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Pirate53

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  1. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Wolves 19.10
    Stay Classy           16.69        9/2
    Toronado Queen   16.13        9/2
    Lottie Marie           15.92        5/1
    Stay Classy value 10.5 Betfair
  2. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Wolves 19.10
    Stay Classy           16.69        9/2
    Toronado Queen   16.13        9/2
    Lottie Marie           15.92        5/1
    Stay Classy value 10.5 Betfair
  3. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Just a,quick one ....only just finished work ....
    740 wolv 
    Spirit of rowdown  7.9
    Wood view   7.7
    Most likely winner one of these 2 so I'll try 5pt each at 4.8 and 4.0  
  4. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Amtiyaz 2nd rated wins easily.
  5. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BBBC in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    My ratings, not confident!
    Give me a Copper       20.45     7/1
    Mr Malarkey                19.70     15/2
    Canelo                         18.75     8/1
    Takingrisks                   17.4      17/2
    Rockys Treasure         16.65      9/1
    Boldmere                     14.9      10/1
    One For The Team      13.0       12/1
    Musical Slave              12.4      12.5/1   
    Aye Right                     11.85     13/1
    Cap Du nord                11.80     13/1
    The Butcher Said        10.9       14/1
    Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
    Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
     
  6. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    I had a tenner ew on Canelo but didn't get on Takingrisks. TV/Firestick playing up and by the time I sorted it the race was over!
  7. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Tedthewolf in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    Yorkhill did me a big favour lto but not for me this week as we are likley to be  on at least soft ground york hill needs good ground. I'm with Chris on rank  outsider TAKING RISKS looks to have a very decent e/w chance  and have just  taking e/w with Bet 365  at a massive 33/1 3places 1/4 odds & BOG. Was behind york hill lto 1lb lower here  over  same  trip  will be a lot softer here which will suit got hampered a bit lto  i just can not let this horse go unbacked at current odds.
  8. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    My ratings, not confident!
    Give me a Copper       20.45     7/1
    Mr Malarkey                19.70     15/2
    Canelo                         18.75     8/1
    Takingrisks                   17.4      17/2
    Rockys Treasure         16.65      9/1
    Boldmere                     14.9      10/1
    One For The Team      13.0       12/1
    Musical Slave              12.4      12.5/1   
    Aye Right                     11.85     13/1
    Cap Du nord                11.80     13/1
    The Butcher Said        10.9       14/1
    Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
    Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
     
  9. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Villa Chris in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    My ratings, not confident!
    Give me a Copper       20.45     7/1
    Mr Malarkey                19.70     15/2
    Canelo                         18.75     8/1
    Takingrisks                   17.4      17/2
    Rockys Treasure         16.65      9/1
    Boldmere                     14.9      10/1
    One For The Team      13.0       12/1
    Musical Slave              12.4      12.5/1   
    Aye Right                     11.85     13/1
    Cap Du nord                11.80     13/1
    The Butcher Said        10.9       14/1
    Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
    Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
     
  10. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Villa Chris in Pricing your own race   
    Amtiyaz 2nd rated wins easily.
  11. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Amtiyaz 2nd rated wins easily.
  12. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    My ratings, not confident!
    Give me a Copper       20.45     7/1
    Mr Malarkey                19.70     15/2
    Canelo                         18.75     8/1
    Takingrisks                   17.4      17/2
    Rockys Treasure         16.65      9/1
    Boldmere                     14.9      10/1
    One For The Team      13.0       12/1
    Musical Slave              12.4      12.5/1   
    Aye Right                     11.85     13/1
    Cap Du nord                11.80     13/1
    The Butcher Said        10.9       14/1
    Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
    Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
     
  13. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday   
    I've tweaked the formula slightly and rerated the race 
    Aye right  8.4 
    Mister malarkey  8.2 
    York hill    8.2
    Taking risks  8.0 
    Cap du nord  7.8 
    This looks aye rights for the taking....he was improving up until the last run which I think can be ignored .....handles soft ....i think he can bounce back at a big price.....
    Aye right ..10pts ew 10/1 bet365  
  14. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Kempton 14.00
    Rochester House     13.32     8/1       7/1    No value
    Amtiyaz                    13.13     8/1       2/1    No value
    Hasanabad              12.95     17/2     10/1   Value
    Koeman                   12.57     9/1       12/1   Value
    Dal Horrisgle            11.67     19/2     18/1   Value
    Cosmelli                   11.29     10/1     40/1   Value
    Charlie D                  10.78     10.5/1  12/1  Value
    Chipiron                   10.57      10.5/1   7/1   No Value
    Vibrance                   9.63       12/1      5/1    No value
    Cleonte                     8.97       13/1     33/1   Value
    To Be Wild                8.50       14/1     33/1   Value
    Amtiyaz should win but too short imo. I would have a bet on Chipiron if it drifts out.
  15. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Same here!
  16. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
  17. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    New look 3rd behind the unratable polish import ....another good value performance .....really really happy with thexratings today ....very consistent.....I'm happy the hcap ones are ready now ......now I need to fully focus on the non hcaps now .....got a month to get that right then I'll be ready for war ? 
  18. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from vikki37 in Pricing your own race   
    Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
  19. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
  20. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Lingfield 16.05
    Arabescato     12.78     13/2       11/4     No value
    Cafe Milano    10.76     8/1         7/1       No value
    Libretta           10.61     8.25/1    11/1     Some value
    Dream Point    10.35    17/2        6/1      No value
    Bird To Love    10.08     9/1        25/1     Value
    Gold Souk        9.26     10/1        5/1      No value
    Libretta value but Arabescato too far ahead so wins for me.
  21. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Lingfield 16.05
    Arabescato     12.78     13/2       11/4     No value
    Cafe Milano    10.76     8/1         7/1       No value
    Libretta           10.61     8.25/1    11/1     Some value
    Dream Point    10.35    17/2        6/1      No value
    Bird To Love    10.08     9/1        25/1     Value
    Gold Souk        9.26     10/1        5/1      No value
    Libretta value but Arabescato too far ahead so wins for me.
  22. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    1st 2nd 3rd 5th .....crimewave wins easily 
  23. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Value bet Rockesbury 2nd.
  24. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race   
    Lingfield 12.45
    Pour La Victoire   18.75      8/1       9/2    No value  
    Heptathlete           17.7      17/2     15/8   No value
    De Little Engine    16.8       9/1       9/1   About right
    Para Mio               16.45     9/1      28/1   Some value
    Rockesbury           16.1     19/2      11/1  Value
  25. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race   
    Lingfield 12.45
    Pour La Victoire   18.75      8/1       9/2    No value  
    Heptathlete           17.7      17/2     15/8   No value
    De Little Engine    16.8       9/1       9/1   About right
    Para Mio               16.45     9/1      28/1   Some value
    Rockesbury           16.1     19/2      11/1  Value
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