of is risky as you have limited knowledge how to react in-play if needed. Yesterday was a freak day really, its rare in top level test cricket for collapses of that magnitude to happen, but if there is one environment they can proffer in, its the first day of an Ashes series when tensions, nerves and adrenaline are high. -
Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England
I'm trying to make money whether that be through using my own expertise or other people's. I went big on England or draw due to what I was hearing from people about it being an easy pitch to bat on. How did they go from Cook and Carberry ticking along nicely to not being able to score at all to then throwing their wickets away for fun? What changed? Also, should I get on Australia now to recoup as much of my losses as possible or is there still a chance for England or the draw?Then why bet on something you dont understand? They have collapsed, bottom line they are struggling big time now and a draw is the best we can hope for, cannot see us being set a target below 400 and tou dont chase those often. Only hope is the tail wags much along the lines of their later order with haddin and johnson Sent from my GT-I9505 using Tapatalk 2 -
Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England What are England playing at? I don't really understand cricket, so can I get some analysis please. Cook and Carberry looked very comfortable, so where did Cook and England throw it away? I'm looking like losing an awful lot of money here, did not see this coming at all.
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Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov
1/6 for it not to happen?!?? I wish I'd known that before the game, FREE MONEY!!!It was a good price. It was 4/1 with Boylesports and 1/6 for it not to happen so a big arb opportunity. It was 18/1 with bet365 in the Waites game who missed double 12 for the 9 darter. The way both Taylor and Lewis played there I am quite surprised the 9 darter never happened. -
Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov
I'm not sure how you can consider that a 'tremendous price.' If anything, it looks a bit short to me.Bet365 have a 9 dart finish in the Taylor Lewis game as 22/1 at the moment. Tremendous price considering the way that Lewis is playing at the moment and when these 2 meet it normally brings out the best in Taylor so definitely worth a small punt if you can get on at 22s. -
Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov What was Simon Whitlock all about? You can't lose to anyone from three breaks of throw up and you can't lose to Ted Hankey full stop. A bit of a disgraceful performance from someone in Whitlock's position in the rankings and I'm really frustrated at the money it has cost me.
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Re: Grand Slam of Darts - 9-17 Nov I'm not sure how the seeding for this tournament was done but looking at the draw for the group stages I'd say the seeding was done badly. Some really tough groups and then some really weak groups, not an evenly spread draw at all.
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Re: November 4 - November 10
That's how doubles works all year round' date=' except for the slams.[/quote'] Is that how it's been at previous ATP Tour Finals? -
Re: November 4 - November 10 I'm so upset at what's just gone on. Is this a common format in doubles or has this come from nowhere? 4-0 up in the deciding (first to 10) tie-break and I should still have got out of jail but it's gone horribly wrong. All too often that bets are bringing me close to tears but this one I feel hard done by and not sure what else I could have done. I'd have liked more transparency from the betting company in advising about the strange format at the time when bets are placed.
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Re: November 4 - November 10 What's this nonsense doubles format all about??? No deuces?!? I'm on the Bryan brothers as part of an accumulator but regretted it as soon as I started watching and realised the format. I'm all for researching bets but there's only so far you can take that - I didn't realise they would change the whole format of tennis. That's like turning the TV on to see they're playing without a net!
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Re: November 4 - November 10
No' date=' short-term tiredness has always been a bigger problem in my eyes. The H2H record is as it is, that wouldn't bother me too much to be fair - but, if you fancy Ferrer, go for him.[/quote'] Hey, I trust your tennis opinion more than mine, I just wanted to hear your justifications for it. As in what's happened since Ferrer beat Nadal on Saturday to make Nadal a 2/9 favourite? A slower court? I don't think Ferrer's 2 sets on Sunday make too much difference to this game on Tuesday do they? If you believe the slower court now gives Nadal that much of an edge then I'm happy to trust your opinion and bet on it. -
Re: November 4 - November 10
Is it true that Ferrer leads their hard court head-to-head by 4 wins to 3? If so, why do you feel so confident of going against that? Also, do you not feel Nadal's 'long-term' tiredness is going to be more of a problem than Ferrer's 'short-term' tiredness?Back Rafael Nadal (-4) to beat David Ferrer for a 2/10 stake at 2.05 with Pinnacle Can't see past Nadal here - health problems are probably the only thing that could stop him here. The surface is a bit slower than the one in Paris, so Ferrer won't get a lot from his attacking combinations - and tiredness should creep in once he falls behind. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/nadal-vs-ferrer-betting-an-easy-victory-should-be-on-the-cards-for-the-world-s-number-one -
Re: November 4 - November 10
Have to admitt i really tryed hard to find some bet so far in this tournament but finding some value bet so far was nearly impossible' date=' speaking about singles, i'm not following doubles... Today also, lines are okay, as well as all other markets. Will wait and see but can't really see any bet in which we would have some edge over the bookies...[/quote'] Ferrer's odds look long. I think all Nadal's efforts this season are catching up with him at last. -
Re: November 4 - November 10 I went in large on 2-0 Del Potro. Bitterly disappointed at how that first set panned out. Perfectly reasonable bet, all three pundits in the Sky Sports studio tipped the same, no offence to Richard Gasquet at all but he shouldn't be taking a set here. Not happy.
