Neubs

FT 4:0
And must say, i angry about myself after what i see in this game. Stakes too small. Hannover with very bad game. But bet won....

RB Leipzig-Union Berlin
 
Leipzig with a losing Game last week against Sankt Pauli. But it was not deserved. Leipzig was better team with more possesion, but Pauli have clever park the bus after a early goal for them. Also Leipzig with the best squad and with no important missings.
Union on the other side after winter break with 4 points from 2 games. A late Draw at Kaiserslautern and a easy 3-0 win against bottom team 1860 Munich. So both actualy far away from the quality of Leipzig. Also there is today some important missings on Union Berlin Side. There best striker Wood (9 Goals) are out. Also both central defenders Leistner and Schoenheim are out. So with long terms absents Koehler, Korte, Nikic, Thiel are many missings on Berlin Side. So i think Leipzig will showing a positiv reaction after they lose against Sankt Pauli. So for me here with that absences on Berlin Side, Leipzig are high Favorit.
 
Leipzig AHC-1 @ 1.82 5/10 Pinn

Aldershot v Kidderminster
There are five bets this week, all at home and I fancy them all quite strongly. Aldershot haven't always performed that well at home this season, but as I wrote last week they have been showing real signs of improvement and they continued that when beating Macclesfield 2-0 last weekend. Their manager had moaned about their consistency, but they are finally showing some and are now scoring goals which was something they were struggling with. Kidderminster will be playing National League North football next season as they are 14 points from safety and they have little chance of staying up. They lost again last week and with Aldershot showing their improved for I am happy to take 5/6 (Marathon) about a home win.
 
Braintree v Chester
Braintree have struggled to get their home games on in recent weeks, but hopefully this will go ahead as their games against Wrexham did on Tuesday. Amazingly they have only scored eight goals at home and conceded the same number as well, so the chances of this being a goal fest are pretty slim. Braintree have won three of their last four home games and they have all been a goal to nil. Chester have only won once in their last six and they are in danger of being sucked into a relegation battle if they are not careful. I am surprised Braintree aren't odds on to win this and Chester have lost four of their last five away games. With their games in hand Braintree have every right to be thinking of the play-offs and they I reckon they will pick up another three points here. Betway go 23/20 about a home win and probably worth a small bet on a 1-0 victory at 6/1.
 
Eastleigh v Wrexham
Must admit that only getting a point at Boreham Wood last week probably means Eastleigh won't be winning the title this season. I have seen people mention that the top three are a class above everyone else in the league, but that is utter rubbish as Eastleigh are right up there with them. They have only lost twice in the league since Chris Todd took over and take out the dip in form that caused Richard Hill to resign and they would be right behind Forest Green and Cheltenham. Wrexham are in a terrible run of form at the moment and although they briefly stopped the rot by beating Lincoln (in shocking form themselves) 3-1 last week, as mentioned above they lost again on Tuesday. I think Eastleigh will prove too strong for the Welsh side and at just over 11/8 with Marathon they look a good bet.
 
Woking v Barrow
It was a big surprise to see Woking lose on Tuesday against Altrincham and hopefully it doesn't mean they are about to go on a poor run of form again. They have had a bizarre season as they started strongly, went through such a big slump that a relegation battle looked possible and now they are amazingly in the play-off picture after hitting form again. Barrow aren't in great form themselves and although they won at Welling last week they have lost ten of their away games this season and that was only their 3rd win. Barrow did win the reverse fixture in November, but that was before Woking's form turned around and I do think at a shade of odds against (Marathon) is a fair bet.
 
Margate v Bishop Stortford
Margate are flying up the table and the change of manager has really turned their season around. Their superb run of form continued against top of the table Ebbsfleet last weekend and they might just be capable of getting themselves into the play-offs now the team are performing as well as they should be. Bishop Stortford are in fair form themselves, but apart from Gosport who they beat on Saturday their recent matches have come against teams towards the bottom of the table and I really fancy Margate to win again. Bet365 are biggest at 13/10.
 

