Newton-Heath
-
Posts
111 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Newton-Heath
-
-
Re: Magic formular... FC Dallas and Detroit both ended up as the winners. :clap Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 1013.51 pt Won/Loss: 4/2 Yield: +11,258 pct
-
Re: Magic formular... Another match for tonight (MLB): Detroit @ Seattle => 1.80 @ Expekt Good luck :hope
-
Re: Correct scores on favourites You say you've used this system with doubles and trebles but how often do you win by betting on doubles and trebles?
-
Re: Magic formular... Tonight match to bet on: FC Dallas vs NY Red Bulls => 1.65 @ Expekt I'll analyse som MLB-matches later today but I'm not sure if there's anything to bet on. Good luck anyway with my pick above. :hope
-
Re: Magic formular... NYY won as predicted. :clap Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 984.51 pt Won/Loss: 2/2 Yield: -19,36 pct
-
Re: Magic formular... Tonights match to bet on: NYY @ TB => 1.69 @ BF Good luck! :hope
-
Re: Magic formular... Well, both my bet just blew up into nothing. :( A penalty against Bohemians + a red card simply nailed the match. St. Patricks never stood a chance against a superb Drogheda. But the value of the odds on St. Patricks forced me to place the bet. Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 971.4 pt Won/Loss: 1/2 Yield: -47,66 pct Well, the yield doesn't look too good but I truly believe that the system works. I'll just give it a little time to prove itself...
-
Re: Magic formular... Well, NYM won just as predicted. :clap I forgot to mention that I'm using flat staking at 20 pt on each bet. Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 1011.4 pt Won/Loss: 1/0 Yield: +57 pct Tonight games: Drogheda vs St. Patricks => 5,4 @ BF Bohemians - Derry City => 1,74 (laying odds at 2,34 on Derry City) @ BF :hope
-
Well, I don't think that's there's any magic tricks to mathemathical logic but setting up the right formulars and use those formulas as they should be used might make mathematical logic appear magical :cow Anyway, I've been working on a system that calculates the percentage of each outcome in a match by combining regular stats, injuries, form, goals, etc. Although this system is mainly created for matches with three possible outcomes I'm trying to adjust it so it will also work on matches with only two outcomes. So, first out at this forum is a match from the MLB (yes, I know the system is mainly design for matches with three outcomes but as I'm adjusting to matches with fewer outcomes I might as well testing it with the MLB). Match to bet on: Pittsburgh @ NYM => 1,60 @ BF Starting bank: 1000 pt Current bank: 1000 pt Won/Loss: 0/0 Yield: 0.00 pct Good luck! :hope
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Almeria - Elche (2-0) :loon Profit: -1.64 At next (and final) bet in this treble the stake will now be 3.16 points. The challenge is ofcourse to pick a sure winner... N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? I've searched and I've found... : Almeria - Elche Prognose: +0.875 Bet: Lay awaywin Odds to lay: 5.60 Stake: 2.60 points Profit (if won): 0.56 Good luck :hope N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Crystal Palace - Southampton (2-1) :loon Profit: -2.20 Well, the first match of the treble was a sure winner. Now I have to find two more matches to bet on. The stake for the next bet is 2.60 points. I'll be back with some more selections. N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Well, I'll decided that I want to bet more safetly. So, instead of going for a profit of 2 points at each bet I'll bet on a treble with a stake of 2 points. The first match out is: Crystal Palace - Southampton Prognose: +0.591 Bet: Lay awaywin Odds to lay: 4.30 Stake: 2 points Profit (if won): +0.60 points Good luck :hope N-H PS! Vitoria vs Boavista and Kaiserslautern vs Hertha Berlin both came out with 0.00 at the prognose. You might want to bet on draws here. Thought you should know... Although I'm not going to bet on these matches myself. :cheers