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Re: Pakistan vs South Africa - ODI Series & T20 Series India chase down 350 whilst Pakistan are failing to chase 180. Farcical from Pakistan.
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Re: October 28 - November 3 Tsonga. Oh dear :(
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Re: India vs Australia - T20 International & ODI Series Where does a chase of 360 rank in terms of all-time highest chases?
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Re: World Grand Prix 7th-13th October An absolute nonsense of a performance from Justin Pipe. Miscounts, going for ridiculous bull finishes, generally being miles below the treble 20. For someone in a semi final that was very poor indeed. You can't ask them to throw each dart correctly but you can ask them to count correctly and play the correct percentage shots.
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Re: World Grand Prix 7th-13th October The crowd need to stop trying to influence the matches. Booing on the doubles for the player who is winning the match. It's bang out of order and the ref and security need to work together to clamp down on this.
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Re: India vs Australia - T20 International & ODI Series I'm looking for a bit of advice with regards to cricket betting please guys. I don't really know the sport but is there money to be made by betting on it? I'm losing loads on it but I think I may be going about it the wrong way. Is it best to leave the in-running betting alone because I seem to be racking up a lot of losses on the in-running betting. Today for example, I was on India pre-match but panicked and switched allegiances during the match. Also, again I backed Australia to go past a fairly comfortable target when batting which they didn't reach. Is it as simple as a general 'no in-play betting' rule or what would you advise? Any other tips with regards to cricket betting or any suggestions as to where the value lies? Thanks
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Re: World Grand Prix 7th-13th October
I don't think that's strictly true.... 2 less opportunities per leg to be precise. -
Re: Tottenham Hotspur v West Ham > Sunday October 6th
Absolutely spot on and some of the most sensible words written on here for a long time. Too many 'expert punters' on this site, or whatever they call themselves, who want to look good by tipping odds-against shots but at the end of the day it's all about profit. 4/9 on Spurs is a simple way to make money, no need to complicate things by going on the handicaps or the overs/unders.I have looked at all these ways to get value from a game like this. So you look at all these exotic bets. HTFT, Win to NIL, scorelines, Anytime scorer etc etc And what happens , some stupid stroke of bad luck, a needless penalty when 3-0. Murphy's law always strikes when it counts. Perfect example of this was Everton v Newcastle Monday night. I thought that Everton would win it to NIL. Newcastle were terrible in the 1st half, Everton go to sleep and let the magpies back in. RESULT : BET SCREWED ! Yet taking the basic home win (1.6) on everton wins you a bet, and saves you from losing a bet . On a 2 unit bet this is a 3 unit swing !My point is really this ...... DON'T REJECT A GIFT. Take the home win, and don't be greedy. It's a long season, and you will be a winner over it by taking the reasonable bets that are on offer. To me it's more than reasonable to expect SPURS to win this game. Happy to take the home win 3 units at 1.5 bet365 My dream parlay for the weekend. SPURS HW, Mainz v Hoffenheim 0ver25, Man City HW, Sevilla HW
Southampton V Aston Villa > Wednesday 4th December
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: Southampton V Aston Villa > Wednesday 4th December
What a load of nonsense. They've narrowly lost a couple of away games at Arsenal and Chelsea. If you have been following the Premiership at all you will know that Southampton are where they are on merit, not by some fluke. They certainly aren't heading back to the lower echelons of the Premier League, 'where they belong' according to you - no idea where you got the idea that they belong there. At the very worst Southampton will be battling with Newcastle to be best of the rest outside the 'Big 7' and could even finish a bit higher than that. I should add that I'm fairly neutral in Premiership terms - apart from hating Man Utd - I'm not a Southampton fan in case that's what you think.