Bromley v Southport
Bromley have finally stopped the rot with a draw against Eastleigh (were 2 up) and a win against Dover although that was helped by Dover going down to ten men. They do have the advantage of having had nearly two weeks off, but Southport's great run under their new manager shows no signs of stopping. Only Eastleigh have managed to beat them since he took over and they have won every other league game including beating Wrexham twice over Christmas. Included in that run was a 5-3 win in the reverse fixture and I think the fact there were eight goals in that game leads us to the best bet in this game. Neither team keeps many clean sheets and both have goals in them as that match shows so given I think Southport will win I think the value play is backing them to win and both teams to score which is 17/4 with Stan James.
 
Macclesfield v Halifax
Another side who are flying for a change of manager are Halifax and they look a completely different side under Jim Harvey. They won at Lincoln on Boxing Day and were unlucky not to do the double of them as they were much the better team on Saturday in the revers fixture. In between that they beat Wrexham. Now Macclesfield moved up into the play-off places after beating Tranmere last weekend, but they had fortune on their side as Tranmere should have got at least a point and had a goal disallowed which should have stood. I am not sure they are playing as well as their form suggests and although they are rightly favourites the 100/30 on offer with William Hill on an away win is too big give their current form.
 
Wrexham v Woking
Woking have had a bizarre season. They had a great start and were the first team to beat Forest Green, but after that they couldn't buy a win and dropped so far down the table that it looked like they would be in a relegation scrap. However they have managed to turn it around and they have won six of their last eight games and losing just once. Losing Dan Holman is a bit of a blow, but they have plenty of confidence at the moment which can't be said about their rivals on Saturday. As I point out above they have lost their last three games and they have actually lost four of their last five with their only win in the league coming against Torquay. Woking are actually four points clear of them in the table now and although they have played two games more it would have been near impossible to think those positions would have been possible a few weeks back. Marathon go a rather bizarre, but big price of 37/13 on an away win and that is well worth taking.
 
Bath v Maidstone
Maidstone had a poor run a few weeks ago as they lost four out of five games, but they have managed to bounce back with a couple of 2-1 victories over Eastbourne and Margate. Although they have lost their last two away games, there away form up to that point had been very strong and they had better form on their travels than at home. They go to a Bath side on Saturday who are in woeful form. They have lost five of their last seven league games and although their only win in that time did come against Champions elect Ebbsfleet, that is looking like a bit of a fluke result. If Maidstone hadn't lost their last two away games I would have been tempted to make them a max bet, but even so at 7/5 they are the best bet of the weekend.
 
Chelmsford v Weston-Super-Mare
The home side here are currently bottom of the form table having not won in their last six games although only a late Dartford goal stopped them getting the three points on Saturday. Even so they are struggling at the moment and have only won three times at home this season. Weston on the other hand are in good form at the moment and are unbeaten in their last five matches. I just can't understand why Chelmsford are odds on in places to win this especially when you consider Weston's form has been better away from home this season. Again Marathon are the best price and again it is a strange on of 54/19.

