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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Wolves 19.10
Stay Classy 16.69 9/2
Toronado Queen 16.13 9/2
Lottie Marie 15.92 5/1
Stay Classy value 10.5 Betfair
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Wolves 19.10
Stay Classy 16.69 9/2
Toronado Queen 16.13 9/2
Lottie Marie 15.92 5/1
Stay Classy value 10.5 Betfair
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Just a,quick one ....only just finished work ....
740 wolv
Spirit of rowdown 7.9
Wood view 7.7
Most likely winner one of these 2 so I'll try 5pt each at 4.8 and 4.0
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BBBC in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
My ratings, not confident!
Give me a Copper 20.45 7/1
Mr Malarkey 19.70 15/2
Canelo 18.75 8/1
Takingrisks 17.4 17/2
Rockys Treasure 16.65 9/1
Boldmere 14.9 10/1
One For The Team 13.0 12/1
Musical Slave 12.4 12.5/1
Aye Right 11.85 13/1
Cap Du nord 11.80 13/1
The Butcher Said 10.9 14/1
Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from The Brigadier in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
I had a tenner ew on Canelo but didn't get on Takingrisks. TV/Firestick playing up and by the time I sorted it the race was over!
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Pirate53 reacted to Tedthewolf in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
Yorkhill did me a big favour lto but not for me this week as we are likley to be on at least soft ground york hill needs good ground. I'm with Chris on rank outsider TAKING RISKS looks to have a very decent e/w chance and have just taking e/w with Bet 365 at a massive 33/1 3places 1/4 odds & BOG. Was behind york hill lto 1lb lower here over same trip will be a lot softer here which will suit got hampered a bit lto i just can not let this horse go unbacked at current odds.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
My ratings, not confident!
Give me a Copper 20.45 7/1
Mr Malarkey 19.70 15/2
Canelo 18.75 8/1
Takingrisks 17.4 17/2
Rockys Treasure 16.65 9/1
Boldmere 14.9 10/1
One For The Team 13.0 12/1
Musical Slave 12.4 12.5/1
Aye Right 11.85 13/1
Cap Du nord 11.80 13/1
The Butcher Said 10.9 14/1
Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Villa Chris in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
My ratings, not confident!
Give me a Copper 20.45 7/1
Mr Malarkey 19.70 15/2
Canelo 18.75 8/1
Takingrisks 17.4 17/2
Rockys Treasure 16.65 9/1
Boldmere 14.9 10/1
One For The Team 13.0 12/1
Musical Slave 12.4 12.5/1
Aye Right 11.85 13/1
Cap Du nord 11.80 13/1
The Butcher Said 10.9 14/1
Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Amtiyaz 2nd rated wins easily.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
My ratings, not confident!
Give me a Copper 20.45 7/1
Mr Malarkey 19.70 15/2
Canelo 18.75 8/1
Takingrisks 17.4 17/2
Rockys Treasure 16.65 9/1
Boldmere 14.9 10/1
One For The Team 13.0 12/1
Musical Slave 12.4 12.5/1
Aye Right 11.85 13/1
Cap Du nord 11.80 13/1
The Butcher Said 10.9 14/1
Try as I may I can't get Cap Du Nord any higher unless I cook the books! No uplift for trainer or jockey, No form at the distance.
Obvious value is Takingrisks ew. I fancy Canelo.
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Sky Bet Handicap Chase, Doncaster, Saturday
I've tweaked the formula slightly and rerated the race
Aye right 8.4
Mister malarkey 8.2
York hill 8.2
Taking risks 8.0
Cap du nord 7.8
This looks aye rights for the taking....he was improving up until the last run which I think can be ignored .....handles soft ....i think he can bounce back at a big price.....
Aye right ..10pts ew 10/1 bet365
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Kempton 14.00
Rochester House 13.32 8/1 7/1 No value
Amtiyaz 13.13 8/1 2/1 No value
Hasanabad 12.95 17/2 10/1 Value
Koeman 12.57 9/1 12/1 Value
Dal Horrisgle 11.67 19/2 18/1 Value
Cosmelli 11.29 10/1 40/1 Value
Charlie D 10.78 10.5/1 12/1 Value
Chipiron 10.57 10.5/1 7/1 No Value
Vibrance 9.63 12/1 5/1 No value
Cleonte 8.97 13/1 33/1 Value
To Be Wild 8.50 14/1 33/1 Value
Amtiyaz should win but too short imo. I would have a bet on Chipiron if it drifts out.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
New look 3rd behind the unratable polish import ....another good value performance .....really really happy with thexratings today ....very consistent.....I'm happy the hcap ones are ready now ......now I need to fully focus on the non hcaps now .....got a month to get that right then I'll be ready for war ?
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Pirate53 got a reaction from vikki37 in Pricing your own race
Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Double Legend 14/1 on my ratings so would have been value. Must post the whole field from now on. 1st and 3rd rated came 3rd and 2nd. Proves these ratings are working to a degree.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Lingfield 16.05
Arabescato 12.78 13/2 11/4 No value
Cafe Milano 10.76 8/1 7/1 No value
Libretta 10.61 8.25/1 11/1 Some value
Dream Point 10.35 17/2 6/1 No value
Bird To Love 10.08 9/1 25/1 Value
Gold Souk 9.26 10/1 5/1 No value
Libretta value but Arabescato too far ahead so wins for me.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Lingfield 16.05
Arabescato 12.78 13/2 11/4 No value
Cafe Milano 10.76 8/1 7/1 No value
Libretta 10.61 8.25/1 11/1 Some value
Dream Point 10.35 17/2 6/1 No value
Bird To Love 10.08 9/1 25/1 Value
Gold Souk 9.26 10/1 5/1 No value
Libretta value but Arabescato too far ahead so wins for me.
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Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
1st 2nd 3rd 5th .....crimewave wins easily
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Lingfield 12.45
Pour La Victoire 18.75 8/1 9/2 No value
Heptathlete 17.7 17/2 15/8 No value
De Little Engine 16.8 9/1 9/1 About right
Para Mio 16.45 9/1 28/1 Some value
Rockesbury 16.1 19/2 11/1 Value
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Pirate53 got a reaction from richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Lingfield 12.45
Pour La Victoire 18.75 8/1 9/2 No value
Heptathlete 17.7 17/2 15/8 No value
De Little Engine 16.8 9/1 9/1 About right
Para Mio 16.45 9/1 28/1 Some value
Rockesbury 16.1 19/2 11/1 Value