Newton-Heath
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Posts posted by Newton-Heath
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Re: HT/FT betting,could it be profitable? Well, I think this idea is good enough for me. But the question to this idea is: How do you pick your matches to bet on and what make you bet on them? It's okay to have a system that might work but if you just pick mathces to bet on just because you "think" it might be a winner you will lose in the long run. I've been betting for a while but I've had a hard time unerstanding how to analyse HT/FT as I think it's not the same as just betting FT. N-H
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Although I'm a fan of NFL I just haven't been able to find websites that present the starting line-up for each teams before each match. Can anybody help me out here? N-H
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Re: Magic formular... VERY short notice: Houston @ Chicago Cubs => 1.70 @ Expekt Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Yeah, I'm actually surprised that I'm doing better with the MLB rather than the football. Here's tonights MLB-pick: Colorado @ Pittsburgh => 1.86 @ Expekt Good luck :hope I think I might do better whith the football when the big leagues kicks off. I will however just continue to post my picks. Thanks for the support, merlin :ok
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Re: Magic formular... Boston won just as predicted. And guess what? So did Colorado :clap Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 991.14 pt Won/Loss: 14/8 Yield: -2,01pct
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Re: Magic formular... Sligo Rovers won 2-1 :loon Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 967.34 pt Won/Loss: 12/8 Yield: -8,165 pct My bankroll is not growing as fast as I want it to do but it's better to get something rather than nothing ;) Tonights MLB: Kansas City @ Boston => 1.36 @ Expekt Colorado @ Pittsburgh => 1.83 @ Expekt Now, I will only play these as singles Good luck :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Next match on the program: Bray - Sligo Rovers => X2 @ 1.30 @ Expekt I will try to post some more MLB later on... Good luck :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Boston won just as predicted :clap Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 961.34 pt Won/Loss: 11/8 Yield: -10,173 pct
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Re: Magic formular... Tonights match: Kansas City @ Boston => 1.36 @ Expekt Good luck :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Well, well... Another bad pick from me. :( Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 954.14 pt Won/Loss: 10/8 Yield: -12,738 pct I'll be back later on with some picks from the MLB.
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Re: Magic formular... Onward to a new match to bet on: Brann - Viking: Lay Brann @ 1.83 @ Betfair Although I do believe Viking will win this one I won't take any chances. Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Man, what a rush :loon The swedish match ended with 0-0 and Bodø / Glimt lost their 2-0 advantage at the end of the game and the match ended with a draw. Maybe I was lucky today by deciding to cover my back as I did but I think my decision lies with the result of my system. Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 973.14 pt Won/Loss: 10/7 Yield: -7,9 pct
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Re: Munki's Asian Bets Hmm... I think you should take it easy with Pors Grenland as they're not a great team as they used to be. Furthermore it's risky to bet on Sandefjord against Molde. A draw is rare in the norwegian leagues and Sandefjord is on a rebound. Good luck anyway, mate! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... I've analysed some of the scandinavian matches for today and I've come up with these: Trelleborg - Norrköping: 1X => 1.25 @ Expekt Bodø/Glimt - Sogndal: 1X => 1.20 @ Expekt Now, I know this is a someway different approach than earlier but I think it might be better to cover my back rather than let the bets slip away just because of a late score or a penalty against, etc. Anyway, I'll bet 2 singles and 1 double. The weather is fine and I'm heading for the beach with my son :loon , so I don't know if I'll be back soon enough to post some more picks before the games begin this afternoon. Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Another bad day... :wall Detroit won just as predicted but St. Louis pulled a late winner. I've managed to come up with only one correct pick of my latest 5 and that's just not what I had in mind. If it's just bad luck I don't know but I still have faith in the system I use. I'm still modifying it so it'll be even better and there's still some minor adjustments to be made. Anyway, I'll keep posting my picks so you people can see hhow it's going. Let's hope for some profit to be made :tongue2 Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 954.14 pt Won/Loss: 7/7 Yield: -16,378 pct
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Re: Magic formular... As I mentioned earlier I would run Kansas City @ Detroit through my analyse-system. Kansas C @ Detroit => 1.40 @ Expekt. I will play this as a singel bet and also combine it with the match above (LAD).... So, here's the bet for today: Singles: LAD @ St. Louis => 2.39 @ Expekt Kansas City @ Detroit => 1.40 @ Expekt Double: LAD @ St. Louis + Kansas City @ Detroit => 3.35 @ Expekt Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Okay, here we go again... Todays match (MLB): LAD @ St. Louis => 2.39 @ Expekt I'll see if I get the time to analyse more matches to bet on. Good luck! :hope PS! You might consider playing this one as a double with Detroit. I haven't had the time to analyse Kansas City @ Detroit but I do think the system will favour Detroit. The odds on Detroit is 1.40 @ Expekt and I think that's too high. Anyway, I'll try to be back with the result of my stats on Detroit.