Altrincham v Chester
  I don't understand the prices for this game and Altrincham look a big price at 23/10. Chester have struggled away from home this season. They have only won once away in their last six and that came at Southport who were in terrible form at the time. Granted they have travelled to the top two in that spell, but they could only manage a point at Boreham Wood and lost to Gateshead. Altrincham have managed some strong results at home this season and although they have dipped a little in their last six homes, there is nothing to suggest that Chester should be such strong favourites for this game. Overall Chester's only win in their last six was last Saturday against Torquay and although it was an easy win, Torquay are one of the poorer sides in the division. Altrincham performed with great credit at Cheltenham last week and I would make them slight favourites to win this game so the 23/10 is a must take.   Bromley v Eastleigh   Not surprisingly Eastleigh have already been backed, but as odds against is still available I think they are still a bet. I am not going to rewrite my thoughts on Eastleigh again, but their superb form continues. It is hard to know what has happened at Bromley given the superb form they were in has turned into losing their last five games. They have conceded 14 goals in their last five games and their defending has become a real issue. Given Eastleigh's strength in attack I find it hard to see Eastleigh not adding to their woes on Boxing Day.   Wrexham v Southport   Wrexham have only lost twice at home all season and have only lost once in their last six league games. However they have had a pretty kind fixture list of late so I am not sure the good run of form is as good as it looks. Dino Maamria has really turned Southport around since taking over and they have won four out of their five league games and won in the FA Trophy on Tuesday night at Worcester. They have beaten Macclesfield in this run and although Wrexham are the right favourites there is noway that Southport should be 6/1 shots.   Bradford Park Avenue v FCUM   Bradford are on fire at the moment. They are unbeaten in their last six league games and beat Lincoln in the FA Trophy on Monday night. They have only lost once at home all season and as long as the game gets the go ahead I think they can gain another three points. FCUM have really struggled to get to grips with the league since promotion and after being unbeaten in three they then suffered a poor loss to Gloucester City last weekend. 13/10 about the home side looks a decent bet.

Moenchengladbach-Werder Bremen
 
Nice odds here on the Awayteam. Odds are falling in last Days. Think Starting Odds where around 9.xx-10.xx. Odds at the moment also have some value for me. Gladbach after there On-Fire Run in last weeks with that top 3-1 win against Bayern Munich, now looking tired and they will be all happy, if the winter break is comming. Loosing last 2 games against ManCity and Leverkusen, specially they are for sure tired. Becoming late Goals - against ManCity in last 10 Minutes and against Leverkusen 4 Goals in 2nd Half. Also the team have today some big injurys missings. So there is no big rotation possible. So most of the players have playing whole time against ManCity, Leverkusen and will be playing today. Long Term missings are Dominguez, Hahn, Herrmann, Schulz, Stranzl. New are now Jantschke who is missing. So next good Player miss the game. Also Trarore and in last weeks On Fire Player Johnson are doubtful. So if booth can play, i think booth will not be at 100% Fitness.
Bremen on the other Side struggling in the League and fighting against Relegation. But they are now coming with better fitness then Gladbach. Coach Skripnik have no important missings and for me more players they can rotated. Because specially in Midfield there is acutally no Men who are that men who are better then all others. Only Forward Ujah are scoring his goals. And here another Plus for Bremen. Skripnik substitued Ujah last game against Colgone in 67th Minute off. So i think they have do it because Bremen smells today like a suprise. Important is that Midfield Player Grillitsch are fit, after sub-off at Weekend. He can be made the difference today, but he is a young player. Bremen also away this season much better, then in Home Games. So maybe no big minus that they are playing today not at home. Bremen also have in Midfield NO creative Players at the Moment, but this is not the way where you win today. They must rund and fight against tired Gladbach team. And think so longer it´s stand 0-0 so bigger are the chances for Bremen.
So i expected a tough game where Bremen wants to hold that 0-0 so long as possible and they have problems to create chances, so for me there is a low scoring game. Can´t think that even Gladbach scores early that they playing for 100% effectivty whole 90 Minutes.
So for me here:
Under 3 Goals @ 2.02 4/10 Pinn
X or Bremen @ 2.29 2/10 SBOBET

