-
Posts
1,143 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Reputation Activity
-
Pirate53 reacted to Valiant Thor in Racing Post
Im up between 5.00 to 5.30am every morning as I can never sleep for more than 4-5 hrs always been like that as long as I can remember (might be something to do with the gallons of coffee i drink)
-
Pirate53 reacted to Darran in Hunter Chase season 2019
I have been putting Non-League football tips up on Punters Lounge for over 8 years now and for over a year they have been exclusively on this site. I haven't ventured too much into the horse racing section although I have put up some hunter chase previews in my time on the forums. I have been tipping in hunter chases online for 9 years now. The first 3 of those were free, but in 2013 I started charging for my previews and ran an email preview and review service for the next 6 years. Towards the end of the last hunter chase season Paul and me slightly randomly started emailing about what my hunter chase previews and to cut a long story short my previews for the 2019 season will now exclusively be on the Punters Lounge forums.
The reason I focus on hunter chases when it comes to horse racing is that I firmly believe they are the best betting medium in racing. Because the form and video footage isn't widely available it means there are more mistakes made by the bookmakers when it comes to pricing them up and in that regards it is very much like Non-League football.
If you haven't seen one of my previews before then they are in-depth and I also write reviews of every race as well as I think that is just as important as writing the preview. I have added profit totals for the last 6 seasons. Now these totals are estimates rather than set in stone. First of all until last year I never put points totals to tips on the 3 hunter chase meetings so they aren't included prior to last year. Also I know people will get different prices from what I have put them up at. Sometimes bigger sometimes shorter so people's profits will be different. I also think the tips are only part of the package as I like to increase people's interest and knowledge on hunter chases in the same way I hope to do the same via my Non-League previews.
I haven't not made a profit yet, but I will never promise a profit as no one can. Hopefully though it will be another successful season. The first race is on Wednesday at Taunton and I am really looking forward to the season ahead. There are over 90 races this season and each separate day's action will have a new thread. Most previews will go up at some point the night before although occasionally it will be on the day of the race. Any questions then don't hesitate to ask.
2018 34pts
2017 29pts
2016 73pts
2015 120pts
2014 43pts
2013 30pts
-
Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Racing Chat - Wednesday Jan 2nd
One from each meeting:
2.30 Hereford: Go Long 5/6
12.30 Ayr: Johnbb 8/11
1.10 Wolves: Benny And The Jets 11/4
5.45 Newcastle: Newmarket Warrior 5/2
1pt Lucky 15
-
Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in 2018/19 Top 10 Tracks - Jumps Thread
Results
3rd 10/1 EW, Won 10/11
Stakes: 70pts
Returns: 36.59pts
Loss of 150.76pts
Poor end to the year but we are in profit overall I suppose.
New thread starts on Jan 1st with new rules as we spoke about before
Calendar and tracks will be posted in the new thread later.
Thanks all
-
Pirate53 reacted to Valiant Thor in EW SINGLES
Never in doubt
COPPER WEST won
Returns 8.00
Totals
Runners 27
wins 7
placed 8
Staked 54pts
returned 89.15 pts
P/L 35.15 pts
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Winter AW System
Yesterdays Results:
Lingfield 12.40 Elamirr 1st @ 5.60 BSP = +4.37pts
Lingfield 14.20 Laubali lost -1pt
Lingfield 15.30 Odds On Oli No Bet (fav)
Staked 63
Returned: 76.85
No qualifiers today.
-
Pirate53 reacted to MCLARKE in Winter AW System
Thanks Pirate, had my 1st bet today and had a winner with San Carlos. I must admit I can't be bothered to evaluate the odds close to the off so I put the bet on earlier. Turned out not to fit in with 2 of your rules so perhaps I was fortunate, I'll see how it goes.