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Scarborough - Grays Athl. (2-7) :loon Profit: -2.80 Although it seems that I might be back on track I do feel that it takes too long to build up some money. I'll therefore try to come up with a better staking-plan or a different way to bet (probably doubles or trebles instead of singles). N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Tonight I'll bet on: Scarborough - Grays Athl. Prognose: -0.680 Bet: Lay homewin Odds to lay: 4.7 Profit wanted: 2 points Stake: 7.40 points Good luck :hope N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? WBA - Bolton (0-0) :loon Profit: -4.80 Well, next time the prognose show 0.00 I'll might concider backing a draw rather than laying odds on any of the teams :ok N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Todays match: (This is a tricky one and you might wonder why I'm betting like this.) WBA - Bolton Prognose: 0.00 Bet: Lay homewin Profit wanted: 2 points Odds to lay: 2.56 Stake: 3.04 points Now, why would I bet like this is if the prognose is 0.00? Well, the reason is obvious.... The odds on WBA is to be layed at 2.52 and the odds on Bolton is to be layed at 3.20. WBA also got a homerecord of 6-1-10 while Bolton got an awayrecord of 4-5-8. WBA have manage to win 35.29 pct of their homegames while Bolton have managed to take points in 52.94 pct of their awaygames. Therefore I consider the teams to be equally fit but the odds indicate that I'm better off laying odds on WBA. Good luck :hope N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Valencia - Espanyol (4-0) :loon Profit: -6.80 Now, this one was a nice one.. N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Well, I've just found a nice one to bet on: Valencia - Espanyol Prognose: +0.688 Bet: Lay awaywin Profit wanted: 2 points Odds to lay: 9.20 Stake: 16.40 points Good luck :hope N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Schalke - Köln (1-1) :loon Ipswich - Brighton (1-2) :wall Profit: -8.80 points. I had a nice start but I quickly got my feets back on the ground. But I'm an optimist so I'll try to find more picks to bet on.. N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Well, I feel like I've just flushed my profit down in the toilet.. But that's how it goes sometimes. New picks (tomorrow - Saturday): Schalke - Köln Prognose +.0967 Bet: Lay awaywin Profit wanted: 2 points Odds to lay: 8.00 Stake: 14 points Ipswich - Brighton Prognose: +0.429 Bet: Lay awaywin Profit wanted: 2 points Odds to lay:4.40 Stake: 6.80 points Good luck :hope N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Southend lost against Gillingham (0-1) :wall My profit is now -4 points. I'l be back with some more to bet on... N-H
-
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Todays match: Southend - Gillingham Prognose: +0.950 Bet: Lay awaywin Odds to lay: 7.00 Profit wanted: 2 points Stake: 12 points (Gillingham have won 4 in a row and are in great shape. I think Southend is the team to stop Gillinghams winning-streak.)
Well, I can't reveal my secret... not yet :dude The reason is simple: I'm still just testing it (although I do bet on the matches I pick) and I want to try out different types of staking-plans to see which one fits best. I want everything to be perfect before I reveal the formula to anyone. It's a simple formula and I think the reason I haven't used it in the last couple of years is because I thought it was too simple. But it seems to work after all. But as with any other sytems out there I think this one will hit the wall as well. So here's where the staking-plans might be handy. But don't worry, I will reveal the secret eventually :) If you want I can use the formula on some matches you migth want me to take a look at. Just send me a PM. N-HHi NH, R U willing to share your formula? -
Re: To lay or not to lay... Could it be the key to success? Well, Karlsruhe pulled a draw against Offenbach (1-1) :loon My profit is now +8 points. The yield is 1.189. I'll see if I can come up with some great matches to bet on this weekend. N-H :cow
Magic formular...
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Magic formular... Tonight matches to bet on (NOR 1. div): Løv Ham vs Follo => 1.77 @ BF Aalesund vs Bodø/Glimt => 1.85 @ Expekt I'll see if I can get the time analysing some MLB-matches later on... Good luck! :hope