FT 2:1

2. Bundesliga - Friday
Nuernberg-Paderborn
 
Interessting Game tomorrow. Nuernberg with superb Form and only one Lose in last 10 League Games and this was in Leipzig, where is no shame to loose there.
Last Week Nuernberg are win with 4:0 in Hamburg agains St. Pauli and now looking on the 3rd Place in League. Think first two Places are reserved for Leipzig and Freiburg. Also Nuernberg with luxury Problem tomorrow. Forward-Player Burgstaller can play, but last game he didn´t play in Hamburg. And Coach Weiler maybe will no rotation after this big win last week. So let me now say. If Burgstaller plays or not, Nuernberg have very good options in attack and thats good, because Paderborn looks last games very weak in Defensive. No important missings on Nuernberg Side.
Paderborn under new Coach Effenberg only lost one Game in league his 6 Games, but only wining the first two Games. Last two Games i have watch them. They have to deserved a lose against Munich 1860, which ends in 4-4 draw. Defensive are very weak and Nuernberg are have the same type of attacking players like Munich 1860 has. 7Paderborn are missing tomorrow Bickel, Lopez and Vucinovic. But not importan players.
So Nuernberg are unbeaten at home this season by 4-4-0 and Paderborn away with no draws and 2-0-5. So for me here no Draw risk, also because specially Paderborn need Points. So this is i think so good for Nuernberg.
For me:
Nuernberg 1.96 5/10 Pinnacle

Barrow v Boreham Wood Even though Barrow's manager got sacked and Paul Cox has taken over, their home form has been very strong. They have only lost twice at home and they beat Woking last week in Cox's first game in charge. They host a Boreham Wood side who have got a couple of very good draws against Tranmere and Lincoln, but their problem is scoring goals and they are averaging less than a goal a game. Barrow should continue their strong home form on Saturday and look a fair price at BetVictor's 29/20.   Halifax v Guiseley I didn't think there was ever going to be apoint this season where I would want to back Halifax, but they look a very different side since Darren Kelly was sacked and Jim Harvey took over. Under Kelly they couldn't defend to save their lives and although they have still let in 3 goals in their two games under Harvey, that is a massive improvement. They put four past Gateshead when having ten men for over half of the match and put the same amount past Dover last week. In that sort of form they should fancy their chances about beating a Guiseley side who have only won once away all season. Marathon's 8/5 looks a fair price.   Kettering v Cambridge City Into the Southern League for the final and best bet of the weekend. Kettering have strengthened in recent weeks and their team looks very strong now. They are unbeaten in three and they beat league leaders Poole last weekend and deserved the three points. They look capable of going on a little run now and will fancy their chances of beating a Cambridge side who have lost four of their last six. To be fair to them the two wins did come against two sides in the top 5 in the table, but improved Kettering should have too much for them and Boyelsports go 20/21 about a home win.

Bromley v Boreham Wood
It is max bet time tonight as the home side look a massive price at 11/10. I checked on Sunday night to see what the odds were and was thinking 5/6 was worth a max bet and amazingly they have drifted out. It seems the Asian markets are backing Boreham Wood and they really isn't any reason why they should be. I tipped Bromley up when these two played the reverse fixture and Bromley won 3-2 and they have continued their upward rise up the table, currently sitting in 4th place. They have been scoring goals for fun and have only lost to Cheltenham and Tranmere in their last eight games, indeed they have the 2nd best record in the division in that time (behind Dover). They got a cracking win last time out when beating Lincoln away and they have had a nice 10 days off since that fixture as they were already out of the FA Cup. On the otherhand Boreham Wood struggled to a 1-1 draw at Northwich a team three leagues below them on Saturday and the part-timers have little recovery time ahead of this very tough fixture. The one thing you can say is they are unbeaten in their last four away games drawing three and winning one. However they beat what was at the time a dreadful Torquay side, whilst drawing with two other teams around them in the table Kidderminster and Guiseley. The other draw doesn't look too bad at Macclesfield, but Macclesfield were all over them that afternoon and did everything but score. What I can't understand is Bromley are a shorter price to beat Altrincham on Saturday a team four points ahead of Boreham Wood. Wood look to be lacking at this level whereas Bromley have really kicked on since they were both promoted from the National League South. Hopefully come 9.30pm we will be celebrating one of the best looking bets this season.
Woking v Braintree
One other bet for me is Braintree. I got them badly wrong by saying they would go down this season and they have proven very hard to beat. Now the concern is they had a very tough game on Sunday and not surprisingly Woking haven't wanted to move the game to Wednesday, but Woking are in such bad form at the moment that at the price of 23/10 I am happy to take the punt. Given the start to the season they had it is amazing how bad they have become and being the first team to lose to Kidderminster last time was a rather bad effort and sums up their form in the last few weeks. Braintree have only lost twice in their last eight games and have got some great results in that time as well. Take the fact they had a tough game on Sunday and Woking have had ten days off out of things and my confidence behind Braintree wouldn't be far behind that of Bromley. However I have to take that in mind and whilst I am still happy to have the bet it can't be as strongly as I would have liked.