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Re: Lay the crappy New Manager markets This sound like a great idea. Where do you find the (latest) info about the rumours, etc? On the ordinary sportspages?
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Re: Magic formular... What a day... :wall Boston was a huge dissapointment and lost in 11th inning. Detroit, however, won just as predicted but it didn't help my bet at all. Anyway, I will continue to bet doubles (I will try to avoid trebles, etc) whenever my system tells me it's safe. I'm constantly trying to improve my system and adjust the errors I feel might occur when doing the analysis of the matches. After all it's all about getting the numbers and figures to work together in a single formula. Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 986.14 pt Won/Loss: 6/5 Yield: -6,3 pct
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Re: Magic formular... What a dissapointment. VPS managed to hold back Jaro and could claim 1 point at fulltime. :( Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 1006.14 pt Won/Loss: 6/4 Yield: +3,07 pct Now, I've managed to analyse some MLB-matches for tonight and according to my calculations it should be safe to bet on a double tonight. Kansas C @ Detroit => 1.34 @ Expekt Oakland @ Boston => 1.49 @ Expekt Now, I know betting on a double is more risky than betting on singles but the results of my analysis seems good enough to try it. Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Well, there's nothing much to bet on these days but I'll try anyway. Todays match: VPS - Jaro => 3.65 @ Expekt I'll try to post some MLB-picks later on... Good luck! :hope
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Re: Magic formular... Lok. Moscow won just as predicted :clap Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 1026.14 pt Won/Loss: 6/3 Yield: +14,52 pct
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Re: Magic formular... I took a day off since I didn't find anything of value to bet on. Anyway, todays match to bet on: Lok. Moscow - Din. Moscow => 1.90 @ Expekt Good luck! :hope PS! Lok. Moscow have never lost to Din. Moscow in the Russian league.
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Re: Magic formular... Løv Ham won but Aalesund pulled a draw. Starting bank: 1000 pt Curent bank: 1008.14 pt Won/Loss: 5/3 Yield: +5,087 pct
My new RATING-system
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Hey! A long time since I last posted anything but I've had other things to do than betting ;) Anyway, I think I've come up a system that might give the edge over the bookies. It's a simple system based on current stats in the table. Here are the few rules that I use picking a match and a team to bet on: 1) Only bet on the hometeam. 2) Only pick a match/team to analyse further if it feel right and not just because the stats are right. 3) Only bet on the hometeam if the RATING is grater than 1,00. So, here's my picks for this weekend: Marseille vs St. Etienne RATING: 1,08 Odds: 1,95 Tranmere vs Gillingham RATING: 1,45 Odds: 1,77 Portsmouth - Sheff Utd RATING: 1,30 Odds: 1,81 Preston - Colchester RATING: 1,50 Odds: 1,84 Alkmaar - Nijmegen RATING: 1,19 Odds: 1,30 I only bet single with 1 unit each bet. Good luck :hope