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Winter AW System
Yesterdays Results:
Wolves 17.15 Poeta Brasileiro, The Golden Cue 1st @ 7.82 BSP = +6.48 pts, No Bet (40/1)
Wolves 18.15 Vee Man Ten No Bet (fav)
Staked 46
Returned: 55.93
Todays Sels:
Southwell 13.30 Jack Taylor
Southwell 14.30 Cognac Blue, Melgate Magic
Southwell 15.00 Geography Teacher
Southwell 15.30 Jabarout
Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11
-
-
Pirate53 reacted to Alastair in Do PL tips really make a profit?
1. Why put all your money with one bookmaker ? Spreading it around gives you a chance of accessing better odds if Bet365's are not so good.
2. Why not start off with a much lower level of stake - say £2 then increase as you are profitable at each level. So be profitable at £2 then go up to £3, be profitable at £3 and then go up to £4 and so on until you get to a level of £20; thereafter increase stakes by reference to a percentage of your bank, say 1/250. That way if you are losing early on you lose a lot less and if you are winning you can acquire the confidence necessary to be a successful punter in the long run.
-
Pirate53 reacted to Valiant Thor in EW SINGLES
SIZING TENNESSEE wins
Returned 21.20
Totals
Runners 12
wins 3
placed 3
Staked 24
returned 47.90
P/L 23.90
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Backtesting a system
There is a rudimentary system builder at Adrian Masseys site http://adrianmassey.no-ip.org it's titled Favourite Analysis but will cover anything you want. And it's free!!
-
Pirate53 reacted to richard-westwood in 2018 BetVictor Gold Cup/ Greatwood Hurdle - Tips & Trends
Nice doing business .....shame about non runner but fab run
-
Pirate53 reacted to Valiant Thor in Rolling back time
Yep spot on, A guy called BRAN posted it, it similar to the JamesStanley one a day Formula.
thats the criteria most tipped horse in RP with a max of 1 horse against min odds 1/4,
Was proofed on R-S and over the time span gave 79% ish strike rate so thought id give it a new lease of life see how it goes 16yrs on .
Gives me something to do
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Winter AW System
Todays Sels:
Newcastle 17.10 Emirates Knight
Newcastle 18.40 The Bull
Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from geoffrey craig in Winter AW System
Yesterdays:
Another winner!
Total Staked 21
Returns 7.59
Todays:
Wolves 16.35 Snaffled
Not if fav, shorter than 2/1 or greater than 10/1. BFSP can be higher than 11 provided ISP is not higher than 11
-
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Monday Oct 8th
Windsor 16.35 Sir Thomas Gresham 1pt win @ 13/2 Bet365
-
-
Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in Naps - Monday Oct 8th
15.15 Tipperary - Oh'herewego - 1 Pt Win @ 8\1 Bet365
-
Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Naps - Monday Oct 8th
330 Windsor
Mr Reckless EW 9/1 PP
Been trying to find something of value for Monday and its not easy. Come up with Mr Reckless trained by the in form Jamie Osborne and ridden by Nicola Currie who is good value for her claim.
Ran on the AW the last twice and although not disgraced (3rd to Wissahickon) its probably the reason he's such a big price, if you look at his form on turf its measures up to this field. He was handy last time and I think he may be better coming from off the pace as he did when he won at Wetherby, be interesting to see if they go back to those tactics.
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Thurs Oct 4th
Lingfield 13.50 Space Talk 1pt win @ 11/2 Bet365
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Tues Oct 2nd
Ayr 15.45 Redarna 1pt win @ 9/1 Bet365
-
Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Naps - Sunday Sept 30th
Epsom 16.45 Allegiant 1pt win @ 13/2 Bet365
-
Pirate53 reacted to YSM in Racing Chat - Thursday Sept 13th
Win bets :
Ffos Las 2.15 The Groove 10-3
Ffos Las 2.50 Smashing Lass 6-4
Ffos Las 3.25 Valentino Sunrise 7-1
Hamilton 4.50 Island Song 5-2
Hamilton 5.55 Alabanza 5-1
Hamilton 6.55 Nuns Walk (nap) 10-3
E/W bets:
Doncaster 1.50 Stay Classy 12-1
Doncaster 4.05 Big Lachie 16-1
Doncaster 5.10 Los Camachos 20-1
Hamilton 6.25 Northern Society 20-1