FT 1:3

Altrincham v Barnsley Granted Altrincham aren't in the best of form themselves, but they have caused quite a few upsets in their history and they might just be capable of pulling off another one here. League 1 Barnsley are in really poor form having lost their last five games and the last thing a team low on confidence wants is a trip to a non-league side who will be up for it from the start. Altrincham have managed some very good results at home earlier in the season so we know they do have it in them and they have some dangerous strikers who can cause Barnsley issues. Marathon go 9/2 which looks value on a home win. Crewe v EastleighThere is an element here that I have backed Eastleigh at bigger prices to win games in the league this season than they are to beat League 1 Crewe, but I still think Marathon's price of just over 3/1 offers some value. They under performed last week against a poor Halifax side, but they still got the job done and no doubt one eye was on this game. I still think they have the best squad in the National League and they go to a Crewe side who aren't exactly doing that well this season given they are currently bottom of League 1.  Wealdstone v ColchesterTo continue the theme we have another poor League 1 side in Colchester who have only won once in their last six league games. On the face of it the home side look a fairly average National League South team and obviously this is a tough tie for them. They are in very good form though as they are unbeaten in seven league games and got a massive win against top of the table Ebbsfleet last weekend. They will be full of confidence after that and really have nothing to lose against a Colchester side who are struggling on the whole. Again Marathon are best price at 19/5. Brackley v NewportInto Sunday's games now and I think Newport at odds against looks a big price. They have seen a real upturn in form since changing their manager and given the clubs non-league roots (it wasn't that long ago since they were at the same level as Brackley) they shouldn't under estimate the game. Brackley have also changed their manger in the past few weeks and their has been a little improvement, but nowhere near enough to suggest they might be capable of beating a Football League side. At 13/11 with Marathon they rate the best bet of the weekend. Northwich v Boreham WoodAn all non-league tie as Step 1 Boreham Wood travel to Step 4 Northwich. I opposed Boreham Wood in the previous round when they hosted Step 4 AFC Hornchurch and they only just got through so I think they are vulnerable again now they have to travel to a side who are having a fantastic season. Not only have they reached the First Round of the FA Cup, but they have won 12 of their 13 league games this season. It wouldn't be a massive shock if only one division separated these two next season and BetVictor's 19/5 is worth a play on a home win. 

