** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
** Cheltenham Tipster Competition Result : 1st Old codger, 2nd sirspread, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert **
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Pirate53 got a reaction from harry_rag in BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS
I have a BetMGM account, did all the offers, lasted about 2 weeks until I got gubbed. Now can only get v small amounts on. They do have daily price boosts that I still use even to small stakes. Bit surprised they haven't stopped them. Get a weekly £5 free bet for doing 1 bet builder and 1 acca of £10 each, odds over 2.00 (1/1).
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Pirate53 got a reaction from tonythepaint in DAILY LUCKY 15
Johannes 12.20 Exeter
Issuing Authority 13.30 Ex
Roger Rarebit 14.15 Uttox
Appreciate It 14.30 Punch
0.20p ew Lucky Staked £6.00 with PlanetSportBet
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in BLACK FRIDAY OFFERS
I have a BetMGM account, did all the offers, lasted about 2 weeks until I got gubbed. Now can only get v small amounts on. They do have daily price boosts that I still use even to small stakes. Bit surprised they haven't stopped them. Get a weekly £5 free bet for doing 1 bet builder and 1 acca of £10 each, odds over 2.00 (1/1).
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Bang on in Hugh cannot be serious!! Can He?
Which is what I said. The 9/1 was shown as 9 not 10 (I checked this particular price before I posted, though must admit I didn't check every one) Hence when it won it was shown as 9pts won. This is what happened, but the error was not showing the decimal price as 10. He did indeed tip it at 9/1 and it won 9pts. It therefore is the table that is incorrect as I said, not HT's fault. As you can see I'm perfectly able to 'Do the maths'.
The lack of availability of prices as the Caan Berry vid is a different kettle of fish, which I completely agree with and was not my point at all.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Hugh cannot be serious!! Can He?
Not sure what point the OP or VT are making. In the table the odds are advised as a decimal version of the original fractional odds. Not decimal odds as we know.
For example 9/1 is shown as 9 with 9 returned, not 10 with 9 returned. The fault is with ATR for a crap table, not HT.
I follow several tipsters and the prices always bomb. Wait til the off and most rebound.
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Pirate53 reacted to StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > Oct 11th - 17th
No idea why that price was flying around. Plymouth have looked unreal under Schumacher. On the flip side, MK Dons have been a bit of a disappointment this season. Thought they might be in the mix at the play-off end with Liam Manning still there but it's been poor so far.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > Oct 11th - 17th
Lol Argyle 3 up at HT!
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Pirate53 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > Oct 11th - 17th
Anyone have an opinion on why Plymouth are around 2.25 to win at MK Dons? I watched Bristol Rovers v MK on Tuesday and MK were abject. I see Argyle will be missing Dan Scarr tomorrow but this can't be the only reason?
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Pirate53 reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Sunday 23rd May
3.15 curragh going for a o’brien Pulling a fast one ?
friendly 50/1 6 places
empress josephine 20/1
both e/w ?
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Rated a few races but only 1 stands out ....
350 curr
Aesop 8.0 12/1
In from cold 7.7 14/1
Moirann 7.0 7/1
Dance jupiter 6.9 6/1
Tough race but top 2 are good prices and these are the sort of races we need to be looking for ....big value so although irish I'll take a chance and play
Aesop 5pt win 12/1
In from cold 5pt win 17.0 betfair
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
I just want to get a formula that's consistent and stable and then we can move on to the fun stuff which is chasing some big wins .....I really enjoy rating and the results are way above your be able to achieve just picking randomly in such a wide variety of races .....I really want to get back to pricing up too so I havent forgot it I'm just trying to get the form sorted then I'll regularly start pricing up too .....I think I'll pick 2 races on every saturday and do singles doubles ...and maybe even forecasts and forecast doubles just to have a shot at a big payout each weekend .....only have to land 1 or 2 each year and youd be laughing.........just want to get the formula right then can get on with the fun bit ......making some money ...lol ...its coming you reap what you sow
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Friday 14th May
Just realised I posted a horse that runs tomorrow! Please ignore and my selection today will be:
Kilbeggan 17.10 Imperial Sachins 1pt win @ 9/4 Betvictor
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Pirate53 reacted to MCLARKE in Pricing your own race
I'm working on a ratings system but not ready yet to unleash on the world !
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Pirate53 reacted to MCLARKE in Pricing your own race
I have analysed my results over the last 7 years and I have more losing days than winning days (43%).
Longest losing run is 16 days, best winning run is 12 days.
I've made a profit each year which to me is the true test of whether my betting is working.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Monday 3rd May
Curragh 15.45 Pale Iris 1pt win @ 10/1 Betfred
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Mother earth wins 10/1 !!....that better
Back up to +511.00
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
My crack at the Suffolk Stakes:
Bright Melody 18.96 6/1 4/1 No value
Maydanny 15.39 15/2 6/1 No value
Dubai Legacy 15.31 15/2 11/1 Value
Mascat 14.85 8/1 13/2 No value
Bell Rock 14.29 17/2 7/2 No value
Overwrite 13.46 9/1 10/1 Some value
Bright Melody way ahead on my ratings.
1pt wins on Bright Melody and Dubai Legacy.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from gbettle in Pricing your own race
My crack at the Suffolk Stakes:
Bright Melody 18.96 6/1 4/1 No value
Maydanny 15.39 15/2 6/1 No value
Dubai Legacy 15.31 15/2 11/1 Value
Mascat 14.85 8/1 13/2 No value
Bell Rock 14.29 17/2 7/2 No value
Overwrite 13.46 9/1 10/1 Some value
Bright Melody way ahead on my ratings.
1pt wins on Bright Melody and Dubai Legacy.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Pricing your own race
Lights On wins, Seperate 3rd. Poets Lady crapped out!
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Nice rating .....I should know better than to mess with irish racing ...never again lol
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Lights On wins, Seperate 3rd. Poets Lady crapped out!