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TheRat

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    THE GRAND NATIONAL 2013 April 6th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: THE GRAND NATIONAL 2013 April 6th I would be wary of stats like that for horses who are always targeted at a specific race like he has for the last few years. With horses whose marks are being protected I think you can dismiss a lot of the runs. He has won over 3 miles over hurdles before and is related to a few horses who were second in the bet365 Gold Cup

    Black Caviar going for number 24, Friday 22nd, 10:45 am Live on ATR.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Black Caviar going for number 24, Friday 22nd, 10:45 am Live on ATR.

    It's impressive to see how much the Australians make of this. A real event' date=' a special moment, to savour for everyone who wants to witness it. I agree it mightnot look like competitive racing considering how easily it does it all. But it just because she is that good. It's not that she beats nothing. She simply is so good and makes it look so simple. Like Frankel did as well. For me this is the pure demonstration of class and I think it's just wonderful. Watching a thoroughbred in full flight, travelling on the bridle under a motionless rider while pulling clear of fully driven rivals - it's just a feast for the eyes.[/quote'] Yes, well said. The way she is marketed there and when she races the whole nation sits up and watches is just great for the sport. We could learn a lot from it, although we did quite well with Frankel to be fair, and these horses don't come around very often

    Cheltenham 2014....

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Cheltenham 2014.... In my opinion Our Conor 4/1 - 5/1 for the Champion Hurdle is one of the worst ante post prices I've ever seen. Not only have you got the 5 year old stat against you (approx 1 in 90) you have the fact he may be much better with cut, and the form of the Triumph itself might not be great. He was very impressive, but his time wasn't anything that outstanding even taking the ground into consideration. I doubt there would have been a higher rated 4 year old after the Triumph tackling the CH, but at those odds he represents terrible value imo when you think of the competition he is likely to be facing

    Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle Of course good horse will come out of the Bumper though, I'm saying its not that strong when it was run. The New One beat MTOY in the Aintree Bumper. Hurdling is different all together. Pique Sous as an example is a terrible jumper, Waaheb isn't great. NYE has done nothing of note, Pique Sous might have won 2 races over hurdles, but both have been well below what you would expect. Moscow Mannion just got well beat despite money coming. Minsk was stuffed the next few times after Jezki beat him. Mala Beach/Bright New Dawn have patchy form at best. Aidy, you say TDS won a crap Grade 1 to make a point, but then go on about the Graded races the Irish horse have won which imo are also pretty poor. TDS won a Grade 2 and 1 by 6 and 9 lengths. Rule The World looks good I agree, and beat Cf easily as a result. CF has a good chance this year with how the ground is now. We agree on the price issue anyway!

    Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle That Jezki/Champagne Fever form line, imo, is terrible. The bumper form last year looks bad now and Waaheb got battered at odds on the other day. Jezki hasn't even run this year, and AP has chosen MTOY over him anyway. They might be Grade 1 races in name but I wouldn't get too carried away with that when non of the formlines tie in to MTOY. Un Atout is interesting for sure. I've had a saver on him All imo of course!

    Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle MTOY might have 'only won a handicap' but he has also beaten a subsequent Grade 1 winner comfortably after pulling all the way around Ascot, where he still found, and the handicap in question regardless of pace was competitive and he won easily. On top of this we know the owner likes to take the handicap route rather than graded with a lot of horses, he did the same with Darlan (although he didn't win the race last year). The stable have said MTOY is already better than Darlan was - not when he was a Novice, this season, and that if they didn't have Binocular in the Champion Hurdle he would be running in that. He is also rated, I think, 16lbs higher than your average Supreme winner. I agree I would not back him now having said that. Short price favourites have been turned over in this race but it could be argued non of them had run up to the standard MTOY has.

    Banker of the Meeting

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Banker of the Meeting Backed him at 25/1 (did put it up in the ante post section so not aftertiming!) Also then went in again twice as was around 12/1 but then when Chatterbox beat him he was pushed out to 20/1! I couldn't believe it. Was in terrible ground and they clearly had a handicap in mind with the ride. Crazy behaviour from the bookies. He is easily my biggest winner at the Fes

    Wednesday 2:40: RSA Steeple Chase

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Wednesday 2:40: RSA Steeple Chase

    There always seems to be a short priced favourite in the RSA and in the last 3 years Long Run' date=' Time for Rupert and Grands Crus all failed to justify their short odds. However it doesn't look like a strong renewal and Dynaste has been seriously impressive so its hard to oppose[/quote'] That's what they also said each time before too :lol Tough race this. I like Unioniste in the Jewson but look likes this is his target and at his age it could be too much. Super Duty could improved for the (probable) better gorund and looks a dour stayer to me. Think he might be value if he lines up

    Cheltenham only 2 months away

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Cheltenham only 2 months away If you thought the PP meetig was busy Rob then stay away from the Festival! Been going the last 5ish years and im sure I said before, but last GC day was just far too busy, it was mad and seemed a lot busier than even the GC day the year before. I also went on the Tuesday last year and it was busy but seemed fine, unlike the Friday, and personally I prefer the racing on the Tuesday anyway Still I cannot wait. Fingers crossed all the horse make it there

    Antepost bets & Discussion - Jump Season 2012/13

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Antepost bets & Discussion - Jump Season 2012/13 I have had a lot less ante post bets than the last few years for Cheltenham. Really struggling to find value, but one of the main things is a lot of the horses targets are a long way from being set in stone. With SS in the QMCC it means a lot more might go for Ryanair, might not. Simonsig in Arkle could scare off horses. No Big Bucks has thrown the door wide open in the World Hurdle. Tricky this year for punters who like an ante post bet

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