Boreham Wood v AFC HornchurchThis game is the one which might well see the biggest shock of the weekend as step 4 side Hornchurch travel to step 1 side Boreham Wood. The home side have been struggling in the league for a while now although they were probably slightly unlucky not to win at Guiseley last Saturday. There main problem has been scoring goals and the pressure will be on them on Saturday as for the first time this season they are playing a game they are heavy favourites to win and they might well choke. Hornchurch are having a great season and they should be playing Ryman Premier football again next season. Confidence will be high and I always like it when an in form team plays an out of form team even at different levels. It wouldn't be a huge surprise if there is only one league between these two sides next season so at BetVictor's 8/1 the away side are a sporting bet. Harrogate Town v Grimsby TownI have always been very uncomplimentary about Harrogate's manager, but to be fair this season he seems to have finally got his expensive squad playing really well and they are bang in promotion contention. Now obviously Grimsby are doing well in the league above and have only lost twice this season. Away from home though they have only managed to win twice and I just wonder how seriously they will take the FA Cup this season. Given how close they have gone in the last few seasons promotion to the Football League is all that matters this season and I don't think Paul Hurst will mind too much if they get knocked out here. Obviously Grimsby are rightly favourites, but 9/2 about a home win is higher than it should be. Maidenhead v WokingWoking have really struggled since being the first team to beat Forest Green Rovers. They have only managed to win once since then and that was against a dreadful Halifax side. Backing Maidenhead at 80/1 to win National League South has proven to be a decent move given they are currently in 5th place and not surprisingly Alan Devonshire has turned the clubs fortunes around. They have only conceded five at home and lost just once, so I think they have a fair chance of beating an out of form Woking. Marathon are biggest at 36/17. Salford City v SouthportGiven Salford have won just once at home, but are eight from eight away from home in a funny way I would have fancied them more if this game was at Salford, but given the nature of this game I do expect Salford to bring a much improved showing at home. These two teams could well be in the same league next season as Southport have looked a pretty poor side this term. They did beat Kidderminster last weekend, but it was a poor game which they didn't really deserve to win. This game looks ripe for an upset in my view and Marathon are 26/11 about a home win. Wealdstone v Bognor RegisAgain another two teams who might end up playing in the same league next season either by Wealdstone going down or Bognor going up and you couldn't rule out them swapping places. Granted Wealdstone are unbeaten in six, but they haven't had the hardest set of fixtures and at Marathon's 41/13, which is miles bigger than any other bookie, Bognor are worth a small play as they look a good side in the Ryman Premier this season. 

I´m on Barrow against Welling tonight. Barrow strong at home and even they will be not so weak in away games, they can climb up the table. But away they are very weak, even in defensive. At Home Barrow, are very strong and didn´t conceded much goals. So Welling near in Table from Barrow, but also weak away and in away games not so good in offensive. So for me here:
Barrow @ 1.78 4/10 Pinn

Cheltenham v Eastleigh
I still can't believe Eastleigh are as big as 18/1 to win the title. They were my picks from the start and although they had a dodgy spell which led to Richard Hill resigning they have bounced back to win three of their last four games. Chris Todd was in charge for those games and he was confirmed as the new boss in the week which he deserves after the results on the pitch. Not only am I backing them to win on Saturday, but I am also going in again for them to win the title as I still think they will be in the top 3 at the very least come the end of April. Win this and they will be just three points behind their hosts who are around 6/1 for the title. They deserved their win on Tuesday night against current leaders FGR and I am hopeful they can beat the other Gloucestershire side on Saturday. They will be full of confidence and although it is hardly a lump on job Marathon's 39/10 is bigger than it should be.
Guiseley v Boreham Wood
I think there is enough in the price to back the home side here. The concern is they played so well against Wrexham on Wednesday night to get a point that they might be feeling the effects of that effort, but although Boreham Wood beat my Naps last weekend I still don't think they are playing that well. I opposed them on Tuesday and Aldershot didn't have to be at their best to beat them and I think away from home they may struggle against a Guiseley side who have been performing fairly well on the whole part recently. A point at Wrexham is more than likely deemed a bonus point, but this would surely be a game where getting a victory would be important to avoid going down. I am surprised they are as big as 28/17 with Marathon to gain the three points.
Gosport v Ebbsfleet
Ebbsfleet lost their first league game two weeks ago, but I think they can bounce back here. Because they had already lost in the FA Cup they had a blank weekend, whereas Gosport ended up playing a replay against Whitehawk on Tuesday night which they lost. I think that gives the away team a pretty big edge here and Gosport are having a dip in form after a strong start to the season. They have only won once in their last five league games and although they might make it hard for Ebbsfleet I suspect that the class edge will tell late on especially with fresher legs. I think Bet 365's 13/10 is a good price.
Needham Market v Hampton & Richmond
Hampton are in great form at the moment with their only defeat in the last six games coming against league leaders Leiston. They scored five against Hendon last Saturday and then put six past Merstham in mid-week. Their hosts are struggling after promotion and their win against Lewes two games ago was their first this season. They only have eight points and with the form the away side are in at the moment Hampton should be picking up another three points. 19/20 looks a fair price and I make them the best bet this weekend.
Ramsbottom v Mickleover Sports
Call me mad but I think the home side are worth a bet here. They have yet to win this season and only have three points to their name, but I think they maybe about to improve. Amazingly in their last game they got a draw against league leaders Blyth and they have had a couple of weeks off since that game. They have got some new players in and it is worth a punt that that result is a sign they are going to get a first victory. Mickleover are in poor form having lost their last three games and they have played twice since Ramsbottom played. Again not exactly a lump on job, but it could just turn out that Marathon's 77/29 turns out to be a decent bet.

Werder Bremen-Bayern Munich
It can be an easy win for Munich. I´m Werder Bremen Fan and also i think i can take an normal view on this game. Bayern with some injury problems, BUT so they normaly must play with the whole A-Team. Injured or doubtful are: Goetze, Coman, Vidal, Benatia, Bernat, Rode and long term absences Ribery, Robben. So only Costa can be sit on the bench because he was coming from Brazil and maybe he is little bit tired and for him play Gaudino, Weihrauch or Green. But it will be playing a A-Team for Bayern. Neuer, Boateng, Lewandowski and so on. Also i think Munich will play very serious from beginning of the game, because i expected that they want to secure the win very fast. Because they have big Champions League Game against Arsenal at Thuesday.
Bremen on the other Side in very weak form. Lost last 4 in League and in 3 from them with own goal. So also they are missing Forward Johannson by injured and there best Defender Vestergaard are doutbful for the game. I watched all last games and must say, Bremen´s problem is in Mittelfield. They have big problems to made the game and playing a good pass to the Forwards and creating chances. Also there Defensive is not the best, maybe Lukimya must play for doubtful Vestergaard and he personaly for me he´s not that type you want to play against Munich. Weak in passing and can made some mistakes if Munich attacking early in Bremen Half. So for me normaly, Bremen have no chance. H2H in last games: 0:4, 0:6, 2:5, 0:7, 1:6
 
Bayern Munich AHC-2 @ 1.97 5/10 Pinn

Altrincham v Barrow
Given Barrow cost me a lot of money last week my initial thought was to stay clear of this game. I then saw the price the home side were though and I had to have a bet on them. The danger is that Barrow are getting their away form together as they have won and drawn one having lost their first four on the road. Even so there is no way they should be such strong favourites for this game and arguably Altrincham should probably just about be market leaders. Granted the were poor in their last home game to Braintree, but you take that out and their home form has been strong. They even managed to finally win away from home last weekend albeit against a struggling Boreham Wood side. 23/10 (BetVictor) about a home win is simply too big and has to be backed.
Halifax v Cheltenham
I knew it would come eventually and this weekend sees me back Cheltenham for the first time. Halifax announced their new manager on Thursday and I must admit I Darren Kelly wasn't someone I was aware off. I looked him up and found he had lasted 9 games in charge of Oldham and was sacked a couple of weeks ago having had a 2 year contract. Now that doesn't strike me as someone I would want to be managing my club even if it is a drop of a couple of leagues. To be fair he will have Jim Harvey to help him, but they have a massive task of trying to keep the side in this division. I am not sure we see much of an improvement in results and it couldn't be much tougher than facing the team third in the table. Granted I am not sure Cheltenham have been performing as well as their position in the table suggests, but they should have enough to see of Halifax and I would make them odds on to win this so the 11/10 with Hills has to be taken.
Tranmere v Bromley
Tranmere got a last minute winner against Cheltenham last weekend in what by all accounts was a dire game. They host a red hot Bromley side and a red hot striker in Moses Emmanuel. Now most of Bromley's wins have come against the lesser sides in the division, but they have beaten 2nd place Gateshead and the ease of their victories is impressive. I had a high view of Bromley going into the start of the season and full expected them to go well. Tranmere have been very hit and miss so far and I think they are still adjusting to life in this division. I am surprised Bromley are 7/2 with Betway and that has to be a sporting play.
AFC Fylde v AFC Telford
Rob Smith was angry at his Telford players yet again last weekend as they went out of the FA Cup against Kettering from the league below. He didn't hold back and said that the players weren't good enough to play National League football. He must be regretting moving their now as Steve Kittrick has clearly left the club in a right mess. This weekend they travel to second place Fylde and they are in good form at the moment. They should be able to take full advantage of a poor Telford side and I think they are worth backing at 11/10 (Paddy Power) on the -1 handicap.
Grays v Kingstonian
I was impressed with Grays when I saw them earlier in the season and thought they looked potential title challengers. They are going through a little blip at the moment though as they haven't won in three and they have lost two of those. They lost to a struggling Leatherhead 3-0 on Wednesday night and they had some crucial players missing as well. Quite why they are playing again so soon I am not sure, but as Kingstonian played on Monday that has to be a pretty big edge. The other thing to note is that if you take out the loss in the FA Cup last Saturday they are actually in really good form at the moment. They have won 4 of their last 5 and bounced backed from that defeat in the Cup to beat Hendon 1-0 on Monday night. They look overpriced at a general 5/2.
Treble
After nailing the six fold in the FA Cup last week I am looking to land a treble which pays just under 2/1 with Bet365. AFC Fylde obviously go in. Margate continued their upturn in form in the FA Cup last week and should be too strong for Weston-Super-Mare. Finally Dulwich should have little trouble in beating a VCD Athletic side who are yet to win this season.
 

Dortmund travel to Saloniki witout 5 important players. Hummels, Sokratis, Aubameyang, Gündogan and Kagawa. So both central Defenders and the best in form players Gündogan and Aubameyang are not playing. Also Dortmund important game then Sunday against Bayern Munich.PAOK a good home team and think they will playing for a win. Also Dortmund last games, with many mistakes in Defensive and also without there 2 Defenders. For me here:
PAOK or X @ 2.80 2/10 Unibet
Both 2 Score - Yes @ 1.80 5/10 bet365

Nothing big during the action this mid-week but just having a small acca for a bit of fun given the last couple of sessions have been profitable. Bognor go to Farnborough tonight and they have yet to win since they beat Lewes on what was their first game of the season. Bognor look pretty strong this season. Lewes are another team who are struggling and are now mangerless. They host a strong Tonbridge side. VCD are another poor side in the Ryman Premier and Billericay look another away team who should win. In the Northern Prem Nantwich should have too much for a very poor Ramsbottom. It pays 8.75/1 with BetVictor and looks worth doing to small stakes.  

Dulwich Hamlet odds around 2.20 , is the best pick today IMO. Metropolitan Police will possible miss 10 players tonight. Dulwich Hamlet played a good match in the FA Cup against Whitehawk, lost 4-2. 
Metropolitan Police lost 6-0 last week , I dont think that they had any injured player at that time. Odds was 2.40 yesterday and have allready dropped. 

FT 1:1 Pick WON

Looking at the elo figures for the remaining Asian qualifiers today, there looks to be quite a bit of value around, with many of the away favourites being priced too short at current odds. I suggest backing Maldives, Hong Kong, Philippines, Afghanistan, Malaysia and Tajikistan on the mid-priced handicaps. Maldives v China Maldives +4AH 2.12 Hong Kong v Qatar Hong Kong +1.5 1.84 Philippines v Uzbekistan Philippines +1AH 1.92 Afghanistan v Japan Afghanistan +3.5 2.05 Malaysia v Saudi Arabia Malaysia +4AH 2.15 Tajikistan v Australia Tajikistan +2.5 1.75 All with Marathon Stake: 5 points on each Total stake: 30 points